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    All Forums | College Football

    is MICHIGAN -9.5 the BIGGEST TRAP OF THE YEAR ????

    123 Next Last»
    DoubleUp4Life
    scalabrine
    hornedtoad
    clubtnt
    undermysac
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    123 Next Last»
     
    DoubleUp4Life
    DoubleUp4Life
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    Posted: Sep. 17, 2017 - 10:38 PM ET #1

    Whats Up Brothers ????



    Guessed this line would be around 14-16.5 Points ...

    Even at 14 I thought Books would get a large amount of Michigan money ...


    Currently at -9.5 it should be safe to assume 90%+ of the money if not more is/will be ON MICHIGAN ATS ....IMNHO 


    Wolverines have looked very overrated 
    Beating a Florida team with no Offense and a load of suspensions .. Lets be honest Cincinnati and Air Force are in rebuild modes and are taking a step back this season ( even if the Bearcats stole one from Miami Ohio)...




    I AM BETTING just $20-40 on PURDUE ML on PRINCIPAL alone .....


    THAT Being said Michigan could win by 20+ 






    IS ANYONE BETTING PURDUE with the Points or ML ?????




    IS THIS A BIG TRAP >>>??????????????????????





    BEST OF HEALTH, HAPPINESS,WEALTH, BLESSINGS and LUCK TO ALL !!
    Reply
    To remove first post, remove entire topic.
    Whats Up Brothers ????



    Guessed this line would be around 14-16.5 Points ...

    Even at 14 I thought Books would get a large amount of Michigan money ...


    Currently at -9.5 it should be safe to assume 90%+ of the money if not more is/will be ON MICHIGAN ATS ....IMNHO 


    Wolverines have looked very overrated 
    Beating a Florida team with no Offense and a load of suspensions .. Lets be honest Cincinnati and Air Force are in rebuild modes and are taking a step back this season ( even if the Bearcats stole one from Miami Ohio)...




    I AM BETTING just $20-40 on PURDUE ML on PRINCIPAL alone .....


    THAT Being said Michigan could win by 20+ 






    IS ANYONE BETTING PURDUE with the Points or ML ?????




    IS THIS A BIG TRAP >>>??????????????????????





     
    scalabrine
    scalabrine
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    Posted: Sep. 17, 2017 - 10:44 PM ET #2

    Purdue has something they haven't had in half a decade Double:

    Confidence.

    And that matters. Because Purdue (last year's Penn State Second half being a prime example) is one of if not the biggest 'throw in the towel team' in the entire FBS, and most certainly among major conferences (tied with Rutgers). 

    They throw in the towel...no more. And that leads to a very scary number here.
    Reply
    Purdue has something they haven't had in half a decade Double:

    Confidence.

    And that matters. Because Purdue (last year's Penn State Second half being a prime example) is one of if not the biggest 'throw in the towel team' in the entire FBS, and most certainly among major conferences (tied with Rutgers). 

    They throw in the towel...no more. And that leads to a very scary number here.
     
    hornedtoad
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    Posted: Sep. 17, 2017 - 10:45 PM ET #3

    I'm hoping the line gets to 13-14...no respect for Purdue after a really solid start to the season. I think they come out fired up at home and make this a close one. Haven't been impressed with Michigan at all this year.
    Reply
    I'm hoping the line gets to 13-14...no respect for Purdue after a really solid start to the season. I think they come out fired up at home and make this a close one. Haven't been impressed with Michigan at all this year.
     
    clubtnt
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    Posted: Sep. 17, 2017 - 10:57 PM ET #4

    I'm taking purdue ML. won't need the points.
    Reply
    I'm taking purdue ML. won't need the points.
     
    undermysac
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    Posted: Sep. 17, 2017 - 10:58 PM ET #5

    52% of the tickets currently on Purdue
    Reply
    52% of the tickets currently on Purdue
     
    hornedtoad
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    Posted: Sep. 17, 2017 - 11:00 PM ET #6

    Is there any way this line creeps up to 13?
    Reply
    Is there any way this line creeps up to 13?
     
