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NCAA week 8

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Participants:

Posts: 319

billyh

Rookie

Joined: Jan, 2014

Posts: 503

Posted: Oct. 21, 2015 - 2:12 PM ET #151

Quote Originally Posted by SCC:

Woot, I didn't get to watch the game, but we're off to a 1-0 start this week. 10Pt win for ARKST (even tho apparantly they gave up like 21pts and scored only 3 in the sceond half???

)

Thanks Mega for the early jump start the week and the write ups. Don't usually like Tuesday games since it's always extremely a coin flip half the time.

i didn't see where he picked ark st ??????

MEGALOCKS

MVP

Joined: Dec, 2003

Posts: 18138

Posted: Oct. 21, 2015 - 2:39 PM ET #152

REQUEST LINE....."A giant leap for mankind"

Bowling Green 14.5 Kent St (59)

Megalocks line 11

Sagarin 16.5

Game is probably gonna go on the short list need time to think about it....BG is just so explosive 121 points last 2 games....#1 passing offense in the NCAA.....Now their last 2 road games were 7 pt win at Purdue and 6 pt win at Buff...so it is not unthinkable that Kent can keep this within 2 TD esp with that great D.....Their D ranked 18 vs run and 14 in pass eff D....Both teams take care of the ball....A properly motivated Kent squad could cause some problems - played Minny to a 3 pt game (only 142Y off tho) and lost an OT game to Marshall which was their best effort...Played poorly vs Miami oh WTF at home and escaped due to +3 in turnovers.....The wild card? Kent looking to start rFR George Bollas again at QB who brings a decent running dimension to the team and he completed 20 passes last wk......BG defense is pretty rotten so if they let Kent make some first downs and get some confidence it could be interesting at least against the spread.

Summary. Lean Kent at 14.5 or better. Not added to final card yet.

mega

MEGALOCKS

MVP

Joined: Dec, 2003

Posts: 18138

Posted: Oct. 21, 2015 - 2:47 PM ET #153

sorry if we missed anyone

Imhere - big10 games will be done today or tomorrow

SCC - congrats on your Ark St win

Jeremy - thx all SEC games will be looked at - GL

Bryan

Khmer - thx GL

Ken

Big Ern

Warbucks - will look at the Bama game for sure GL

doc

Area51 .....we love pancakes

JCK - Flacco is not elite but very good

prophet -

bolts - thanks bud - GL

TXP - will look at all the Big 10 games

MEGALOCKS

MVP

Joined: Dec, 2003

Posts: 18138

Posted: Oct. 21, 2015 - 2:53 PM ET #154

Quote Originally Posted by chad77:

Hey Mega, I just wanna tell you how much I appreciate you being helpful and carrying on a conversation with as many as you can.. You are not full of yourself and you are not arrogant.. You don't throw your self a parade each week and down others for asking questions or giving comments! You ARE the BEST thing this site offers!! Thanks man..!

I wish more big guys on this site had some of what you posses, or would just drop in and leave great picks and bounce like CalBear, Rush, Big Giant Killer, ect... Some of the stuff that goes on here is ridiculous! But your thread is the same every single week and it's a breath of fresh cash-ola

THANKS A MILLION BUDDY !

We enjoy pulling the thread together every week and discussing the matchups with NCAA football junkies

Really appreciate the kind words. Never want to come across as a know-it-all because we ALL have knowledge to contribute and our dedicated subscribers always drop good intel in here. For example last week COMPOSITE asked about our Florida TT and we gave our rationale but guess what - HE WAS RIGHT - we made a bad pick and while we correctly have pegged LSU as a better passing team than they are given credit for - we neglected to give Florida enough credit for the mobility at QB Florida had and the poor special teams play. So Florida got some easy points BUT they all count and under 19.5 was a poor selection. And because we value everyone's opinion - guess what - you do not see him coming in here saying I told you so!

