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    All Forums | College Basketball

    L2T Conference Betting Thread

    «First Previous 151617 ... 353637 Next Last»
    Last2thirst
    Brewmeister
    finsterbaby
    Parrot1
    FelixFermin21
    Participants:
    Search
    Views: 18052
    Posts: 911
    «First Previous 151617 ... 353637 Next Last»
     
    Last2thirst
    Last2thirst
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    Posted: Feb. 1, 2026 - 1:42 PM ET #351

    2pm play(s):

    Marist-Niagara Under 129.5 x HALF U

    -they tend to play UNDER or around this number but this year, Marist with an efficient but long clock offense and great defense....they can play any style and know Niagara tend to play tougher at home so they will focus on defending hard 

    I see a 70 -55 type of score and maybe Marist does not score that much? 

     

    UMKC +19 or even +18.5 x HALF U

    - strong DOUBLE FADE in my stats.... St.Thomas do not tend to strong arm teams at home

     

    Fairfield +2.5 x 1U and like the ML if you want to try.... 

    -home team win series over the years and this is a DOUBLE FADE correlation strong!!

     

    clover

    Proving is hard. Talk is easy.
    Reply

    2pm play(s):

    Marist-Niagara Under 129.5 x HALF U

    -they tend to play UNDER or around this number but this year, Marist with an efficient but long clock offense and great defense....they can play any style and know Niagara tend to play tougher at home so they will focus on defending hard 

    I see a 70 -55 type of score and maybe Marist does not score that much? 

     

    UMKC +19 or even +18.5 x HALF U

    - strong DOUBLE FADE in my stats.... St.Thomas do not tend to strong arm teams at home

     

    Fairfield +2.5 x 1U and like the ML if you want to try.... 

    -home team win series over the years and this is a DOUBLE FADE correlation strong!!

     

    clover

     
    Last2thirst
    Last2thirst
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    Posted: Feb. 1, 2026 - 1:58 PM ET #352

    I'm taking a stand on the Illinois - Nebraska game: - huge implications !!

     

    Nebraska - 1 x 3U

    - this home court is likely the best home court that I have noticed in the Big 10 other than Michigan or Indiana over the years...

    -Nebraska and Illinois both have a key player questionable and are managing without them well despite them missing 3 1.5 

    -Illinois has not beaten a top shelf Top 7 team this year....NEBRASKA has!

    -Nebraska can shut down ANY offense including Michigan's to go UNDER this total

    - I love the UNDER but will Nebraska play more offensive for the TV audience is the question??? 

    Neb-Illinois Under 151.5 x 1.5 U

     

     

    Proving is hard. Talk is easy.
    Reply

    I'm taking a stand on the Illinois - Nebraska game: - huge implications !!

     

    Nebraska - 1 x 3U

    - this home court is likely the best home court that I have noticed in the Big 10 other than Michigan or Indiana over the years...

    -Nebraska and Illinois both have a key player questionable and are managing without them well despite them missing 3 1.5 

    -Illinois has not beaten a top shelf Top 7 team this year....NEBRASKA has!

    -Nebraska can shut down ANY offense including Michigan's to go UNDER this total

    - I love the UNDER but will Nebraska play more offensive for the TV audience is the question??? 

    Neb-Illinois Under 151.5 x 1.5 U

     

     

     
    Brewmeister
    Brewmeister
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    Posted: Feb. 1, 2026 - 2:23 PM ET #353

    @Last2thirst

    clover  an_horse 

    Reply

    @Last2thirst

    clover  an_horse 

     
    Last2thirst
    Last2thirst
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    Posted: Feb. 1, 2026 - 2:24 PM ET #354

    Wofford +2.5 x 1U

    N. Kentucky +5 x HALF U

     

    Best DOUBLE FADE correlations later....

    Proving is hard. Talk is easy.
    Reply

    Wofford +2.5 x 1U

    N. Kentucky +5 x HALF U

     

    Best DOUBLE FADE correlations later....

     
    Last2thirst
    Last2thirst
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    Posted: Feb. 1, 2026 - 3:23 PM ET #355

    Summary of plays today:

    2pm play(s):

     

    Marist-Niagara Under 129.5 x HALF U

    UMKC +19 or even +18.5 x HALF U

     

    Fairfield +2.5 x 1U and like the ML if you want to try.... 