    Laroja
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    Posted: Sep. 17, 2017 - 11:07 PM ET #7

    Quote Originally Posted by hornedtoad:

    Is there any way this line creeps up to 13?

    I honestly think it will go the other way. I wouldn't be shocked if we see 7.5/8 near kick off.
    Reply
    Quote Originally Posted by hornedtoad:

    Is there any way this line creeps up to 13?

    I honestly think it will go the other way. I wouldn't be shocked if we see 7.5/8 near kick off.
     
    UNIMAN
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    Posted: Sep. 17, 2017 - 11:10 PM ET #8

    Thinking the line will go up. Maybe +12.
    Trap?, don't really believe in trap games.
    Rather, Michigan should beat this team by two scores EXCEPT, Purdue has played better than expected. Michigan has played worse than expected.

    In Purdue's favor;

    1. A road game for Michigan and UM plays better at home.

    2. Michigan just played the triple option, they spent a lot of time on Air Forces option attack. Even last spring in Italy they were practicing against it. They just got through it. A letdown now, maybe on defense?

    3. Purdue has big time confidence now. They start the first halfs strong. Michigan appears to start slow. An early Purdue lead puts the pressure on the Wolverines. Hmm, maybe halftime bet on Purdue?

    4. Purdue spreads the ball out. Several players touch the ball, no real go-to guys to shutdown.

    5. Michigan QB shaky. Disrupt him early and keep doubt in his mind.

    6. How is Ty Issac, RB for Michigan? Looked like rib injury on Saturday. Harbaugh will not say anything. If he is out, big +.

    In Michigan's favor;

    1. Attacking, suffocating defense. Disrupt Purdue's timing. Cannot know defensive true alignment until the snap. Big advantage vs this type of offense.

    2. Physicality. Bigger, stronger, wear them down.

    3. Poor offensive performance last two means more focus in practice this week. Need to get better. No big heads in this group.

    4. Purdue not very good with long throws, most underneath. Tight man to man will make it tough on WR's for Purdue.

    5. Defense creates turnovers.


    This game really depends on how Michigan's offense responds.


    Reply
    Thinking the line will go up. Maybe +12.
    Trap?, don't really believe in trap games.
    Rather, Michigan should beat this team by two scores EXCEPT, Purdue has played better than expected. Michigan has played worse than expected.

    In Purdue's favor;

    1. A road game for Michigan and UM plays better at home.

    2. Michigan just played the triple option, they spent a lot of time on Air Forces option attack. Even last spring in Italy they were practicing against it. They just got through it. A letdown now, maybe on defense?

    3. Purdue has big time confidence now. They start the first halfs strong. Michigan appears to start slow. An early Purdue lead puts the pressure on the Wolverines. Hmm, maybe halftime bet on Purdue?

    4. Purdue spreads the ball out. Several players touch the ball, no real go-to guys to shutdown.

    5. Michigan QB shaky. Disrupt him early and keep doubt in his mind.

    6. How is Ty Issac, RB for Michigan? Looked like rib injury on Saturday. Harbaugh will not say anything. If he is out, big +.

    In Michigan's favor;

    1. Attacking, suffocating defense. Disrupt Purdue's timing. Cannot know defensive true alignment until the snap. Big advantage vs this type of offense.

    2. Physicality. Bigger, stronger, wear them down.

    3. Poor offensive performance last two means more focus in practice this week. Need to get better. No big heads in this group.

    4. Purdue not very good with long throws, most underneath. Tight man to man will make it tough on WR's for Purdue.

    5. Defense creates turnovers.


    This game really depends on how Michigan's offense responds.


