Jared Cannonier vs. Christian Leroy Duncan is the co-main event of this weekend’s UFC Fight Night, taking place in Oklahoma City on Saturday, July 18, at the Paycom Center.
Duncan enters as a substantial favorite over the 42-year-old former title challenger in the latest UFC odds. Check out our Jared Cannonier vs. Christian Leroy Duncan predictions and free betting picks for this middleweight matchup below.
Who will win Jared Cannonier vs Christian Leroy Duncan: Duncan to win (-360)
Jared Cannonier is looking his age after dropping three of his last four fights, and he has a tough assignment against an explosive striker on a four-fight winning streak.
Christian Leroy Duncan is younger, taller, and longer and isn’t careless enough to drop his guard and let Cannonier land a big shot. I expect Duncan’s movement and physical advantages to be more than Cannonier can handle at this stage of his career.
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Jared Cannonier vs Christian Leroy Duncan best bet: Duncan by KO/TKO/DQ (+200)
Cannonier is only dangerous at this stage when facing a stationary opponent, and he’ll be hard-pressed to pin Duncan down long enough to land the perfect strike to put him down.
Also, Duncan’s height and reach will allow him to control the fight and set the pace to his liking, bullying the aging Cannonier and peppering him with heavy shots. Duncan is a significant favorite, and that line will climb, so my best bet is that he’ll run Cannonier down and stop him.
COVERS INTEL: Christian Leroy Duncan's four UFC stoppage victories have all come by knockout no later than the second round.Jared Cannonier vs Christian Leroy Duncan odds
 |
||
|---|---|---|
| Method of Victory | Jared Cannonier | Christian Leroy Duncan |
| To win outright | +265 | -360 |
| To win by KO/TKO | +540 | +200 |
| To win by decision | +540 | +120 |
| To win by submission | +2400 | +2100 |
| Total rounds | Over 2.5 -160 |
Under 2.5 +125 |
Odds as of 7-16.
Duncan’s moneyline reflects that youth should be served in this fight. I’m taking Duncan to win by KO/TKO because I simply cannot see Cannonier keeping pace with him. Another safer bet will be the fight going Over 2.5 rounds at -160, but I don’t see this fight going the distance.
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Jared Cannonier vs Christian Leroy Duncan tale of the tape
| Jared Cannonier | Christian Leroy Duncan | |
|---|---|---|
| 42 | Age | 30 |
| 5-foot-11 | Height | 6-foot-2 |
| Middleweight | Weight Class | Middleweight |
| 77.5 inches | Reach | 79 inches |
| 18-9 | Record | 14-2 |
| 11 | Wins by KO | 10 |
| 2 | Wins by submission | 1 |
Duncan is 12 years younger with a three-inch height advantage. While Cannonier has lingered in the middleweight top tier and is still a vicious striker, his movement has slowed tremendously over his last five fights. Duncan is 4-1 over his last five, and Cannonier is 2-3.
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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