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    All Forums | College Basketball

    Ncaab ATS Streak Breakers for 2013/2014

    «First Previous 262728 ... 125126127 Next Last»
    Ausdaboss
    stevo1
    Rippn808
    Degen4Ever
    thomaschau
    Participants:
    Search
    Views: 211535
    Posts: 3174
    «First Previous 262728 ... 125126127 Next Last»
     
    Ausdaboss
    Ausdaboss
    Prospect
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Nov, 2013
    Posts: 213
    Posted: Dec. 28, 2013 - 11:37 AM ET #626

    What does each number mean? 528=Syracuse?
    Reply
    What does each number mean? 528=Syracuse?
     
    stevo1
    stevo1
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    Joined: Oct, 2011
    Posts: 6398
    Posted: Dec. 28, 2013 - 11:43 AM ET #627

    correction  (I orig did not post this correctly)

    0-5 Bradly 564 +1 ( 0-5 rec to cover not good 5-9 ) and S Fla record at 0-3 (46-45) could be a good game to pass although Record  is stuck with S Fla covering. Gonna take a shot with S Fla and Record to cover at 9-5
    __________________________________
    correction
    7-0 527 Nova +4 on Road 7-0 Streak record  to not cover is 1-2 record has small lean to cover but not by much,,I'm going with  Cuse to cover if lose will be against Nova  big time at
     8-0. 8-0 is 100 % to not cover record cur is 2-0 to not cover

    Reply
    correction  (I orig did not post this correctly)

    0-5 Bradly 564 +1 ( 0-5 rec to cover not good 5-9 ) and S Fla record at 0-3 (46-45) could be a good game to pass although Record  is stuck with S Fla covering. Gonna take a shot with S Fla and Record to cover at 9-5
    __________________________________
    correction
    7-0 527 Nova +4 on Road 7-0 Streak record  to not cover is 1-2 record has small lean to cover but not by much,,I'm going with  Cuse to cover if lose will be against Nova  big time at
     8-0. 8-0 is 100 % to not cover record cur is 2-0 to not cover

     
    stevo1
    stevo1
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    Posts: 6398
    Posted: Dec. 28, 2013 - 11:44 AM ET #628

    #'s are bet #'s
    Reply
    #'s are bet #'s
     
    stevo1
    stevo1
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    Posts: 6398
    Posted: Dec. 28, 2013 - 11:58 AM ET #629

    NBA Denver does not cover last night and goes to 0-5 loss streak can they not cover again as their chance to cover at 0-6 rises to 5-1 they will cover 

    time will tell 
    Reply
    NBA Denver does not cover last night and goes to 0-5 loss streak can they not cover again as their chance to cover at 0-6 rises to 5-1 they will cover 

    time will tell 
     
    stevo1
    stevo1
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    Posts: 6398
    Posted: Dec. 28, 2013 - 12:01 PM ET #630

    off to casino, BOL today guys in your selections
    Reply
    off to casino, BOL today guys in your selections
     
    stevo1
    stevo1
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    Posts: 6398
    Posted: Dec. 28, 2013 - 3:13 PM ET #631

    528 Half Time  Cuse 33-29 giving 4 
    536 Half Time  ILL Chi 44-34 Getting +12.
    549
    556
    563
    574
    596
    613  still ????

    Reply
    528 Half Time  Cuse 33-29 giving 4 
    536 Half Time  ILL Chi 44-34 Getting +12.
    549
    556
    563
    574
    596
    613  still ????

     
    stevo1
    stevo1
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    Posts: 6398
    Posted: Dec. 28, 2013 - 3:21 PM ET #632

    Pg 576

    3-0 streak plays we just normally Monitor for future 
    but record lately has become interesting to stop as
    odds makers no cover is (62-40) = 60.7 %  
    to stop teams at 3-0.We do have 12 Teams Pend
    play with 2 on 12/28, Rd Island,and Loy Mrymt
    with Canisius next on 12/29 

    Rd Isle  +4         34-35 looking for a no cover

    Reply
    Pg 576

    3-0 streak plays we just normally Monitor for future 
    but record lately has become interesting to stop as
    odds makers no cover is (62-40) = 60.7 %  
    to stop teams at 3-0.We do have 12 Teams Pend
    play with 2 on 12/28, Rd Island,and Loy Mrymt
    with Canisius next on 12/29 