     
    ER1C
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    Posted: Sep. 17, 2017 - 11:17 PM ET #9

    I'll go with the ML. I think the line will come down to like 7.5. Purdue is the best team on Michigan's schechdule so far. Even if Michigan defense is so good Purdue can score a couple td's and get this one
    Reply
    I'll go with the ML. I think the line will come down to like 7.5. Purdue is the best team on Michigan's schechdule so far. Even if Michigan defense is so good Purdue can score a couple td's and get this one
     
    ER1C
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    Posted: Sep. 17, 2017 - 11:19 PM ET #10

    1H Purdue sounds good too
    Reply
    1H Purdue sounds good too
     
    DoubleUp4Life
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    Posted: Sep. 17, 2017 - 11:31 PM ET #11

    Quote Originally Posted by undermysac:

    52% of the tickets currently on Purdue



    Thats the Problem Brother 


    I NEVER BELIEVE the Fake Numbers they put out there 


    Every Joe ,Mike,Steve, Jose, Man - Man etc ... are going to PUND MICHIGAN ....based on their RANK ALONE 



    Of Course I could be awful wrong 

    Maybe there will be enough Purdue money to offset , but I doubt it 



    Jim Harbaugh is a great coach and should have his boys fired up for the B1G opener ... Especially with Purdue playing out of their minds ( based on LY) 





    I AM RARELY A FADE THE PUBLIC GUY

    or allow the odds makers to play mind games with line movement or set numbers ....





    HOWEVER ,THIS STINKS WORSE THAN A FULL TUNA BOAT LOST AT SEA 
    BEST OF HEALTH, HAPPINESS,WEALTH, BLESSINGS and LUCK TO ALL !!
    Reply
    Quote Originally Posted by undermysac:

    52% of the tickets currently on Purdue



    Thats the Problem Brother 


    I NEVER BELIEVE the Fake Numbers they put out there 


    Every Joe ,Mike,Steve, Jose, Man - Man etc ... are going to PUND MICHIGAN ....based on their RANK ALONE 



    Of Course I could be awful wrong 

    Maybe there will be enough Purdue money to offset , but I doubt it 



    Jim Harbaugh is a great coach and should have his boys fired up for the B1G opener ... Especially with Purdue playing out of their minds ( based on LY) 





    I AM RARELY A FADE THE PUBLIC GUY

    or allow the odds makers to play mind games with line movement or set numbers ....





    HOWEVER ,THIS STINKS WORSE THAN A FULL TUNA BOAT LOST AT SEA 
     
    DoubleUp4Life
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    Posted: Sep. 17, 2017 - 11:33 PM ET #12

    Quote Originally Posted by hornedtoad:

    Is there any way this line creeps up to 13?


    YES 

    Wondering if it hits 14 



    or I could be way off 


    ODDS MAKERS ARE MASTER TRICKSTERS 
    BEST OF HEALTH, HAPPINESS,WEALTH, BLESSINGS and LUCK TO ALL !!
    Reply
    Quote Originally Posted by hornedtoad:

    Is there any way this line creeps up to 13?


    YES 

    Wondering if it hits 14 



    or I could be way off 


    ODDS MAKERS ARE MASTER TRICKSTERS 
     
    THEMUGG
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    Posted: Sep. 17, 2017 - 11:41 PM ET #13

     Believe what you see, bro.
    Reply
     Believe what you see, bro.
     
    DoubleUp4Life
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    Posted: Sep. 17, 2017 - 11:43 PM ET #14

    Quote Originally Posted by Laroja:


    I honestly think it will go the other way. I wouldn't be shocked if we see 7.5/8 near kick off.


    I would be shocked if the line hits 7



    I dont see a Huge difference in 7.5-9.5 



    But maybe the possible ML dog bets the house is taking on Purdue will keep this line 10 or less 




    Lines have been all over the place this season    UP / DOWN / UP / DOWN 


    ....Glad I put most of my Bets in before the first kickoff 



    BEST OF LUCK THIS WEEK BROTHER  





    BEST OF HEALTH, HAPPINESS,WEALTH, BLESSINGS and LUCK TO ALL !!
    Reply
    Quote Originally Posted by Laroja:


    I honestly think it will go the other way. I wouldn't be shocked if we see 7.5/8 near kick off.


