All Forums | College Basketball

Ncaab ATS Streak Breakers for 2013/2014

Participants:

Posts: 3174

stevo1

Captain

Joined: Oct, 2011

Posts: 6398

Posted: Dec. 25, 2013 - 1:29 PM ET #576

Ncaab Win Streaks to STOP 12/28

and later and awaiting what Hawaii does this evening

8-0 (2-0) There are no more 8-0 Pending streaks yet

This level looks very good to stop to date at (100%)

7-0 (1-2) We have two Teams,Unlv and Villanova

will both of these teams continue to 8-0 at 66%

6-0 (3-5) 4 Teams Butler,Colorado,ILL Chi 12/28 and

Wichita St 12/29 (6-0 area of concern to stop) as a

5-3 record to continue at 62.5% sure looks better

5-0 (3-12) There are no 5-0 streak teams as of today

and if there were we would play them to cover

due to curr record (3-12) to stop,along with past

Years records 2011,12, and 2013 record (12-3)

to continue to 6-0 at 70.5 %

4-0 (20-15) This streak level to stop is 57 % to stop

and we have 4 Teams at this level with pending

Utep and Harvard on 12/28,Usc 12/29, Rice 12/30

3-0 streak plays we just normally Monitor for future

but record lately has become interesting to stop as

odds makers no cover is (62-40) = 60.7 %

to stop teams at 3-0.We do have 12 Teams Pend

play with 2 on 12/28, Rd Island,and Loy Mrymt

with Canisius next on 12/29

stevo1

Captain

Joined: Oct, 2011

Posts: 6398

Posted: Dec. 25, 2013 - 1:49 PM ET #577

Mason Plays today at 0-5, if any interest 0-5 to cover is not good at 4-9 better play is they go to 0-6 with % at 69.3(see 05 below)

__________________________________

Ncaab LOSS STREAKS to stop 12/28 and future

0-8 No team has reached this level as of yet

0-7 (3-0) East ILL plays Tenn St who just lost on 12/21 after on a 3 0 win streak (if EIU has a chance to cover it could be 12/28

0-6 There are none on 12/28, but one on 12/29 North Dakota, and Pitt on 12/30

0-5 There are 4 Teams on 12/28 Col St,Bradly,Prov, Alab all

looking for a cover BUT 0-5 record says they all will not cover and go to 0-6 (0-5 record to cover is 4-9) a 30.7% to cover is not good but if we wager for them to not cover our odds become 69.3 %,How can we IGNORE this

0-4 3 teams at this level play 12/28 Furman, East Wash,Bost Coll, bal (4) play later, Siue plays next 12/29 (FYI)

0-4 record to cover is (21-19) Just 50-50 so wager as deem fit

0-3 3 Teams,play 12/28 Iona,TennTech,S Fla all looking to cover and the 0-3 record to cover is (45-47) since so close we pass unless you know these teams better than i. The other 6 play later in week Drake and Hartford are next on 12/29

This covers all the loss streaks on tap for 12/28

stevo1

Captain

Joined: Oct, 2011

Posts: 6398

Posted: Dec. 25, 2013 - 1:56 PM ET #578

Need to bring this over from prev page as very important

5-0 Streak Records to Stop 3-11 Odds makers having prob stopping 5-0 Streaks

0-5 Streak Plays to cover (4-9) Odds makers are not helping these teams enough,and we have six at this level pending

To me Level 5's are outstanding and all you need to do is play them to continue in reverse 20-7=74%

and from posts of previous years they are confirmed

letsbreakem

Rookie

Joined: Nov, 2006

Posts: 881

Posted: Dec. 25, 2013 - 2:12 PM ET #579

Hey Stevo1,

So for your Level 5 plays, you play on teams with 5 game winning streaks to cover the 6th game? Is that correct? I will be following this thread. Thanks for your hard work and Happy Holidays to you and your family.

letsbreakem

Rookie

Joined: Nov, 2006

Posts: 881

Posted: Dec. 25, 2013 - 2:18 PM ET #580

Oh another thing. When you say winning or losing streak, I'm taking it you mean a team covering or not covering consecutive games against the spread?

stevo1

Captain

Joined: Oct, 2011

Posts: 6398

Posted: Dec. 25, 2013 - 2:31 PM ET #581

Forgot to update these level 5's

5-0 Streak Records to Stop 3-12 Odds makers having prob stopping 5-0 Streaks

0-5 Streak Plays to cover (4-9) Odds makers are not helping these teams enough,and we have six at this level pending

To me Level 5's are outstanding and all you need to do is play them to continue in reverse 21-7=75%

and from posts of previous years they are confirmed

It appears Mason could not cover as game is going,although very early and if so we can add another win to the level 5's in the positive for odds makers as 0-5 to not cover will go to 4-10

