F1 Hungarian Grand Prix Prediction, Picks & Odds: Hungaroring 2026

Kyle LaRusic - Betting Analyst at Covers.com
Kyle LaRusic • Betting Analyst 5+ years betting experience
Updated: Jul 22, 2026 , 11:22 AM ET • 4 min read

After winning in Belgium last week, Kimi Antonelli is favored to win the Hungarian Grand Prix.

Kimi Antonelli celebrates with a trophy on the podium after winning the Belgian Grand Prix
Photo By - Reuters Connect. Kimi Antonelli celebrates with a trophy on the podium after winning the Belgian Grand Prix

F1 action continues this weekend as drivers head to Mogyorod for the 2026 Hungarian Open, with the race taking place at the famous Hungaroring. 

See who is favored in the Formula 1 odds for the July 26 race, and be sure to check in later this week for our pre- and post-qualifying Hungarian Grand Prix predictions.

📊 Hungarian Grand Prix odds

Driver Polymarket Win probability
Mercedes Kimi Antonelli +156 39%
Ferrari Lewis Hamilton +426 19%
Ferrari Charles Leclerc +455 18%
Mercedes George Russell +733 12%
Red Bull Max Verstappen +1011 9%
McLaren Lando Norris +1150 8%
McLaren Oscar Piastri +2400 4%

Odds from Polymarket, one of our best F1 betting sites

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📋 Hungarian Grand Prix favorites

Once again, Kimi Antonelli is favored ahead of qualifying, sitting at +156. Behind him are the Ferrari pair of Lewis Hamilton (+426) and Charles Leclerc (+455), who almost have identical odds of winning.

Last year's winner, Lando Norris, currently has an 8% chance of going back-to-back in Hungary. He would become the first repeat winner here since Max Verstappen finished first in 2022 and 2023.

🏆 Previous Hungarian Grand Prix winners

Year Driver Team
2025 McLaren Lando Norris McLaren McLaren
2024 McLaren Oscar Piastri McLaren McLaren
2023 Red Bull Max Verstappen Red Bull Red Bull Racing
2022 Red Bull Max Verstappen Red Bull Red Bull Racing
2021 Alpine Esteban Ocon Alpine Alpine

❓ Hungarian Grand Prix betting FAQs

Who is favored to win the Hungarian Grand Prix?

Kimi Antonelli is favored at +156 to win the Hungarian Grand Prix ahead of qualifiers.

When and where is the Hungarian Grand Prix?

The 2026 Hungarian Grand Prix takes place at the Hungaroring racetrack in Mogyorod, Hungary, on Sunday, July 26.

How can I watch the Hungarian Grand Prix?

Apple TV is the exclusive home of F1 racing.

Who won the Hungarian Grand Prix in 2025?

McLaren's Oscar Piastri won the Hungarian Grand Prix in 2025.

Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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Kyle LaRusic - Covers
Betting Analyst

Kyle LaRusic joined Covers in 2020 with a Holland College diploma in Journalism and a Mount Saint Vincent Degree in Public Relations. Stints at Amherst News and the Cape Breton Post helped sharpen his skills in a newsroom setting, while working for MSVU and Dalhousie’s athletic departments landed Kyle in his comfort zone.

Kyle has been an avid bettor for over five years, starting with just one Sports Interaction account before discovering both the beauty and importance of price shopping. bet365 and Pinnacle are his go to books, but accounts at 10+ sportsbooks give him an array of options. “Rusty” will bet on anything under the sun as long as there’s value and good reasoning behind it, but NHL and NFL are his two favorite leagues to watch and wager on — especially with friends.

Kyle’s biggest tip for any bettor is simple: gamble responsibly. Only bet what you’re willing to lose and make sure to install a proper bankroll method to keep track of your ROI. If you’re still dwelling on the amount you lost the next day, it’s time to decrease your spending.

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