NCAA TOURNEY THREAD 151

Thanks for the looks on BYU over 

@Fuzzer44

 Yes.  I don’t think they played well yesterday… and prob do today.   My concern is Tenn and Houston lines have not moved… if that stays that way… history tells me… one will lose today.   I see Houston smothering these Gonzaga guards… and I have been ark fan last 4 weeks… and I do not think they are Tenn caliber… but lines have not moved.  So I’m saving some to put on ark and gonzo moneyline.   I think Purdue rolls.   They have not played well and are due in my opinion.    Looking for rum to chime in.   Come on rum.    My plays are in.  Was chalky yesterday.   That’s not the usual though.   I think you are fine adding tech… as I think they are due for a good game.    I watched them beat Houston at Houston .. in an overtime slugfest… so they got it in em… that being said… I used drake over and over this year moneyline… and they almost always cameos thru… mizzou sucked yesterday… so don’t use that as a barometer… but drake will fight.    I see Tenn and Houston still 5… hmmmm

Hey where is RUM 151 

it was a blood bath yesterday   maybe worst day I have ever had in picks    

I already had over 149 Dayton game 

Also we have the NIT Saturday too, which I think is great   some good games there, and one CBI Tourney game Ill st vs Presbyterian  ? is figuring out if anyone is sitting out or which teams really want to be here, Illinois st I think should win the 8 team tourney, but this Presbyterian team I have made some good money on this year, they can be pretty good at times , all games in Daytona Beach and in the NIT 2 really good games as Dayton goes to Tenn Chattanooga and Bradley goes to G Mason   4 teams that were maybe good enough to be in the big one  

NIT game Saturday  OVER 149 Dayton/Tenn Chatt  1 unit 

purdue -6  Texas am -2 BYU +1.5  over 155 BYU   over 149 already in chattanooga

have to run to airport again today   I have a regular who does the driving  he is off this weekend 

over 144.5 st John's  about 12 mins ago   1 unit n

Hang in there rum.  You have earned it.. I’d like your analysis on on Tenn and Houston.   I think both later .. so maybe your airport job will be done… I have a large for me m line par using them both.   Good start by Purdue.   . If any coach should beware of an underdog… it’s Matt painter…  looks like he’s got them focused.  

Hang in there rum.  You have earned it.. I’d like your analysis on on Tenn and Houston.   I think both later .. so maybe your airport job will be done… I have a large for me m line par using them both.   Good start by Purdue.   . If any coach should beware of an underdog… it’s Matt painter…  looks like he’s got them focused.  

Drake +8 -115  2 units  

won Purdue  

Won over Chattanooga 

texas am-2

BYU+1.5 

Over 155 BYU  

well I didn't post  I liked Arkansas  I bet st John's -6 for 1 unit  when it was 11-6 ark I took Ark+3.5  for 3 units   stupid yes  but I have been 2nd guessing myself and I shouldn't  yesterday I switched on 3 bets they all lost, I didn't care if I lost the 1 unit on St John's I just didn't want to lose both  I bet over 144  then bet under 149.5 live I have not even been able to handicap  been so busy  I have not even given a write up in a while  I hate not giving at least a small write up  throws me off   but I am on Drake    I will be looking for later  but like tomorrows card 

I am going with Maryland tomorrow -6 -130 bought down , its what I do,  they looked really good yesterday, I did not get to see col st, but I just think Maryland is strong, I expect them to pull away , same with Mich st tomorrow, I took them -7 also, yesterday's Mich st line was a gift, yes it was close at half but they are so deep, they should go farther for sure    I do not see the lines dropping , Maryland did drop from 7.5 to 7  but would not be surprised if it goes back up, Memphis is not Maryland , just have to hope the ref's are not like this Arkansas game, I was shocked Arkansas hung on with all the fouls they had, it was looking like they wanted st John's to move on  

Maryland -6  1.5 units -130

Mich st -7  2 units   

yesterday I did a 5 team ML Parlay with Mich st -15.5/Tenn ML/Maryland ML/Texas AM ML/Iowa st ML/   its paying +632  played 1 unit , if ya do ML parlays you can increase the payout a lot by adding 1 spread  and even if ya mob=ve the line it will help the payout  

gl everyone  bbl 

" when it was 11-6 ark I took Ark+3.5  for 3 units   ... "     lol man, you know your stuff, and I read your insight, but you have been slowing turning into the guy you questioned, Ryoshii.

