Bills @ Jaguars Picks & Props

The leading projections forecast the Jacksonville Jaguars to be the 3rd-most pass-focused offense among all teams this week with a 59.0% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics. The Jaguars have run the 9th-most plays in the NFL this year, totaling a colossal 58.9 plays per game.

The Buffalo Bills may rely on the pass game less this week (and call more carries) since they be forced to utilize backup quarterback Josh Allen. Given the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this contest is projected by the predictive model to see just 125.5 offensive plays called: the 2nd-lowest number among all games this week. Opposing QBs have averaged 37.5 pass attempts per game vs. the Jaguars defense this year: most in the league. With a remarkable 20.0% Red Zone Target% (84th percentile) this year, Khalil Shakir stands as one of the wideouts with the most usage near the end zone in the NFL. As it relates to pass protection (and the strong impact it has on all air attack statistics), the O-line of the Bills ranks as the best in the NFL this year.

The Buffalo Bills may rely on the pass game less this week (and call more carries) since they be forced to utilize backup quarterback Josh Allen. Given the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this contest is projected by the predictive model to see just 125.5 offensive plays called: the 2nd-lowest number among all games this week. Opposing QBs have averaged 37.5 pass attempts per game vs. the Jaguars defense this year: most in the league. Dalton Kincaid has accumulated a colossal 39.0 air yards per game this year: 88th percentile when it comes to TEs. As it relates to pass protection (and the strong impact it has on all air attack statistics), the O-line of the Bills ranks as the best in the NFL this year.

The leading projections forecast the Jacksonville Jaguars to be the 3rd-most pass-focused offense among all teams this week with a 59.0% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics. The Jaguars have run the 9th-most plays in the NFL this year, totaling a colossal 58.9 plays per game. With an impressive 15.2% Red Zone Target Rate (78th percentile) this year, Brenton Strange has been among the tight ends with the highest volume near the goal line in the league. Brenton Strange has posted far more air yards this year (38.0 per game) than he did last year (23.0 per game). Brenton Strange's 35.0 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that examines high-value offensive volume) has been substantially better this season than it was last season at 21.9.

The Buffalo Bills may rely on the pass game less this week (and call more carries) since they be forced to utilize backup quarterback Josh Allen. Given the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this contest is projected by the predictive model to see just 125.5 offensive plays called: the 2nd-lowest number among all games this week. Opposing QBs have averaged 37.5 pass attempts per game vs. the Jaguars defense this year: most in the league. When it comes to air yards, James Cook grades out in the towering 94th percentile among running backs this year, averaging a striking 3.0 per game. (because they are often targeted behind the line of scrimmage, that is far more remarkable than it appears since most RBs wind up with negative air yards). James Cook ranks in the 75th percentile when it comes to running back WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that calculates high-value offensive usage) with a monstrous 13.4 figure this year.

The leading projections forecast the Jacksonville Jaguars to be the 3rd-most pass-focused offense among all teams this week with a 59.0% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics. The Jaguars have run the 9th-most plays in the NFL this year, totaling a colossal 58.9 plays per game. With an impressive 11.4% Red Zone Target Rate (83rd percentile) this year, Travis Etienne ranks among the pass-catching running backs with the highest volume near the end zone in the league. Travis Etienne grades out in the 99th percentile among RBs as it relates to catching TDs this year, averaging a remarkable 0.32 per game.

The Buffalo Bills may rely on the pass game less this week (and call more carries) since they be forced to utilize backup quarterback Josh Allen. Given the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this contest is projected by the predictive model to see just 125.5 offensive plays called: the 2nd-lowest number among all games this week. Opposing QBs have averaged 37.5 pass attempts per game vs. the Jaguars defense this year: most in the league. As it relates to pass protection (and the strong impact it has on all air attack statistics), the O-line of the Bills ranks as the best in the NFL this year. Josh Allen's passing accuracy has gotten a boost this year, with his Adjusted Completion% jumping from 64.7% to 71.1%.

The leading projections forecast the Jacksonville Jaguars to be the 3rd-most pass-focused offense among all teams this week with a 59.0% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics. The Jaguars have run the 9th-most plays in the NFL this year, totaling a colossal 58.9 plays per game. With a fantastic rate of 1.53 per game (82nd percentile), Trevor Lawrence rates as one of the top TD passers in the NFL this year.