Week 10 in the CFL features a pair of rematches from last week including a clash on Saturday night between the Hamilton Tiger-Cats and Montreal Alouettes.
Montreal won 33-16 last week and my Tiger-Cats vs. Alouettes predictions for the rematch expect another rough game for Hamilton's offense. Here are my best free CFL picks for this East Division showdown on August 10.
Tiger-Cats vs Alouettes prediction
My best bet
Tiger-Cats team total Under 20.5 (-116 at FanDuel)
My analysis
The Montreal Alouettes held the Hamilton Tiger-Cats to just 5.27 yards per play and 16 points last week. Seven of those points actually came on a defensive touchdown and the Ticats offense was only able to score a single point before the final three minutes of the game when they punched in a TD during garbage time.
Montreal's elite stop unit has spearheaded the Als to a 7-1 start to the year. They've allowed the fewest offensive touchdowns (12) and yards per play (5.59) while holding opposing quarterbacks to a league-low passer rating of 79.4. The Als have been vulnerable on special teams but Hamilton has the second-fewest big play returns in the league.
If the Ticats want to score points on the road in Montreal, they'll need a big game from QB Bo Levi Mitchell. While Mitchell throws for a lot of yards, Hamilton's attack has been crippled by issues with turnovers (15) and offensive penalties.
The Als have forced the second-most turnovers in the CFL (19) and have allowed just three pass completions of 30+ yards so they'll be able to limit Mitchell's downfield looks. Look for the Als to hold the Tabbies below their team total here.
Tiger-Cats vs Alouettes same-game parlay (SGP)
Tiger-Cats team total Under 20.5
Cole Spieker Under 46.5 receiving yards
Shemar Bridges Over 5.5 receptions
Alouettes quarterback Cody Fajardo is officially listed as available but he also had that designation last week and didn't suit up, so don't expect him to play here. With Fajardo nursing a hamstring injury, young QB Davis Alexander should get another start.
Alexander looked sensational coming on in relief in Week 8 and he settled down after a couple of early turnovers to throw for 262 yards in his first career start last week. However, Alexander likes to spread the ball around which has led to Cole Spieker seeing fewer targets. Spieker had three catches for just 18 yards last week after posting 28 yards on three receptions in Week 8.
Bridges has become Mitchell's favorite receiver and the 6-foot-4, 210-pound target leads the Ticats with 48 catches and 526 yards. He has posted 6+ receptions in six of eight games this year and he hauled in nine of 11 targets last week. Taking the Over 5.5 on his receptions along with the Under on Hamilton's team total creates a nice multiplier for this parlay.
Learn how to bet a same-game parlay with these helpful tips and strategies.
Tiger-Cats vs Alouettes odds
Tiger-Cats vs Alouettes live odds
Tiger-Cats vs Alouettes opening odds
- Spread: Hamilton +7.5 | Montreal -7.5
- Moneyline: Hamilton +280 | Montreal -360
- Over/Under: Over 50.5 | Under 50.5
Tiger-Cats vs Alouettes spread and Over/Under analysis
- Even though the Als won by 17 points in Hamilton last week and are 13-3-1 ATS in their last 17 games overall, the spread has stayed steady at -7.5.
- Montreal has the league's best record at 7-1 and is the Grey Cup favourite at +170 to repeat as champion.
- The Ticats began the year going 0-5 SU and ATS but have gone 2-1 SU and ATS in their last three games.
- The Alouettes are 8-0 SU and 7-0-1 ATS in the last eight games in the head-to-head.
Tiger-Cats vs Alouettes trend
The Ticats have been held below their team total in each of their last seven meetings against the Alouettes. Find more CFL betting trends for Tiger-Cats vs. Alouettes.
Tiger-Cats vs Alouettes game info
| Location: | Percival Molson Memorial Stadium, Montreal, QC |
| Date: | Saturday, 8-10-2024 |
| Kick-off: | 7:00 p.m. ET |
| TV: | TSN |
Tiger-Cats vs Alouettes key injuries
Tiger-Cats: Jamal Peters DB (Out), Destin Talbert DB (Questionable), Stavros Katsantonis S (Out), Enock Makonzo DB (Out), Lawrence Woods III WR/KR (Out), Brendan O'Leary-Orange WR (Out).
Alouettes: Cody Fajardo (Doubtful), Caleb Evans (Out), Kaion Julien-Grant WR (Out), Tyler Snead SB (Out), Reggie Stubblefield DB (Out), Tyrell Richards LB (Out), Kristian Matte RG (Out).
Find our latest CFL injury reports.
Tiger-Cats vs Alouettes weather
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