NCAA TOURNEY THREAD 151

@RUM151

 Niether does MGM or DK. 

do like this over    Georgetown was hitting some 3's last game , and I do think they will be able to put up some points  ....also Thursday night I really like the OVER in the Villanova/USC game also

these lines in these 2 games tonight again have went way up  I am seeing that both of these opened at -6.5  now one is 10 and the other is 8.5  so huge movement on the favorites   well as we know that does not always work out,  tonight could be diff  , as Boise is a solid team for sure, and I do think Boise may score in the 80's in this game, if Butler and Gtown can shoot like they did in their last games anything can happen, I just do not trust Nebraska as much as Boise st  , its a shame G Town is without Peavy, Epps, and Sorber  if they had those 3 this would be a pick'em I mean you take away any teams top 3 players???  yet they did win last game , I just do not like when lines move like this  I am not sure if there are other players out, g town only played like 7 guys ..Worster and Griffiths are both ? for Nebraska tonight 

@RUM151

 and Georgetowns starting 5 scored 82 of their 85 points  wow

That’s not a good sign imo… I’m going against George in teaser. 

everyone is on Boise st  I mean how do you not take Boise st, and when it opened at 6 how do you not, Butler without their main guy , I want to take butler , but this line jumping like it has, I understand it  but man I am taking Butler +9   would not recommend it unless you like them    but hell  someone has to   ...and reason I like Georgetown is  they had 18 offensive boards last game and took almost 20 more shots , almost want to try G town over 72 TT also but might wait for a live line 

they are being really tight with the crown lines at Hardrock  they finally put them up, but just the 1st game  lol  I think the books have been getting beat up on this tourney and cant see how I mean yesterday maybe but when you have lines move 3 points one way and the other team wins it seems like you would be happy   

Butler +9  1 unit   and the o/u on this keeps dropping   down to 152.5 

With not a lot of games, hopefully you can post some live bets that looks promising for us lucky guys who happens to catch it with ya.  Better luck today. 

Give me the moneyyyyyyyyyy    and the over was so easy   sorry no post  take that back    hope some maybe took them +13.5  during the game or 12.5   everyone on Boise st   if ya had 7.5 or 8.5  what a dunk late :)

Yeah quite the assfucking by Boise. Up 12 with less than a minute and let Butler go in dry for the backdoor cover, what a joke

@ALEXSON

 I would post my live plays but a few talked to me earlier about this   its hard posting live bets   for one I usually watch in my room  and have to go out to computer to post and lines change fast live   and when you have a game like they had tonight  fast paced they change really fast....when you watch on TV the games are like 20 sec's ahead of us  and so lines change fast anyway    but by the time I post  it could be 13.5 or 10.5   its very hard    just remember this  if I take a team +9  and in the 1st half they are down 13-14 and I can get 12.5 I am most likely going to try it, for sure when you know the team is trying and they shoot real well  also the over was like 168.5 in 1st half they had like 70 with 5 mins left ...its just hard  they could not have made a safe over for this game , 

just glad they covered the 8.5 to 9  only bet that counts   I have a few I text with and call each day  and during the game 

@OneADayJ

 well they got to 12 and then Butler hit a 3 right away and cut it to 9    then Boise dribbled out and missed the shot  so I was pushing either way  thank God for buying a half point again!!!!  but the dunk yes , and that's what cinncy should have done yesterday and I would have won my over   4 sec's left up 20 let the guy do a layup   but they played hard defense even then   that's why they are my pick to maybe win this 

The over was the play no matter how you look at it  this game stayed at 10-13  most of the game  a few times 9-11  even 8 in 2nd half  they could never pull away...if I need 9 to win my bet  and other team is leading by 11-12 most the 2nd half which means they get up 12 then its 10 then its 12 then its 9 and so on....you know you'll have a chance last minute...they needed to extend it to like 18-20  and they couldn't  any good 3 pt shooting team can usually hang around  and think they are missing their #1 scorer ..just my thoughts   but yes Boise maybe should have won by 9  but that's still covering by just a half pt  as good as Boise st looked??? they gave up 92 pts tonight 

g town I did add a +10  small  +9.5 I'll maybe lose by a half  but that means I'll have a shot  love the OVER  also  

