Laying 10.5 points at home on Wednesday, July 22, the Indiana Fever host the Connecticut Sun in the final tune-up for both squads before the WNBA All-Star Break.
With a lightning-fast tempo on tap, my Sun vs. Fever predictions and WNBA picks expect plenty of offensive fireworks at Gainbridge Fieldhouse.
- UPDATE: Added Caitlin Clark prop!
Sun vs Fever prediction
Sun vs Fever best bet: Over 178.5 (-114)
The Indiana Fever's pace fuels a high-possession game, but their defense drives this total.
The Fever's guards get beaten at the point of attack, forcing Aliyah Boston off the rim to help. That opens the door for Brittney Griner to dominate the paint, where the Fever allow a league-worst 43.8 points per game.
The Connecticut Sun's 35.3% offensive rebound rate turns those breakdowns into second-chance points, while their 22.4% turnover spike over the last five games feeds the Fever's transition game.
Live-ball mistakes against the league's fastest team rarely end well.
Play this to 179.5, pass at 180 or higher.
COVERS INTEL: The Connecticut Sun boast a 35.3% offensive rebound rate across their last five games while the Fever allow 7.8 offensive rebounds per game across the same span.
Sun vs Fever same-game parlay
Griner is heating up. She has scored at least 14 points in three of her previous four games, and part of the reason is her offensive rebounding.
The Sun's leading scorer creates more than half of her 14.4 points per game in the paint, and meets a Fever defense allowing 42 or more points in the paint across their last five.
Boston has grabbed at least seven rebounds in 12 straight games, and at least eight boards in 10 of her previous 14 contests. Look for Boston to battle the Sun bigs and snag at least eight tonight.
Sun vs Fever SGP
- Over 178.5
- Brittney Griner Over 13.5 points
- Aliyah Boston Over 7.5 rebounds
Sun vs Fever player prop pick
Caitlin Clark Over 7.5 assists (-130)
Connecticut’s aggressive pick-and-roll coverage typically forces Caitlin Clark to surrender the ball early.
Rather than seeking her own perimeter shot against tight traps, Clark excels at punishing high blitzes by feeding Boston in the short roll or whipping cross-court skips to Kelsey Mitchell on the weak wing.
With Connecticut turning the ball over on 22.4% of possessions recently, Clark will also orchestrate frequent transition opportunities before the Sun can set their defense.
Play Over 7.5 assists to -150.
- Best bet: 11-10, -0.52 units
- SGP: 6-15, +7.10 units
- Player prop: 0-8, -8.0 units
Sun vs Fever odds
- Spread: Connecticut +10.5 | Indiana -10.5
- Moneyline: Connecticut +375 | Indiana -500
- Over/Under: Over 178.5 | Under 178.5
Sun vs Fever trend
Fever games have ended Over the game total in seven of their previous 10 games. Find more WNBA betting trends.
How to watch Sun vs Fever
| Location | Gainbridge Fieldhouse, Indianapolis, IN |
| Date | Wednesday, July 22, 2026 |
| Tip-off | 8 p.m. ET |
| TV | USA Network |
Sun vs Fever latest injuries
Sun: Aaliyah Edwards (Out), Saniya Rivers (GTD), Brittney Griner (GTD).
Fever: Caitlin Clark (GTD), Damiris Dantas (Out).
Find our latest WNBA injury reports.
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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