The Seattle Storm and Indiana Fever clash for the second time this season tonight at Gainbridge Fieldhouse.
The visiting Storm have been playing gritty, competitive basketball lately, and my Storm vs. Fever predictions expect them to stay well within striking distance to cover the number.
Read on for my WNBA picks for Friday, July 17.
- UPDATE: Added Caitlin Clark prop!
Storm vs Fever prediction
Storm vs Fever best bet: Storm +9.5 (-115)
The Seattle Storm have covered the spread in five of their last eight games thanks to elite defense and improving offense. The young core of Flau’jae Johnson, Awa Fam, and Dominique Malonga have all hit their stride.
The Storm are 7-2 ATS as dogs of 8.5+ points, while the Indiana Fever are just 3-5 when favored by 8.5 points or more.
Caitlin Clark has not been herself recently due to health and limited playing time, while the Fever’s two-way engine, Aliyah Boston, is questionable. I’ll take Seattle down to 6.5, making this a strong value play.
COVERS INTEL: The Fever have an Offensive Rating of 113.3 in 22 games with Boston this season but an Offensive Rating of just 103 in two games without her.
Storm vs Fever same-game parlay
Seattle’s defense has been stingy all season, and it’s been even stingier across the last eight games. In that span, Seattle has surrendered just 84.6 ppg while sporting a 101.2 Defensive Rating.
Seattle’s defense can limit an Indiana team with Clark and Boston banged up. Bet down to 175.5.
Flau’jae Johnson has averaged 26.7 PRA across her last eight and hit 24+ five times. In that span, Johnson’s Usage Rate has risen from 23.8 to 24.6, and her minutes have jumped from 28.4 to 30.5. Play up to 24.5.
Storm vs Fever SGP
- Storm +9.5
- Under 177.5
- Flau’jae Johnson Over 23.5 points + rebounds + assists
Storm vs Fever player prop pick
Caitlin Clark Under 2.5 3-pointers (-145)
Clark is dealing with a back injury that’s kept her sidelined for four of the Fever’s last seven games. In that span, she’s averaged just 21.5 minutes and 1.5 triples.
The superstar guard has failed to knock down 3+ triples in three straight games, and she’ll have an incredibly tough time breaking that streak tonight.
The Storm rank first in 3-point defense, allowing opponents to shoot just 29.2% from distance on the season and 26.6% across the last eight games. I’ll play down to 1.5 based on Clark’s recent form and strong opposing defense.
- Best bet: 18-20, -3.59 units
- SGP: 5-33, -5.15 units
- Player prop: 6-6, -0.89 units
Storm vs Fever odds
- Spread: Seattle +9.5 | Indiana -9.5
- Moneyline: Seattle +325 | Indiana -425
- Over/Under: Over 177.5 | Under 177.5
Storm vs Fever trend
The Storm have covered the spread in six of their last nine games. Find more WNBA betting trends.
How to watch Storm vs Fever
| Location | Gainbridge Fieldhouse, Indiana, IN |
| Date | Friday, July 17, 2026 |
| Tip-off | 7:30 p.m. ET |
| TV | ION |
Storm vs Fever latest injuries
Storm: Ezi Magbegor (Out), Taina Mar (Out).
Fever: Caitlin Clark (Probable), Aliyah Boston (Questionable).
Find our latest WNBA injury reports.
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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