 ...waiting for Unranked Champ  ...   

this is one of those games the Mich/Tex AM game where ya just wish ya bet a nickel on the OVER  and relaxed  wow  total was like 141  141  they are going to hit 170 I think  finally home and relaxing 

parlay for tomorrow 

@TheBoyWonder

 it means nothing   just trying to explain how I was trying to middle something    

anyway its not letting me post the ticket   

tomorrow  took arizona-3  -120  alabama-5 -120  over 143 Maryland   50.00  paying 284.59

anyway its not letting me post the ticket   

tomorrow  took arizona-3  -120  alabama-5 -120  over 143 Maryland   50.00  paying 284.59

added

here comes Michigan  and these damn close games   

This Texas Am team is terrible it seems like there point guard who is the best player was not playing how he always plays 

also Rum in this game like a couple of others like St John’s game also I don’t know where to find this stat but is the coaches in the tournament how they never advance past a certain round like this Texas am coach 

wow  Michigan again  

well talked to a couple of guys that come in here from time to time and I said  why did I even say what I did , and your right  no reason too...from now on  write ups and post plays  going to try to refrain from any comments during or after games, going to be real simple   

need BYU, over BYU, Tenn tonight  

Michigan st  and Maryland tomorrow 

going to lose Drake  and Texas AM  2 teams I really thought would cover  but with Williams back Texas tech is a diff team , 2 guys for Tech I think scored maybe 70% of the points  he was ? before game   I do think if tech is healthy and they are getting there, they are going to be hard to beat    

gl 

The Purple CBI tourney starts Sunday , and an old favorite of mine Illinois st play Presbyterian, Elon vs Army, Manhattan vs ICW, and Queens vs N Arizona  and what's odd is the I'll st/Presb game the winner gets a bye , because the other 3 winners play 3 other teams in the tourney ...the winner of the Manhattan/ICW game plays Jacksonville...winner of the Elon game plays FGCU, and winner of the queens game plays CLEV st , Personally I think Illinois st is the best team in it, but Presbyterian has been very good covering this year and the line is only -5.5-6 I actually like Presbyterian before looking ....but this tourney is only 4 days  they play Sunday   Monday  Tues, championship game is wed 5pm should be a fun tourney ..Monday games start at 12 noon ,2pm, and 630pm  and Tuesday semi finals 7 an 9 pm    got some good games I think, and decent teams if ya like mid majors  again I'll st has been good this year , and FGCU, and Manhattan  all games in Dayton Beach FL   

as far as Queens  remember even though they were not eligible for the NCAA tourney, they took Lipscomb to OT in the conf semi finals 

sunday I am playing Manhattan pk over ICW both teams were decent ats this year, Manhattan beat better teams this year and were 10-5 away this year ats and 8-7 STR up, we ask how fired up are they going to be, personally I think if they are in it they should be, its a chance to win a championship 

Manhattan pk  1 unit  12 noon game 

and I am going to go with Presbyterian +6 vs Illinois st, I think a team like Presbyterian does want to be here, yes Illinois st played better teams, but Presbyterian played in many very close games, and they were 8-0 ats away this year, I was on them many times when they covered, as a bettor is great when you can ride a team like that , Illinois st was 0-4 as an away favorite  now no one is at home or visiting but an away game is an away game, and the over might be worth a shot here too, as Presbyterian was 8-3-1 OVER away this year and 10-3 OVER as a dog and 11-2 over off a loss  line is 5.5  141   and Illinois st did avg about 75 pts and Presb 71  both gave up about 72 pts  both teams have been off since March 7th so lots of practice   7pm game 

already have Presbyterian +6   I thought the game was tonight  but its Sunday   1 unit   and will be looking at the oVER for sure

