England vs France Cheat Sheet: What to Know Before Trading on Today's World Cup Third-Place Match

C Jackson Cowart - Betting Analyst at Covers.com
C Jackson Cowart • Betting Analyst 10+ years betting experience
Updated: Jul 18, 2026 , 10:00 AM ET

We give you the key match probabilities, top picks, and key info to know ahead of England vs. France.

England vs France cheat sheet, France's Kylian Mbappe and Desire Doue shake hands
Photo By - Reuters Connect. France's Kylian Mbappe and Desire Doue shake hands.

Two longtime European rivals meet in the World Cup 2026 third-place match today, a bronze final pitting England and France against each other after both suffered stinging defeats as semifinal favorites.

To help you with your England vs. France predictions ahead of Saturday's third-place match at Hard Rock Stadium in Miami Gardens, Fla., we've put together our England vs. France cheat sheet to cover the action from every angle ahead of the 5 p.m. ET kickoff (broadcast on FOX).

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England vs France match probabilities

Market Kalshi
Probability
American Odds
To finish third France  66% -194
England  34% +194
To win in regulation France  52% -108
Tie - 25% +300
England  24% +317
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Who is most likely to score a goal in England vs France?

Player Kalshi
Probability
American Odds
France Kylian Mbappe 55% -122
England Harry Kane 39% +156
France Ousmane Dembele 30% +233
England Jude Bellingham 26% +285
France Michael Olise 21% +376

England vs France match props

Market Kalshi
Probability
American Odds
Both teams to score 70% -233
First team to score France  59% -144
England  39% +156
Total corners: 10+ Yes - 51% -104
No - 51% -104
France corners: 6+ 48% +108
England corners: 4+ 63% -170

England vs France expert picks

Pick Kalshi
Probability
American Odds
France France to win in regulation 52% -108
EnglandFrance Over 3.5 goals scored 45% +122
France Kylian Mbappe to score a goal 55% -122

Covers Intel: England vs France

England vs. France Cheat Sheet

Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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C Jackson Cowart
Betting Analyst

C Jackson Cowart is a content strategy consultant for Covers with a special focus on big events and research projects. In his seven years covering sports betting as a predictive analyst, features writer, and industry reporter, he has stayed true to "process over results" while specifically targeting futures betting and news-driven markets, where he can lean on advanced metrics and an understanding of market psychology to attack value before the number moves.

An award-winning writer and editor with a decade of experience in sports media, "C-Jax" has previously worked with ESPN, Forbes, theScore, and multiple large daily newspapers. He's a proud graduate of the University of North Carolina, where he covered the Tar Heels' championship run through the 2017 NCAA men's basketball tournament. He's cashed some big tickets over the years — including Lamar Jackson to win MVP (twice) — but he's still haunted by enough second-place slips to wallpaper his home office.

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