St Marys up 31-26 giving +2

stevo1

Captain

Joined: Oct, 2011

Posts: 6398

Posted: Dec. 25, 2013 - 2:43 PM ET #582

Letsbreakem

You follow 5-0's to continue to 6-0 ,,,,,12-3

You follow 0-5's to continue to 0-6,,,,,,9-4

and very shortly Mason at 0-5 to 0-6,,,1-0

Odds makers job in stopping streaks 7-22 is very bad

but they make up a lot of the loss at level 6 = 6-9

and at level 7 even better at 4-2

What i think they do is intentionally not apply proper point spreads to get public interested in plays and wait for wagers to become large as public will pound big win streaks and fade big losing streaks and that is when they allow Vegas to win all its money

stevo1

Captain

Joined: Oct, 2011

Posts: 6398

Posted: Dec. 25, 2013 - 2:47 PM ET #583

2011 and 2012 records also also bear this out

Yes win and loss is same as covers and no covers

stevo1

Captain

Joined: Oct, 2011

Posts: 6398

Posted: Dec. 25, 2013 - 2:55 PM ET #584

I played mason to not cover and looking pretty good and that 500 i have on St Marys will def help me enjoy XMAS that much better

I like being my own Santa Claus

letsbreakem

Rookie

Joined: Nov, 2006

Posts: 881

Posted: Dec. 25, 2013 - 2:58 PM ET #585

Quote Originally Posted by stevo1:

Letsbreakem

You follow 5-0's to continue to 6-0 ,,,,,12-3

You follow 0-5's to continue to 0-6,,,,,,9-4

and very shortly Mason at 0-5 to 0-6,,,1-0

Odds makers job in stopping streaks 7-22 is very bad

but they make up a lot of the loss at level 6 = 6-9

and at level 7 even better at 4-2

Thanks for the clarification. Good luck on St Marys. Yeah any money around this time will definitely help! Hahah

stevo1

Captain

Joined: Oct, 2011

Posts: 6398

Posted: Dec. 25, 2013 - 3:04 PM ET #586

Damnn St Mary's coming back hope i did not jinx myself

stevo1

Captain

Joined: Oct, 2011

Posts: 6398

Posted: Dec. 25, 2013 - 3:05 PM ET #587

sorry meant Mason coming back

to much egg nog this early in am

stevo1

Captain

Joined: Oct, 2011

Posts: 6398

Posted: Dec. 25, 2013 - 3:55 PM ET #588

Mason covers

65-63 does not need the +2

St Mary's blows it on the free throw line missed at least 8 shots

What i have found is these tournament games do not play well for odds makers and think i may need to eliminate playing streak teams that take their Streaks into these type tournaments and just pass rather than play as i think odds makers do not get enough time to truly evaluate these games properly due to consecutive games are played back to back next day.

I will need to monitor these more closely as season progresses

stevo1

Captain

Joined: Oct, 2011

Posts: 6398

Posted: Dec. 25, 2013 - 4:07 PM ET #589

0-5 Streak record to Cover now is 5-9 Still a long way to go till odds makers correct this level and can only hope today was just a slip up that odds makers in some way got right.Otherwise my following record rather than System i could be in for a long season

Special thanks to St Mary's unable to make foul shots

stevo1

Captain

Joined: Oct, 2011

Posts: 6398

Posted: Dec. 25, 2013 - 4:25 PM ET #590

I've been told that this streak system works well in NBA

so lets see how it does today

Atlanta at 4-0 Win streak to not cover

Portland at 0-4 to cover

stevo1

Captain

Joined: Oct, 2011

Posts: 6398

Posted: Dec. 25, 2013 - 4:42 PM ET #591

had posted back one page

4-0 (20-15) This streak level to stop is 57 % to stop

and we have 5 Teams at this level with pending

play tonight Hawaii 12/25

and Utep and Harvard on 12/28,Usc 12/29, Rice 12/30

this is 2nd game that is a streak play for today Hawaii up 30-26

stevo1

Captain

Joined: Oct, 2011

Posts: 6398

Posted: Dec. 25, 2013 - 4:58 PM ET #592

half time,,,, Hawaii up 40-38 giving 5

RLeith35

Legend

Joined: Jan, 2012

Posts: 59248

Posted: Dec. 25, 2013 - 5:55 PM ET #593

Are u gonna play them at halftime?

stevo1

Captain

Joined: Oct, 2011

Posts: 6398

Posted: Dec. 25, 2013 - 7:45 PM ET #594

Hawaii covers by 1 point

and moves to 5-0.We at least now have another team at level 5

4-0 record to cover was 20-15 at 57% and now is 20-16 56%

Was pushing it at that percent with just 2 plays today but

we will get it back as its just a matter of time and that double wager

As i noted these Tournament games play hell with odds makers as they lose both plays today