other 2 games  ELON -6.5 vs Army  147   and Queens -1.5 vs N Ariz  151.5 

NIT games Sunday  Loyola chic at San Fran  SF -5.5  144  I do not like how Loyola gave up an 12 pt lead with 3 mins to go at San Jose to win by 3, yes I pushed by buying down from 3.5 saved me 110.00 but to score just one basket last 4 + mins not good and San Fran was not a bad team, should be a good game  

ark st at N Texas...N Texas -4  137   Ark st just beat St Louis big-time at home 103-78  and N Texas had a huge 2nd half and pulled away from Furman 75-64  , looking at this I think Ark st may be worth a shot here, they have done well away this year, they were 8-5 STR up away, and 9-3-1 ats away, and 4-1-1 ats as an away dog , and N Texas was 16-1 STR up at home this year, they were just 6-8-1 ats at home and 10-11 as a home favorite  HardRock does not have these lines yet but my other book does but I am going to wait here, but I do like Ark st  +4  would love 4.5 or 5  so hopefully when they post maybe it will go up  but I will spend juice to get a half pt if need be 

Ark st +4  4.5  1 unit  

and tomorrow or now today Sunday  I do already have 

Maryland -7 bet  and Mich st -7 bet   people love underdogs in this tourney, and col st and  New Mexico are good teams  the big 10 has been very good so far but Wisc did lose and I think UCLA will too  but I had both Tenn and BYU in those games, Tom Izzo is a very good coach and when its tourney time very good, they are deep playing 9-10 players, and all can score and rebound  ..... yes anything can happen, but as we seen in the 1st games with these 2 teams hung in there 1st half, but then each pulled away and won easily   

Mich st and Maryland are both 2 units 

and I am leaning to Kentucky +2 vs Illinois   Illinois looked good vs Xavier who played a game, and Xavier just did not shoot well , and they did get 4 more shots than Illinois did, because Illinois had 14 to's to only 5 for Xavier and Illinois made 3 more 3's and 5 more ft's  , Kentucky shot 47% against a pretty good Troy defense , and they made 10 3's  this should be a very good game, I think Illinois has been a team that when they are on top of their game they are very good, but they had some bad losses this year, there should be plenty of fans from both schools in Milwaukee  Illinois is closer  200 miles , but KY fams will have no problem going 390 miles to watch their team   this is when the games will be real good as we get better teams playing each other   for some reason I think this line may drop  so I am taking KY +2 now

KY +2  1.5 units  

and doing a Parlay  because I do favor Arizona tonight  and I am doing 3 teams ML and buying Arizona down to -2.5 because your not paying juice it just makes the payout less if ya move the lines    

Alabama ML/Florida ML/ Iowa st ML/ Arizona -2.5  payout is +316   so I can bet 100.00  hoping the 3 fav's win their games  then I get a 100.00 bet on Arizona  no juice  to win 316.00  

HARDROCK has Ark st +4.5  I am buying to +5    1 unit 

gl everyone

well looking at the lines today in the NIT I see Presbyterian has dropped to 4.5 from 5.5 ....vs a decent team like Ill st maybe that surprised some people , that's why I grabbed it when I did , HardRock still does not have the lines for the CBI Tournament up so I have to go through the other book , and I did think this game was Saturday ..... also UAB went down from 7 to 6.5 at least at my offshore book, and Army dropped a point also as they are now +5.5 from 6.5 ..and Jacksonville st went up to 8 from 7.5  the O/U on the Ill st game is up a half pt now  to 141.5 , total on N.Texas up a half to 137.5 

also grabbing Army today at +5.5  again should have looked into this yesterday, but both teams struggled a bit late in the year, But Army did have a nice run where they won 9 of 11 in January and into the 1st 2 weeks of Feb, and being a military school I think they look at this chance in the NIT with a bit more of excitement , and are happy to be playing,   and HardRock finally has the lines up for the CBI tourney  and Manhattan has went to +1.5  that surprises me so maybe I have to look into that play more now  , My offshore book still has it at a pick'em , so now I will bet it at Hard rock of course  cannot buy up, again if I want to buy up I have to bet at the offshore book , as HardRock is offering just one line , only NCAA games are they letting people move the lines   still playing Manhattan just at +1.5 now and not pick 

Manhattan +1.5 HardRock  

Army +6 buying up at Betnow  -123