New York Jets

1st in AFC East (1 - 0 - 0)

Next Game

Sun, Sep 20 13:00 ET

GB @ NYJ Picks

NFL Picks
Interceptions Thrown
Geno Smith logo Geno Smith o0.5 Interceptions Thrown (+105)
Best Odds
Pick made: 4 hours ago
Jason Logan logo
Jason Logan
Senior Betting Analyst

Geno Smith looked great in Week 1. That’s to say, he didn’t make crucial mistakes or turn the ball over versus the Titans, despite Tennessee running a high rate of zone coverage. Zone has been Geno’s kryptonite throughout his career and he’s going to see plenty of it versus Green Bay and their DC Jonathan Gannon. Smith finished with 17 INTs to just 19 TDs in Las Vegas last year and with the Jets playing behind in a negative game script, Geno could press passes a little too much and find himself in trouble. Projections trend toward at least one interception, sitting as high as 80%. Rainy conditions could also toss a little chaos into the mix at MetLife Stadium.

Anytime Touchdown
Braelon Allen logo Braelon Allen Score a Touchdown (Yes: +310)
Best Odds
Pick made: 9 hours ago
Josh Inglis logo
Josh Inglis
Betting Analyst

This is still a +EV TD with a fair price of 3.5x (28.6%), and it's easy to see why. Braelon Allen saw double-digit carries last week against the Titans and played the majority of the snaps on third and fourth down with two or fewer yards to go. It was Breece Hall getting the red-zone carries, but there weren't any short TD opportunities, and Allen handled the majority of the third-down work. The Packers gave up TDs to both Minnesota backs last week and were one of the worst teams in the red zone, allowing a touchdown on all four Minnesota opportunities inside the 20. Their turnovers and penalties can only help New York keep a neutral game script.

Total
Green Bay Packers image thumbnail New York Jets image thumbnail u44.5 (-111)
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 days ago
Ed Scimia logo
Ed Scimia
Betting Analyst

The New York Jets averaged just 17.6 ppg last year and while Geno Smith is an upgrade at quarterback, I'm unconvinced that he's going to improve the situation all that much at age 35. Meanwhile, the Jets defense will get pressure on a one-dimensional Green Bay Packers offense that totaled just 66 yards on the ground against the Vikings. I'm backing the Under down to 42.5 points.

Spread
New York Jets image thumbnail NYJ +3.5 (-111)
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 days ago
Ed Scimia logo
Ed Scimia
Betting Analyst

There's no denying it: the New York Jets looked downright competent in Week 1. Breece Hall ran for 102 yards, Geno Smith was efficient in the passing game, and the defense held the Tennessee Titans to -0.28 EPA per pass. At home, I like New York to cover against the Green Bay Packers as long as the spread stays above a field goal.

Spread
Green Bay Packers image thumbnail GB -3.5 (-110)
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 days ago
Joe Osborne logo
Joe Osborne
Senior Betting Analyst

This looks like a classic Week 2 betting spot. The Jets are flying high after their Week 1 win over the Titans, but I think that performance says more about how awful Tennessee is as opposed to how strong the Jets might be. As for the Packers, their 39-22 loss to the Vikings is misleading when you consider they won the yards per play battle 6.3 to 3.9 while they were also leading the game halfway through the fourth quarter. Expect a big bounce back for the Packers.

Total
Green Bay Packers image thumbnail New York Jets image thumbnail o43.5 (-110)
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 days ago
Jason Logan logo
Jason Logan
Senior Betting Analyst

Gang Green looked good in Frank Reich's offense - even if it was against Titans (5.8 yds/play). The Packers were cruising until that fateful call to take points off the board and then get stuffed on 4th. Green Bay averaged 6.3 yds/play versus a very good Vikings defense. Get Over 43.5 now short of key of 44 O/U.

Passing Yards
Geno Smith logo
Geno Smith o205.5 Passing Yards (-110)
Projection 224.49 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 9 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 5 out of 5
The Jets are a 3.5-point underdog in this week's contest, likely leading to a passing game script.. With a remarkable 67.4% Adjusted Completion% (77th percentile) since the start of last season, Geno Smith places as one of the most accurate quarterbacks in the NFL.. The Green Bay Packers safeties grade out as the 10th-worst collection of safeties in the league since the start of last season in defending pass-catchers.
Rushing Yards
Geno Smith logo
Geno Smith o7.5 Rushing Yards (-110)
Projection 17.54 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 43 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 5 out of 5
Our trusted projections expect the Jets to be the 3rd-most run-centric team in the league (adjusted for context) right now with a 42.3% run rate.. Geno Smith is positioned as one of the leading quarterbacks in football at grinding out extra running yardage, averaging a fantastic 2.42 yards-after-contact since the start of last season while ranking in the 90th percentile.
Rushing Yards
Jordan Love logo
Jordan Love o6.5 Rushing Yards (-115)
Projection 11.26 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 19 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 5 out of 5
This game's spread implies a rushing game script for the Packers, who are favored by 3.5 points.. Jordan Love's running efficiency (6.23 adjusted yards per carry) has been some of the best in the league since the start of last season (79th percentile among quarterbacks).. The opposing side have rushed for the most adjusted yards in football (148 per game) against the New York Jets defense since the start of last season.. As it relates to the safeties' role in run defense, New York's collection of safeties has been lousy since the start of last season, grading out as the 7th-worst in football. in football.
Rushing Yards
Breece Hall logo
Breece Hall u67.5 Rushing Yards (-114)
Projection 60.69 (Under)
Best Odds
Pick made: 9 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 5 out of 5
The Jets are a 3.5-point underdog in this week's contest, likely leading to a passing game script.. Based on the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this game is predicted by the projection model to have just 121.3 plays on offense run: the 2nd-fewest on the slate this week.. The Green Bay Packers defense boasts the 9th-best efficiency against opposing rushing attacks since the start of last season, yielding just 4.16 adjusted yards-per-carry (YPC).. The Green Bay Packers safeties rank as the 3rd-best safety corps in the NFL since the start of last season when it comes to run defense.
Rushing Yards
MarShawn Lloyd logo
MarShawn Lloyd o49.5 Rushing Yards (-115)
Projection 54.22 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 17 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
This game's spread implies a rushing game script for the Packers, who are favored by 3.5 points.. The opposing side have rushed for the most adjusted yards in football (148 per game) against the New York Jets defense since the start of last season.. As it relates to the safeties' role in run defense, New York's collection of safeties has been lousy since the start of last season, grading out as the 7th-worst in football. in football.
Receiving Yards
Garrett Wilson logo
Garrett Wilson o64.5 Receiving Yards (-110)
Projection 74.88 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 21 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 5 out of 5
The Jets are a 3.5-point underdog in this week's contest, likely leading to a passing game script.. The leading projections forecast Garrett Wilson to total 9.5 targets in this game, on average, ranking him in the 96th percentile when it comes to wideouts.. Garrett Wilson has been a key part of his team's passing offense, garnering a Target Share of 33.7% since the start of last season, which ranks him in the 100th percentile when it comes to wide receivers.. With a stellar 52.0 adjusted yards per game through the air (87th percentile) since the start of last season, Garrett Wilson places as one of the best WRs in the NFL in football.. The Packers pass defense has given up the 7th-highest Adjusted Completion% in the league (67.3%) vs. WRs since the start of last season (67.3%).
Receiving Yards
KS
Kenyon Sadiq o21.5 Receiving Yards (-115)
Projection 27.38 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 7 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 5 out of 5
The Jets are a 3.5-point underdog in this week's contest, likely leading to a passing game script.. The Green Bay Packers safeties grade out as the 10th-worst collection of safeties in the league since the start of last season in defending pass-catchers.
Receiving Yards
Christian Watson logo
Christian Watson o58.5 Receiving Yards (-115)
Projection 63.08 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 17 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The projections expect the Packers to be the 9th-most pass-centric offense in football (adjusted for context) at the present time with a 61.6% pass rate.. In this contest, Christian Watson is expected by the model to secure a spot in the 82nd percentile when it comes to WRs with 6.9 targets.. Christian Watson has accrued a whopping 102.0 air yards per game since the start of last season: 96th percentile when it comes to wide receivers.. Christian Watson rates as one of the best pass-catching WRs since the start of last season, averaging a terrific 63.0 adjusted yards per game while ranking in the 95th percentile.. Since the start of last season, the deficient Jets defense has been gouged for the 8th-most adjusted yards-per-target in the NFL to opposing wide receivers: a colossal 8.62 yards.
Passing Attempts
Jordan Love logo
Jordan Love u33.5 Passing Attempts (-125)
Projection 29.88 (Under)
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
This game's spread implies a rushing game script for the Packers, who are favored by 3.5 points.. Based on their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Packers are expected by our trusted projection set to run only 58.8 plays on offense in this game: the 2nd-lowest number on the slate this week.
Anytime Touchdown
Geno Smith logo
Geno Smith Score a Touchdown (Yes: +900)
Projection 0.18 (Yes)
Best Odds
Pick made: 19 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 5 out of 5
The Jets are a 3.5-point underdog in this week's contest, likely leading to a passing game script.. With a remarkable 67.4% Adjusted Completion% (77th percentile) since the start of last season, Geno Smith places as one of the most accurate quarterbacks in the NFL.. The running touchdown field reads "0" on the back of Geno Smith's trading card since the start of last season.. Opposing offenses have completed passes at the 7th-highest level in football against the Packers defense since the start of last season (72.3% Adjusted Completion%).. The Green Bay Packers safeties rank as the 3rd-best safety corps in the NFL since the start of last season when it comes to run defense.