We will start monitoring this as a separate record if streak teams enter tournaments

I just hope i have the time to do it correctly

Maybe if anyone finds this system interesting they would like to participate and take that job over

I would also like to know if anyone would like to monitor the NBA also as i think that league could also be interesting.We do have 2 plays today in NBA

Atlanta at 4-0 Win streak to not cover

Portland at 0-4 to cover

stevo1

Captain

Joined: Oct, 2011

Posts: 6398

Posted: Dec. 25, 2013 - 10:43 PM ET #595

Sorry RL was working on NBA and just finished

Odds makers seem to be in much more control of NBA teams

here are the Streak Plays for NBA (push) do not stop streaks

(Thread Rule)

Win Streaks with No Cover record

9-0 no team has reached 9-0

8-0 ,,,,,1-0 Phoenix no cover 11/15

7-0 ,,,,,1-1 Phoenix went to 8-0 (no teams curr at 7-0)

6-0 ,,,,,2-2 no teams at 6-0

5-0,,,,,,8-4 This Level is 67 % to not cover (no 5-0 pend)

4-0,,,,,,12-12 one pending Pacers ( 50% Pass)

3-0,,,,,,23-25 five pending we just monitor as in ncaab and 50%

appears level 5 is not a problem in odds makers side as in ncaab

___________________________________________

0-9,,,,,,No team has reached 9-0 loss streak

0-8,,,,,,2-0,,This level is 100% to COVER ( 0 to date pend)

0-7,,,,,,3-2,,none pending this level

0-6,,,,,,1-5,,appears Teams at 0-6 can not cover

( no plays at 0-6 to date) appears we fade 0-6 teams

0-5,,,,,,5-6 no plays at this level to date

0-4,,,,,,9-11,,,three teams at 0-4

( Brooklyn,Denver,Portland)

If some one can spend 3 hours checking my post for accuracy i would appreciate your confirmation

Do not add any current pending win/Loss streaks as they are yet to be played and still open for play

Teams currently on Streaks

4-0 Pacers

__________

3-0

Pheonix

Atlanta

Wash

Milw

Chi

_______________

0-4 Loss Streaks to cover

Portland

Denver

Brooklyn

__________

0-3 loss streaks to cover

Cleveland

Orlando

If anybody wants to take this over from me please let me know but must agree to do for season as i don't know how i can do with all of Ncaab

stevo1

Captain

Joined: Oct, 2011

Posts: 6398

Posted: Dec. 25, 2013 - 10:48 PM ET #596

have a small error on pg #594

4-0 record to NOTcover was 20-15 at 57% and now is 20-16 56%

Was pushing it at that percent with just 2 plays today but

we will get it back as its just a matter of time and that double wager

Cover/Not Cover

it gets confusing at times

stevo1

Captain

Joined: Oct, 2011

Posts: 6398

Posted: Dec. 25, 2013 - 11:31 PM ET #597

appears we await Pacers to cover their next game and then play against them to not cover at 6-0 but first they need to cover their next game

likewise we await teams at loss streaks 0-6 to not cover as record shows 1-5 they will not cover and will go to 0-7

appears the NBA plays i posted for today do not play until tomorrow

Its been very long DAY

so i will repost tomorrow

Degen4Ever

Rookie

Joined: Nov, 2013

Posts: 588

Posted: Dec. 26, 2013 - 12:28 AM ET #598

Gonna check out hockey with this .

stevo1

Captain

Joined: Oct, 2011

Posts: 6398

Posted: Dec. 26, 2013 - 10:13 AM ET #599

degen it works with hockey also as had done a few years ago but with so much wok with Ncaab i just could not do

NBA is easy as there are only a small # of teams although does take time,took me 3 hours just to recreate past info

Thank God its the holidays or i would never have had the time

stevo1

Captain

Joined: Oct, 2011

Posts: 6398

Posted: Dec. 26, 2013 - 10:34 AM ET #600

so what have we learned from NBA is the following

teams on a 5-0 win streak you play them to not cover their next game. RECORD is 8-4 they will not cover (67%)

______________________________________

Teams on a 0-6 no cover streak you play to cover their next GAME Cur Record is 5-1 they will cover at 83%

One problem is we don't have any teams at 0-6 YET

the closest we have is

0-4 Nets

0-4 Portland

also we do not have any at 5-0 yet but we do have

4-0

Pacers

need to watch these teams reach levels we need

All Forums | College Basketball

Ncaab ATS Streak Breakers for 2013/2014

Hot Forum Topics