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    All Forums | College Football

    2018 Bowl Under system... 37 - 3 in 2017... Lets Do it Again!

    «First Previous 161718 ... 353637 Next Last»
    byharleyjames
    meeturmaker113
    Neef
    JBone_Texas
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    «First Previous 161718 ... 353637 Next Last»
     
    byharleyjames
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    Posted: Dec. 23, 2017 - 5:10 PM ET #376

    Just caught 24.5 on bovada
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    Just caught 24.5 on bovada
     
    meeturmaker113
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    Posted: Dec. 23, 2017 - 5:11 PM ET #377

    reloading 24.5 @ -120 close your eyes gents
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    reloading 24.5 @ -120 close your eyes gents
     
    Neef
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    Posted: Dec. 23, 2017 - 5:13 PM ET #378

    Quote Originally Posted by JBone_Texas:

    He posted Under 23 this AM when it hit 23.  So yes all the games are played, 23 is a key number so preceed at your own risk there.


    How is 23 a key number in football?? LMAO

    Everyone about to get burnt on this 2h under???
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    Quote Originally Posted by JBone_Texas:

    He posted Under 23 this AM when it hit 23.  So yes all the games are played, 23 is a key number so preceed at your own risk there.


    How is 23 a key number in football?? LMAO

    Everyone about to get burnt on this 2h under???
     
    JBone_Texas
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    Posted: Dec. 23, 2017 - 5:17 PM ET #379

    24 is still fine, the hook just makes 24 a winner 25 and 25.5 are pretty dead numbers (low probability).

    Just a thought in an effort to help those new to this system.  I got in midway to later in the bowl season last year.  That perspective helps some but you have to let it soak in that you are doing a system and commit yourself to play ALL the bowl games and be strict with your money management and the lines.  These half lines can move quickly and make the difference between a profit and a loss.  I would not recommend allowing yourself to think you have one particular game better capped than another.  That being the case don't vary from your preset limit amount and set that limit at something your comfortable risking should the system lose several in a row.  That is all easy to say and hear but very hard to do, stick with the discipline.  

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    24 is still fine, the hook just makes 24 a winner 25 and 25.5 are pretty dead numbers (low probability).

    Just a thought in an effort to help those new to this system.  I got in midway to later in the bowl season last year.  That perspective helps some but you have to let it soak in that you are doing a system and commit yourself to play ALL the bowl games and be strict with your money management and the lines.  These half lines can move quickly and make the difference between a profit and a loss.  I would not recommend allowing yourself to think you have one particular game better capped than another.  That being the case don't vary from your preset limit amount and set that limit at something your comfortable risking should the system lose several in a row.  That is all easy to say and hear but very hard to do, stick with the discipline.  

     
    JBone_Texas
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    Posted: Dec. 23, 2017 - 5:20 PM ET #380

    Quote Originally Posted by Neef:

    QUOTE Originally Posted by JBone_Texas: He posted Under 23 this AM when it hit 23.  So yes all the games are played, 23 is a key number so preceed at your own risk there. How is 23 a key number in football?? LMAOEveryone about to get burnt on this 2h under???

    For a halftime line, 13-10 ring a bell?

    And no one is getting burnt if they are using proper money management.

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    Quote Originally Posted by Neef:

    QUOTE Originally Posted by JBone_Texas: He posted Under 23 this AM when it hit 23.  So yes all the games are played, 23 is a key number so preceed at your own risk there. How is 23 a key number in football?? LMAOEveryone about to get burnt on this 2h under???

    For a halftime line, 13-10 ring a bell?

    And no one is getting burnt if they are using proper money management.

     
    Roggs05
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    Posted: Dec. 23, 2017 - 5:24 PM ET #381

    Quote Originally Posted by Neef:


    How is 23 a key number in football?? LMAO

    Everyone about to get burnt on this 2h under???

    Its a huge number man if half totals... 

    I will do a write up later tonight guys on how at halftime i decide to wait or lock in quickly... I will also document all the key numbers... But for halfs the keys are 21 23 24 27 28 30 31 34 35 and all the half points associated with those numbers
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    Quote Originally Posted by Neef:


    How is 23 a key number in football?? LMAO

    Everyone about to get burnt on this 2h under???

    Its a huge number man if half totals... 

    I will do a write up later tonight guys on how at halftime i decide to wait or lock in quickly... I will also document all the key numbers... But for halfs the keys are 21 23 24 27 28 30 31 34 35 and all the half points associated with those numbers
     
    byharleyjames
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    Posted: Dec. 23, 2017 - 5:32 PM ET #382

    2nd half is turning out nicely so far  .....tic toc
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    2nd half is turning out nicely so far  .....tic toc
     
    Hoyasaxa
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    Posted: Dec. 23, 2017 - 5:43 PM ET #383

    Like I said boys, buy low, sell high...going over the 2nd half was like buying Bitcoins last week...did any of you do that???

