Posted:
#626
Great thread. You definitely have the basketball knowledge to get the edge.
thanks for taking your time and sharing your info
L2T Conference Betting Thread
Posted:
#629
Quote Originally Posted by boro33:
Great thread. You definitely have the basketball knowledge to get the edge. thanks for taking your time and sharing your info
Great thread. You definitely have the basketball knowledge to get the edge. thanks for taking your time and sharing your info
Thank you boro, and you seem like someone that is a big fan and very aware too 
....been following NCAAB since I was about 12 yrs old so approaching 50 yrs
Proving is hard. Talk is easy.
Posted:
#630
Quote Originally Posted by JSN2Deep:
AZ under is up to 149 1/2 at my book now, 2 point move today, is that worrisome thirst or nah.
AZ under is up to 149 1/2 at my book now, 2 point move today, is that worrisome thirst or nah.
I don't think so? Unless the Iowa St coach decides to play tempo and jack up a lot of shots ....Arizona is very fast on reverting to defensive position however, and that is what has impressed me quite a bit considering they have a lot of first year starters ...I mentioned this earlier in the season
Let me peak at IWST pattern on the road and after 2 losses or a bad one loss.....
Proving is hard. Talk is easy.
Posted:
#631
Thank you. I love breaking down the march madness brackets. One problem I have is playing way too many. Haha
Looking forward of your breakdown Right now looking at Michigan State, Alabama and St.Johns to make some noise. I know I drive myself crazy looking even before the brackets come out. I won a nice prize three years ago in a pretty big pool.
Posted:
#632
Ok...concerning IWST vs NCAAB type teams on the road
recent to further in time:
148 - BYU L << as explosive as IWST at home but more so maybe ...free flowing games whereas IWST plays tough defense at home
117 - TCU L
149 - Cincy L << remember this game ...I played UNDER and it was a hack fest in the last 3 min putting it OVER 142.5 if I remember correctly
139 - Purdue W << Dec 6 non Conf game
It seems to me VEGAS set a pretty good line and I do know IWST will be tired likely so that usually affects deeper shots ...they have had a lot of travel out of times zones in the past 10 days or so
Proving is hard. Talk is easy.
Posted:
#633
Quote Originally Posted by boro33:
Thank you. I love breaking down the march madness brackets. One problem I have is playing way too many. Haha Looking forward of your breakdown Right now looking at Michigan State, Alabama and St.Johns to make some noise. I know I drive myself crazy looking even before the brackets come out. I won a nice prize three years ago in a pretty big pool.
Thank you. I love breaking down the march madness brackets. One problem I have is playing way too many. Haha Looking forward of your breakdown Right now looking at Michigan State, Alabama and St.Johns to make some noise. I know I drive myself crazy looking even before the brackets come out. I won a nice prize three years ago in a pretty big pool.
SWEEETTTTT!!! my kind of guy.... I won a University sports teams Lettermen tourney pool with about 125 guys in taking Indiana in 87' and they were not a #1 seed
Proving is hard. Talk is easy.
)
Posted:
#638
No plays for me ....trying to nail down some business/alliances at this conference and it soaked up my time the past 4 days and for a while prepping for it
Back to normal tomorrow! This card tonight looked fantastic.... I got the Bama OVER and just need Nebraska to win over UCLA to finish a nice paying 4 way parlay with an upset in Premier League and Under 1.5 goals in an Argentina soccer game.... $10 ticket pays out $245 and then I ripped up a $20 ticket paying similar but the upset pays more at +350 (Sunderland)
We should start seeing some Conference tourneys starting soon
Proving is hard. Talk is easy.
Posted:
#639
Under - Over ratio yesterday was 27:25 but a check of just looking at Top 100 ranked teams it skews to the UNDER more as it seems to me the varied results are stemming from many teams knowing they are IN and are deploying their benches a little longer
Top 100 yesterday = 17 - 12 UNDER/OVER ratio
Proving is hard. Talk is easy.
Posted:
#640
Both ULL-JMAD show higher neutral court numbers early in season and ULL in particular likes to score more on the road ....
Play #1 Tonight > ULL/JMAD Over 135 x HALF U....true one and done game for these two so watch for hack fest to ensue using the charity stripe
...slowly going through some early games...will have more
Proving is hard. Talk is easy.
Posted:
#641
Play #2 - Stetson-EKY Over 155.5 x 1U
-like this one more....both with suspect defenses and especially vs the best offensive shooting style of both teams
-both are high scoring on neutral courts mostly around this number or higher.... I will start to fade totals after teams play 2-3 games in a row, but not yet with early Conference games
Proving is hard. Talk is easy.
Posted:
#642
Play #3 - Indiana Over 138.5 x HALF U
- I expect Indiana now firmly on a bubble seat, to get back their home scoring mojo
-looks like Minny has been hitting 140+ games regularly lately and they will have to counter punch what Indiana does ....I think this Total should be 141 or slightly higher
Proving is hard. Talk is easy.
