DraftKings isn’t seeing such a divide in terms of tickets and money, reporting 57% of bets and 62% of handle banking on the Over in Super Bowl LX.
Traditionally in Super Bowl betting, the Over sees a surge in action closer to kickoff, as public bettors and casual gamblers gravitate toward a higher-scoring, more exciting finish. These patterns can create value for betting against the market if the total climbs too high.
The Super Bowl LX total opened below the traditional key number of 47 and above 44 points, which leaves bookmakers plenty of room to adjust the O/U to action without too much worry of the game landing between those key stops. That said, 46 has been a more common combined tally over the past decade due to changes in the distance of PATs.
Looking at the Super Bowl contenders, both the New England Patriots and Seattle Seahawks have punched their tickets to Santa Clara on the backs of their defense.
New England is 11-6 on the Over/Under but has finished Under in two of three postseason games. Meanwhile, Seattle is 9-8 O/U and has gone Over in both of its playoff outings.
The Over has been the winning side in each of the past three Super Bowl games, following a stretch of four straight Big Game Unders. Overall, the Super Bowl has produced a 30-28 O/U record (no total for Super Bowl I).
In his 20 years with Covers, lead NFL betting analyst; has seen it all and bet it all. Through the wild west of early Internet gambling to lobbying for legalized sports betting to our brave new wagering world, Jason has been a consistent source of actionable info and entertainment for squares and sharps alike. Since joining the Covers team back in 2005, he honed his handicapping skills to provide audiences with the most thorough insights, blending traditional capping methods with advanced modelling and predictive analysis. Jason has studied the ins and outs of the sports betting business, learning from some of the most successful gamblers in the industry and the biggest sportsbook operators on the planet. He is under center for Covers during NFL season as our top NFL expert, taking the points in his infamous NFL Underdogs column and representing the Covers Community at the Super Bowl. While he lives for football season, Jason's first love is basketball and that shows in his in-depth NBA, NCAA, and WNBA betting breakdowns. On top of being a mainstay in media from coast to coast; WPIX, PHL17, Fox 5 San Diego, WGNO, TSN, SportsNet, ESPN Radio; he had his analysis featured in USA Today, MSNBC, ESPN, the Wall Street Journal, CBS, Bloomberg, the L.A. Times, the New York Times and other major publications. You can also find JLo stuffing all the top picks and predictions he can into 10 minutes as the host of Covers; flagship podcast, The Sharp 600.
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