Conference Play is a marathon, not a sprint and tricky....
Case in Point:
Monday results (19 games)
Favorites 6 - 13 ATS << 8 out of 13 dogs won outright (65% ML gold spots!)
Tuesday results (29 games - 27 results complete)
Favorites 15 - 12 ATS << 4 out 12 dogs won outright (33% ML gold spots)
I want some of that ML cash so......
Those that know me on other threads in other sports, know that I like to do DOUBLE UP bets (3 legs) but since its a little more risky but quite lucrative, I am going to start with a lower amount and do QUAD legs for Double Ups
1st leg selection costs = Q ($25)
if lose, 2nd leg = HALF U ($50)
if lose that, 3rd leg selection = 1U ($100)
if lose that, 4th and final leg = 2U ($200) << lose this, I wait to start all over again if I like a night
I won't do a DOUBLE UP every night but you can bet I will probably be frisky for the first while ....
Inputting results and then looking into tomorrow's matchups:
What's hot in my Conference Spreadsheet Trends?
#1 Trend over 2 seasons of Track Results
= FADE favorites ATS on any spread if they are ranked #151 - 190 when playing a team ranked #231 - 280th
= only 26 - 54 - 3 success rate for favorite
#2 Trend:
= FADE favorites who are ranked #151 - 190th when they are -0.5 to -2.5 line
= only 34 - 58 - 1 success rate!
**** this means these teams are live bait for my DOUBLE UP of ML DOGS ****
#3 Trend:
= FADE the favorite if ranked #21 - 40th when they have a spread of -11 to -15.5
= only a 9 - 26 ATS success rate!
There are some positive spreads and rank combos but not as much as there are great fades so it is imperative to do matchup checking during play time.....it makes a difference!
Proving is hard. Talk is easy.
You were right. The line jumping the fence was a head fake.
Bad break. We had it and then didn't.
North Texas total already down 1 pt....
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