They don't have to be up 18+ to cover an 8 point spread. Up 12 with 45 seconds left should have been an easy cover. No reason at all to foul on a layup and give them a 3 point play to cut it to 9, but once they got it there Butler waved the flag by not fouling and letting Boise dribble 30 sec off the clock. The game should have ended on 9

2H?

all these games no matter what the spread seem like the come down to last minute  even G Town had a chance to lose by 9, down 12 took a 3 pointers and missed , and the o/u was again so close    truly dows not matter if you take the favorite or the dog, most likely your bet is not safe until the clock runs out, also why I do not have write ups on these games, because its hard to explain why you think your team will cover, to be honest you would have to write, well we are laying 8 and I expect we will be up 10 and I just do not think the other team will make that shot at the end to cover...lol  it was another good game to bet live as you could have gotten GT + a lot during the game, but I did not even try a live bet late , didn't watch the game till 5 mins left ,only reason I made a little was because had more plays on 1st game  like tonight's card better, and really like Saturdays, it will be good having 4 games Saturday, with hoops all day leading up to final 4 and helps out with more things to try parlays with ...my opinion  so far I have enjoyed this Crown tourney, close games mostly, upsets, and its nice having games this whole week except tomorrow 

So tonight is NIT championship game and I’m thinking UC Irvine. Thoughts ? I have them in several parlays that I can cash out at small profits at ML -180.

Had many chances at end to go over 152 and under 10.5 on the GT game.  That missed 3pt shoot cost me over 1K.  Just my luck.  Hopefully we can hit some easy bets and get some to play Saturday.  These lines have been jumping way too many points one direction and the games coming down to the last shot.  Could it be because the games are in Vegas?

@ALEXSON

 had a response to you and write up but it was too long...lol    so I am going to put it on next 2 post 

not tonight, I just think people seen Villanova -4 and thought like I did, better bet it now before it goes up same with Cinncy, I said the other night I loved how Cinncy played defense strong even up 20 points, unlike what Boise did last night up 9, they let the guy drive to the hole, Cinncy up 21 the last 2 possessions by Depaul they played strong defense, still blocking shots crashing the boards, and when Depaul with 4 sec's left tried to drive the lane for a layup 2 guys converged on him and stripped the ball away...lol they did not want to give up any baskets even up 21 that says a lot about mentality of a team, and what they are trying to do...right now this is coming down to Vill, Boise, Cinn, Villanova could win it, good defense, very good 3 points shooting, Cinncy I think will just based on their defense, and if their offense can score 70+ they are going to be hard to beat, and Boise st, been shooting really well, but giving up 92 points??? USC can score but they do not even know what the word defense means


but back to your ? I just knew those lines were going to go up, I and if you like a certain team and you can get a line before it goes up you have to grab it, now if I had liked the other teams I would have waited, its all about getting the best line

continued 

and Cinncy -5 vs UCF I thought might go to 6 so I grabbed 5 , now UCF can score, they do have a big guy in the middle who can score and block shots, they lost to Cinncy earlier this year 83-93 so a very high scoring game, Cinncy has won the last 5 vs UCF and the last 2 were at UCF


In the 83-93 loss both teams took the same amount of shots or within 1-2 anyway, both had 18 fouls, both shot ok but Cinncy shot great 38/65 58.5% but only 5/16 from 3 and 12/19 at the line UCF was 32/67 47.8% and they were just 5/22 from 3 and 14/18 from the line ...one thing to look at is rebounds tonight because even though they lost they had 39 rebounds to just 27 for Cinncy and 17 offensive to only 7 for cinn, but UCF had 16 to's to just 10 for Cinn, and Cinn had 18 assist to just 13 for UCF anytime you have more to's than assist your most likely going to lose...


