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    All Forums | College Basketball

    THATS IT! I AM BETTING WITH VEGAS! *MUST READ*

    «First Previous 123
    BET_TO_WIN
    sparty444
    K4ngur13
    TRAIN69
    PLAYAAAA1969
    ...
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    «First Previous 123
     
    BET_TO_WIN
    BET_TO_WIN
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    Posted: Feb. 2, 2011 - 10:56 PM ET #51

    Quote Originally Posted by sparty444:

    You have no idea how much is wagered on each side...you just have a percentage which are often very misleading.


    I dont use the percentages.

    Each team is in ranking order of MONEY WAGERED. Duke was #1 overall. If someone put 1million on them and there was 500,000 on Maryland, the percentages would be with Maryland but MONEY WAGERED is with Duke...
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    Quote Originally Posted by sparty444:

    You have no idea how much is wagered on each side...you just have a percentage which are often very misleading.


    I dont use the percentages.

    Each team is in ranking order of MONEY WAGERED. Duke was #1 overall. If someone put 1million on them and there was 500,000 on Maryland, the percentages would be with Maryland but MONEY WAGERED is with Duke...
     
    sparty444
    sparty444
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    Posted: Feb. 2, 2011 - 10:59 PM ET #52

    Have never heard of a website that gives amounts wagered...just percentages... link to site please
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    Have never heard of a website that gives amounts wagered...just percentages... link to site please
     
    K4ngur13
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    Posted: Feb. 2, 2011 - 11:37 PM ET #53

    There is no such information ... you can only get that in a weekly paper in vegas after the games are over ... 


    if for some reason you do have that information ... it is either false ... or from some low end website where people are making up numbers ... there is NO way you get legit numbers from Vegas Sports Books ....


    Quote Originally Posted by sparty444:

    Have never heard of a website that gives amounts wagered...just percentages... link to site please

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    There is no such information ... you can only get that in a weekly paper in vegas after the games are over ... 


    if for some reason you do have that information ... it is either false ... or from some low end website where people are making up numbers ... there is NO way you get legit numbers from Vegas Sports Books ....


    Quote Originally Posted by sparty444:

    Have never heard of a website that gives amounts wagered...just percentages... link to site please

     
    BET_TO_WIN
    BET_TO_WIN
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    Posted: Feb. 2, 2011 - 11:42 PM ET #54

    Quote Originally Posted by sparty444:

    Have never heard of a website that gives amounts wagered...just percentages... link to site please

    On Vegasinsider it states:


    Doesnt say anything about percentages. I dont need total figures, it lists the Top 10 for me.
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    Quote Originally Posted by sparty444:

    Have never heard of a website that gives amounts wagered...just percentages... link to site please

    On Vegasinsider it states:


    Doesnt say anything about percentages. I dont need total figures, it lists the Top 10 for me.
     
    BET_TO_WIN
    BET_TO_WIN
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    Posted: Feb. 2, 2011 - 11:43 PM ET #55

    "BETTING AMOUNT BASED ON TOTAL AMOUNT WAGERED PER BET TYPE AT SPORTSBOOK.COM"
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    "BETTING AMOUNT BASED ON TOTAL AMOUNT WAGERED PER BET TYPE AT SPORTSBOOK.COM"
     
    TRAIN69
    TRAIN69
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    Posted: Feb. 2, 2011 - 11:51 PM ET #56

    If you are gonna do this, you might want to post the plays before the games start......just my 2c

     

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    If you are gonna do this, you might want to post the plays before the games start......just my 2c

     

     
    BET_TO_WIN
    BET_TO_WIN
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    Posted: Feb. 2, 2011 - 11:59 PM ET #57

    Quote Originally Posted by TRAIN69:

    If you are gonna do this, you might want to post the plays before the games start......just my 2c

     


    I dont really need to post the plays, you can just take the plays from the website. I am just tracking the record. 

    Everyday at 6:45 go to the site, take a look at the top 10 trends, and fade away, its that simple.
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    Quote Originally Posted by TRAIN69:

    If you are gonna do this, you might want to post the plays before the games start......just my 2c

     


    I dont really need to post the plays, you can just take the plays from the website. I am just tracking the record. 

