Posted:
#501
Quote Originally Posted by JBone_Texas:
Here is a quick run down: 17 Bowls played coming into today. 1H Unders are 8-8-1 (note in first 7 games it was 2-5, it has picked up steam though going 6-3-1 in last 10 and 4-1 in last 5). Of the 8 games that lost the 1H Under, the 2H Unders are 6-2. One of those losses was MTSU/Ark St, some people got the 1H line at 31.5 (it dropped to 30.5, some may have got it at 31) which was a winner as it landed 31. The other loss in the 2H was the Army/SDSU game, which was a 2H Under 24.5 and it was sitting at 21 pts with under a minute left Army with a 3rd and 17 or something with no timeouts and they converted and then got the TD, the 2 pt conversion, and finally a pick 6. But going with Roggs listed lines the math works out to. 1H 8 wins x 1.0 units - 1H 8 losses x 1.1 Units = -0.8 units (1 push = refund) 2H (6 wins x 2.0 units) - 2H (2 losses x 2.2 Units) = + 7.6 units Total: + 6.8 units That is assuming you bet all of them and kept good money management and also assuming you didn't try and get juice back on 1H losses. Check the math but I believe that is pretty accurate. Also if someone has all the 2H lines (even the ones not played with the system) I can look at the some general trends there.
Here is a quick run down: 17 Bowls played coming into today. 1H Unders are 8-8-1 (note in first 7 games it was 2-5, it has picked up steam though going 6-3-1 in last 10 and 4-1 in last 5). Of the 8 games that lost the 1H Under, the 2H Unders are 6-2. One of those losses was MTSU/Ark St, some people got the 1H line at 31.5 (it dropped to 30.5, some may have got it at 31) which was a winner as it landed 31. The other loss in the 2H was the Army/SDSU game, which was a 2H Under 24.5 and it was sitting at 21 pts with under a minute left Army with a 3rd and 17 or something with no timeouts and they converted and then got the TD, the 2 pt conversion, and finally a pick 6. But going with Roggs listed lines the math works out to. 1H 8 wins x 1.0 units - 1H 8 losses x 1.1 Units = -0.8 units (1 push = refund) 2H (6 wins x 2.0 units) - 2H (2 losses x 2.2 Units) = + 7.6 units Total: + 6.8 units That is assuming you bet all of them and kept good money management and also assuming you didn't try and get juice back on 1H losses. Check the math but I believe that is pretty accurate. Also if someone has all the 2H lines (even the ones not played with the system) I can look at the some general trends there.
Thanks for all that. My recollection is that last bowl season was heavily weighted toward the 2H unders, as well.
0
my book has the 2nd half at 23 now.
10-7 in the FSU/USM 2nd half with the 4th Q to go.
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