    Rd Isle  +4         34-35 looking for a no cover

     
    Rippn808
    Rippn808
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    Posts: 443
    Posted: Dec. 28, 2013 - 3:45 PM ET #633

    So what's your top plays today stevo
    Reply
    So what's your top plays today stevo
     
    Degen4Ever
    Degen4Ever
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    Posts: 588
    Posted: Dec. 29, 2013 - 1:43 AM ET #634

    Quote Originally Posted by stevo1:

    private message me and i'll send you info where i'm getting all ths
    You were going to message me where you got this info I was gonna work on point differentials and some other sports. Havent got anything yet would be very interested to still work on it my own and share my results with you.
    Reply
    Quote Originally Posted by stevo1:

    private message me and i'll send you info where i'm getting all ths
    You were going to message me where you got this info I was gonna work on point differentials and some other sports. Havent got anything yet would be very interested to still work on it my own and share my results with you.
     
    stevo1
    stevo1
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    Posts: 6398
    Posted: Dec. 30, 2013 - 12:01 PM ET #635

    Sorry guys caught the FLU and have been out of touch with everything
    been very sick and have not even looked at games until this morn for results

    Degen I posted almost everything from years past regarding streak records in this thread esp the last 4 years
    I have no friend requests as of yet from what i can see,,,

    What i am going to do today is to Post all streak records to date thru yesterday so we can have a clear understanding of where we are at,

    Streak records to follow and the #'s reflect the odds makers ability to stop all streaks from continuing

    As i noted East Ill has the longest Loss streak at 0-8 and plays on Jan 2nd
    Unlv has the longest win Streak at 8-0 and plays on Jan 1st

    Streak Records to Follow
    Reply
    Sorry guys caught the FLU and have been out of touch with everything
    been very sick and have not even looked at games until this morn for results

    Degen I posted almost everything from years past regarding streak records in this thread esp the last 4 years
    I have no friend requests as of yet from what i can see,,,

    What i am going to do today is to Post all streak records to date thru yesterday so we can have a clear understanding of where we are at,

    Streak records to follow and the #'s reflect the odds makers ability to stop all streaks from continuing

    As i noted East Ill has the longest Loss streak at 0-8 and plays on Jan 2nd
    Unlv has the longest win Streak at 8-0 and plays on Jan 1st

    Streak Records to Follow
     
    stevo1
    stevo1
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    Posts: 6398
    Posted: Dec. 30, 2013 - 1:14 PM ET #636

    Win Streak Records at close of 12/29

    9-0 Record 0-0 no team has reached this streak level

    8-0 Record to Stop 2-0 Unlv pending 1/1/14

    7-0 Record to stop 2-3
     
    6-0 Streak Record to Stop 7-5 ( This Streak had 4 no covers this past week)
    ( Butler,  Colorado,  ILL Chi, and Wich St ) all could not Cover

    5-0 Streak Record to Stop 3-12 Odds makers having prob stopping 5-0 Streaks 
    We finally have two & looking for them to continue to 6-0 
    per record at 12-3 Harvard 1/1/14 & Hawaii  1/9/14 

    4-0 Streak Record to Stop 21-17 
    4 Pend Rice,Loy Marymount play today 12/30 

    there you have win Streak records to date 
    Loss streaks to follow
    Reply
    Win Streak Records at close of 12/29

    9-0 Record 0-0 no team has reached this streak level

    8-0 Record to Stop 2-0 Unlv pending 1/1/14

    7-0 Record to stop 2-3
     
    6-0 Streak Record to Stop 7-5 ( This Streak had 4 no covers this past week)
    ( Butler,  Colorado,  ILL Chi, and Wich St ) all could not Cover

    5-0 Streak Record to Stop 3-12 Odds makers having prob stopping 5-0 Streaks 
    We finally have two & looking for them to continue to 6-0 
    per record at 12-3 Harvard 1/1/14 & Hawaii  1/9/14 

    4-0 Streak Record to Stop 21-17 
    4 Pend Rice,Loy Marymount play today 12/30 

    there you have win Streak records to date 
    Loss streaks to follow
     
    stevo1
    stevo1
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    Posts: 6398
    Posted: Dec. 30, 2013 - 1:33 PM ET #637