    -------------------------------------------------------------------

    Wofford +2.5 x 1U

     N. Kentucky +5 x HALF U

    ---------------------------------------------------------------

    I'm taking a stand on the Illinois - Nebraska game: - huge implications !!

    *** winner might deserve a #1 seed but should secure a #2 seed early for tourney

     Nebraska - 1 x 3U

    - this home court is likely the best home court that I have noticed in the Big 10 other than Michigan or Indiana over the years...

    -Nebraska and Illinois both have a key player questionable and are managing without them well despite them missing 3 1.5 

    -Illinois has not beaten a top shelf Top 7 team this year....NEBRASKA has!

     

    Neb-Illinois Under 151.5 x 1.5 U

     

     

    Proving is hard. Talk is easy.
    Reply

    Summary of plays today:

    2pm play(s):

     

    Marist-Niagara Under 129.5 x HALF U

    UMKC +19 or even +18.5 x HALF U

     

    Fairfield +2.5 x 1U and like the ML if you want to try.... 

    -------------------------------------------------------------------

    Wofford +2.5 x 1U

     N. Kentucky +5 x HALF U

    ---------------------------------------------------------------

    I'm taking a stand on the Illinois - Nebraska game: - huge implications !!

    *** winner might deserve a #1 seed but should secure a #2 seed early for tourney

     Nebraska - 1 x 3U

    - this home court is likely the best home court that I have noticed in the Big 10 other than Michigan or Indiana over the years...

    -Nebraska and Illinois both have a key player questionable and are managing without them well despite them missing 3 1.5 

    -Illinois has not beaten a top shelf Top 7 team this year....NEBRASKA has!

     

    Neb-Illinois Under 151.5 x 1.5 U

     

     

     
    Last2thirst
    Last2thirst
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    Posted: Feb. 1, 2026 - 10:57 PM ET #356

    I am rusty .... or bad luck since none of those picks except Nebraska side is not considering my spreadsheet analysis

     

    2 - 5  (-4U/$400 loss)

     

    Back at it again tomorrow....no luck at bingo but hit some nice doubles in Horses and no big PICK5 tonight

    Proving is hard. Talk is easy.
    Reply

    I am rusty .... or bad luck since none of those picks except Nebraska side is not considering my spreadsheet analysis

     

    2 - 5  (-4U/$400 loss)

     

    Back at it again tomorrow....no luck at bingo but hit some nice doubles in Horses and no big PICK5 tonight

     
    finsterbaby
    finsterbaby
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    Posted: Feb. 2, 2026 - 6:20 AM ET #357

    last2, play tex tech n the rust will come off.book ittttthumbs_up

    Reply

    last2, play tex tech n the rust will come off.book ittttthumbs_up

     
    Parrot1
    Parrot1
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    Posted: Feb. 2, 2026 - 10:16 AM ET #358

    Why are you putting your picks in his thread?

    Reply

    Why are you putting your picks in his thread?

     
    Last2thirst
    Last2thirst
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    Posted: Feb. 2, 2026 - 3:39 PM ET #359

    Its ok... I do my own thing but I appreciate the posts and suggestions from everyone. Finster, I would follow anytime but its not my style much anymore. I am all about the analytical patterns and matchups and usually a bit of both

     

    Horses, I will study tape and use program and know drivers (standardbreds or harness) tendencies etc...

    Proving is hard. Talk is easy.
    Reply

    Its ok... I do my own thing but I appreciate the posts and suggestions from everyone. Finster, I would follow anytime but its not my style much anymore. I am all about the analytical patterns and matchups and usually a bit of both

     

    Horses, I will study tape and use program and know drivers (standardbreds or harness) tendencies etc...

     
    Last2thirst
    Last2thirst
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    Posted: Feb. 2, 2026 - 3:39 PM ET #360

    Quote Originally Posted by finsterbaby:

    last2, play tex tech n the rust will come off.book itttt

     

    Is Tech playing tonight and at home? I have been out of the loop for social reasons and family these past 48 hrs bro...

    Proving is hard. Talk is easy.
    Reply

    Quote Originally Posted by finsterbaby:

    last2, play tex tech n the rust will come off.book itttt

     

    Is Tech playing tonight and at home? I have been out of the loop for social reasons and family these past 48 hrs bro...

     
    Last2thirst
    Last2thirst
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    Posted: Feb. 2, 2026 - 3:41 PM ET #361

    Ya, playing Kansas on the road ....like that matchup! Let me check some things though...

    Proving is hard. Talk is easy.
    Reply

    Ya, playing Kansas on the road ....like that matchup! Let me check some things though...

