L2T Conference Betting Thread

BOL today!!

ZONA ML x 2U  +100  PLAY OF THE NIGHT!

-SHOW ME WHAT YOU GOT BYU!!!  I like your team and you have a great home court BUT....

- Zona has played 5 tougher teams than BYU's 5 toughest teams and only 3 - 2 vs these

-common opponent ...BYU lost to UCONN ...Zona beat UCONN 

I feel like betting BYU 1st half and will > BYU -0.5 x 1U  << THEY will win the home first half but Arizona...like UCONN...love chasing a leader ....Sparty is like this too

muchos gracias mon amigo 

Down by over 20 at half and now the FADE is kicking in.....enough time left .....we shall see!

I swear these FADES work better than taking the faves UNLESS I blown away by the fave statistically...then its doubly powerful

Monday:

7pm: - Fade the FAVE play

Penn St +12 x 1U  great comeback 

-this spread has a 14 - 37 ATS success rate for the favorite for Ohio St's rank group #21 - 40

Unless Arizona runs into serious foul trouble, no chance for BYU to come back despite raucous crowd

Tuesday....putting together matchups but there is an insta game I am hitting before it goes up

Play #1 - Vanderbilt -6.5 x 2U

-Kentucky is not a good road team and on a neutral court, I would still have a line of -5 here...... Kentucky with serious injury issues but talented bench ....VANDY loves home court and put up serious pts on it...they also get back a key guard in Frankie Collins after a 9 game injury....way too much offense for a road team to handle + KY is wounded 

- I tip my hat and donate my money to Kentucky bettors if you can cover in this building

Zona has let BYU back in and now given a FLAGRANT 1 foul.....2 shots and ball for BYU and only 6 pts difference with 35 seconds....what a stupid play!!

Refs helping BYU ...1 pt game ...wow

ZONA ML x 2U  +100  PLAY OF THE NIGHT!   good game but way too much drama in that one

2 - 0 +3U  ATS / lost a 1st half exotic bet -1U

Of all the spreads posted, only 1 spread tomorrow falls into the GREAT SPREAD category and I am surprised it is that line....

Purdue -4.5 @ Indiana  (#1-20 teams are 32 - 21 ATS with a line -3 to -5.5 )

-want to do some digging on a couple things and then I will lay it....I know Purdue is gonna be pissed off and laser focused after coughing up a game to a rival late 

2 other lines are only a point away from being great 

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*** no great FADE lines tomorrow at 60% successful taking dog

- 3 lines are very close though and on watch!

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As far as a FADE rank group correlation....there is only one right now that lines up and that is UMASS +9.5 @ Miami Ohio 

Play #2 - UMASS +9.5 x HALF U

- I think the pressure to perform to perfection is not only extra motivation for the opponent but more pressure on the MiaOhio players that they may not lose, but weird things happen when everything goes your way for too long  ...trusting the correlation but the matchup does not look great for UMASS on paper 

Play #3 / #4 - Virginia -10 x HALF U 

-my correlation hits at 38 - 26 ATS on this matchup on any spread vs rank groups 

- I really like the UNDER because this is a revenge game, their games are traditionally low scoring and rarely go OVER 140 ....and ND has trouble at times on offense and they are facing a juggernaut defense here

75 -60 type of final > UNDER 141.5 x 1U

.....watching lines for at least 6 potential other plays but they have to hit their numbers....will be looking for a TOTAL play as well

I like New Mexico tonight .....they can play shutdown defense and score at will on this UNLV team....only worry is, sometimes the UNLV fans give their home team energy and they respond producing wins that they should not ....its been a great home court for years

Play #5 New Mexico -4 x HALF U

Is Vandy -6.5 v Ky still a play?

Never mind! Sorry...

@Last2thirst

Yep, I played that last night. I am deciding not to play ATS on Purdue and doing some soccer parlays today with Purdue ML and mixing some of the plays I have selected today 

After dinner and some favorite shows that I watch....I plan on getting into tomorrow as well. ALL of my data is updated and freshly minted so I tend to be more confident with my trends rather than matchup analysis solely in these situations

Once again....Michigan St. playing the first half BEHIND their opponent and this is a pattern I have to start exploiting with 1st HALF bets 

There are a few teams like this 

Virginia TOTAL was dropping all day.... they don't care today and they are letting one of the weakest teams in the top 100 offensively score like butter on them??

I saw the Virginia total go up 5 1/2 points here, from 140 to 145 1/2 in 3 hours.

Really? My Bet365 was at 140 around 3-4 pm ..... it started last night and this morning at 9 am at 141.5

My in-game total is at 149 ....Virginia coach read the riot act and they are slowly things down and clawing back ...score is 54 - 53 ND at 10:50 mark

Looking that ugly OT monster right in the eye....

The UVA total is one of those "you made the right call" moments L2T. Who saw ND scoring over 40 in the first half? This total could easily have been 135ish with no OT and a Cavs win if they hadn't come out snoozing. Bad break. 

Thanks Brew...I don't expect to win them all 

But you've nailed Vandy. And UMASS...