The Traitors is back for another season of deception and truly shady behavior. And we are here for it.
The cast of season four is guaranteed to bring the drama. We’ve got reality TV villains, real housewives, actors, a top chef, Phoebe’s boyfriend(!) and even soon to be mother-in-law of Taylor Swift Donna Kelce.
We've seen plenty of movement on The Traitors prediction markets in week one, but which big names offer the best value right now?
Key Takeaways
- Season four has launched with three episodes available to view now
- We've already seen two murders and two banishments
- A secret traitor has been revealed
The new season launched with a three episode drop on January 8, where no time was wasted as this year’s faithfuls began to sniff out the clues they needed to find their first traitor.
Already, we’ve seen two members of the cast murdered at the hands of the traitors, and two banished by their ruthless fellow celebrities.
It was over before it even began for the unlucky four. But it’s still all to play for for the remaining celebs, and up to $250,000 is there for the taking.
The Traitors prediction markets are moving swiftly as bettors put their money on the famous faces they think are up to the task.
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'The Traitors' Season Four: Week One Favorites
Rob Rausch (traitor) | Chance 65% | ▲ 45
Best known for breaking hearts on Love Island USA, Rob Rausch is back on our screens as one of this year’s traitors. Rausch has emerged as an early favorite to win the show, perhaps due to his proven capabilities when it comes to on-screen betrayals.
Michael Rapaport (faithful) | Chance 55% | ▼ 7
The faithful bettors are backing is actor and comedian Michael Rapaport. Acting skills are of course hugely important in a show like The Traitors, and Rapaport’s big personality could well aid him when it comes to persuading his fellow contestants to cast their round table votes elsewhere.
Ron Funches (faithful) | Chance 40% | ▲ 35
Early movement on the prediction markets has sent Ron Funches straight into third place. Faithful Funches is expected to employ a strategy we’ve seen work like a charm time and time again on The Traitors: he’s just going to fly under the radar. It might be simple, but it works.
Predicting a Winner: What do the history books tell us?
Predicting the winner of a show like The Traitors is no mean feat. Action-packed episodes mean rapid movement in the odds, and personalities that seem completely safe one week can find themselves in mortal peril by the next.
However, if we were to give you a tip before you choose which ‘yes’ to go for this season, we’d say this: look at what happened in previous seasons.
We’re now in season four, which means there are three full seasons of deception and lies to look back over. And that means plenty of data to decode!
Here’s what you need to know about seasons one, two and three:
| Season | Winning Side | Winners | Player Background |
|---|---|---|---|
| S1 | Traitor | Cirie Fields | Survivor |
| S2 | Faithful | CT Tamburello & Trishelle Cannatella | The Challenge |
| S3 | Faithful | Dolores, Dylan, Gabby, & Ivar | Bravo/Lifestyle |
In the past three years, we’ve only see a traitor take the win once. The last two seasons have been won by the faithfuls, with the prize money shared amongst them.
Previously, contestants from “gamer” backgrounds (shows like Survivor and Big Brother, for example), have done particularly well on The Traitors. In fact, last year was the only year in which the finale wasn’t dominated by stars from these shows.
This year, we’ve got three Big Brother alumni on board (including past winner Ian Terry), as well as three Survivors (two of whom, Natalie Anderson and Yamil “Yam Yam” Arocho, won the show).
We’ve also got two celebs famed for their Love Island appearances, including traitor and early favorite Rob Rausch. While neither he nor fellow Islander Maura Higgins is likely to employ the failsafe keep quiet and go unnoticed strategy, they both have what it takes to form the relationships they’ll need to escape banishment.