    I would be shocked if the line hits 7



    I dont see a Huge difference in 7.5-9.5 



    But maybe the possible ML dog bets the house is taking on Purdue will keep this line 10 or less 




    Lines have been all over the place this season    UP / DOWN / UP / DOWN 


    ....Glad I put most of my Bets in before the first kickoff 



    BEST OF LUCK THIS WEEK BROTHER  





     
    mbialowas
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    Posted: Sep. 17, 2017 - 11:44 PM ET #15

    Something fishy about this line. Michigan has a breakout game, they win by 24
    Reply
    Something fishy about this line. Michigan has a breakout game, they win by 24
     
    Win4Ever
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    Posted: Sep. 17, 2017 - 11:47 PM ET #16

    Purdue ML play was last week. That was a gift from oddsmakers. Missouri fresh off canning defensive coordinator and not showing they can play a lick of D shouldn't of been a TD + fav. Michigan's defense is lights out. They held Air Force option in check. One deep pass got over them. But otherwise they played extremely stout. Purdue is going to see a very feisty defense.
    Reply
    Purdue ML play was last week. That was a gift from oddsmakers. Missouri fresh off canning defensive coordinator and not showing they can play a lick of D shouldn't of been a TD + fav. Michigan's defense is lights out. They held Air Force option in check. One deep pass got over them. But otherwise they played extremely stout. Purdue is going to see a very feisty defense.
     
    DevinnE
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    Posted: Sep. 17, 2017 - 11:52 PM ET #17

    This smells like a Michigan 27-24 win....And you gotta board that Tuna boat, make your way below decks, to check the score....If that Michigan QB gets a wiff of the Tuna boat and has a bad day, Purdue might sneak a win....
    Devinne
    Reply
    This smells like a Michigan 27-24 win....And you gotta board that Tuna boat, make your way below decks, to check the score....If that Michigan QB gets a wiff of the Tuna boat and has a bad day, Purdue might sneak a win....
     
    DoubleUp4Life
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    Posted: Sep. 18, 2017 - 1:23 AM ET #18

    Quote Originally Posted by scalabrine:

    Purdue has something they haven't had in half a decade Double:

    Confidence.

    And that matters. Because Purdue (last year's Penn State Second half being a prime example) is one of if not the biggest 'throw in the towel team' in the entire FBS, and most certainly among major conferences (tied with Rutgers). 

    They throw in the towel...no more. And that leads to a very scary number here.


    The B1G has some schools that look loaded with Dog Value this season 
    = MARYLAND/PURDUE/MICHIGAN ST/ IOWA ????



    Maybe these schools are all of a sudden real close to the usual Powers .....

    Could be real hard for this conference to get a spot in the Playoff this season .....so many possible land mines 


    EXCELLENT WORK ON THE PROSPECT OF YOUR PURDUE SEASON WINS WAGER 

    BEST OF HEALTH, HAPPINESS,WEALTH, BLESSINGS and LUCK TO ALL !!
    Reply
    Quote Originally Posted by scalabrine:

    Purdue has something they haven't had in half a decade Double:

    Confidence.

    And that matters. Because Purdue (last year's Penn State Second half being a prime example) is one of if not the biggest 'throw in the towel team' in the entire FBS, and most certainly among major conferences (tied with Rutgers). 

    They throw in the towel...no more. And that leads to a very scary number here.


    The B1G has some schools that look loaded with Dog Value this season 
    = MARYLAND/PURDUE/MICHIGAN ST/ IOWA ????



    Maybe these schools are all of a sudden real close to the usual Powers .....

    Could be real hard for this conference to get a spot in the Playoff this season .....so many possible land mines 


    EXCELLENT WORK ON THE PROSPECT OF YOUR PURDUE SEASON WINS WAGER 

     
    UNIMAN
    UNIMAN
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    Posted: Sep. 18, 2017 - 1:48 PM ET #19

    Michigan's freshman WR Tarik Black out with broken foot.
    Reply
    Michigan's freshman WR Tarik Black out with broken foot.
     
