Best WNBA Player Props Wednesday: Reese's Double Delight

With a full slate of games set for Wednesday, our WNBA expert has combed through the odds and found three WNBA props with good value. Find out why he's backing Jonquel Jones, Caitlin Clark, and Angel Reese on Wednesday.

Douglas Farmer - Betting Analyst at Covers
Douglas Farmer • Betting Analyst
Jul 9, 2024 • 19:22 ET • 4 min read
Angel Reese Chicago Sky WNBA
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The entire WNBA slate on Wednesday, June 10, is a matinee, and rookies should demand attention in front of crowds filled with youth camp attendees. Backing a couple of rookies will lead our free WNBA picks.

Let’s look through the Liberty vs. Sun, the Dream vs. Sky, and the Mystics vs. Fever.

WNBA player prop bets for July 10

Picks made on 7-9 at 6:30 p.m. ET.

Wednesday's best WNBA player props bets

Prop bet #1: Jonquel Jones’s Busy Morning

The Connecticut Sun are not a strong rebounding team, one of a few reasons to doubt them as viable title contenders. In Connecticut’s rotation, only Alyssa Thomas grabs more than 12.2% of available rebounds.

Jonquel Jones spends most of her time on the glass, pulling in 16.6% of available rebounds. In four of her last five games, she has found 11+ rebounds, averaging 10.4 in the stretch.

This thought does not need to be any more complicated than that. The Sun are not strong on the boards, and Jones is.

But to add to the thought, Connecticut heavily relies on its five starters, each playing more than 24 minutes per game and only Tiffany Mitchell then adding more than 13 minutes, at 16.4. Of those six players, only DeWanna Bonner and Brionna Jones stand taller than 6-foot-2, at 6-foot-4 and 6-foot-3, respectively.

At 6-foot-6, Jones should enjoy a few default rebounds, as well.

Jonquel Jones prop: Over 9.5 rebounds (-108 at FanDuel)

Prop bet #2: Caitlin Clark’s Helping Hand

In the last five games, the Indiana Fever’s offensive rating has slipped to 99.0, No. 9 in the WNBA since June 22. In the 13 games covering the month before that stretch, it stood at No. 5 in the league at 102.7.

Counter-intuitively, Caitlin Clark has been spreading the ball around lately, posting double-digit assists in four of her last five games and averaging 11.2. Don’t be mistaken, she has still been shooting plenty, taking 12.6 shots per game in this stretch compared to 13.2 in the 13 games prior.

Clark’s assists numbers have not been buoyed by teamwide hot shooting, either. Indiana has shot 43.7% in its last five games, including 33.1% from deep. In the previous 13 games, those rates were 44.2% and 35.6%.

Rather, Clark has simply caught up to the WNBA speed and is finding her teammates. She presumably will not give out 11.2 assists per game the rest of the season, but for now, expect her to continue to exceed this prop. And the plus-money odds that come with Over 8.5 make it all that more logical of a bet.

Caitlin Clark prop: Over 8.5 assists (+110 at DraftKings)

Prop bet #3: Heaven Sent

Angel Reese has recorded 13 straight double-doubles. In three of them, she snagged “only” 10 rebounds. In two more, she scored “only” 10 points.

That leaves eight out of 13 games when Reese comfortably notched a double-double. That may not be a strong enough rate to justify this price of -280

But now consider the opponent.

In the last month, the Atlanta Dream have had the No. 8 defensive rating in the WNBA, and they have given up the third-most looks from inside five feet of any defense. Reese should have plenty of opportunities to score on the interior.

Furthermore, Atlanta’s rotation features only three strong rebounders in Tina Charles (17.6% of available rebounds this season), Cheyenne Parker (13.7%), and Naz Hillmon (12.7%). But Hillmon plays only 15.7 minutes per game, and even Parker is a part-time player at 20.4 minutes.

Reese should have plenty of opportunities to clean up the glass.

Her strong stretch of the last month-plus combined with this advantageous matchup explains the expensive price of -280, but there is still value in that price.

Angel Reese prop: Double-double (-280 at FanDuel)

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