     
    Last2thirst
    Last2thirst
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    Posted: Feb. 2, 2026 - 3:55 PM ET #362

    Spread lines up well for TTECH: 

     

    -from my spreadsheet spread results in Conference Play over 2 seasons for TEAMS in TOP 20

    #1- 20      

    > -35 -31 = 0- 2

     -30.5-26  = 2- 3 

    -25.5-21 = 6- 7 

    -20.5-16 = 20- 19- 1

    -15.5-11 = 40- 34- 1

    -10.5-6 = 45- 48- 1

    -5.5 - 3  = 34- 21- 1 

    -2.5 - 0.5  = 17- 14- 1

     

    Play #1 - Parlay Portland St 1.29 ML with Kansas 1.5 ML > pays 1.94 x 2U

     

    Probably will be siding on the OVER - UNDER later but in the middle of horse capping for 6 pm card 

     

    Kansas coming in looking for revenge..........so I lean to an open game vs TTECH on their home court........leaning OVER

     

     

    Proving is hard. Talk is easy.
    Reply

    Spread lines up well for TTECH: 

     

    -from my spreadsheet spread results in Conference Play over 2 seasons for TEAMS in TOP 20

    #1- 20      

    > -35 -31 = 0- 2

     -30.5-26  = 2- 3 

    -25.5-21 = 6- 7 

    -20.5-16 = 20- 19- 1

    -15.5-11 = 40- 34- 1

    -10.5-6 = 45- 48- 1

    -5.5 - 3  = 34- 21- 1 

    -2.5 - 0.5  = 17- 14- 1

     

    Play #1 - Parlay Portland St 1.29 ML with Kansas 1.5 ML > pays 1.94 x 2U

     

    Probably will be siding on the OVER - UNDER later but in the middle of horse capping for 6 pm card 

     

    Kansas coming in looking for revenge..........so I lean to an open game vs TTECH on their home court........leaning OVER

     

     

     
    Last2thirst
    Last2thirst
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    Posted: Feb. 2, 2026 - 3:55 PM ET #363

    Spread lines up well for TTECH: 

    -from my spreadsheet spread results in Conference Play over 2 seasons for TEAMS in TOP 20

    #1- 20      

    > -35 -31 = 0- 2

     -30.5-26  = 2- 3 

    -25.5-21 = 6- 7 

    -20.5-16 = 20- 19- 1

    -15.5-11 = 40- 34- 1

    -10.5-6 = 45- 48- 1

    -5.5 - 3  = 34- 21- 1 

    -2.5 - 0.5  = 17- 14- 1

     

    Play #1 - Parlay Portland St 1.29 ML with Kansas 1.5 ML > pays 1.94 x 2U

     

    Probably will be siding on the OVER - UNDER later but in the middle of horse capping for 6 pm card 

     

     

    Proving is hard. Talk is easy.
    Reply

    Spread lines up well for TTECH: 

    -from my spreadsheet spread results in Conference Play over 2 seasons for TEAMS in TOP 20

    #1- 20      

    > -35 -31 = 0- 2

     -30.5-26  = 2- 3 

    -25.5-21 = 6- 7 

    -20.5-16 = 20- 19- 1

    -15.5-11 = 40- 34- 1

    -10.5-6 = 45- 48- 1

    -5.5 - 3  = 34- 21- 1 

    -2.5 - 0.5  = 17- 14- 1

     

    Play #1 - Parlay Portland St 1.29 ML with Kansas 1.5 ML > pays 1.94 x 2U

     

    Probably will be siding on the OVER - UNDER later but in the middle of horse capping for 6 pm card 

     

     

     
    Last2thirst
    Last2thirst
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    Posted: Feb. 2, 2026 - 8:05 PM ET #364

    Tennessee Tech-Tenn St Under 153.5 x 1U

    -I know past games in other years are usually over this number but not this year

    - both can play some defense and Tenn St is used to controlling games vs weaker opponents and not running up scores

    Proving is hard. Talk is easy.
    Reply

    Tennessee Tech-Tenn St Under 153.5 x 1U

    -I know past games in other years are usually over this number but not this year

    - both can play some defense and Tenn St is used to controlling games vs weaker opponents and not running up scores

     
    Last2thirst
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    Posted: Feb. 2, 2026 - 8:19 PM ET #365