    Everyday at 6:45 go to the site, take a look at the top 10 trends, and fade away, its that simple.
     
    PLAYAAAA1969
    PLAYAAAA1969
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    Posted: Feb. 3, 2011 - 12:01 AM ET #58

    BOL with it..At worst 500 tonite...
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    BOL with it..At worst 500 tonite...
     
    BET_TO_WIN
    BET_TO_WIN
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    Posted: Feb. 3, 2011 - 12:06 AM ET #59

    Yeah .500 not bad.

    I will post tomorrows plays before 7PM 
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    Yeah .500 not bad.

    I will post tomorrows plays before 7PM 
     
    ChuckyCheez
    ChuckyCheez
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    Posted: Feb. 3, 2011 - 12:22 AM ET #60

    Well this certainly looks like an interesting trend to follow.  Please continue to post the plays.  Some of us do actually appreciate your efforts.  
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    Well this certainly looks like an interesting trend to follow.  Please continue to post the plays.  Some of us do actually appreciate your efforts.  
     
    BET_TO_WIN
    BET_TO_WIN
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    Posted: Feb. 3, 2011 - 12:26 AM ET #61

    RECORD AS OF 2/2/11:

    OVERALL 13-7 (65%)

    NBA 6-4 

    NCAA 7-3 

    __________________________

    Probably going to do away with the units for now, as it becomes tricky tracking a top 5 when sometimes only 7 plays fit into the top trends. Went 3-3 on the day, seeing that the Clippers are down 11 in the 4th and probably won't cover. Happy so far with the results, lets keep it up for Thursday. We had some SU underdog winners which is always nice to see.

    I will be posting the plays on Thursday between 6 EST and 645 EST. You can also go to vegasinsider.com and fade the Top 10 trends. 

    BOL to all on your Thursday wagers!
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    RECORD AS OF 2/2/11:

    OVERALL 13-7 (65%)

    NBA 6-4 

    NCAA 7-3 

    __________________________

    Probably going to do away with the units for now, as it becomes tricky tracking a top 5 when sometimes only 7 plays fit into the top trends. Went 3-3 on the day, seeing that the Clippers are down 11 in the 4th and probably won't cover. Happy so far with the results, lets keep it up for Thursday. We had some SU underdog winners which is always nice to see.

    I will be posting the plays on Thursday between 6 EST and 645 EST. You can also go to vegasinsider.com and fade the Top 10 trends. 

    BOL to all on your Thursday wagers!
     
    shiznit
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    Posted: Feb. 3, 2011 - 12:35 AM ET #62

    Any time 70% or more of the public is on a side.. BEWARE!
    Anytime 80% or more of the public is on a side... FADE FOR SURE..

    Look.. The public always loses over time.. ALWAYS.. If you want to make money you cant follow the hurd..

    Good luck my friend!  not a bad strategy.

     

    the shiz

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    Any time 70% or more of the public is on a side.. BEWARE!
    Anytime 80% or more of the public is on a side... FADE FOR SURE..

    Look.. The public always loses over time.. ALWAYS.. If you want to make money you cant follow the hurd..

    Good luck my friend!  not a bad strategy.

     

    the shiz

     
    BET_TO_WIN
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    Posted: Feb. 3, 2011 - 5:51 PM ET #63

    PLAYS FOR 2/3/2011

    Not many plays for today. Considering the Heat/Magic and Spurs/Lakers are both neck & neck it doesnt really warrant a play. (I would lean Magic & Spurs considering they both have less money played on them)

     If you noticed, Toledo was on top of the board around NOON, and they did lose, so if you played the system at NOON you would have been 1-0 already (Buffalo -19.5)... Anyway, going to try these plays:

    OHIO STATE -15.5

    DEPAUL +11

    STANFORD +3

    GOLDEN ST -6.5

    BOL on your plays!
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    PLAYS FOR 2/3/2011

    Not many plays for today. Considering the Heat/Magic and Spurs/Lakers are both neck & neck it doesnt really warrant a play. (I would lean Magic & Spurs considering they both have less money played on them)