    I hope not but if you did, wait for another false rise and GTF out...

    you're welcome
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    Like I said boys, buy low, sell high...going over the 2nd half was like buying Bitcoins last week...did any of you do that???

    I hope not but if you did, wait for another false rise and GTF out...

    you're welcome
     
    JBone_Texas
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    Posted: Dec. 23, 2017 - 5:46 PM ET #384

    These big plays the Army D is giving up blow, but that did not help the SDSU defense.

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    These big plays the Army D is giving up blow, but that did not help the SDSU defense.

     
    meeturmaker113
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    Posted: Dec. 23, 2017 - 5:52 PM ET #385

    Army trying to get cute might cost us omg
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    Army trying to get cute might cost us omg
     
    meeturmaker113
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    Posted: Dec. 23, 2017 - 5:59 PM ET #386

    Huge interception in our favor! We’re back in business
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    Huge interception in our favor! We’re back in business
     
    byharleyjames
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    Posted: Dec. 23, 2017 - 6:00 PM ET #387

    Don't stop, believing...
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    Don't stop, believing...
     
    JBone_Texas
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    Posted: Dec. 23, 2017 - 6:11 PM ET #388

    Let's get a stop.  Kicking myself for not hedging and playing for the middle when there was a 14.5 equivalent 2H total live.  A 10 pt spread.

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    Let's get a stop.  Kicking myself for not hedging and playing for the middle when there was a 14.5 equivalent 2H total live.  A 10 pt spread.

     
    Guavajelly
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    Posted: Dec. 23, 2017 - 6:32 PM ET #389

    We're are f%%ked

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    We're are f%%ked

     
    meeturmaker113
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    Posted: Dec. 23, 2017 - 6:34 PM ET #390

    FU CK
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    FU CK
     
    Roggs05
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    Posted: Dec. 23, 2017 - 6:36 PM ET #391

    Tough beat there... Keep the marothon going... System 8 - 3 and down a little... 

    Sdsu running on 3 and 7 gettn it
    Army converts 2 and 17

    It happens... Insanely efficient on both sides on offense.
     
    Lets get this toledo game
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    Tough beat there... Keep the marothon going... System 8 - 3 and down a little... 

    Sdsu running on 3 and 7 gettn it
    Army converts 2 and 17

    It happens... Insanely efficient on both sides on offense.
     
    Lets get this toledo game
     
    FJA18925
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    Posted: Dec. 23, 2017 - 6:36 PM ET #392

    terrible by San Diego had Army 2nd and 17 a team who can't throw the ball and can't get 1 stop
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    terrible by San Diego had Army 2nd and 17 a team who can't throw the ball and can't get 1 stop
     
    KingRGIII
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    Posted: Dec. 23, 2017 - 6:38 PM ET #393

    This is a great game!!!! 
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    This is a great game!!!! 
     
    JBone_Texas
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    Posted: Dec. 23, 2017 - 6:38 PM ET #394

    Yeah thought it was over when they called that penalty on them, should have been.  Oh well, on to the next.

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    Yeah thought it was over when they called that penalty on them, should have been.  Oh well, on to the next.

     
    Snowcrete
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    Posted: Dec. 23, 2017 - 6:52 PM ET #395

    Gross, glad sdsu lost the game since those idiots couldn’t make a stop.
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    Gross, glad sdsu lost the game since those idiots couldn’t make a stop.
     
    Guavajelly
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    Posted: Dec. 23, 2017 - 7:19 PM ET #396

    Roggo its a little deceiving when u say 8-3. That implies a high winning percentage. The reality is that it's 8-9 If u break it down by units. 1 loss sets you back 3 wins. 

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    Roggo its a little deceiving when u say 8-3. That implies a high winning percentage. The reality is that it's 8-9 If u break it down by units. 1 loss sets you back 3 wins. 

     
    KingRGIII
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    Posted: Dec. 23, 2017 - 7:44 PM ET #397

    Quote Originally Posted by Guavajelly:

    Roggo its a little deceiving when u say 8-3. That implies a high winning percentage. The reality is that it's 8-9 If u break it down by units. 1 loss sets you back 3 wins. 


    It's not deceiving for anyone who used it last year or read the 15 pages of this thread. You lost both sides of the army game so you are now butthurt and feel the need to bring up something that has been discussed numerous times. 
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    Quote Originally Posted by Guavajelly:

    Roggo its a little deceiving when u say 8-3. That implies a high winning percentage. The reality is that it's 8-9 If u break it down by units. 1 loss sets you back 3 wins. 


    It's not deceiving for anyone who used it last year or read the 15 pages of this thread. You lost both sides of the army game so you are now butthurt and feel the need to bring up something that has been discussed numerous times. 
     
    Roggs05
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    Posted: Dec. 23, 2017 - 7:57 PM ET #398

    Quote Originally Posted by KingRGIII:


    It's not deceiving for anyone who used it last year or read the 15 pages of this thread. You lost both sides of the army game so you are now butthurt and feel the need to bring up something that has been discussed numerous times. 

