Posted:
#451
Quote Originally Posted by Guavajelly:
Like I said I took it...cant I just vent my frustration ?Lol. Jesus
Frustration about what lol the system is up money at this point.
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2018 Bowl Under system... 37 - 3 in 2017... Lets Do it Again!
Posted:
#453
Quote Originally Posted by Ankrumfishing:
He's just saying he's going against everything he thinks, but still went with the system. Goddamn guys chill out lol, he not talking about your momma.
The point is 45k page views ago i said positive karma... Then 2 clowns came in here on the first day trying to blow it up... Ill say it again - many plays that go into,2nd half are close ur eyes plays... No need to question 2nd half lines they are there for a reason
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Posted:
#454
I think what makes the system nerve racking at times is simply unders are not "fun" to bet. Most of the time I end of watching the clock. Overs have an inherent "fun" factor as they can win early and regardless of the score there is always a chance it can go over.
I remmber a bad beat in a SB between Giants and Ravens...under looking great as the 3Q is nearing an end...then in 3 plays there were 3 TDs (Pick 6 and 2 KOs)
In the end this system is simply a series of 50/50 bets. Laws of probability, regression to the means will likely keep the system close to even.
Maybe there is a slighlty better than 50/50 because the system is taking advantage of two things. The fact that bettors prefer to bet overs and the long layoff for bowls seems to favor the defenses. (offenses seem to be stagnant with too much time plus a a defense can game plan an offense. i.e. the triple option less effective when a defense has a month to prepare.
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Posted:
#455
Quote Originally Posted by Roggs05:
QUOTE Originally Posted by Ankrumfishing: He's just saying he's going against everything he thinks, but still went with the system. Goddamn guys chill out lol, he not talking about your momma. The point is 45k page views ago i said positive karma... Then 2 clowns came in here on the first day trying to blow it up... Ill say it again - many plays that go into,2nd half are close ur eyes plays... No need to question 2nd half lines they are there for a reason
QUOTE Originally Posted by Ankrumfishing: He's just saying he's going against everything he thinks, but still went with the system. Goddamn guys chill out lol, he not talking about your momma. The point is 45k page views ago i said positive karma... Then 2 clowns came in here on the first day trying to blow it up... Ill say it again - many plays that go into,2nd half are close ur eyes plays... No need to question 2nd half lines they are there for a reason
Trust me I understand, and I've read and followed every comment. I saw the clowns earlier, but he wasn't saying bad except it goes against everything he would have thought of but had to go with your system. Nothing negative, keep this streak rolling and I'm on it as well!!
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Posted:
#460
Quote Originally Posted by MrPidaso:
I think what makes the system nerve racking at times is simply unders are not "fun" to bet. Most of the time I end of watching the clock. Overs have an inherent "fun" factor as they can win early and regardless of the score there is always a chance it can go over.
I remmber a bad beat in a SB between Giants and Ravens...under looking great as the 3Q is nearing an end...then in 3 plays there were 3 TDs (Pick 6 and 2 KOs)
In the end this system is simply a series of 50/50 bets. Laws of probability, regression to the means will likely keep the system close to even.
Maybe there is a slighlty better than 50/50 because the system is taking advantage of two things. The fact that bettors prefer to bet overs and the long layoff for bowls seems to favor the defenses. (offenses seem to be stagnant with too much time plus a a defense can game plan an offense. i.e. the triple option less effective when a defense has a month to prepare.
Understand completely what ur saying... But over 10 years of stats theres more than 50 50 to it
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Posted:
#467
I have gone with this system since first game of bowl season and will continue to do so until the bitter end...its a freakin roller coaster but still been kinda fun. Like I said..i was just venting. Forgive me....i can't vent to my wife about crappy second half lines I only have this thread. Lol
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Posted:
#470
Quote Originally Posted by ROCKON:
Roggs thank you sir do we wait for the early game tomorrow the line us 25 1/2 and Iowa 22 1/2 locked in mizxou at 31
Roggs thank you sir do we wait for the early game tomorrow the line us 25 1/2 and Iowa 22 1/2 locked in mizxou at 31
Yes... No need to lock in any other lines than mizzou... Even if the other 3 go down it wont cross key numbers... Worth it to let it go up
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