     If you noticed, Toledo was on top of the board around NOON, and they did lose, so if you played the system at NOON you would have been 1-0 already (Buffalo -19.5)... Anyway, going to try these plays:

    OHIO STATE -15.5

    DEPAUL +11

    STANFORD +3

    GOLDEN ST -6.5

    BOL on your plays!
     
    datinhplay
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    Posted: Feb. 3, 2011 - 6:22 PM ET #64

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    dendogg55
    dendogg55
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    Posted: Feb. 3, 2011 - 6:28 PM ET #65


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    tooez
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    Posted: Feb. 3, 2011 - 6:31 PM ET #66

    I like Ohio State and Stanford

     GL tonight Bet To Win

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    I like Ohio State and Stanford

     GL tonight Bet To Win

     
    fishsticks
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    Posted: Feb. 3, 2011 - 6:33 PM ET #67

    Quote Originally Posted by sparty444:

    Isn't this like the 100th attempt at this system the past few weeks?

    I will ask you the same question I have asked many... how does what the public selects impact the result of a fair basketball game?

    Where you...me or anyone else puts their respective money is 1000% totally irrelevant in calculating the result.  What your doing is looking at data that has no connection to the result and are implying it does.

    The fade the public system is nothing more than a disagreement in the terms of value. Novice bettors tend to overvalue things such as record-name power and underestimate things such as look aheads and home court advantages.

    But basing selections off of percentages of wagers placed is pointless and ignorant.

     

     

    try a diffrent approach.  Nobody even listens to a word you say anymore.
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    Quote Originally Posted by sparty444:

    Isn't this like the 100th attempt at this system the past few weeks?

    I will ask you the same question I have asked many... how does what the public selects impact the result of a fair basketball game?

    Where you...me or anyone else puts their respective money is 1000% totally irrelevant in calculating the result.  What your doing is looking at data that has no connection to the result and are implying it does.

    The fade the public system is nothing more than a disagreement in the terms of value. Novice bettors tend to overvalue things such as record-name power and underestimate things such as look aheads and home court advantages.

    But basing selections off of percentages of wagers placed is pointless and ignorant.

     

     

    try a diffrent approach.  Nobody even listens to a word you say anymore.
     
    sparty444
    sparty444
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    Posted: Feb. 3, 2011 - 6:43 PM ET #68

    Why do you keep stalking me then?
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    Why do you keep stalking me then?
     
    BET_TO_WIN
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    Posted: Feb. 4, 2011 - 4:40 PM ET #69

    RECORD AS OF 2/3/11:

    OVERALL 13-11 (54%)

    NBA 6-5 

    NCAA 7-6 

    __________________________

    Todays Plays

    Bobcats +5.5
    Kings +4
    Wizards +5.5
    Hawks -7.5
    76ers -3.5
    Suns +2

    BOL all
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    RECORD AS OF 2/3/11:

    OVERALL 13-11 (54%)

    NBA 6-5 

    NCAA 7-6 

    __________________________

    Todays Plays

    Bobcats +5.5
    Kings +4
    Wizards +5.5
    Hawks -7.5
    76ers -3.5
    Suns +2

    BOL all
     
    bwcareer
    bwcareer
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    Posted: Feb. 4, 2011 - 11:48 PM ET #70

    The night I decide to give it a try this thing shits the bed. Nice. im an idiot.
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    The night I decide to give it a try this thing shits the bed. Nice. im an idiot.
     
    moneymaker14
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    Posted: Feb. 5, 2011 - 12:32 AM ET #71

    Quote Originally Posted by bwcareer:

    The night I decide to give it a try this thing shits the bed. Nice. im an idiot.
    Had to laugh at this one! 
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    Quote Originally Posted by bwcareer:

    The night I decide to give it a try this thing shits the bed. Nice. im an idiot.
    Had to laugh at this one! 
     
     
    anna31204
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    Posted: Feb. 5, 2011 - 4:23 PM ET #72

    bet to win,

     

    BOL today

    anna31204

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    bet to win,

     

    BOL today

    anna31204

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