flyer...
The Samford game...BetOnline did open it at +5.5 it stayed there for about three hours until BetCris opened it at +8 then it jumped to +8.
Usually there is a slow progression between the two lines, in this case one just jumped to the other...but just trying to clarify that the +5.5 and the +8 were both legitimate.
PB.
Beaver double check these, as I'm battling a head cold and taking numerous meds. I got alot of plays tonight, I did use the betonline numbers released at 2:49pm on 1/11/12. Double check ofcourse...
VCU (opened -15.5/ Kp -7) 
Purdue (opened -1/ Kp +4)
L. Tech (opened +2/ Kp +4)
ULL (opened -8/ Kp -5)
Detroit (opened pk/ Kp +3)
ULM (opened +2/ Kp +5)
Minny (opened +9.5/ Kp +14.5) (I really like IU tonight too)
Cal Poly (opened -7/ Kp -4)
LMU (opened -1/ Kp +1)
ASU (opened -1.5/ Kp +1)
Samford (opened +5.5/ Kp -10) (another play I hate)
Unc-Green (opened +13.5/ Kp +20)
N. Arizona (opened +6/ Kp +10)
Montana St (opened +13/ Kp +18)
Oral Roberts (opened -6/ Kp -2)
Checked the 65% about 15 mins ago, none are no plays that Im aware of. Double check my stuff fellas, all medicated up from this damn head cold.
Trying to help. Just wanted to add that I also have a system I use to filter plays. My system came up with 8 plays, but after filtering them I am only playing 2 of them. One of them just so happens to be LA Monroe. Hopefully, this is a strong play tonight with Beaver's system, your system and mine all on it. Good Luck!
Well, the KenPom numbers are a "power rating" and evidently a good set of numbers with the filters presently being applied by beaverfan.
One is getting results of over 4 wins - 3 losses in the long run (57% +)...
I want to see how my numbers perform over every ncaa bb for the next 30 days.... and see how they perform when there is a 3-point difference from the Vegas Line and also 7 points from the Vegas Line...
...but if my numbers are no good then I'm filtering out betting opportunities with a positive expectation.
I think that at this moment in time, Bobcat36 probably has given us the best advice on BOTH the "filtering" AND "wagering"
Beaverfan23 has also implemented his own filtering... he has expressed some concern about 15 games popping up at once...
...actually that many games is a good thing because at even 1/100th that advantage with 86 games popping out at you (@ -105 lines), one's bankroll would only need to be increased by just under 20% to avoid overbetting.
Assign Bobcat36's "1 unit" as 2% and one is way, way underbetting Kelly but maintaining safety and avoiding volatility associated with true kelly betting... and you can also bet a ton of games
Hope this helps
Trying to help. Just wanted to add that I also have a system I use to filter plays. My system came up with 8 plays, but after filtering them I am only playing 2 of them. One of them just so happens to be LA Monroe. Hopefully, this is a strong play tonight with Beaver's system, your system and mine all on it. Good Luck!
Well, I embedded my own message within the HTML "quote" tags but with a 0.01% edge @ -105 one could bet 86 games simultaneously and only need to increase one's bankroll by 20%
The rationale that you are adhering to was espoused by the late Huey Mahl & the late Billy "The Greek" Vassal in the mid-1980's in their "First Twenty" newsletters; to wit... would one rather bet 100 games @ 58% proficiency OR IN THE ALTERNATIVE 50 games @ 60% proficiency...
...using the Kelly rationale the case for safety was made for 50 games @ 60%.
Enter computer modeling and Pinnacle taking bets of up to $100,000 and the sharps moved in to make this an efficient market
That throws matters back towards 100 games @ 58% since you can enjoy the safety by reducing bet/wager size as a percentage of bankroll.
One's bankroll should ONLY BE what one can afford to lose, so who cares if 15 bets @ 2% wager size are out there... divide your bankroll into 2 or 3 portions if one is overly concerned... if you should lose half of your first bankroll, then replenish it with the second portion...
... I've made this a point of study for some years... let's not apply too many filters that are excluding bets of 54% basement.
I was TOTALLY SHOCKED when I discovered 86 games could go off all at once and my bank would only need to be increased by 20%
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