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2018 Bowl Under system... 37 - 3 in 2017... Lets Do it Again!

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Posted: #426

Merry Christmas Roggs.  

Just to note since for folks who might not have been checking the thread due to Xmas my local is setting at U31 -113 1H on KSU/UCLA early this AM....looks like it is going to dip below 31 (key number) and there is a risk it could cross 30 (another key) so probably should lock this in if your following.

Roggs, what are your thoughts on Utah/WVirg 28.5 and NIll/Duke 23.5 regarding timing?  I understand NILL would be nice to get 24 but given the teams I'm doubting it goes that way.  On Utah it doesn't seem likely we will get to 30 and that hook could be important.

 

 
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Posted: #427
Jbone agree with both statements at this point...not much happened overnight

All three today locked in
Kstate under 32 first half
WVU under 28.5
Duke under 23.5

lets get it... and man o man that philly cover helped some people in the hilton contest last night... sitting in 9th still headed into final weekend...
 
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Posted: #428
And they were lucky to get that cover. Good luck to the unders today.

 
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Posted: #429
Quote Originally Posted by iceman52:

And they were lucky to get that cover. Good luck to the unders today.


was not happy about... it needed oakland as a lot of people near us in standings had philly
 
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Posted: #430

Quote Originally Posted by Roggs05:

Jbone agree with both statements at this point...not much happened overnightAll three today locked inKstate under 32 first halfWVU under 28.5Duke under 23.5lets get it... and man o man that philly cover helped some people in the hilton contest last night... sitting in 9th still headed into final weekend...

Hmm, ended up getting KSU/UCLA at 31.5 -108...I'll take that.

Good job and good luck on the contest, wish I could help u there but I quit capping NFL this year so would be of no help.  Hope you win that sucker.

 
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Posted: #431
Roggs - u31 in the UT/Mizzou game tomorrow ... UT without Warren and Carter at RB and their LT not playing. Another OL is questionable with injury. Buechele and Erlinger both not 100%. Mizzou offense isn't that potent and has to have cooled off from the late season winning streak. Have you locked in this game yet?
 
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Posted: #432
Winner first game awesome...!!!
 
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Posted: #433
Quote Originally Posted by JudgeBaylor:

Roggs - u31 in the UT/Mizzou game tomorrow ... UT without Warren and Carter at RB and their LT not playing. Another OL is questionable with injury. Buechele and Erlinger both not 100%. Mizzou offense isn't that potent and has to have cooled off from the late season winning streak. Have you locked in this game yet?

This thread was created for posts just like this... All have tons of stuff going on... Judgebaylor thank you - key number 31... Absolutely this game is now locked in

Mizzou under 31 tomorrow... Key line... Locked... 

Thanks bud
 
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Posted: #434
Was just checking my pinnacle and the duke game actually went up to 24, hopefully we don’t need that half point because I grabbed 23.5 as well. Best of luck going forward. 
 
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Posted: #435

Up to 24.5 now.  Will be interested how this one plays out, neither team offense very good nor explosive.  I actually have N.Ill defense ranked very high and think they should be favored by more than a FG. 

But haven't watched much of either team so not ready to bet the farm.

 
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Posted: #436
Quote Originally Posted by JBone_Texas:

Up to 24.5 now.  Will be interested how this one plays out, neither team offense very good nor explosive.  I actually have N.Ill defense ranked very high and think they should be favored by more than a FG. 

But haven't watched much of either team so not ready to bet the farm.


Insane mvmnt across insanley key lines... See how it plays out but the mac has always been the "fix" conference if there ever was one
 
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Posted: #437
Duke 24
KSU  32

 
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Posted: #438
Was there a fake punt from niu own endzone? Lolll 
 
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Posted: #439
So we got 23.5 most of us I assume.  Line went to 24.5. Let’s say score at the half is 24. What’s the play after that? 
Positive Thinking Movement
 
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Posted: #440
If it is over first half it will be because of that crazy 4th down play wow I guess he just wanted to take a chance nothing else was working.
 
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Posted: #441
Wulp on to the 2nd half... I promise you there wont be a single bowl day with 3 + games that all win the first half... Catch ya in 40 minutes
 
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Posted: #442
Under 24.5 2nd half 2xs duke
 
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Posted: #443

How the f is 2H line only 24.5? I hate this part of strategy I feel like I'm throwing $ out the window. This has loser written all over it.  I'm in this deep with strategy so I took it but I'm Def not feeling confident.  

 
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Posted: #444
My shitty local has it at 24.5 -130
 
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Posted: #445
Quote Originally Posted by Guavajelly:

How the f is 2H line only 24.5? I hate this part of strategy I feel like I'm throwing $ out the window. This has loser written all over it.  I'm in this deep with strategy so I took it but I'm Def not feeling confident.  


Lol this is why a lot of gamblers get smoked, thinking you’re smarter than the book. They put the number at 24.5 because that’s wheee it should be. They wouldn’t leave a liability out there if they think the line should be 31 or 35.
 
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Posted: #446
Quote Originally Posted by Guavajelly:

How the f is 2H line only 24.5? I hate this part of strategy I feel like I'm throwing $ out the window. This has loser written all over it.  I'm in this deep with strategy so I took it but I'm Def not feeling confident.  


Here's a thought, don't play it. 

Better yet if you feel so confident it's gonna lose then go the other way. Go with your gut. 
 
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Posted: #447
Quote Originally Posted by Guavajelly:

How the f is 2H line only 24.5? I hate this part of strategy I feel like I'm throwing $ out the window. This has loser written all over it.  I'm in this deep with strategy so I took it but I'm Def not feeling confident.  


The system is +money it is what it is relax... But ps go look at the scoring plays and a fake,punt from own territory... Marathon man... Where were u when we hit thr last 2?
 
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Posted: #448
Same 24.5 -130 lots of juice but its a done deal....Good luck and may the field goals be with us no touch downs no wammy.
 
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Posted: #449

I was about to place U24.5 -125 then my local line moved to U24 for an even bet, all over it!!!

 
 
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Posted: #450

Like I said I took it...cant I just vent my frustration ?Lol. Jesus

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