Consensus Picks

More Consensus

Consensus Picks

Our consensus picks show you what percentage of the public is betting on, you'll need to decide whether you want to bet with or against the public.

Spread

56% picking Green Bay

56%
44%

Total Picks GB 409, NYJ 327

Spread
GB
NYJ
Total

50% picking Green Bay vs N.Y. Jets to go Under

50%
50%

Total PicksGB 220, NYJ 218

Total
Over
Under

GB @ NYJ · Props

GAME & PLAYER PROPS PROJECTIONS ANALYSIS BEST ODDS
SPREAD
Green Bay Packers image thumbnail
GB -3.5 spread
-6.19 PROJECTION
-2.7 DIFFERENCE
18.17% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Green Bay Packers image thumbnail
GB -3.5 spread

PROJECTION

-6.19 PROJECTION
-2.7 DIFFERENCE
18.17% EV

ANALYSIS

There is no analysis available at the moment. Please check back later.

-3.5 -105
bet365 logo
TOTAL
Green Bay Packers image thumbnail New York Jets image thumbnail
Under 44.5 Total
43.77 UNDER PROJECTION
-0.7 DIFFERENCE
9.04% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds Caesars
Best Odds
Green Bay Packers image thumbnail New York Jets image thumbnail
Under 44.5 Total

PROJECTION

43.77 UNDER PROJECTION
-0.7 DIFFERENCE
9.04% EV

ANALYSIS

There is no analysis available at the moment. Please check back later.

u44.5 -105
Caesars logo
PASSING YARDS
Geno Smith logo
New York Jets image thumbnail
G. Smith (QB) o205.5 Passing Yards
224.49 OVER PROJECTION
+19.0 DIFFERENCE
25.07% EV
Rating: Star rating: 5 out of 5
Best odds BetRivers
Best Odds
Geno Smith logo
New York Jets image thumbnail
G. Smith (QB) o205.5 Passing Yards

PROJECTION

224.49 OVER PROJECTION
+19.0 DIFFERENCE
25.07% EV

ANALYSIS

The Jets are a 3.5-point underdog in this week's contest, likely leading to a passing game script.. With a remarkable 67.4% Adjusted Completion% (77th percentile) since the start of last season, Geno Smith places as one of the most accurate quarterbacks in the NFL.. The Green Bay Packers safeties grade out as the 10th-worst collection of safeties in the league since the start of last season in defending pass-catchers.

o204.5 -117
BetRivers logo
RUSHING YARDS
Geno Smith logo
New York Jets image thumbnail
G. Smith (QB) o7.5 Rushing Yards
17.54 OVER PROJECTION
+10.0 DIFFERENCE
26.49% EV
Rating: Star rating: 5 out of 5
Best odds Fanatics Sportsbook
Best Odds
Geno Smith logo
New York Jets image thumbnail
G. Smith (QB) o7.5 Rushing Yards

PROJECTION

17.54 OVER PROJECTION
+10.0 DIFFERENCE
26.49% EV

ANALYSIS

Our trusted projections expect the Jets to be the 3rd-most run-centric team in the league (adjusted for context) right now with a 42.3% run rate.. Geno Smith is positioned as one of the leading quarterbacks in football at grinding out extra running yardage, averaging a fantastic 2.42 yards-after-contact since the start of last season while ranking in the 90th percentile.

o5.5 -155
Fanatics Sportsbook logo
RUSHING YARDS
Jordan Love logo
Green Bay Packers image thumbnail
J. Love (QB) o6.5 Rushing Yards
11.26 OVER PROJECTION
+4.8 DIFFERENCE
24.32% EV
Rating: Star rating: 5 out of 5
Best odds Fanatics Sportsbook
Best Odds
Jordan Love logo
Green Bay Packers image thumbnail
J. Love (QB) o6.5 Rushing Yards

PROJECTION

11.26 OVER PROJECTION
+4.8 DIFFERENCE
24.32% EV

ANALYSIS

This game's spread implies a rushing game script for the Packers, who are favored by 3.5 points.. Jordan Love's running efficiency (6.23 adjusted yards per carry) has been some of the best in the league since the start of last season (79th percentile among quarterbacks).. The opposing side have rushed for the most adjusted yards in football (148 per game) against the New York Jets defense since the start of last season.. As it relates to the safeties' role in run defense, New York's collection of safeties has been lousy since the start of last season, grading out as the 7th-worst in football. in football.

o5.5 -155
Fanatics Sportsbook logo
RUSHING YARDS
Breece Hall logo
New York Jets image thumbnail
B. Hall (RB) u67.5 Rushing Yards
60.69 UNDER PROJECTION
-6.8 DIFFERENCE
23.25% EV
Rating: Star rating: 5 out of 5
Best odds BetRivers
Best Odds
Breece Hall logo
New York Jets image thumbnail
B. Hall (RB) u67.5 Rushing Yards

