We've got a three-game slate in the WNBA for Saturday, and all three home teams come in as heavy favorites.
I'm taking the Dallas Wings, Atlanta Dream, and Golden State Valkyries to win at home in my WNBA moneyline picks. Read on to see why, and get my full WNBA picks for Saturday, Sept. 19.
WNBA moneyline picks: September 19
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Expert WNBA moneyline picks: September 19
Phoenix Mercury vs Dallas Wings pick: Wings
The Dallas Wings are riding a five-game winning streak, and have won each of their last four games by double digits. They've scored over 90 points in each of those four games, while allowing 78 points or less.
The Wings also beat the Phoenix Mercury by 15 points in their first meeting this season. Dallas has the third-lowest foul rate in the WNBA (20.3%), and only commits 12.2 turnovers per game, meaning its not giving away free points and letting teams like the Mercury back into games.
I'm picking the Wings to win here at up to 80%.
Chicago Sky vs Atlanta Dream pick: Dream
The Atlanta Dream have now won seven straight games against the Chicago Sky, and there's no reason to expect anything else to happen on Saturday. Chicago comes in having lost four straight, while Atlanta is rolling into the playoffs, having won six of its last seven.
The Dream have great offensive and defensive numbers, but it all springs from their rebounding advantage. Angel Reese & Co. have the second-best rebounding rate in the league at 53.9%, and they'll punish Chicago on the boards, as the Sky are 13th in that category (47.3%).
This should be a comfortable win for Atlanta at home, and I'm backing the Dream at up to 90%.
Seattle Storm vs Golden State Valkyries pick: Valkyries
The Golden State Valkyries are on the second game of a back-to-back, but that's not nearly enough reason to pick the Seattle Storm tonight. Seattle is 2-16 over its last 18 games, and has gone a miserable 2-18 on the road overall this year.
Meanwhile, the Valkyries have won five straight, all by double-digits. Golden State is the best defensive team in the league, allowing 75.4 ppg, and they use fewer possessions than any other WNBA squad (78.2 per 40 minutes), which should mitigate some of the back-to-back fatigue concerns.
Seattle has the second-worst offensive rating (101.0) in the league and will find it hard to generate offense against Golden State. I'd back the Valkyries at up to 90%.
Today's WNBA moneyline combo
We've got three games tonight in which a much stronger team is playing at home against a weak opponent that won't be reaching the postseason the year. It's not the sexiest combo ever, but the smart play is taking the three favorites together on Saturday.
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
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