    StumpTownStu
    StumpTownStu
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    Posted: Sep. 18, 2017 - 2:49 PM ET #20

    Brotha Dub, I can't even call 9.5 a trap line. I think it's a very valid and fair line based on what we've seen from thess two teams. I won't go into details because they've all been covered beautifully in this thread, including by you. And while Michigan could quite possibly cover this spread by a mile, this is a no-bet spot or a spot to take the points and/or sprinkle a little bit on Purdue ML. Shot out to Scal whose expert analysis of Purdue has already come to fruition.
    R.I.P. #94 MARSHAWN KNEELAND - DC4L
    Reply
    Brotha Dub, I can't even call 9.5 a trap line. I think it's a very valid and fair line based on what we've seen from thess two teams. I won't go into details because they've all been covered beautifully in this thread, including by you. And while Michigan could quite possibly cover this spread by a mile, this is a no-bet spot or a spot to take the points and/or sprinkle a little bit on Purdue ML. Shot out to Scal whose expert analysis of Purdue has already come to fruition.
     
    AtlantaGambler
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    Posts: 1936
    Posted: Sep. 18, 2017 - 3:29 PM ET #21

    I am taking Purdue.  The look good, Michigan struggled with Air Force.

    Best of luck to all
    Reply
    I am taking Purdue.  The look good, Michigan struggled with Air Force.

    Best of luck to all
     
    GothamRay
    GothamRay
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    Posted: Sep. 18, 2017 - 3:29 PM ET #22

    Quote Originally Posted by UNIMAN:

    Michigan's freshman WR Tarik Black out with broken foot.

    This will have a big impact on Michigan moving forward, beginning this weekend at Purdue. WR Peoples-Jones stepped-up against Air Force but with RB Isaac questionable and QB Speight more than unreliable, another unsatisfactory offensive outing could be on the horizon for UM.
    Reply
    Quote Originally Posted by UNIMAN:

    Michigan's freshman WR Tarik Black out with broken foot.

    This will have a big impact on Michigan moving forward, beginning this weekend at Purdue. WR Peoples-Jones stepped-up against Air Force but with RB Isaac questionable and QB Speight more than unreliable, another unsatisfactory offensive outing could be on the horizon for UM.
     
    Foam-Hands84
    Foam-Hands84
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    Posted: Sep. 18, 2017 - 3:53 PM ET #23

    I'm on Michigan here... Trap or not.
    People said Pats were a trap yesterday, sometimes the team with 70% of the bets wins
    Reply
    I'm on Michigan here... Trap or not.
    People said Pats were a trap yesterday, sometimes the team with 70% of the bets wins
     
    Tappy
    Tappy
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    Posted: Sep. 18, 2017 - 4:06 PM ET #24

    I watched Purdue dismantle a good Missouri team, terrible defense, but great QB. They have been impressive. I watched Michigan struggle against Florida and Air Force. Purdue + is my biggest bet of the year.
    Reply
    I watched Purdue dismantle a good Missouri team, terrible defense, but great QB. They have been impressive. I watched Michigan struggle against Florida and Air Force. Purdue + is my biggest bet of the year.
     
     
    Foam-Hands84
    Foam-Hands84
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    Posts: 319
    Posted: Sep. 18, 2017 - 5:22 PM ET #25

    Quote Originally Posted by Tappy:

    I watched Purdue dismantle a good Missouri team, terrible defense, but great QB. They have been impressive. I watched Michigan struggle against Florida and Air Force. Purdue + is my biggest bet of the year.


    Mizzou is  "good team"?

    They opened up allowing 43 to FCS Missouri State. Sure Lock shredded the offensively, but it literally meant nothing.

    They allowed 31 to SC, while scoring a single TD with Lock completing 43% with 2 picks.

    Lock again was 42% against Purdue with 0 TD, 2 INT
    Mizzou's offense is atrocious, Lock has been very poor, and they're giving up an average of 36 PPG


    Reply
    Quote Originally Posted by Tappy:

    I watched Purdue dismantle a good Missouri team, terrible defense, but great QB. They have been impressive. I watched Michigan struggle against Florida and Air Force. Purdue + is my biggest bet of the year.


    Mizzou is  "good team"?

    They opened up allowing 43 to FCS Missouri State. Sure Lock shredded the offensively, but it literally meant nothing.

    They allowed 31 to SC, while scoring a single TD with Lock completing 43% with 2 picks.

    Lock again was 42% against Purdue with 0 TD, 2 INT
    Mizzou's offense is atrocious, Lock has been very poor, and they're giving up an average of 36 PPG


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