PROJECTION

60.69 UNDER PROJECTION
-6.8 DIFFERENCE
23.25% EV

ANALYSIS

The Jets are a 3.5-point underdog in this week's contest, likely leading to a passing game script.. Based on the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this game is predicted by the projection model to have just 121.3 plays on offense run: the 2nd-fewest on the slate this week.. The Green Bay Packers defense boasts the 9th-best efficiency against opposing rushing attacks since the start of last season, yielding just 4.16 adjusted yards-per-carry (YPC).. The Green Bay Packers safeties rank as the 3rd-best safety corps in the NFL since the start of last season when it comes to run defense.

u67.5 -113
BetRivers logo
RUSHING YARDS
MarShawn Lloyd logo
Green Bay Packers image thumbnail
M. Lloyd (RB) o49.5 Rushing Yards
54.22 OVER PROJECTION
+4.7 DIFFERENCE
21.25% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
MarShawn Lloyd logo
Green Bay Packers image thumbnail
M. Lloyd (RB) o49.5 Rushing Yards

PROJECTION

54.22 OVER PROJECTION
+4.7 DIFFERENCE
21.25% EV

ANALYSIS

This game's spread implies a rushing game script for the Packers, who are favored by 3.5 points.. The opposing side have rushed for the most adjusted yards in football (148 per game) against the New York Jets defense since the start of last season.. As it relates to the safeties' role in run defense, New York's collection of safeties has been lousy since the start of last season, grading out as the 7th-worst in football. in football.

o49.5 -115
bet365 logo
RECEIVING YARDS
Garrett Wilson logo
New York Jets image thumbnail
G. Wilson (WR) o64.5 Receiving Yards
74.88 OVER PROJECTION
+10.4 DIFFERENCE
25.4% EV
Rating: Star rating: 5 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Garrett Wilson logo
New York Jets image thumbnail
G. Wilson (WR) o64.5 Receiving Yards

PROJECTION

74.88 OVER PROJECTION
+10.4 DIFFERENCE
25.4% EV

ANALYSIS

The Jets are a 3.5-point underdog in this week's contest, likely leading to a passing game script.. The leading projections forecast Garrett Wilson to total 9.5 targets in this game, on average, ranking him in the 96th percentile when it comes to wideouts.. Garrett Wilson has been a key part of his team's passing offense, garnering a Target Share of 33.7% since the start of last season, which ranks him in the 100th percentile when it comes to wide receivers.. With a stellar 52.0 adjusted yards per game through the air (87th percentile) since the start of last season, Garrett Wilson places as one of the best WRs in the NFL in football.. The Packers pass defense has given up the 7th-highest Adjusted Completion% in the league (67.3%) vs. WRs since the start of last season (67.3%).

o61.5 -115
BetMGM logo
RECEIVING YARDS
NYJ
New York Jets image thumbnail
K. Sadiq (TE) o21.5 Receiving Yards
27.38 OVER PROJECTION
+5.9 DIFFERENCE
23.88% EV
Rating: Star rating: 5 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
NYJ
New York Jets image thumbnail
K. Sadiq (TE) o21.5 Receiving Yards

PROJECTION

27.38 OVER PROJECTION
+5.9 DIFFERENCE
23.88% EV

ANALYSIS

The Jets are a 3.5-point underdog in this week's contest, likely leading to a passing game script.. The Green Bay Packers safeties grade out as the 10th-worst collection of safeties in the league since the start of last season in defending pass-catchers.

o20.5 -114
DraftKings logo
RECEIVING YARDS
Christian Watson logo
Green Bay Packers image thumbnail
C. Watson (WR) o58.5 Receiving Yards
63.08 OVER PROJECTION
+4.6 DIFFERENCE
21.78% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Christian Watson logo
Green Bay Packers image thumbnail
C. Watson (WR) o58.5 Receiving Yards

PROJECTION

63.08 OVER PROJECTION
+4.6 DIFFERENCE
21.78% EV

ANALYSIS

The projections expect the Packers to be the 9th-most pass-centric offense in football (adjusted for context) at the present time with a 61.6% pass rate.. In this contest, Christian Watson is expected by the model to secure a spot in the 82nd percentile when it comes to WRs with 6.9 targets.. Christian Watson has accrued a whopping 102.0 air yards per game since the start of last season: 96th percentile when it comes to wide receivers.. Christian Watson rates as one of the best pass-catching WRs since the start of last season, averaging a terrific 63.0 adjusted yards per game while ranking in the 95th percentile.. Since the start of last season, the deficient Jets defense has been gouged for the 8th-most adjusted yards-per-target in the NFL to opposing wide receivers: a colossal 8.62 yards.

o58.5 -115
bet365 logo
RECEPTIONS MADE
Christian Watson logo
Green Bay Packers image thumbnail
C. Watson (WR) u4.5 Receptions Made
4.05 UNDER PROJECTION
-0.5 DIFFERENCE
8.21% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Christian Watson logo
Green Bay Packers image thumbnail
C. Watson (WR) u4.5 Receptions Made

PROJECTION

4.05 UNDER PROJECTION
-0.5 DIFFERENCE
8.21% EV

ANALYSIS

This game's spread implies a rushing game script for the Packers, who are favored by 3.5 points.. Based on their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Packers are expected by our trusted projection set to run only 59.0 plays on offense in this game: the 2nd-lowest number on the slate this week.. When it comes to cornerbacks in defending pass-catchers, New York's group of CBs has been lousy last year, grading out as the 8th-worst in the league.

u4.5 -165
bet365 logo
RECEPTIONS MADE
NYJ
New York Jets image thumbnail
K. Sadiq (TE) o2.5 Receptions Made
2.89 OVER PROJECTION
+0.4 DIFFERENCE
6.88% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
NYJ
New York Jets image thumbnail
K. Sadiq (TE) o2.5 Receptions Made

PROJECTION

2.89 OVER PROJECTION
+0.4 DIFFERENCE
6.88% EV

ANALYSIS

The Jets are a 3.5-point underdog in this week's contest, likely leading to a passing game script.. The Green Bay Packers safeties grade out as the 10th-worst collection of safeties in the league since the start of last season in defending pass-catchers.

o2.5 -105
bet365 logo
RECEPTIONS MADE
Garrett Wilson logo
New York Jets image thumbnail
G. Wilson (WR) o5.5 Receptions Made
6.12 OVER PROJECTION
+0.6 DIFFERENCE
6.47% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds Caesars
Best Odds
Garrett Wilson logo
New York Jets image thumbnail
G. Wilson (WR) o5.5 Receptions Made

PROJECTION

6.12 OVER PROJECTION
+0.6 DIFFERENCE
6.47% EV

ANALYSIS

The Jets are a 3.5-point underdog in this week's contest, likely leading to a passing game script.. Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 33.5 pass attempts per game vs. the Green Bay Packers defense last year: 10th-most in football.. Garrett Wilson has run a route on 96.6% of his team's passing plays last year, placing him in the 100th percentile when it comes to wideouts.. The leading projections forecast Garrett Wilson to total 9.6 targets in this game, on average, ranking him in the 96th percentile when it comes to wideouts.. With a stellar 4.3 adjusted receptions per game (93rd percentile) last year, Garrett Wilson stands among the top wide receivers in the game in the NFL.

