Posted:
#1126
are you and degen using different systems?? just asking he as
umass -4
Ncaab ATS Streak Breakers for 2013/2014
Posted:
#1130
Quote Originally Posted by stevo1:
no Just playing 3-0 streaks to stop as that is the best % record to win at 61% and will monitor balance
no Just playing 3-0 streaks to stop as that is the best % record to win at 61% and will monitor balance
although will play Orlando in NBA to cover at record 2-0 to cover
and Philly and Milw to not cover and will parlay all together
for a small wager
Becareful with 3-0 Stevo. Last year was a lot lower than 61%.
Posted:
#1131
Plays t nite
Ncaab,,,,,or what ever covers shows PS at game time
727 RI +8.5
750 Akron -9.5
754 NC Wilm -4.5
756 Del -7
777 Fsu -1.5
NBA
Orlando +6 to cover with record to cover at 2-0
Passing Philly/Char due to both records at 0-4(11-18) vs 0-3 (24-28) 38% vs 46% although Charlotte does have a better cover record but far below my 60% cover wager requirement
713 Memphis due to 0-6 Milw to not cover at (7-4) 64% to not cover
Posted:
#1141
I went thru the top 44 ATS teams this year per covers rankings and
of the top 44 ATS there were ( 64 3-0 win streaks last year) and the split to not cover was just 30-34,,but you would expect the top ATS teams to have more 4-0's to 8-0's as they are the top ATS teams where more high streaks would occur and it took me over 2 hours to do just the first 44 teams
there has to be an easier way to find the answer
Posted:
#1145
Quote Originally Posted by stevo1:
that # looks way too low for 3-0's to stop as i'm already at 103-69 with a much better % to stop at 61%
that # looks way too low for 3-0's to stop as i'm already at 103-69 with a much better % to stop at 61%
I counted the chase stop at 5-6 games before the end of the regular season for each team and no tournament. Each year maybe different but I doubt it will stay at 60% rate when the season end. I got only 54% based on Covers results. That is why I said be careful with the system yesterday.
Posted:
#1146
Morn boys appears we made the right decision just playing 3-0 streaks as although it was a losing day with 3-0 streak teams at 2-3 we just lost 1 play and any juice
Miami
LaSalle
both did not cover
and yes the other 3 covered
Hofstra
Mia Oh
W&M
the 3-0 streak record to not cover now is 107-70 = 60%
Although Umass at 0-5 did not cover as expected and now is 0-6 and 0-5 streaks record is now 13-18 = 42 % to cover and if reverse to not cover its at 58% but below our % level at a min 60%
___________________________________
7-0 Xavier covered and did as expected and now is at 8-0 win streak
8-0 win streaks to cover are not good to cover at 3-1 to cover so we will await Xaviers next start on 1/20 vs Depaul on road
____________________________________
all 4 4-0's went to 5-0,, as expected a split to some degree and happy to pass those plays and to be honest the % to win was not good
the 4-0 record to not cover now is 33-29
Lets see what we have for today
Posted:
#1147
Streaks on tap today
0-10,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,(0-1) to cover your on your own
N Dakota
0-6,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,(5-8) to cover( 38%) to cover reverse 62% will play both to not cover
S Alabama
St Johns
0-5,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,(13-18) to cover (42%) to cover reverse 58%
will chance to not cover
Montana
Loy Marymount
0-4,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,(38-38) Odds makers can't do any better than this
Semo
Cal San Barbara
Cal Fullerton
0-3,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,(69-80) to cover 46% reverse 54%,Pass
Usc
Davis
IUPUI
Niagara
S Utah
________________________
Win Streaks
4-0,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,(33-29) to not cover (53%) Pass
Cal Northridge
Murray
N Arizona
Idaho St
3-0,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,(107-70) to not cover(60%) will play all 3 to not cover
Houston
Citadel
IPFW
Posted:
#1149
Plays today as streak system sees them
Louisville
Greensboro
Denver
all 3 are against 3-0 streak teams to cover
________________________________
0-5 Montana / 0-10 N Dakota,,,, N Dakota
needs the cover more but i'll PASS
________________________________
Will Play Portland to cover against 0-5 Loy Marymount
due to 0-5 streak record at 42 % to cover although not
at exactly +60%
_____________________________________
Providence
Ul Laffayette
going against both 0-6 teams to cover at 38%
Posted:
#1150
Since i'm pretty much done with today's plays and have some time i will do the reverse in trying to review the worst 44 ATS teams per covers to see how the 3-0 win streaks match up with the top 44 ATS teams i posted records about 30-34 to cover yest
See you in a couple hours
_____________________________________________
Page 1141
I went thru the top 44 ATS teams this year per covers rankings and
of the top 44 ATS there were ( 64 3-0 win streaks last year) and the split to not cover was just 30-34,,but you would expect the top ATS teams to have more 4-0's to 8-0's as they are the top ATS teams where more high streaks would occur and it took me over 2 hours to do just the first 44 teams
there has to be an easier way to find the answer
Surely Covers has these answers in their data Bank 
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