    I was also very clear its down a little bit... And to be honest 80 percent of the people using it have a 9 - 2 record cuz i got a terrible line on mtsu and lost by a half... but I have stuck with 8 -3 for me
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    Quote Originally Posted by KingRGIII:


    It's not deceiving for anyone who used it last year or read the 15 pages of this thread. You lost both sides of the army game so you are now butthurt and feel the need to bring up something that has been discussed numerous times. 

    I was also very clear its down a little bit... And to be honest 80 percent of the people using it have a 9 - 2 record cuz i got a terrible line on mtsu and lost by a half... but I have stuck with 8 -3 for me
     
    garbagetime
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    Posted: Dec. 23, 2017 - 8:06 PM ET #399

    I made the same comment earlier, to be fair...the system itself is deceptive, so long as you bear in mind that you need to hit three out of four, better than3/4 to profit. (I’m not taking part; am not butthurt; Just here because I’m interested, and am rooting for you guys). I still haven’t heard anybody give first vs second half figures, but it has seemed to me that the more profitable angle is second half unders after a high scoring first half.

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    I made the same comment earlier, to be fair...the system itself is deceptive, so long as you bear in mind that you need to hit three out of four, better than3/4 to profit. (I’m not taking part; am not butthurt; Just here because I’m interested, and am rooting for you guys). I still haven’t heard anybody give first vs second half figures, but it has seemed to me that the more profitable angle is second half unders after a high scoring first half.

     
     
    Roggs05
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    Posted: Dec. 23, 2017 - 8:18 PM ET #400

    Ok guys - have a little time to break this down for you... A lot of discussions have come around key numbers and what to do when system gets pushed to second half...I believe someone earlier today brought up how important half numbers can be etc... When the lines are released right at half its very fast moving... I am searching multiple places for best line and it can move in a heartbeat... By the time I come in here and post the line can switch very quickly so for the people who have been positive I want to share so they can literally do this themselves....  This also applies for locking some games the night before...So here we go...

    Key numbers are 21 24 27 28 30 31 34 35 and all there half points... so 21.5 24.5 etc...

    when a line is sitting in between 21 and 24... say like 22.5 or 23... or sitting between 31 and 34... like 32 or 33 those numbers are not key numbers... they are worth waiting to see if they can raise - no need to lock in immediately at half...

    Now any time a lines released like todays army line (yes we lost i know) but it was realeased at 24.5... it is immediatley locked in because even if it goes to 25 or 25.5 it does not matter... the risk of it going down is far greater than the value of it going up to non key numbers...

    Lets take the toledo game for example sitting at 31... locking in last night was way more valuable because if it goes to 32 or 33 it is meaningles... but we need to protect from going to 30.5 and losing on a 17 - 14 halftime score... look at the app state score right now sitting at 17 - two tds and it hits 31...

    So anytime a halftime line sits on those key numbers or at their halfs... lock it in... you will never see a halftime total move more than 1 point if they release a key number...

    Anytime you see a total released at 22 25 26 29 32 let it go and see what happens....

    So after typing all this and checking into tomorrows game I am locking fresno 1st half under at 24.5 -the game total would have to go up 5 points for it to even hit our next key number of 27... and that .5 hook is important

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    Ok guys - have a little time to break this down for you... A lot of discussions have come around key numbers and what to do when system gets pushed to second half...I believe someone earlier today brought up how important half numbers can be etc... When the lines are released right at half its very fast moving... I am searching multiple places for best line and it can move in a heartbeat... By the time I come in here and post the line can switch very quickly so for the people who have been positive I want to share so they can literally do this themselves....  This also applies for locking some games the night before...So here we go...

    Key numbers are 21 24 27 28 30 31 34 35 and all there half points... so 21.5 24.5 etc...

    when a line is sitting in between 21 and 24... say like 22.5 or 23... or sitting between 31 and 34... like 32 or 33 those numbers are not key numbers... they are worth waiting to see if they can raise - no need to lock in immediately at half...

    Now any time a lines released like todays army line (yes we lost i know) but it was realeased at 24.5... it is immediatley locked in because even if it goes to 25 or 25.5 it does not matter... the risk of it going down is far greater than the value of it going up to non key numbers...

    Lets take the toledo game for example sitting at 31... locking in last night was way more valuable because if it goes to 32 or 33 it is meaningles... but we need to protect from going to 30.5 and losing on a 17 - 14 halftime score... look at the app state score right now sitting at 17 - two tds and it hits 31...

    So anytime a halftime line sits on those key numbers or at their halfs... lock it in... you will never see a halftime total move more than 1 point if they release a key number...

    Anytime you see a total released at 22 25 26 29 32 let it go and see what happens....

    So after typing all this and checking into tomorrows game I am locking fresno 1st half under at 24.5 -the game total would have to go up 5 points for it to even hit our next key number of 27... and that .5 hook is important

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