o5.5 -125
Caesars logo
PASSING ATTEMPTS
Jordan Love logo
Green Bay Packers image thumbnail
J. Love (QB) u33.5 Passing Attempts
29.88 UNDER PROJECTION
-3.6 DIFFERENCE
19.63% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds BetRivers
Best Odds
Jordan Love logo
Green Bay Packers image thumbnail
J. Love (QB) u33.5 Passing Attempts

PROJECTION

29.88 UNDER PROJECTION
-3.6 DIFFERENCE
19.63% EV

ANALYSIS

This game's spread implies a rushing game script for the Packers, who are favored by 3.5 points.. Based on their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Packers are expected by our trusted projection set to run only 58.8 plays on offense in this game: the 2nd-lowest number on the slate this week.

u34.5 -128
BetRivers logo
PASSING ATTEMPTS
Geno Smith logo
New York Jets image thumbnail
G. Smith (QB) o29.5 Passing Attempts
30.26 OVER PROJECTION
+0.8 DIFFERENCE
3.39% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Geno Smith logo
New York Jets image thumbnail
G. Smith (QB) o29.5 Passing Attempts

PROJECTION

30.26 OVER PROJECTION
+0.8 DIFFERENCE
3.39% EV

ANALYSIS

The Jets are a 3.5-point underdog in this week's contest, likely leading to a passing game script.

o29.5 -115
bet365 logo
PASSING COMPLETIONS
Geno Smith logo
New York Jets image thumbnail
G. Smith (QB) o19.5 Passing Completions
21.63 OVER PROJECTION
+2.1 DIFFERENCE
15.78% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Geno Smith logo
New York Jets image thumbnail
G. Smith (QB) o19.5 Passing Completions

PROJECTION

21.63 OVER PROJECTION
+2.1 DIFFERENCE
15.78% EV

ANALYSIS

The Jets are a 3.5-point underdog in this week's contest, likely leading to a passing game script.. With a remarkable 67.4% Adjusted Completion% (77th percentile) since the start of last season, Geno Smith places as one of the most accurate quarterbacks in the NFL.. Opposing offenses have completed passes at the 7th-highest level in football against the Packers defense since the start of last season (72.3% Adjusted Completion%).. The Green Bay Packers safeties grade out as the 10th-worst collection of safeties in the league since the start of last season in defending pass-catchers.

o19.5 -125
bet365 logo
ANYTIME TOUCHDOWN
Geno Smith logo
New York Jets image thumbnail
G. Smith (QB) Anytime Touchdown
0.18 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
25.66% EV
Rating: Star rating: 5 out of 5
Best odds Fanatics Sportsbook
Best Odds
Geno Smith logo
New York Jets image thumbnail
G. Smith (QB) Anytime Touchdown

PROJECTION

0.18 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
25.66% EV

ANALYSIS

The Jets are a 3.5-point underdog in this week's contest, likely leading to a passing game script.. With a remarkable 67.4% Adjusted Completion% (77th percentile) since the start of last season, Geno Smith places as one of the most accurate quarterbacks in the NFL.. The running touchdown field reads "0" on the back of Geno Smith's trading card since the start of last season.. Opposing offenses have completed passes at the 7th-highest level in football against the Packers defense since the start of last season (72.3% Adjusted Completion%).. The Green Bay Packers safeties rank as the 3rd-best safety corps in the NFL since the start of last season when it comes to run defense.

+900
Fanatics Sportsbook logo
ANYTIME TOUCHDOWN
MarShawn Lloyd logo
Green Bay Packers image thumbnail
M. Lloyd (RB) Anytime Touchdown
0.52 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
20.21% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds Fanatics Sportsbook
Best Odds
MarShawn Lloyd logo
Green Bay Packers image thumbnail
M. Lloyd (RB) Anytime Touchdown

PROJECTION

0.52 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
20.21% EV

ANALYSIS

The projections expect the Packers to be the 9th-most pass-centric offense in football (adjusted for context) at the present time with a 61.6% pass rate.. The Jets defense has allowed the most receiving touchdowns in the league to running backs: 0.61 per game since the start of last season.

+150
Fanatics Sportsbook logo
ANYTIME TOUCHDOWN
Jordan Love logo
Green Bay Packers image thumbnail
J. Love (QB) Anytime Touchdown
0.14 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
20.12% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds BetRivers
Best Odds
Jordan Love logo
Green Bay Packers image thumbnail
J. Love (QB) Anytime Touchdown

PROJECTION

0.14 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
20.12% EV

ANALYSIS

The projections expect the Packers to be the 9th-most pass-centric offense in football (adjusted for context) at the present time with a 61.6% pass rate.. With an impressive ratio of 1.47 per game (75th percentile), Jordan Love rates among the best touchdown throwers in the NFL since the start of last season.. Jordan Love has not run for any TDs since the start of last season.. Since the start of last season, the deficient Jets defense has conceded a massive 2.06 TDs through the air per game to opposing QBs: the 2nd-worst rate in football.

+800
BetRivers logo
ANYTIME TOUCHDOWN
Christian Watson logo
Green Bay Packers image thumbnail
C. Watson (WR) Anytime Touchdown
0.44 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
16.83% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds Fanatics Sportsbook
Best Odds
Christian Watson logo
Green Bay Packers image thumbnail
C. Watson (WR) Anytime Touchdown

PROJECTION

0.44 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
16.83% EV

ANALYSIS

The projections expect the Packers to be the 9th-most pass-centric offense in football (adjusted for context) at the present time with a 61.6% pass rate.. While Christian Watson has been responsible for 13.5% of his offense's red zone targets in games he has played since the start of last season, the model projects him to be a more important option in Green Bay's offense near the end zone in this week's contest at 20.7%.. Christian Watson has accrued a whopping 102.0 air yards per game since the start of last season: 96th percentile when it comes to wide receivers.. With a fantastic ratio of 0.73 per game through the air (99th percentile), Christian Watson stands as one of the leading receiving TD-scorers in football among wide receivers since the start of last season.

+185
Fanatics Sportsbook logo
ANYTIME TOUCHDOWN
Garrett Wilson logo
New York Jets image thumbnail
G. Wilson (WR) Anytime Touchdown
0.38 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
14.65% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds Fanatics Sportsbook
Best Odds
Garrett Wilson logo
New York Jets image thumbnail
G. Wilson (WR) Anytime Touchdown

PROJECTION

0.38 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
14.65% EV

ANALYSIS

The Jets are a 3.5-point underdog in this week's contest, likely leading to a passing game script.. While Garrett Wilson has earned 18.2% of his offense's red zone targets in games he has played since the start of last season, the projections expect him to be a more important option in New York's offense near the goal line in this week's contest at 26.3%.. In regards to air yards, Garrett Wilson ranks in the lofty 86th percentile among wideouts since the start of last season, averaging a massive 79.0 per game.. Garrett Wilson's 82.4 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that examines high-value offensive involvement) puts him in the company of the league leaders: 99th percentile for wideouts.. Garrett Wilson grades out in the 92nd percentile among wide receivers when it comes to catching touchdowns since the start of last season, averaging an outstanding 0.44 per game.

