Best WNBA Player Props Today: Shepard Continues to Herd Rebounds

Jessica Shepard's been an increasing force on the glass for the Lynx, and Saturday's opponent will serve up plenty of opportunities for her to keep feasting, as our WNBA picks explain.

Last Updated: Jun 3, 2023 11:27 AM ET Read Time: 4 min
Jessica Shepard WNBA
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After going a perfect 3-for-3 on our picks for Friday’s games, we’re taking another shot at the WNBA slate for Saturday, June 3.

With two games to choose from, our three favorite WNBA player prop picks for Saturday’s games feature Jewell Loyd's one-woman offense, Jessica Shepard’s consistent rebounding, and Kia Nurse’s sharpshooting. 

WNBA player prop bets for June 3

  • Loyd Over 23.5 points
  • Shepard Over 10.5 rebounds
  • Nurse Over 1.5 3-pointers made

Read full analysis of each pick.

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Today's best WNBA player props bets

Seattle’s gem

The post-Sue Bird and Breanna Stewart era in Seattle is off to a rocky start. The Seattle Storm have started the season 0-3 and look pretty far away from finding a sustainable identity on either end. This a team with four rookies getting minutes, that also continues to miss a major piece in Gabby Williams.

Into that enormous hole on the roster has stepped Jewell Loyd. Loyd has gone from complimentary player to solo star overnight, transforming her game in a way that is startling to see in terms of productivity. Loyd is up to 26 points per game, which if sustained over a full season would be more than eight points higher than her previous career high of 17.9. Naturally, her efficiency has declined but her volume is at staggering levels.

Jewel is almost the entire Storm offense by default. Loyd is averaging more combined points than the next three leading scorers on the Storm roster. Her usage rate has skyrocketed to 34.1%. It’s not sustainable in all likelihood, and certainly not the way that Noelle Quinn wants to play long-term, but it’s what Seattle has right now, and it’s why it’s still a good time to ride this Over.

The Los Angeles Sparks don’t have a traditional rim protector, nor do they have a set of strong defensive guards who are up to the task of keeping up with Loyd over the course of an entire game. Critically, the Storm have a significant rest advantage. The Sparks could get ragged on the tail end of a back-to-back while Seattle hasn’t played since Tuesday.

Jewell Loyd prop: Over 23.5 points (-115 at bet365)

Shepherd's pack

The Minnesota Lynx have had a nightmare start to the season. It was always going to be painful officially closing the book on the Maya Moore and Sylvia Fowles era of Lynx basketball, but a non-competitive 0-6 start to the season is about as bad as it gets.

If there’s a small ray of hope amongst doom and gloom for the Lynx faithful this season, it might be the continued emergence of Jessica Shepard. Shepard was drafted by Minnesota back in 2019 but struggled with efficiency, and saw her minutes sharply decline in her sophomore year. But then last season she played her way into a starting role with increased efficiency and dogged determination and physicality on the boards. On a per-minute basis, she was among the best rebounders in the WNBA right upon entering the league, and as soon as she began to play more, the production began to pop off the screen.

Now Shepard is the sixth-leading rounder in the W this season, and at 3.3 per game, she’s the second-leading offensive rebounder. This is in part of course a testament to her natural ability and skill development, but also the Lynx are missing quite a few shots. That’s something her opponents tonight have in common. 

The Washington Mystics have been a special defensive outfit this season, but their collective eFG% at 42.4% ranks second-worst in the WNBA this season. They’ve also been the second-worst rebounding team by percentage (47.4%). Expect Shepard to feast on the glass on Saturday.

Jessica Shepard prop: Over 10.5 rebounds (+104 at FanDuel)

Storm chaser

It’s always nice to see a player make a strong return from a prolonged absence. Kia Nurse is coming off a season lost to an ACL injury, so her signing to the Storm somewhat went under the radar. But Nurse is a quality shooter, with good size for a WNBA Guard at 6-feet even.

Nurse has quickly grown to be a featured player in the rotation, because, unlike most players on the Storm roster, opposing teams have to respect Nurse’s shooting. The spacing she provides is crucial to what little success Seattle’s offense has had so far. After playing 10 minutes in her Storm debut, she’s played 29 or more in both games since. In the game against the Dallas Wings, she went 6-11 from outside. 

Her last fully and healthy season, when she played for the Phoenix Mercury in 2021, Nurse shot 35.2% on 5.2 attempts from deep per game. So far this season, she’s bombing away and canning 43.8% from outside as the primary release valve to Seattle’s “give the ball to Jewell and watch her work” offense.

The Los Angeles Sparks and the Storm both rank in the top half of the WNBA in pace, and it’s clearly a point of emphasis by new head coach Curt Miller to get L.A. out and running. That increased pace leads to run-outs, crossmatches, and open kick outs to 3-point shooters. I’m banking on Nurse to capitalize on at least a couple of those opportunities.

Kia Nurse prop: Over 1.5 3-pointers made (-155 at bet365)

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