F1 Miami Grand Prix Prediction, Picks & Odds – Miami International Autodrome 2026

Chris Gregory - Betting Analyst at Covers.com
Chris Gregory • Betting Analyst 5+ years betting experience
Updated: Apr 29, 2026 , 10:42 AM ET • 4 min read

The F1 Miami Grand Prix odds heavily favor Mercedes drivers George Russell and Kimi Antonelli as F1 returns from a month-long hiatus.

George Russell Mercedes F1 Miami Grand Prix
Photo By - Reuters Connect. George Russell during the Japanese Grand Prix.

F1 returns from a month-long hiatus with a trip to South Beach for the Miami Grand Prix at the Miami International Autodrome this Sunday.

The Formula 1 odds are all over the Mercedes drivers, even after some regulation changes.

2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix odds

Driver bet365
Mercedes George Russell +137
Mercedes Kimi Antonelli +150
McLaren Oscar Piastri +800
McLaren Lando Norris +1200
Ferrari Charles Leclerc +1400
Ferrari Lewis Hamilton +1400
Red Bull Max Verstappen +3300

Odds as of 4-29.

F1 Miami Grand Prix 2026 pre-qualifying favorites

The Mercedes pairing has finished 1-2 in two of three races to start the season, with George Russell winning the opener in Australia and Kimi Antonelli winning the last two.

And despite Antonelli having a 9-point lead in the Drivers' Standings through those three races, Russell is the slight favorite at +137 while Antonelli is second at +150.

There's a big gap between them and the rest of the field, with the McLaren drivers next on the board despite being fifth and sixth in the standings. Oscar Piastri is +800 after finishing second in Japan, and Lando Norris is fourth on the board at +1200.

The Ferrari racers are next: Charles Leclerc (two podiums this season) and Lewis Hamilton (one podium) are both on the board at +1400. Max Verstappen is the only other driver in the mix at +3300.

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F1 Miami Grand Prix 2026 post-qualifying picks

Our picks and starting grid will come after Saturday's qualifying session is complete.

Previous F1 Miami Grand Prix winners

Year Driver Team
2025 McLaren Oscar Piastri McLaren McLaren
2024 McLaren Lando Norris McLaren McLaren
2023 Red Bull Max Verstappen Red Bull Red Bull
2022 Red Bull Max Verstappen Red Bull Red Bull

Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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Betting Analyst

In his four years on the Covers editorial team, Chris Gregory has helped bolster the site’s golf and college football coverage. He brings a journalism and marketing background to his work as a Publishing Editor and can be found across our site covering the Masters, college football futures, and more.

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