GL this week !! mega

MEGALOCKS

MVP

Joined: Dec, 2003

Posts: 18138

Posted: Oct. 21, 2015 - 2:54 PM ET #155

*** poor special teams play by LSU particularly return coverage***

MEGALOCKS

MVP

Joined: Dec, 2003

Posts: 18138

Posted: Oct. 21, 2015 - 3:03 PM ET #156

THREAD SUMMARY

Plays

Clemson -4 (would play up to -6.5)

East Carolina -3 (would not play any higher than -3)

Table of Contents for Write-Ups

- Miami / Clemson

- Tuesday game

- Thursday games

- Friday games

- REQUEST LINE (SM vs Charlotte; Wash St vs Az; Kent vs BG)

UP NEXT - Big 10

dmfan21

Rookie

Joined: Mar, 2011

Posts: 611

Posted: Oct. 21, 2015 - 3:17 PM ET #157

He nailed it. I don't post very often but Mega, between you and double up, I gotta stop by for the daily read. Thanks brother... You are one cool cat

harvardofsouth

Prospect

Joined: Sep, 2015

Posts: 65

Posted: Oct. 21, 2015 - 3:31 PM ET #158

Hey Mega, thanks for all the write ups so far. Love reading your thread.

Request Line - Pitt @ Cuse, specifically the total.

Thanks!

MEGALOCKS

MVP

Joined: Dec, 2003

Posts: 18138

Posted: Oct. 21, 2015 - 4:52 PM ET #159

dmfan

thanks a lot buddy...appreciate it ! best of luck this week

Harvard - will take a look at that once I get thru big10 and SEC

Ohio St 21 Rutgers

Megalocks line 17

Sagarin 21

You have to think that Ohio St is laying a few too many here - but you also have to think that Ohio St might start rolling now that JT is back at QB....Now the issue with that is the Ohio St run D has had some issues all year - and Rutgers has a nice balanced offense.....Need to watch if star WR Carroo is a go for Rutgers - 472Y and 9 TD in only 4 games this year he is a legit star so while we ignore injuries for the most part this one is a big deal if he cannot go - and do NOT trust the Rutgers injury report - 1/3 of the state of New Jersey is on the report this week as well as some of the beat reporters and a couple of extras used in the latest Bond movie........Rutgers can give Ohio St a battle for a while they have some players that can do damage on offense despite the fact you look at their schedule and only see wins over Norfolk St Kansas and Indiana (needed 22-0 4Q)......Ohio St should be able to put up some big time points to have to pass.

Summary. No leanage

mega

rvolpe21

Prospect

Joined: May, 2013

Posts: 193

Posted: Oct. 21, 2015 - 5:08 PM ET #160

i need to pick 2 out of 3 for a two team teaser beetween appalachian st, clemson and pittsburgh who would you go with?

MEGALOCKS

MVP

Joined: Dec, 2003

Posts: 18138

Posted: Oct. 21, 2015 - 5:13 PM ET #161

Nebraska 7.5 Northwestern (51.5)

Megalocks line 6

Sagarin 3.5

This was one of our top 3 picks that we were stalking on Sunday - and yet another one let us down ....Line surprisingly high you would think at first glance but it is all about the matchup - not unlike last wk vs Minny - if Nebraska gets a one dimensional running team they can shut that down....And their offense is balanced enough to keep things moving....NW is an avoid team right now lost the last 2 games 78-10 combined and what a great game play iowa had last wk - run run run - pounded NW for 294 Y rushing and it didn't matter that their #1 rb got hurt - it was a steamroll and has to have NW shaking their heads.....Not sure what they are gonna do on offense in this one.

Summary. Value in NW but horrible matchup. Pass.

mega

MEGALOCKS

MVP

Joined: Dec, 2003

Posts: 18138

Posted: Oct. 21, 2015 - 5:13 PM ET #162

Quote Originally Posted by rvolpe21:

i need to pick 2 out of 3 for a two team teaser beetween appalachian st, clemson and pittsburgh who would you go with?

just my guess. App St / Clemson. GL !

SCC

Veteran

Joined: Oct, 2014

Posts: 1191

Posted: Oct. 21, 2015 - 5:24 PM ET #163

Quote Originally Posted by billyh:

i didn't see where he picked ark st ??????

he didn't. but his write up convinced him that his lean for arkst would be good.

