Sun vs Fever Prediction, Picks & Odds for Tonight’s WNBA Game

Phil Naessens - Contributor at Covers.com
Phil Naessens • Betting Analyst 19+ years betting experience
Updated: Jul 22, 2026 , 05:28 AM ET • 4 min read

Expect a high-scoring affair tonight at Gainbridge Fieldhouse!

WNBA

Match starts: 11 hrs
CON
36 %
IND
64 %
EXPERT PICK - TOTAL
CON @ IND o178.5 (-114)
Bet Now
Aliyah Boston of the Indiana Fever WNBA
Photo By - Reuters Connect. Aliyah Boston of the Indiana Fever WNBA

The Indiana Fever are -10.5 home favorites tonight when they host the Connecticut Sun in both teams' final game ahead of the WNBA All-Star Break. 

The pace of tonight’s game should be frenetic, and my Sun vs. Fever predictions and WNBA picks expect a high-scoring affair on Wednesday, July 22. 

Sun vs Fever prediction

Sun vs Fever best bet: Over 178.5 (-114)


The Indiana Fever's pace fuels a high-possession game, but their defense drives this total.

The Fever's guards get beaten at the point of attack, forcing Aliyah Boston off the rim to help. That opens the door for Brittney Griner to dominate the paint, where the Fever allow a league-worst 43.8 points per game.

The Connecticut Sun's 35.3% offensive rebound rate turns those breakdowns into second-chance points, while their 22.4% turnover spike over the last five games feeds the Fever's transition game.

Live-ball mistakes against the league's fastest team rarely end well.

Play this to 179.5, pass at 180 or higher.

Covers COVERS INTEL: The Connecticut Sun boast a 35.3% offensive rebound rate across their last five games while the Fever allow 7.8 offensive rebounds per game across the same span.

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Sun vs Fever same-game parlay

Griner is heating up. She has scored at least 14 points in three of her previous four games, and part of the reason is her offensive rebounding.

The Sun's leading scorer creates more than half of her 14.4 points per game in the paint, and meets a Fever defense allowing 42 or more points in the paint across their last five.

Boston has grabbed at least seven rebounds in 12 straight games, and at least eight boards in 10 of her previous 14 contests. Look for Boston to battle the Sun bigs and snag at least eight tonight.

Sun vs Fever SGP

  • Over 178.5
  • Brittney Griner Over 13.5 points
  • Aliyah Boston Over 7.5 rebounds
Phil Naessens' 2026 Transparency Record
  • Best bet: 11-10, -0.52 units
  • SGP: 6-15, +7.10 units
  • Player prop: 0-8, -8.0 units

Sun vs Fever odds

  • Spread: Sun +10.5 | Fever -10.5
  • Moneyline: Sun +375 | Fever -500
  • Over/Under: Over 178.5 | Under 178.5

Sun vs Fever trend

 Fever games have ended Over the game total in seven of their previous 10 games. Find more WNBA betting trends.

How to watch Sun vs Fever

Location Gainbridge Fieldhouse, Indianapolis, IN
Date Wednesday, July 22, 2026
Tip-off 8 p.m. ET
TV USA Network

Sun vs Fever latest injuries

Sun: Aaliyah Edwards (Out), Saniya Rivers (GTD), Brittney Griner (GTD). 
Fever: Caitlin Clark (GTD), Damiris Dantas (Out). 
Find our latest WNBA injury reports.

Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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Phil Naessens
Betting Analyst

Prior to joining Covers in 2022, Phil Naessens spent 38 years as a resident tennis pro in Las Vegas, Mykonos, and Corfu, Greece. He’s the past host of the Phil Naessens Show (Armed Forces Radio), and currently hosts the Crush and Rush Tennis Podcast.

Phil is the author of the Betting 101 series (MLB, NFL, NCAAF, and Tennis) and has written for numerous publications, including Advance Local, SB Nation, FanSided, and Lenny Melnick Fantasy Sports. 

His favorite sports to bet on are tennis, MLB, WNBA, Euro men’s and women’s hoops, NCAA sports, NFL, and the NBA. Phil has numerous betting accounts in the US and Europe, and his best advice is to line shop for the best value possible.

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