Not trying to argue with you man
Just trying to say that just because the line is set low, doesn't necessarily mean it's going to be close. The talent level between Bama and Ark are not close IMO ! Thats why I used NEB and WASH as an example.
Before the season started I didn't think there would be many good opportunites to bet Bama because, coming off a national championship season, I thought Vegas would suck the life out of almost every one of their lines. At this point I couldn't have been more wrong about that.
So far the lines have pretty much been gimmes. I thought the SJST line was very sharp when it was sitting at 40, and I was going to lay off. But when it dropped to the magical 37.5 I was all over it. The Penn State and Duke lines were both gimmes as is the Arky line. I would set the Arky line at -16.5 (I was expecting -10). I'm not complaining. I just hope Vegas keeps up the good work. 
South Carolina sets up for a classic fade opportunity for many reasons. First, let's assume arguendo that Bama beats Arky and Florida (which I think they will do). After a very emotional win over the Gators at home, Bama will have to travel to Columbia in classic let down spot to face a very confident South Carolina team that will have had 2 weeks to prepare for them. USCe will be very confident IMO because they played the Tide very tough in Bryant-Denny last season (and because I think they'll be coming off of a big conference win over Auburn).
South Carolina also poses problems because, unlike Arky, they have a balanced offense with two huge 6'4" wide recievers in Jeffery and Moore that will pose matchup problems for Bama's secondary. USCe also has a very stout defense to keep this one close. I think you'll see a very close ballgame in Columbia in 3 weeks, and I wouldn't be shocked to see the Cocks win that game outright. Would it be wrong for me to say "I like Cocks?" 
speaking of.....
I'm sorry, I never really answered your question did I?
I have to think that public pressure will push the line above 7 before kickoff. I doubt it'll get above 8 though.
Before the season started I didn't think there would be many good opportunites to bet Bama because, coming off a national championship season, I thought Vegas would suck the life out of almost every one of their lines. At this point I couldn't have been more wrong about that.
So far the lines have pretty much been gimmes. I thought the SJST line was very sharp when it was sitting at 40, and I was going to lay off. But when it dropped to the magical 37.5 I was all over it. The Penn State and Duke lines were both gimmes as is the Arky line. I would set the Arky line at -16.5 (I was expecting -10). I'm not complaining. I just hope Vegas keeps up the good work.
South Carolina sets up for a classic fade opportunity for many reasons. First, let's assume arguendo that Bama beats Arky and Florida (which I think they will do). After a very emotional win over the Gators at home, Bama will have to travel to Columbia in classic let down spot to face a very confident South Carolina team that will have had 2 weeks to prepare for them. USCe will be very confident IMO because they played the Tide very tough in Bryant-Denny last season (and because I think they'll be coming off of a big conference win over Auburn).
South Carolina also poses problems because, unlike Arky, they have a balanced offense with two huge 6'4" wide recievers in Jeffery and Moore that will pose matchup problems for Bama's secondary. USCe also has a very stout defense to keep this one close. I think you'll see a very close ballgame in Columbia in 3 weeks, and I wouldn't be shocked to see the Cocks win that game outright. Would it be wrong for me to say "I like Cocks?"
I think you are right on the most likely, 'let down game.’. I could see Alabama take the field somewhat ‘flat.’. If Alabama is lackadaisical in Columbia that will likely lead to SC shutting down Mark and Trent, Alabama’s running game; This because Alabama's offensive line would not be able to create enough push and SC's defense and the SC Defense will be flying around the ball.
HOWEVER, the biggest difference between this team and last year’s team is Alabama's versatility on offense. Even if South Carolina is flying around the ball and shutting down the running game, Alabama will go to the 5 wide set. They will dink and dunk the football up the field like we saw vs. Duke and Penn St. Greg M has improved immensely. This WILL be the quick remedy if the Alabama coaches think their players and oline are playing uninspired football, at least the remedy offensively.
Hey, me too - I'd take Bama at -13.5 without a second thought. If you think this game is a "trap", you simply haven't been paying attention.
The oddsmaker has already set three really bad (or "trap") lines that Alabama has easily covered. When you consider the lines for Bama's previous games this year as well as this week's line, you have to conclude that the oddsmaker is severely underrating the reigning national champion. And if you don't think you can outsmart the oddsmaker, you shouldn't be betting.
Bama is the play.
I think you are right on the most likely, 'let down game.’. I could see Alabama take the field somewhat ‘flat.’. If Alabama is lackadaisical in Columbia that will likely lead to SC shutting down Mark and Trent, Alabama’s running game; This because Alabama's offensive line would not be able to create enough push and SC's defense and the SC Defense will be flying around the ball.
HOWEVER, the biggest difference between this team and last year’s team is Alabama's versatility on offense. Even if South Carolina is flying around the ball and shutting down the running game, Alabama will go to the 5 wide set. They will dink and dunk the football up the field like we saw vs. Duke and Penn St. Greg M has improved immensely. This WILL be the quick remedy if the Alabama coaches think their players and oline are playing uninspired football, at least the remedy offensively.
I agree with you 100%. The biggest difference between last year's team and this one is that this year the offense can bail out the defense if needed, and they may very well have to do that a time or two. The South Carolina game may be one of them.
Hey, idiot -- did Alabama cover the first three weeks? Also, do you know what quotation marks indicate? Obviously not, so I'll explain it to you. They indicate that you are using someone else's words. I don't think the lines on Bama's earlier games were traps, but using the language of the OP and using his reasoning, one would have to conclude that the lines on Bama's first three games were also "trap" lines. Get it now? Probably not.
Your joking right? Alabama is by far the best offense in the SEC, and tops in the country
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