+225
Fanatics Sportsbook logo
ANYTIME TOUCHDOWN
NYJ
New York Jets image thumbnail
K. Sadiq (TE) Anytime Touchdown
0.16 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
9.83% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds Fanatics Sportsbook
Best Odds
NYJ
New York Jets image thumbnail
K. Sadiq (TE) Anytime Touchdown

PROJECTION

0.16 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
9.83% EV

ANALYSIS

The Jets are a 3.5-point underdog in this week's contest, likely leading to a passing game script.. Opposing offenses have completed passes at the 7th-highest level in football against the Packers defense since the start of last season (72.3% Adjusted Completion%).. The Green Bay Packers safeties rank as the 3rd-best safety corps in the NFL since the start of last season when it comes to run defense.

+650
Fanatics Sportsbook logo
ANYTIME TOUCHDOWN
Breece Hall logo
New York Jets image thumbnail
B. Hall (RB) Anytime Touchdown
0.5 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
-2.6% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds Fanatics Sportsbook
Best Odds
Breece Hall logo
New York Jets image thumbnail
B. Hall (RB) Anytime Touchdown

PROJECTION

0.5 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
-2.6% EV

ANALYSIS

The Jets are a 3.5-point underdog in this week's contest, likely leading to a passing game script.. With a high 15.5% Red Zone Target Rate (95th percentile) since the start of last season, Breece Hall places as one of the RB receiving threats with the most usage near the end zone in the NFL.. When it comes to air yards, Breece Hall ranks in the towering 94th percentile among RBs since the start of last season, accruing a colossal 3.0 per game. (given that they are usually targeted behind the line of scrimmage, that is much more noteworthy than it sounds since most RBs wind up with negative air yards).. Breece Hall is positioned as one of the most reliable receivers in football among RBs, completing an excellent 90.1% of balls thrown his way (adjusted for context) since the start of last season, checking in at the 85th percentile.. Opposing offenses have completed passes at the 7th-highest level in football against the Packers defense since the start of last season (72.3% Adjusted Completion%).

-105
Fanatics Sportsbook logo
INTERCEPTIONS THROWN
Jordan Love logo
Green Bay Packers image thumbnail
J. Love (QB) u0.5 Interceptions Thrown
0.41 UNDER PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
14.68% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Jordan Love logo
Green Bay Packers image thumbnail
J. Love (QB) u0.5 Interceptions Thrown

PROJECTION

0.41 UNDER PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
14.68% EV

ANALYSIS

This game's spread implies a rushing game script for the Packers, who are favored by 3.5 points.. Based on their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Packers are expected by our trusted projection set to run only 58.8 plays on offense in this game: the 2nd-lowest number on the slate this week.. When it comes to cornerbacks in defending pass-catchers, New York's group of CBs has been lousy last year, grading out as the 8th-worst in the league.

u0.5 -115
bet365 logo
INTERCEPTIONS THROWN
Geno Smith logo
New York Jets image thumbnail
G. Smith (QB) u0.5 Interceptions Thrown
0.47 PUSH PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
11.34% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds Hard Rock Bet
Best Odds
Geno Smith logo
New York Jets image thumbnail
G. Smith (QB) u0.5 Interceptions Thrown

PROJECTION

0.47 PUSH PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
11.34% EV

ANALYSIS

At the moment, the 3rd-least pass-centric offense in the NFL (57.7% in a neutral context) according to the projection model is the New York Jets.. Based on the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this game is predicted by the projection model to have just 121.3 plays on offense run: the 2nd-fewest on the slate this week.

u0.5 -125
Hard Rock Bet logo
  • Proj. Diff: Low to High
  • Proj. Diff: High to Low
  • Proj. Rating: Low to High
  • Proj. Rating: High to Low
  • +EV: Low to High
  • +EV: High to Low
SPREAD
Green Bay Packers image thumbnail
GB -3.5 spread
-6.19 PROJECTION
-2.7 DIFFERENCE
18.17% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Green Bay Packers image thumbnail
GB -3.5 spread

PROJECTION

-6.19 PROJECTION
-2.7 DIFFERENCE
18.17% EV

ANALYSIS

There is no analysis available at the moment. Please check back later.

-3.5 -105
bet365 logo
TOTAL
Green Bay Packers image thumbnail New York Jets image thumbnail
Under 44.5 Total
43.77 UNDER PROJECTION
-0.7 DIFFERENCE
9.04% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds Caesars
Best Odds
Green Bay Packers image thumbnail New York Jets image thumbnail
Under 44.5 Total

PROJECTION

43.77 UNDER PROJECTION
-0.7 DIFFERENCE
9.04% EV

ANALYSIS

There is no analysis available at the moment. Please check back later.

u44.5 -105
Caesars logo
PASSING YARDS
Geno Smith logo
New York Jets image thumbnail
G. Smith (QB) o205.5 Passing Yards
224.49 OVER PROJECTION
+19.0 DIFFERENCE
25.07% EV
Rating: Star rating: 5 out of 5
Best odds BetRivers
Best Odds
Geno Smith logo
New York Jets image thumbnail
G. Smith (QB) o205.5 Passing Yards

PROJECTION

224.49 OVER PROJECTION
+19.0 DIFFERENCE
25.07% EV

ANALYSIS

The Jets are a 3.5-point underdog in this week's contest, likely leading to a passing game script.. With a remarkable 67.4% Adjusted Completion% (77th percentile) since the start of last season, Geno Smith places as one of the most accurate quarterbacks in the NFL.. The Green Bay Packers safeties grade out as the 10th-worst collection of safeties in the league since the start of last season in defending pass-catchers.

o204.5 -117
BetRivers logo
RUSHING YARDS
Geno Smith logo
New York Jets image thumbnail
G. Smith (QB) o7.5 Rushing Yards
17.54 OVER PROJECTION
+10.0 DIFFERENCE
26.49% EV
Rating: Star rating: 5 out of 5
Best odds Fanatics Sportsbook
Best Odds
Geno Smith logo
New York Jets image thumbnail
G. Smith (QB) o7.5 Rushing Yards

PROJECTION

17.54 OVER PROJECTION
+10.0 DIFFERENCE
26.49% EV

ANALYSIS

Our trusted projections expect the Jets to be the 3rd-most run-centric team in the league (adjusted for context) right now with a 42.3% run rate.. Geno Smith is positioned as one of the leading quarterbacks in football at grinding out extra running yardage, averaging a fantastic 2.42 yards-after-contact since the start of last season while ranking in the 90th percentile.

o5.5 -155
Fanatics Sportsbook logo
RUSHING YARDS
Jordan Love logo
Green Bay Packers image thumbnail
J. Love (QB) o6.5 Rushing Yards
11.26 OVER PROJECTION
+4.8 DIFFERENCE
24.32% EV
Rating: Star rating: 5 out of 5
Best odds Fanatics Sportsbook
Best Odds
Jordan Love logo
Green Bay Packers image thumbnail
J. Love (QB) o6.5 Rushing Yards

PROJECTION

11.26 OVER PROJECTION
+4.8 DIFFERENCE
24.32% EV

ANALYSIS

This game's spread implies a rushing game script for the Packers, who are favored by 3.5 points.. Jordan Love's running efficiency (6.23 adjusted yards per carry) has been some of the best in the league since the start of last season (79th percentile among quarterbacks).. The opposing side have rushed for the most adjusted yards in football (148 per game) against the New York Jets defense since the start of last season.. As it relates to the safeties' role in run defense, New York's collection of safeties has been lousy since the start of last season, grading out as the 7th-worst in football. in football.

