With the Spanish Grand Prix moving to and debuting at the MADRING Circuit, this year's trip to the Circuit de Barcelona-Catalunya will be the first race to be run under this new name.
Looking at this week's Formula 1 odds, it's more of the same as the favored Kimi Antonelli continues to dominate the rest of the grid.
Check out our Barcelona-Catalunya Grand Prix predictions below before things get underway at 9 a.m. ET on Sunday, June 14.
🏁 Barcelona-Catalunya Grand Prix predictions
| Driver | Pick | Date |  |
Win probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Kimi Antonelli |
Win | June 11 | +122 | 45% |
 Lewis Hamilton |
Fastest lap | June 11 | +1100 | 8% |
📊 Barcelona-Catalunya Grand Prix odds
| Driver | |
Win probability |
|---|---|---|
| Kimi Antonelli |
+122 | 45% |
| George Russell |
+317 | 24% |
 Max Verstappen |
+900 | 10% |
| Lewis Hamilton |
+1329 | 7% |
 Lando Norris |
+1567 | 6% |
| Oscar Piastri |
+1900 | 5% |
| Charles Leclerc |
+2400 | 4% |
Odds from Polymarket, one of our best F1 betting sites.
🏎️ Barcelona-Catalunya Grand Prix picks
Race pick: Kimi Antonelli to win (+122)
At this point, the chance to bet on Kimi Antonelli at plus-money odds is a no-brainer.
His impressive win in Monaco ended Mercedes’ recent struggles there, and now he moves to a track he knows intimately, as Mercedes did much of its testing here heading into the 2026 season.
On their allotted days on the track, Antonelli and Russell completed 500 laps, and Antonelli unofficially clocked the fastest lap at 1:17.382.
Mix that track comfort with the fastest car and the hottest driver on the grid, and you have a clear favorite to win again this weekend.
Prop pick: Lewis Hamilton fastest lap (+1100)
Lewis Hamilton is probably his most comfortable in a Ferrari since coming over from Mercedes to start the 2025 season. He hasn’t yet raised a checkered flag, but his two second-place finishes show he’s on the cusp of something significant.
Hamilton has won at Circuit de Barcelona-Catalunya six times (when it was still known as the Spanish GP), and has also had the fastest lap on this track six times.
While the most recent came in 2019, this is a good stop on the rejuvenation tour, and a real shot at cashing this prop for you.
🧠 How I'm picking the Barcelona-Catalunya Grand Prix
The drivers love the Circuit de Barcelona-Catalunya, which has been a staple pre-season testing venue for Formula 1.
The track is a good mix of high- and low-speed corners, including a long start/finish straight, which is the prime location for overtaking — something that was almost non-existent in Monaco.
Barcelona temperatures could reach 34 degrees Celsius on race day, which will add stress and strategy to tire management for teams and drivers as they work their way through the 66-lap race.
Antonelli (four) and Mercedes teammate George Russell (two) have captured each pole this season so far, which leads me to pick Antonelli to win in consecutive weeks.
📋 Barcelona-Catalunya Grand Prix favorites
Kimi Antonelli (+122) will be the man to beat until further notice. His victory in Monaco marked five straight wins dating back to the second race of the season, and he's pulled away in the Drivers' Standings.
His Mercedes teammate George Russell is second-choice at +317 and has finished inside the Top 4 here in four straight years.
After the dynamic Mercedes duo lies a huge gap on the odds board, with Red Bull's Max Verstappen running third on the board. He's a three-time Barcelona champ, winning in 2022, 2023, and 2024 before Oscar Piastri ended his streak a year ago.
🏆 Previous Barcelona-Catalunya Grand Prix winners
This is the first time this race will be held under the Barcelona-Catalunya Grand Prix name. The Spanish Grand Prix has been held at this track since 1991.
| Year | Driver | Team |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Oscar Piastri |
McLaren |
| 2024 | Max Verstappen |
Red Bull |
| 2023 | Max Verstappen |
Red Bull |
| 2022 | Max Verstappen |
Red Bull |
| 2019 | Lewis Hamilton |
Mercedes |
| 2018 | Lewis Hamilton |
Mercedes |
| 2017 | Lewis Hamilton |
Mercedes |
| 2016 | Lewis Hamilton |
Mercedes |
| 2015 | Lewis Hamilton |
Mercedes |
❓ Barcelona-Catalunya Grand Prix betting FAQs
Who is favored to win the Barcelona-Catalunya Grand Prix?
Kimi Antonelli of Mercedes is a clear +122 favorite to win the Barcelona-Catalunya Grand Prix.
When and where is the Barcelona-Catalunya Grand Prix?
The Barcelona-Catalunya Grand Prix will be held at the Circuit de Barcelona-Catalunya at 9 a.m. ET on Sunday, June 14.
How can I watch the Barcelona-Catalunya Grand Prix?
Apple TV is the exclusive home of Formula 1 in the United States. In Canada, the race will be available on TSN.
Who won the Barcelona-Catalunya Grand Prix in 2025?
Oscar Piastri won the 2025 Spanish Grand Prix held at this track. His teammate Lando Norris finished second.
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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