     FYI 
    Forgot to post 3-0 Streak records and only posting due to the great record of not being able to cover the spread  63-42 = 60 %
    Nc Greensboro is at 3-0 and plays today
    appears the play is NC St to cover
    Reply
     FYI 
    Forgot to post 3-0 Streak records and only posting due to the great record of not being able to cover the spread  63-42 = 60 %
    Nc Greensboro is at 3-0 and plays today
    appears the play is NC St to cover
     
    stevo1
    stevo1
    Captain
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    Joined: Oct, 2011
    Posts: 6398
    Posted: Dec. 30, 2013 - 1:50 PM ET #638

    So far per streak records the plays are

    NC St to cover (60)%

    Texas (57%)   Rice is 4-0 and 4-0 record to not cover is 21-17 

    San Diego (57%) Loy Mrymt is 4-0 and rec is 21-17 to not cover
    also San Diego is 0-3 and 0-3 to cover is 49-49 = 50% cover

    Not crazy about 57 % covers records but as they say its what it is

    on to loss streaks records and what looks good
    Reply
    So far per streak records the plays are

    NC St to cover (60)%

    Texas (57%)   Rice is 4-0 and 4-0 record to not cover is 21-17 

    San Diego (57%) Loy Mrymt is 4-0 and rec is 21-17 to not cover
    also San Diego is 0-3 and 0-3 to cover is 49-49 = 50% cover

    Not crazy about 57 % covers records but as they say its what it is

    on to loss streaks records and what looks good
     
    stevo1
    stevo1
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    Posts: 6398
    Posted: Dec. 30, 2013 - 2:59 PM ET #639

    LOSS STREAK records at close of 12/29
    0-8 (0-0) East ILL ,,Pending 1/2/14

    0-7 (3-1) Pending N Dakota 1/2/14 ( can they get enough points to cover),,thats if game is even offered,otherwise 1/9/14

    0-6 (3-5) 2 pend , Pitt 12/30 and Bradly 1/1/14

    0-5 (7-10) 4 Pend (2 Today, Ball St & Furman) 41 % to cover
    Record says they don't cover at 41% record says take opposition Madison and Davis at 59%
      
    0-4 (23-21)  5 Pending but none play today

    0-3 (49-49) 4 Pend today Marshall,Gonzaga,S Dakota,St Mary's
    this level is running at 50% so we Pass

    When you review each streak level you find odds makers have pretty good control of balancing out these streak plays after almost 2 months of games completed

    The one area they seem to have a problem with is win streak Level 5 and that seems to be the same for the last few years as prev posted here in this thread 

    Reply
    LOSS STREAK records at close of 12/29
    0-8 (0-0) East ILL ,,Pending 1/2/14

    0-7 (3-1) Pending N Dakota 1/2/14 ( can they get enough points to cover),,thats if game is even offered,otherwise 1/9/14

    0-6 (3-5) 2 pend , Pitt 12/30 and Bradly 1/1/14

    0-5 (7-10) 4 Pend (2 Today, Ball St & Furman) 41 % to cover
    Record says they don't cover at 41% record says take opposition Madison and Davis at 59%
      
    0-4 (23-21)  5 Pending but none play today

    0-3 (49-49) 4 Pend today Marshall,Gonzaga,S Dakota,St Mary's
    this level is running at 50% so we Pass

    When you review each streak level you find odds makers have pretty good control of balancing out these streak plays after almost 2 months of games completed

    The one area they seem to have a problem with is win streak Level 5 and that seems to be the same for the last few years as prev posted here in this thread 

     
    stevo1
    stevo1
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    Posted: Dec. 30, 2013 - 3:12 PM ET #640

    5-0 streaks to continue against any point spread placed by odds makers

    2011/ 2012 59% to go to 6-0 seasons end (27-19)
    2012/2013  62 % to go to 6-0 seasons end (34-21)

    2013/2014  80 % to go to 6-0 to date (12-3)
    current record as of 12/29/13 
    Harvard could be our next large play on 1/1/14
    Reply
    5-0 streaks to continue against any point spread placed by odds makers

    2011/ 2012 59% to go to 6-0 seasons end (27-19)
    2012/2013  62 % to go to 6-0 seasons end (34-21)

    2013/2014  80 % to go to 6-0 to date (12-3)
    current record as of 12/29/13 
    Harvard could be our next large play on 1/1/14
     
    stevo1
    stevo1
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    Posted: Dec. 30, 2013 - 3:20 PM ET #641