o5.5 -155
Fanatics Sportsbook logo
RUSHING YARDS
Breece Hall logo
New York Jets image thumbnail
B. Hall (RB) u67.5 Rushing Yards
60.69 UNDER PROJECTION
-6.8 DIFFERENCE
23.25% EV
Rating: Star rating: 5 out of 5
Best odds BetRivers
Best Odds
Breece Hall logo
New York Jets image thumbnail
B. Hall (RB) u67.5 Rushing Yards

PROJECTION

60.69 UNDER PROJECTION
-6.8 DIFFERENCE
23.25% EV

ANALYSIS

The Jets are a 3.5-point underdog in this week's contest, likely leading to a passing game script.. Based on the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this game is predicted by the projection model to have just 121.3 plays on offense run: the 2nd-fewest on the slate this week.. The Green Bay Packers defense boasts the 9th-best efficiency against opposing rushing attacks since the start of last season, yielding just 4.16 adjusted yards-per-carry (YPC).. The Green Bay Packers safeties rank as the 3rd-best safety corps in the NFL since the start of last season when it comes to run defense.

u67.5 -113
BetRivers logo
RUSHING YARDS
MarShawn Lloyd logo
Green Bay Packers image thumbnail
M. Lloyd (RB) o49.5 Rushing Yards
54.22 OVER PROJECTION
+4.7 DIFFERENCE
21.25% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
MarShawn Lloyd logo
Green Bay Packers image thumbnail
M. Lloyd (RB) o49.5 Rushing Yards

PROJECTION

54.22 OVER PROJECTION
+4.7 DIFFERENCE
21.25% EV

ANALYSIS

This game's spread implies a rushing game script for the Packers, who are favored by 3.5 points.. The opposing side have rushed for the most adjusted yards in football (148 per game) against the New York Jets defense since the start of last season.. As it relates to the safeties' role in run defense, New York's collection of safeties has been lousy since the start of last season, grading out as the 7th-worst in football. in football.

o49.5 -115
bet365 logo
RECEIVING YARDS
Garrett Wilson logo
New York Jets image thumbnail
G. Wilson (WR) o64.5 Receiving Yards
74.88 OVER PROJECTION
+10.4 DIFFERENCE
25.4% EV
Rating: Star rating: 5 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Garrett Wilson logo
New York Jets image thumbnail
G. Wilson (WR) o64.5 Receiving Yards

PROJECTION

74.88 OVER PROJECTION
+10.4 DIFFERENCE
25.4% EV

ANALYSIS

The Jets are a 3.5-point underdog in this week's contest, likely leading to a passing game script.. The leading projections forecast Garrett Wilson to total 9.5 targets in this game, on average, ranking him in the 96th percentile when it comes to wideouts.. Garrett Wilson has been a key part of his team's passing offense, garnering a Target Share of 33.7% since the start of last season, which ranks him in the 100th percentile when it comes to wide receivers.. With a stellar 52.0 adjusted yards per game through the air (87th percentile) since the start of last season, Garrett Wilson places as one of the best WRs in the NFL in football.. The Packers pass defense has given up the 7th-highest Adjusted Completion% in the league (67.3%) vs. WRs since the start of last season (67.3%).

o61.5 -115
BetMGM logo
RECEIVING YARDS
NYJ
New York Jets image thumbnail
K. Sadiq (TE) o21.5 Receiving Yards
27.38 OVER PROJECTION
+5.9 DIFFERENCE
23.88% EV
Rating: Star rating: 5 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
NYJ
New York Jets image thumbnail
K. Sadiq (TE) o21.5 Receiving Yards

PROJECTION

27.38 OVER PROJECTION
+5.9 DIFFERENCE
23.88% EV

ANALYSIS

The Jets are a 3.5-point underdog in this week's contest, likely leading to a passing game script.. The Green Bay Packers safeties grade out as the 10th-worst collection of safeties in the league since the start of last season in defending pass-catchers.

o20.5 -114
DraftKings logo
RECEIVING YARDS
Christian Watson logo
Green Bay Packers image thumbnail
C. Watson (WR) o58.5 Receiving Yards
63.08 OVER PROJECTION
+4.6 DIFFERENCE
21.78% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Christian Watson logo
Green Bay Packers image thumbnail
C. Watson (WR) o58.5 Receiving Yards

PROJECTION

63.08 OVER PROJECTION
+4.6 DIFFERENCE
21.78% EV

ANALYSIS

The projections expect the Packers to be the 9th-most pass-centric offense in football (adjusted for context) at the present time with a 61.6% pass rate.. In this contest, Christian Watson is expected by the model to secure a spot in the 82nd percentile when it comes to WRs with 6.9 targets.. Christian Watson has accrued a whopping 102.0 air yards per game since the start of last season: 96th percentile when it comes to wide receivers.. Christian Watson rates as one of the best pass-catching WRs since the start of last season, averaging a terrific 63.0 adjusted yards per game while ranking in the 95th percentile.. Since the start of last season, the deficient Jets defense has been gouged for the 8th-most adjusted yards-per-target in the NFL to opposing wide receivers: a colossal 8.62 yards.

o58.5 -115
bet365 logo
RECEPTIONS MADE
Christian Watson logo
Green Bay Packers image thumbnail
C. Watson (WR) u4.5 Receptions Made
4.05 UNDER PROJECTION
-0.5 DIFFERENCE
8.21% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Christian Watson logo
Green Bay Packers image thumbnail
C. Watson (WR) u4.5 Receptions Made

PROJECTION

4.05 UNDER PROJECTION
-0.5 DIFFERENCE
8.21% EV

ANALYSIS

This game's spread implies a rushing game script for the Packers, who are favored by 3.5 points.. Based on their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Packers are expected by our trusted projection set to run only 59.0 plays on offense in this game: the 2nd-lowest number on the slate this week.. When it comes to cornerbacks in defending pass-catchers, New York's group of CBs has been lousy last year, grading out as the 8th-worst in the league.

u4.5 -165
bet365 logo
RECEPTIONS MADE
NYJ
New York Jets image thumbnail
K. Sadiq (TE) o2.5 Receptions Made
2.89 OVER PROJECTION
+0.4 DIFFERENCE
6.88% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
NYJ
New York Jets image thumbnail
K. Sadiq (TE) o2.5 Receptions Made

PROJECTION

2.89 OVER PROJECTION
+0.4 DIFFERENCE
6.88% EV

ANALYSIS

The Jets are a 3.5-point underdog in this week's contest, likely leading to a passing game script.. The Green Bay Packers safeties grade out as the 10th-worst collection of safeties in the league since the start of last season in defending pass-catchers.

o2.5 -105
bet365 logo
RECEPTIONS MADE
Garrett Wilson logo
New York Jets image thumbnail
G. Wilson (WR) o5.5 Receptions Made
6.12 OVER PROJECTION
+0.6 DIFFERENCE
6.47% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds Caesars
Best Odds
Garrett Wilson logo
New York Jets image thumbnail
G. Wilson (WR) o5.5 Receptions Made

