Saturday, June 25 sees the tumultuous Los Angeles Sparks on the road facing off against the Seattle Storm. The two teams could not be trending in more different directions, and Seattle is installed as a heavy favorite by sportsbooks.
Find out if it’s worth backing chalk with our WNBA betting picks and predictions for Sparks vs. Storm on June 25.
Sparks vs Storm odds
The Seattle Storm opened as 9-point favorites and the line has seen some action, pushing it to -9.5. The Total has been set at 161.5.
Odds via the Covers Line, an average comprised of odds from multiple sportsbooks. Compare WNBA odds before betting to ensure you get the best number.
Sparks vs Storm predictions
Predictions made on 6/25/2022 at 12:15 a.m. ET.
Click on each prediction to jump to the full analysis.
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Sparks vs Storm info
• Location: Climate pledge Arena, Seattle, WA
• Date: Saturday, June 25, 2022
• Tip-off: 9:00 p.m. ET
• TV: FOX13+, SNLA
Sparks vs Storm betting preview
Key injuries
Sparks: Chiney Ogwumike (Out).
Storm: None.
Find our latest WNBA injury reports.
Betting trend to know
Sparks are 1-4 ATS in their last five games overall. Find more WNBA betting trends for Sparks vs. Storm.
Sparks vs Storm picks and predictions
Our side and total predictions are based upon our analysis of the line and total in this game. Our best bet is our favorite pick across all markets.
Spread analysis
The Sparks are a mess. They’ve suffered recent blowout losses to the Chicago Sky, Dallas Wings, and Las Vegas Aces. They’re 4-6 in their last 10 games but are a staggering -90 in those losses, and only a +11 in those four wins (including three two-point victories). Their most recent win came against the Delle Donne-less Washington Mystics, which is no great accomplishment.
Their on-court talent has not meshed, and the organizational chaos that has plagued them since the start of the season has not ceased. I would expect them to fold against just about any real WNBA team right now, a low bar that the Seattle Storm easily clear.
The Storm are once again one of the W’s premier defensive teams while squeezing just enough offense out of the trio of Breanna Stewart, Jewell Lloyd, and Sue Bird. Third year player Ezi Magbegor is also seeing an increase in offensive responsibility at the center spot and is handling it in stride, posting career highs in minutes (30.3), points (12.4), and rebounds (5.9). They have continuity and flow and an established hierarchy of roles and responsibilities that the Sparks utterly lack.
Seattle also doesn’t foul, allowing the fewest opponent free throws per game at 13.2, while also allowing the fewest points off of turnovers at 12.9. They are the definition of a team that does not beat themselves, which makes them a dire problem for the Los Angeles Sparks.
Prediction: Storm -9.5 (-110 at bet365)
Over/Under analysis
The Storm are not an offensive powerhouse like in years past, but they’re also not as poor as the 98.5 rating (9th in the WNBA) as they’ve shown. Carried by Breanna Stewart, their offense has been steadily ticking up after an early series of injuries and COVID absences saw sharp declines in efficiency amongst their key players.
But they don’t need to be firing on all cylinders to score on this version of the Sparks. Los Angeles is the second-worst defensive team in the W, rating at 106.4, and has shown no signs of improving. It’s hurt further by uncertainty around Chiney Ogwumike’s status, who missed the previous game due to personal reasons.
The real question is whether the Sparks themselves can score enough to hit this number. They have one of the lowest assist percentages in the W, an indicator that they don’t play a team-friendly style of basketball. That can be effective if you’re overwhelming the opposition with talent, but there’s no such disparity here. Chiney’s sister Nneka remains a dominant interior force, but Liz Cambage has been below her career averages in points and efficiency.
Still, if the Storm have a weakness, it’s that interior defense. They allow 37.9 points in the paint per game, fourth-worst in the league, which stands out as rather poor amongst their otherwise stellar defensive capabilities.
Largely because of that deficiency, I think the Storm and Sparks will both score enough to cash the Over on this modest total.
Prediction: Over 161.5 (-110 at bet365)
Best bet
The Storm are 7-3 in their last 10, with two of those losses coming against the burning hot Connecticut Sun. By point of comparison, the Storm’s most recent win was also against the Washington Mystics, who they beat by 14 despite Elena Delle Donne dropping 20.
Right now, these teams are only technically in the same league and vaguely playing the same sport — their similarities as basketball teams entirely superficial. This is a big line, but it’s justified, as the Sparks are just 1-4 ATS in their last five games. I like the Storm to Cover as the best bet on the board.
Pick: Storm -9.5 (-110 at bet365)
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