    Kansas-Texas Tech Over 155 x HALF U

    -TTECH can score 75 -85 on any defense, even a good one like Kansas has 

    -Kansas will consider this a revenge game and want to win to try and pad their resume to remain a #2 seed and fight for a #1 see potentially if they go on a long run here

    ........I think Kansas should be able to score 74-80 pts ....we could even see OT in this one which is why I decided to go ML parlay in my first play tonight 

    Proving is hard. Talk is easy.
    Reply

    Kansas-Texas Tech Over 155 x HALF U

    -TTECH can score 75 -85 on any defense, even a good one like Kansas has 

    -Kansas will consider this a revenge game and want to win to try and pad their resume to remain a #2 seed and fight for a #1 see potentially if they go on a long run here

    ........I think Kansas should be able to score 74-80 pts ....we could even see OT in this one which is why I decided to go ML parlay in my first play tonight 

     
    Brewmeister
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    Posted: Feb. 2, 2026 - 9:21 PM ET #366

    Don't know if you guys tracked the SYR v NC game but it sure looked like a classic case of point shaving by the Tarheels for the last 10 minutes. Not a fan of the constant mantra of "it was rigged" by losers (I cashed the over and still alive with NC -7.5 in a couple of teases) but given the exposure of some NCAAB players over the last few weeks ya never know. Missed free throws - the works. Just sayin'.

    Sorry. Carry on and BOL. 

    Reply

    Don't know if you guys tracked the SYR v NC game but it sure looked like a classic case of point shaving by the Tarheels for the last 10 minutes. Not a fan of the constant mantra of "it was rigged" by losers (I cashed the over and still alive with NC -7.5 in a couple of teases) but given the exposure of some NCAAB players over the last few weeks ya never know. Missed free throws - the works. Just sayin'.

    Sorry. Carry on and BOL. 

     
    Brewmeister
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    Posted: Feb. 3, 2026 - 12:01 AM ET #367

    @Last2thirst

    Great call on the parlay L2T!

    an_cheers  moneybagmoneybag an_horse 

    Reply

    @Last2thirst

    Great call on the parlay L2T!

    an_cheers  moneybagmoneybag an_horse 

     
    Parrot1
    Parrot1
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    Posted: Feb. 3, 2026 - 8:45 AM ET #368

    @Brewmeister

     I believe NC was up 29 at one point, very interesting.

    Reply

    @Brewmeister

     I believe NC was up 29 at one point, very interesting.

     
    Brewmeister
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    Posted: Feb. 3, 2026 - 11:37 AM ET #369

    Quote Originally Posted by Parrot1:

    @Brewmeister  I believe NC was up 29 at one point, very interesting.

    Tarheels led 72-40 midway through the second half. I didn't actually view the contest - it may be that NC rested its starters at that point but still a remarkable swing to only win by 10 when the spread was 11.5. Things that make you go "Hmmm".

    Reply

    Quote Originally Posted by Parrot1:

    @Brewmeister  I believe NC was up 29 at one point, very interesting.

    Tarheels led 72-40 midway through the second half. I didn't actually view the contest - it may be that NC rested its starters at that point but still a remarkable swing to only win by 10 when the spread was 11.5. Things that make you go "Hmmm".

     
    Last2thirst
    Last2thirst
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    Posted: Feb. 3, 2026 - 1:52 PM ET #370

    I can see bench players having issues vs a 2-3 zone the Syracuse still deploys most of the time despite Boeheim being retired as a coach ....it forces you to hit outside shot and also have a higher chance of steals with passes into the middle of the key

     

    That comeback by Cuse does not surprise me BUT agree it could be a little smellie and baked in that the second half plan was to coast by UNC 

    Proving is hard. Talk is easy.
    Reply

    I can see bench players having issues vs a 2-3 zone the Syracuse still deploys most of the time despite Boeheim being retired as a coach ....it forces you to hit outside shot and also have a higher chance of steals with passes into the middle of the key

     

    That comeback by Cuse does not surprise me BUT agree it could be a little smellie and baked in that the second half plan was to coast by UNC 

     
    Last2thirst
    Last2thirst
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    Posted: Feb. 3, 2026 - 5:47 PM ET #371

    Tonight:

    I have a whole bunch of parlay finisher tickets on MIAMI OHIO moneyline...... I am betting BUFFALO to win with Duke Under parlay for a Backup ticket

    - the spread is strong for Miami Ohio but the matchup correlation between ranks is a FADE ...pass!