Posted:
#643
Careful on this one..... I see it as a press but you may not given the circumstances
Detroit -2 x 2U
OVER 151.5 x 1U
Conference tourney game where home team has big advantage .....Milwaukee taking money likely on this angle....Detroi has won both games this season and comfortably .....its hard to win 3x in a row, however, if you look at Milwaukee's defense...its terrible and Detroit would have to awful to loose including on the FT line where they are 31st best in NCAAB
- I like home court/skinny line/crowd motivation/referee intimidation to ease off the home team
-Detroit with superior shooting stats and way superior FT line capability making it difficult for Milwaukee to claw back late
-Milwaukee offense and defense worse as well as FT shooting
Since I spent quite a bit on early games.....I will look for some chedda in the late games 9pm and later
with your decisions
Proving is hard. Talk is easy.
Posted:
#647
Quote Originally Posted by Last2thirst:
Play #2 - Stetson-EKY Over 155.5 x 1U -like this one more....both with suspect defenses and especially vs the best offensive shooting style of both teams -both are high scoring on neutral courts mostly around this number or higher.... I will start to fade totals after teams play 2-3 games in a row, but not yet with early Conference games
Play #2 - Stetson-EKY Over 155.5 x 1U -like this one more....both with suspect defenses and especially vs the best offensive shooting style of both teams -both are high scoring on neutral courts mostly around this number or higher.... I will start to fade totals after teams play 2-3 games in a row, but not yet with early Conference games
WINNER WINNER, chicken dinner with 6 minutes left 
Proving is hard. Talk is easy.
Posted:
#648
Quote Originally Posted by Last2thirst:
Careful on this one..... I see it as a press but you may not given the circumstances Detroit -2 x 2U OVER 151.5 x 1U Conference tourney game where home team has big advantage .....Milwaukee taking money likely on this angle....Detroi has won both games this season and comfortably .....its hard to win 3x in a row, however, if you look at Milwaukee's defense...its terrible and Detroit would have to awful to loose including on the FT line where they are 31st best in NCAAB - I like home court/skinny line/crowd motivation/referee intimidation to ease off the home team -Detroit with superior shooting stats and way superior FT line capability making it difficult for Milwaukee to claw back late -Milwaukee offense and defense worse as well as FT shooting Since I spent quite a bit on early games.....I will look for some chedda in the late games 9pm and later with your decisions
Careful on this one..... I see it as a press but you may not given the circumstances Detroit -2 x 2U OVER 151.5 x 1U Conference tourney game where home team has big advantage .....Milwaukee taking money likely on this angle....Detroi has won both games this season and comfortably .....its hard to win 3x in a row, however, if you look at Milwaukee's defense...its terrible and Detroit would have to awful to loose including on the FT line where they are 31st best in NCAAB - I like home court/skinny line/crowd motivation/referee intimidation to ease off the home team -Detroit with superior shooting stats and way superior FT line capability making it difficult for Milwaukee to claw back late -Milwaukee offense and defense worse as well as FT shooting Since I spent quite a bit on early games.....I will look for some chedda in the late games 9pm and later with your decisions
Best of luck brother!!!
Posted:
#649
Quote Originally Posted by FelixFermin21:
Quote Originally Posted by Last2thirst: Careful on this one..... I see it as a press but you may not given the circumstances Detroit -2 x 2U OVER 151.5 x 1U Conference tourney game where home team has big advantage .....Milwaukee taking money likely on this angle....Detroi has won both games this season and comfortably .....its hard to win 3x in a row, however, if you look at Milwaukee's defense...its terrible and Detroit would have to awful to loose including on the FT line where they are 31st best in NCAAB - I like home court/skinny line/crowd motivation/referee intimidation to ease off the home team -Detroit with superior shooting stats and way superior FT line capability making it difficult for Milwaukee to claw back late -Milwaukee offense and defense worse as well as FT shooting Since I spent quite a bit on early games.....I will look for some chedda in the late games 9pm and later with your decisions Best of luck brother!!!
Quote Originally Posted by Last2thirst: Careful on this one..... I see it as a press but you may not given the circumstances Detroit -2 x 2U OVER 151.5 x 1U Conference tourney game where home team has big advantage .....Milwaukee taking money likely on this angle....Detroi has won both games this season and comfortably .....its hard to win 3x in a row, however, if you look at Milwaukee's defense...its terrible and Detroit would have to awful to loose including on the FT line where they are 31st best in NCAAB - I like home court/skinny line/crowd motivation/referee intimidation to ease off the home team -Detroit with superior shooting stats and way superior FT line capability making it difficult for Milwaukee to claw back late -Milwaukee offense and defense worse as well as FT shooting Since I spent quite a bit on early games.....I will look for some chedda in the late games 9pm and later with your decisions Best of luck brother!!!
U2 my friend 
Proving is hard. Talk is easy.
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