PROJECTION

6.12 OVER PROJECTION
+0.6 DIFFERENCE
6.47% EV

ANALYSIS

The Jets are a 3.5-point underdog in this week's contest, likely leading to a passing game script.. Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 33.5 pass attempts per game vs. the Green Bay Packers defense last year: 10th-most in football.. Garrett Wilson has run a route on 96.6% of his team's passing plays last year, placing him in the 100th percentile when it comes to wideouts.. The leading projections forecast Garrett Wilson to total 9.6 targets in this game, on average, ranking him in the 96th percentile when it comes to wideouts.. With a stellar 4.3 adjusted receptions per game (93rd percentile) last year, Garrett Wilson stands among the top wide receivers in the game in the NFL.

o5.5 -125
Caesars logo
PASSING ATTEMPTS
Jordan Love logo
Green Bay Packers image thumbnail
J. Love (QB) u33.5 Passing Attempts
29.88 UNDER PROJECTION
-3.6 DIFFERENCE
19.63% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds BetRivers
Best Odds
Jordan Love logo
Green Bay Packers image thumbnail
J. Love (QB) u33.5 Passing Attempts

PROJECTION

29.88 UNDER PROJECTION
-3.6 DIFFERENCE
19.63% EV

ANALYSIS

This game's spread implies a rushing game script for the Packers, who are favored by 3.5 points.. Based on their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Packers are expected by our trusted projection set to run only 58.8 plays on offense in this game: the 2nd-lowest number on the slate this week.

u34.5 -128
BetRivers logo
PASSING ATTEMPTS
Geno Smith logo
New York Jets image thumbnail
G. Smith (QB) o29.5 Passing Attempts
30.26 OVER PROJECTION
+0.8 DIFFERENCE
3.39% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Geno Smith logo
New York Jets image thumbnail
G. Smith (QB) o29.5 Passing Attempts

PROJECTION

30.26 OVER PROJECTION
+0.8 DIFFERENCE
3.39% EV

ANALYSIS

The Jets are a 3.5-point underdog in this week's contest, likely leading to a passing game script.

o29.5 -115
bet365 logo
PASSING COMPLETIONS
Geno Smith logo
New York Jets image thumbnail
G. Smith (QB) o19.5 Passing Completions
21.63 OVER PROJECTION
+2.1 DIFFERENCE
15.78% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Geno Smith logo
New York Jets image thumbnail
G. Smith (QB) o19.5 Passing Completions

PROJECTION

21.63 OVER PROJECTION
+2.1 DIFFERENCE
15.78% EV

ANALYSIS

The Jets are a 3.5-point underdog in this week's contest, likely leading to a passing game script.. With a remarkable 67.4% Adjusted Completion% (77th percentile) since the start of last season, Geno Smith places as one of the most accurate quarterbacks in the NFL.. Opposing offenses have completed passes at the 7th-highest level in football against the Packers defense since the start of last season (72.3% Adjusted Completion%).. The Green Bay Packers safeties grade out as the 10th-worst collection of safeties in the league since the start of last season in defending pass-catchers.

o19.5 -125
bet365 logo
ANYTIME TOUCHDOWN
Geno Smith logo
New York Jets image thumbnail
G. Smith (QB) Anytime Touchdown
0.18 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
25.66% EV
Rating: Star rating: 5 out of 5
Best odds Fanatics Sportsbook
Best Odds
Geno Smith logo
New York Jets image thumbnail
G. Smith (QB) Anytime Touchdown

PROJECTION

0.18 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
25.66% EV

ANALYSIS

The Jets are a 3.5-point underdog in this week's contest, likely leading to a passing game script.. With a remarkable 67.4% Adjusted Completion% (77th percentile) since the start of last season, Geno Smith places as one of the most accurate quarterbacks in the NFL.. The running touchdown field reads "0" on the back of Geno Smith's trading card since the start of last season.. Opposing offenses have completed passes at the 7th-highest level in football against the Packers defense since the start of last season (72.3% Adjusted Completion%).. The Green Bay Packers safeties rank as the 3rd-best safety corps in the NFL since the start of last season when it comes to run defense.

+900
Fanatics Sportsbook logo
ANYTIME TOUCHDOWN
MarShawn Lloyd logo
Green Bay Packers image thumbnail
M. Lloyd (RB) Anytime Touchdown
0.52 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
20.21% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds Fanatics Sportsbook
Best Odds
MarShawn Lloyd logo
Green Bay Packers image thumbnail
M. Lloyd (RB) Anytime Touchdown

PROJECTION

0.52 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
20.21% EV

ANALYSIS

The projections expect the Packers to be the 9th-most pass-centric offense in football (adjusted for context) at the present time with a 61.6% pass rate.. The Jets defense has allowed the most receiving touchdowns in the league to running backs: 0.61 per game since the start of last season.

+150
Fanatics Sportsbook logo
ANYTIME TOUCHDOWN
Jordan Love logo
Green Bay Packers image thumbnail
J. Love (QB) Anytime Touchdown
0.14 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
20.12% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds BetRivers
Best Odds
Jordan Love logo
Green Bay Packers image thumbnail
J. Love (QB) Anytime Touchdown

PROJECTION

0.14 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
20.12% EV

ANALYSIS

The projections expect the Packers to be the 9th-most pass-centric offense in football (adjusted for context) at the present time with a 61.6% pass rate.. With an impressive ratio of 1.47 per game (75th percentile), Jordan Love rates among the best touchdown throwers in the NFL since the start of last season.. Jordan Love has not run for any TDs since the start of last season.. Since the start of last season, the deficient Jets defense has conceded a massive 2.06 TDs through the air per game to opposing QBs: the 2nd-worst rate in football.

+800
BetRivers logo
ANYTIME TOUCHDOWN
Christian Watson logo
Green Bay Packers image thumbnail
C. Watson (WR) Anytime Touchdown
0.44 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
16.83% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds Fanatics Sportsbook
Best Odds
Christian Watson logo
Green Bay Packers image thumbnail
C. Watson (WR) Anytime Touchdown

PROJECTION

0.44 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
16.83% EV

ANALYSIS

The projections expect the Packers to be the 9th-most pass-centric offense in football (adjusted for context) at the present time with a 61.6% pass rate.. While Christian Watson has been responsible for 13.5% of his offense's red zone targets in games he has played since the start of last season, the model projects him to be a more important option in Green Bay's offense near the end zone in this week's contest at 20.7%.. Christian Watson has accrued a whopping 102.0 air yards per game since the start of last season: 96th percentile when it comes to wide receivers.. With a fantastic ratio of 0.73 per game through the air (99th percentile), Christian Watson stands as one of the leading receiving TD-scorers in football among wide receivers since the start of last season.

+185
Fanatics Sportsbook logo
ANYTIME TOUCHDOWN
Garrett Wilson logo
New York Jets image thumbnail
G. Wilson (WR) Anytime Touchdown
0.38 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
14.65% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds Fanatics Sportsbook
Best Odds
Garrett Wilson logo
New York Jets image thumbnail
G. Wilson (WR) Anytime Touchdown

PROJECTION

0.38 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
14.65% EV

ANALYSIS

The Jets are a 3.5-point underdog in this week's contest, likely leading to a passing game script.. While Garrett Wilson has earned 18.2% of his offense's red zone targets in games he has played since the start of last season, the projections expect him to be a more important option in New York's offense near the goal line in this week's contest at 26.3%.. In regards to air yards, Garrett Wilson ranks in the lofty 86th percentile among wideouts since the start of last season, averaging a massive 79.0 per game.. Garrett Wilson's 82.4 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that examines high-value offensive involvement) puts him in the company of the league leaders: 99th percentile for wideouts.. Garrett Wilson grades out in the 92nd percentile among wide receivers when it comes to catching touchdowns since the start of last season, averaging an outstanding 0.44 per game.

