UFC 334 heads to Madison Square Garden in New York City, where Ciryl Gane looks to defend his heavyweight title against Josh Hokit.
Gane headlines my UFC 334 parlay, which also features Melquizael Costa, Stephen Thompson, and a prop on the Caio Borralho vs Yousri Belgaroui fight.
Below, I'll break down my free betting picks for Saturday, Nov. 14.
Best UFC 334 parlay picks
Ciryl Gane to win
Borralho vs Belgaroui to go the distance
Melquizael Costa to win
Stephen Thompson to win
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Ciryl Gane to win
Both Gane and Josh Hokit are controversial fighters in different ways, but Gane's quality in the cage is undeniable.
Not only did he outstrike and bloody then-heavyweight champion Tom Aspinall before their fight ended in a no contest due to an eye poke, but he also finished Alex Pereira on the White House lawn at UFC Freedom 250 to claim the interim heavyweight title.
While Hokit does have a path to victory — namely, through his wrestling — he's still an unproven commodity in the UFC, and his rise to a title shot is pretty suspect. His only notable wins include a close decision victory over Curtis Blaydes and a TKO win against 41-year-old Derrick Lewis.
Gane is three inches taller, has a massive eight-inch reach advantage, and is simply a better striker with excellent footwork.
This will be a huge step up in competition for Hokit, and I don't believe he's ready.
Borralho vs Belgaroui to go the distance
Caio Borralho is an excellent all-around fighter and one of the most durable combatants in the middleweight division. "The Natural" has gone the distance in seven of his nine UFC fights, and he's never been finished in his professional career.
Yousri Belgaroui is the tallest active UFC middleweight at 6-foot-6, and given his size and striking advantage, it will be in Borralho's best interest to keep this fight at a relatively slow pace and take it to the ground as much as possible.
It remains to be seen whether Borralho will actually be able to take Belgaroui down, but those grueling wrestling exchanges could help push this fight to the final bell.
Melquizael Costa to win
Melquizael Costa is one of the biggest favorites on the UFC 334 card, with a 78% probability of winning, and I believe he gets the job done against Jared Gordon.
Costa is eight years younger, faster on his feet, and dangerous in all facets of MMA. He has nine knockouts and eight submissions in 26 professional wins, while his only loss in his last seven fights came against a high-level opponent in Arnold Allen, the No. 6 contender in the featherweight division.
Gordon has been fighting in the UFC for nearly a decade, but at this stage of his career, he's nowhere near Costa's level. He has lost three of his last four bouts and was finished in each of his last two fights.
Gordon's decision-making is questionable, and I believe Costa overwhelms him in the cage and probably finds a finish.
Stephen Thompson to win
Stephen "Wonderboy" Thompson is scheduled for his retirement fight against Charles Radtke, and I think the UFC veteran goes out with a win.
Thompson has lost three straight fights, but there's no shame in losing to Gabriel Bonfim, Joaquin Buckley, or Shavkat Rakhmonov. "Wonderboy" hasn't fought anyone outside the top 15 in the welterweight division in the past decade, and Saturday's bout against the unranked Radtke is basically the UFC throwing him a bone.
Radtke isn't terrible by any means, but he doesn't have any notable wins, and he was knocked out by Mike Malott and Carlos Prates — the only household names he's faced.
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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