     

    Play #1 - DUKE UNDER 141.5 x 2U

    -glad I waited!!!!!! 

    -this was showing around 135 last night if I remember correctly

    -BC can play defense and don't score much on the road and now they face a team who has to play lights out to impress to get a #1 seed and compete with Kansas for a #2 seed and a few other teams...... I expect Duke will be sharp and will hold B.C. to under 55 pts

    -how many will Duke get??? I really see them scoring around 75-83 pts ....if it goes a tick higher for their total, I have some room to spare 

     

    There are a few DOUBLE FADES that are strong but I don't like the lines with the matchup info......wish they were bigger and I would put my toe in the water....if interested: 

    CMU +11.5 

    Rutgers +13.5 ...they can stink up the joint with either their offense OR defense

    SIUE +4.5 

    ^^^ Take this one on a TEASER or straight UNDER 140.5 x HALF U 

    -last 2 games have been 128 totals

    - SIUE with a very strong defense and both teams have a good record so I see a grinding battle for Conference seeding 

     

     

    Matchup Play/Homecourt special:

    SMU ML 1.95 x 1U

    -they are a very tough home court and I love this NC State team, otherwise, I would pound this a little harder ...... this will be a dandy to watch!!!

     

    I wish I would have acted on my ST.LOUIS Over notion last night at 146.5 and 147.5 this morning....its climbing ....Davidson playing well lately and ST.L is a scoring machine so I see them hitting 80 something and Davidson will have to score 73-75 to hang around and foul fest 

     

    clover

    Vegas not giving much last night....or tonight in my opinion.....tough lines!

    Proving is hard. Talk is easy.
    Reply

    Tonight:

    I have a whole bunch of parlay finisher tickets on MIAMI OHIO moneyline...... I am betting BUFFALO to win with Duke Under parlay for a Backup ticket

    - the spread is strong for Miami Ohio but the matchup correlation between ranks is a FADE ...pass!

     

    Play #1 - DUKE UNDER 141.5 x 2U

    -glad I waited!!!!!! 

    -this was showing around 135 last night if I remember correctly

    -BC can play defense and don't score much on the road and now they face a team who has to play lights out to impress to get a #1 seed and compete with Kansas for a #2 seed and a few other teams...... I expect Duke will be sharp and will hold B.C. to under 55 pts

    -how many will Duke get??? I really see them scoring around 75-83 pts ....if it goes a tick higher for their total, I have some room to spare 

     

    There are a few DOUBLE FADES that are strong but I don't like the lines with the matchup info......wish they were bigger and I would put my toe in the water....if interested: 

    CMU +11.5 

    Rutgers +13.5 ...they can stink up the joint with either their offense OR defense

    SIUE +4.5 

    ^^^ Take this one on a TEASER or straight UNDER 140.5 x HALF U 

    -last 2 games have been 128 totals

    - SIUE with a very strong defense and both teams have a good record so I see a grinding battle for Conference seeding 

     

     

    Matchup Play/Homecourt special:

    SMU ML 1.95 x 1U

    -they are a very tough home court and I love this NC State team, otherwise, I would pound this a little harder ...... this will be a dandy to watch!!!

     

    I wish I would have acted on my ST.LOUIS Over notion last night at 146.5 and 147.5 this morning....its climbing ....Davidson playing well lately and ST.L is a scoring machine so I see them hitting 80 something and Davidson will have to score 73-75 to hang around and foul fest 

     

    clover

    Vegas not giving much last night....or tonight in my opinion.....tough lines!

     
    FelixFermin21
    FelixFermin21
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    Posts: 20402
    Posted: Feb. 3, 2026 - 6:31 PM ET #372

    @Last2thirst

     clover

    Reply

    @Last2thirst

     clover

     
    Brewmeister
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    Posts: 934
    Posted: Feb. 3, 2026 - 6:36 PM ET #373

    @Last2thirst

     an_horse

    Reply

    @Last2thirst

     an_horse

     
    Brewmeister
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    Posted: Feb. 3, 2026 - 8:57 PM ET #374

    BC v DUK under! Not even close...

    an_cheers

    Reply

    BC v DUK under! Not even close...

    an_cheers

     
     
    FelixFermin21
    FelixFermin21
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    Posts: 20402
    Posted: Feb. 3, 2026 - 9:11 PM ET #375

    @Last2thirst

    Duke under!!!

    moneybag

    Reply

    @Last2thirst

    Duke under!!!

    moneybag

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