    Looking into NBA i see there are two teams with 0-6 Loss streaks and due for a cover Portland and Denver

    so what have we learned from NBA this season 2013/2014 is the following

    Teams on a 0-6 no cover streak you play to cover their next GAME Cur Record is 5-1 they will cover at 83% 

    Plays of the Day
    We have 2 Pending tonight
    Denver
    Portland
    Reply
    Looking into NBA i see there are two teams with 0-6 Loss streaks and due for a cover Portland and Denver

    so what have we learned from NBA this season 2013/2014 is the following

    Teams on a 0-6 no cover streak you play to cover their next GAME Cur Record is 5-1 they will cover at 83% 

    Plays of the Day
    We have 2 Pending tonight
    Denver
    Portland
     
    stevo1
    stevo1
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    Posted: Dec. 30, 2013 - 5:12 PM ET #642

    So far per streak records the plays are

    NC St to cover (60)%

    Texas (57%)   Rice is 4-0 and 4-0 record to not cover is 21-17 

    San Diego (57%) Loy Mrymt is 4-0 and rec is 21-17 to not cover
    also San Diego is 0-3 and 0-3 to cover is 49-49 = 50% cover

    Not crazy about 57 % covers records but as they say its what it is

    on to loss streaks records and what looks good

    4-0 Rice no cover
    Reply
    So far per streak records the plays are

    NC St to cover (60)%

    Texas (57%)   Rice is 4-0 and 4-0 record to not cover is 21-17 

    San Diego (57%) Loy Mrymt is 4-0 and rec is 21-17 to not cover
    also San Diego is 0-3 and 0-3 to cover is 49-49 = 50% cover

    Not crazy about 57 % covers records but as they say its what it is

    on to loss streaks records and what looks good

    4-0 Rice no cover
     
    thomaschau
    thomaschau
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    Posted: Dec. 30, 2013 - 5:15 PM ET #643

    Congrats
    Reply
    Congrats
     
    thomaschau
    thomaschau
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    Posted: Dec. 30, 2013 - 5:20 PM ET #644

    I have faith with Portland but not Denver even tonite no Lebron
    Reply
    I have faith with Portland but not Denver even tonite no Lebron
     
    stevo1
    stevo1
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    Posted: Dec. 30, 2013 - 5:22 PM ET #645

    4-0 Streak Record to Stop 21-17 
    4 Pend Rice,Loy Marymount play today 12/30 
    Rice can't cover
    4-0 now 22-17
    Reply
    4-0 Streak Record to Stop 21-17 
    4 Pend Rice,Loy Marymount play today 12/30 
    Rice can't cover
    4-0 now 22-17
     
    stevo1
    stevo1
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    Posted: Dec. 30, 2013 - 5:29 PM ET #646

    thomaschau

    Its the odds Makers job to apply the correct points to balance out the game otherwise vegas is giving away free money t Nite as will not JP all be on Miami for easy money if the game is that lop sided

    I live here in Vegas and i can tell you they def are not giving away free money


    Reply
    thomaschau

    Its the odds Makers job to apply the correct points to balance out the game otherwise vegas is giving away free money t Nite as will not JP all be on Miami for easy money if the game is that lop sided

    I live here in Vegas and i can tell you they def are not giving away free money


     
    Ausdaboss
    Ausdaboss
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    Posts: 213
    Posted: Dec. 30, 2013 - 6:11 PM ET #647

    so should we try loy marymount? see if it balances out?
    Reply
    so should we try loy marymount? see if it balances out?
     
    Ausdaboss
    Ausdaboss
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    Posts: 213
    Posted: Dec. 30, 2013 - 6:11 PM ET #648

    so should we try loy marymount? see if it balances out?
    Reply
    so should we try loy marymount? see if it balances out?
     
    stevo1
    stevo1
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    Posted: Dec. 30, 2013 - 8:34 PM ET #649

    sorry just getting in 

    no because the record for 3-0 win streaks speaks for it self 63-42 they stop also
    Reply
    sorry just getting in 

    no because the record for 3-0 win streaks speaks for it self 63-42 they stop also
     
     
    Ausdaboss
    Ausdaboss
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    Posted: Dec. 30, 2013 - 8:35 PM ET #650

    Ok, thanks!
    Reply
    Ok, thanks!
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