+225
Fanatics Sportsbook logo
ANYTIME TOUCHDOWN
NYJ
New York Jets image thumbnail
K. Sadiq (TE) Anytime Touchdown
0.16 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
9.83% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds Fanatics Sportsbook
Best Odds
NYJ
New York Jets image thumbnail
K. Sadiq (TE) Anytime Touchdown

PROJECTION

0.16 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
9.83% EV

ANALYSIS

The Jets are a 3.5-point underdog in this week's contest, likely leading to a passing game script.. Opposing offenses have completed passes at the 7th-highest level in football against the Packers defense since the start of last season (72.3% Adjusted Completion%).. The Green Bay Packers safeties rank as the 3rd-best safety corps in the NFL since the start of last season when it comes to run defense.

+650
Fanatics Sportsbook logo
ANYTIME TOUCHDOWN
Breece Hall logo
New York Jets image thumbnail
B. Hall (RB) Anytime Touchdown
0.5 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
-2.6% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds Fanatics Sportsbook
Best Odds
Breece Hall logo
New York Jets image thumbnail
B. Hall (RB) Anytime Touchdown

PROJECTION

0.5 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
-2.6% EV

ANALYSIS

The Jets are a 3.5-point underdog in this week's contest, likely leading to a passing game script.. With a high 15.5% Red Zone Target Rate (95th percentile) since the start of last season, Breece Hall places as one of the RB receiving threats with the most usage near the end zone in the NFL.. When it comes to air yards, Breece Hall ranks in the towering 94th percentile among RBs since the start of last season, accruing a colossal 3.0 per game. (given that they are usually targeted behind the line of scrimmage, that is much more noteworthy than it sounds since most RBs wind up with negative air yards).. Breece Hall is positioned as one of the most reliable receivers in football among RBs, completing an excellent 90.1% of balls thrown his way (adjusted for context) since the start of last season, checking in at the 85th percentile.. Opposing offenses have completed passes at the 7th-highest level in football against the Packers defense since the start of last season (72.3% Adjusted Completion%).

-105
Fanatics Sportsbook logo
INTERCEPTIONS THROWN
Jordan Love logo
Green Bay Packers image thumbnail
J. Love (QB) u0.5 Interceptions Thrown
0.41 UNDER PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
14.68% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Jordan Love logo
Green Bay Packers image thumbnail
J. Love (QB) u0.5 Interceptions Thrown

PROJECTION

0.41 UNDER PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
14.68% EV

ANALYSIS

This game's spread implies a rushing game script for the Packers, who are favored by 3.5 points.. Based on their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Packers are expected by our trusted projection set to run only 58.8 plays on offense in this game: the 2nd-lowest number on the slate this week.. When it comes to cornerbacks in defending pass-catchers, New York's group of CBs has been lousy last year, grading out as the 8th-worst in the league.

u0.5 -115
bet365 logo
INTERCEPTIONS THROWN
Geno Smith logo
New York Jets image thumbnail
G. Smith (QB) u0.5 Interceptions Thrown
0.47 PUSH PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
11.34% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds Hard Rock Bet
Best Odds
Geno Smith logo
New York Jets image thumbnail
G. Smith (QB) u0.5 Interceptions Thrown

PROJECTION

0.47 PUSH PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
11.34% EV

ANALYSIS

At the moment, the 3rd-least pass-centric offense in the NFL (57.7% in a neutral context) according to the projection model is the New York Jets.. Based on the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this game is predicted by the projection model to have just 121.3 plays on offense run: the 2nd-fewest on the slate this week.

u0.5 -125
Hard Rock Bet logo

Top User Picks

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User Picks

Our user picks are made by you, our valued users - we highlight the best user picks, sharing the users who are on a hot streak.

Total

'T-MAC4ALL' picks Green Bay vs N.Y. Jets to go Under (44.5)

T-MAC4ALL is #1 on picking games that N.Y. Jets are in with a record of (1-0-0) and +1000 units on the season.

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Over
Under
Spread

'T-MAC4ALL' is picking N.Y. Jets to cover (+3.5)

T-MAC4ALL is #1 on picking games that N.Y. Jets are in with a record of (1-0-0) and +1000 units on the season.

Spread
GB
NYJ
Spread

'oldgeezergloria' is picking Green Bay to cover (-3.5)

oldgeezergloria is #3 on picking games that Green Bay is in with a record of (1-0-0) and +1000 units on the season.

Spread
GB
NYJ
Spread

'QueenofQueens' is picking N.Y. Jets to cover (+3.5)

QueenofQueens is #3 on picking games that N.Y. Jets are in with a record of (1-0-0) and +1000 units on the season.

Spread
GB
NYJ
Spread

'luke44' is picking Green Bay to cover (-4.5)

luke44 is #5 on picking games that N.Y. Jets are in with a record of (1-0-0) and +1000 units on the season.

Spread
GB
NYJ
Total

'luke44' picks Green Bay vs N.Y. Jets to go Over (44.5)

luke44 is #5 on picking games that N.Y. Jets are in with a record of (1-0-0) and +1000 units on the season.

Total
Over
Under
Spread

'razorbacker11' is picking N.Y. Jets to cover (+3.5)

razorbacker11 is #6 on picking games that N.Y. Jets are in with a record of (1-0-0) and +1000 units on the season.

Spread
GB
NYJ
Total

'razorbacker11' picks Green Bay vs N.Y. Jets to go Under (44.5)

razorbacker11 is #6 on picking games that N.Y. Jets are in with a record of (1-0-0) and +1000 units on the season.

Total
Over
Under
Total

'cruzan2002' picks Green Bay vs N.Y. Jets to go Over (44.5)

cruzan2002 is #6 on picking games that Green Bay is in with a record of (1-0-0) and +1000 units on the season.

Total
Over
Under
Spread

'cruzan2002' is picking Green Bay to cover (-3.5)

cruzan2002 is #6 on picking games that Green Bay is in with a record of (1-0-0) and +1000 units on the season.

Spread
GB
NYJ
Spread

'SlicerDicer' is picking Green Bay to cover (-3.5)

SlicerDicer is #7 on picking games that N.Y. Jets are in with a record of (1-0-0) and +1000 units on the season.

Spread
GB
NYJ
Total

'SlicerDicer' picks Green Bay vs N.Y. Jets to go Over (44.5)

SlicerDicer is #7 on picking games that N.Y. Jets are in with a record of (1-0-0) and +1000 units on the season.

Total
Over
Under
Spread

'Paintedface' is picking N.Y. Jets to cover (+4.5)

Paintedface is #8 on picking games that N.Y. Jets are in with a record of (1-0-0) and +1000 units on the season.

Spread
GB
NYJ
Total

'Paintedface' picks Green Bay vs N.Y. Jets to go Over (44.5)

Paintedface is #8 on picking games that N.Y. Jets are in with a record of (1-0-0) and +1000 units on the season.

Total
Over
Under

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