Cinn shot the 3 better last game making 9/21 42% and they rebounded better too and shot 49% ...UCF it seems has been shooting the 3 better late this year, they shot it at 38% last game so Cinncy will have to get out to the 3 pt line and play defense, last game I thought UCF would win easier, they were up 13 at half and Oregon st opened the 2nd half and went on a nice run and got it close and held on to win by 1 their defense was not very good, and I just think Cinn will play well, and I do not see why they can't score 80 on UCF and should hold UCF to 70-72 pts


and Villanova should be able to score well tonight on the defense of USC, should be a higher scoring game, but I do think they should win by 9+ I like both them and Cinn to win by 9+ and both I think go over Villanova more than Cinncy but both should


and that should set up for a decent final 4 here too Boise st vs Nebraska and Vill vs Cinncy I do like CINN to win and Boise st but have to see the line my guess is Boise st would be -5.5-6 and Cinncy would be -2-2.5


gl 151

UTC VS IRVINE  

well again the oddsGods made UTC a dog, they have won every game in this tourney as a dog, and have won their last 8 games as a dog, as I have posted they are now 11-2 ats as a dog , both teams are 4-0 ats in this tourney, both are very good after a win,UC Irvine has won each of its last nine games against non-Conference opponents at neutral venues....Chattanooga has won each of its last nine night games against non-AP-ranked opponents.

The UC Irvine Anteaters are averaging 75.9 points on 45.5 percent shooting and allowing 66.2 points on 39.6 percent shooting. Bent Leuchten is averaging 15.4 points and 1.6 assists, while Devin Tillis is averaging 13.5 points and 2.4 assists. Myles Che is the third double-digit scorer and Justin Hohn is grabbing 3.1 rebounds. The UC Irvine Anteaters are shooting 35.2 percent from beyond the arc and 80.6 percent from the free throw line. The UC Irvine Anteaters are allowing 33.9 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 34.9 rebounds per game.

The Chattanooga Mocs are averaging 78.9 points on 48 percent shooting and allowing 72 points on 43.3 percent shooting. Honor Huff is averaging 15.2 points and 1.9 rebounds, while Trey Bonham is averaging 14.5 points and 2.8 assists. Bash Wieland is the third double-digit scorer and Frank Champion is dishing 3.8 assists. The Chattanooga Mocs are shooting 36.4 percent from beyond the arc and 76.7 percent from the free throw line. The Chattanooga Mocs are allowing 34.7 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 30.3 rebounds per game.

Now Irvine does have the big guy in the middle , but again UTC has played so well as a dog, and here they are again, Irvine is maybe the better team, but I think UTC has played the better teams here to get this far beating MTSU, Dayton, Bradley, and Loyola  Irvine beat N Col, Jax st, UAB, N Texas  and I do think NT should have won that game, and UTC has played good on offense but they have been down at half in their last 2 and have played defense enough to come back and win   I'll take 4 points here  and play them as a dog again

UTC+4

@RUM151

 there is a good case to go either way in this NIT game, do not let me change your mind    I have my own reasons for taking Chattanooga   because I have a lot this year and they have done well by me, so I am sticking with them, I went against once and they got me     I already had them in a Parlay so I do not even have to bet them   I did for get to post this last night but I had them with Butler +9 not sure why I did 80  I think i put 50 in and didn't like the payout and put 80 in and thought 200 for 80 was good with buying a half point on each , but Butler was +8.5 at even money , and as I do a lot with parlays the thought is to winning the 1st or 1st 2 so I get good payout on last team while risking less as with this

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ok I didn't sleep last night  had a 330am pick up and run to Tampa and have been upon since  its nap time   

gl  and God bless 

@RUM151

 Yeah I agree close game but I have UCI in 2 parlay wrap ups so going to ride with them and wait till Saturday. I’m up a good amount so not inclined to cash out for smaller profits. BOL

@Degenbeter

 smart   

just looked at what a 4 team Ml Parlay pays with Cinn/Vill/Fla/Duke 100 pays 335 ..add UTC+3.5  730.76 5 team

Cinn/Vill/Houston/Auburn  100 pays +1306.47

aub/Houston/Usc/Ucf  100 plays 7587.50  hell it may be worth throwing 20.00 on that 1517.00..add UTC+140 5 team Parlay 18, 349.00 for 100