TreyInventor

All-Star

Joined: Jun, 2012

Posts: 13775

Posted: Oct. 21, 2015 - 5:31 PM ET #164

The "but their undefeated" guy will love temple this week and I must admit, I fall into that category lol I lean Temple but will lay off. Great points Mega. Mega is a hilarious guy seriously. I wonder how old he is and what he does for a living because his fluid sarcasm and sense of sarcasm is unmatched on here. I remember a couple weeks ago when he wrote up Vandy vs MTSU he said "no lean on the side might be interested in the over if some kind of tout scum releases a play on the under" lmao I swear I was crying laughing when I saw that. Tout scum... Lmao Mega is crazy. GL this week Mega love the writeups. We all owe u $5 each just for the writeups and entertainment alone u deserve it

MEGALOCKS

MVP

Joined: Dec, 2003

Posts: 18138

Posted: Oct. 21, 2015 - 5:38 PM ET #165

Trey

Glad you enjoy the thread buddy

You guys ALL crack me up. Gonna suck when the season is over.

GL this wk.

jroc1247

Captain

Joined: Aug, 2008

Posts: 8138

Posted: Oct. 21, 2015 - 6:45 PM ET #166

Waiting on the dope man to deliver me some crack! I gotz da shakes brotha. Pipe is all cleaned out and ready to be filled!!

TRAIN69

Legend

Joined: Oct, 2002

Posts: 55616

Posted: Oct. 21, 2015 - 6:49 PM ET #167

MegaLocks Inc will be looking into the Indiana/Mich St OVER ....

Might not be 4 total punts

MJones5

Prospect

Joined: Dec, 2007

Posts: 66

Posted: Oct. 21, 2015 - 8:17 PM ET #168

Quote Originally Posted by IMHERE:

Request Line - Indiana +17.

Michigan St. seems to be playing to the level of their competition this year and Indiana seems much improved over previous years. Furthermore, Mich St. is coming off of the win of a lifetime. I feel like this week will be the ultimate hangover for them... Thoughts?

I'd lean +17 for sure. MSU's secondary has been dismantled. 1 Safety is out for the year, best cover corner is out for the year. The other season opening corner D. Hicks is questionable, he sat out last week due to a concussion, MSU moved the other opening night starter at Safety to the nickle due to poor play. They started 2 TRUE

Freshman at Michigan last week and sounds like those 2 will start again Saturday. The front 4 is going to have a monster game to slow down the passing attack for Indiana. Indiana is a very bad matchup for the MSU D.

Quote Originally Posted by TRAIN69:

MegaLocks Inc will be looking into the Indiana/Mich St OVER ....

Might not be 4 total punts

Need to watch the weather.

70% Chance of showers in East Lansing Saturday. MSU may try and control the game on the ground if that is the case. I'd be waiting on that over/under until Friday night.

MEGALOCKS

MVP

Joined: Dec, 2003

Posts: 18138

Posted: Oct. 21, 2015 - 8:52 PM ET #169

jroc gonna do our best to find a gem for you

train looks pretty tasty

MJones - thanks man excellent INTEL ! Appreciate it

Michigan St 16.5 Indiana (63)

Megalocks line 16

Sagarin 20

Lean to the over and the dog in this one.....not sure what to do with this one yet if anything but we are starting to warm up to the game

Mich St has given up 20+ in every game this year except for one - and Indiana is a force on offense even if howard does not go at RB - backup had 99Y and 2 td and they found a way to get 50 points on Rutgers....Now I know we seem picky all the time - but the thing we do not like beside Indiana defense - is that while Mich St is in a huge letdown spot - what about Indiana? sounds silly? well they blew a huge lead last wk Rutgers outgunned them 22-0 in the final quarter and that had to be a killer - even more so because the hoosiers want to be bowl eligible - it seemed like a certainty - but after losing 3 straight they are 4-3 with sparty iowa Michigan to come - so there is not much margin for error the rest of the way - now that may have nothing to do with this game - except that we hope their mindset is ok.....Given the state of the Sparty D and their injuries as MJONES pointed out in the thread - the smart play may be the over because Indiana D is pretty bad (HOT TAKE) and Sparty can be MATRICULATED UPON in the passing game....but again - we seem and too uncertain - but the weather does indeed not look great - not going to panic - but it looks like rain and pretty strong wind - 18mph or so....Gonna let this one simmer overnight in the megalocks slow cooker and see what we think tomorrow.