Ravens @ Packers Picks & Props

The Packers may take to the air less in this week's contest (and hand the ball off more) as a result of being be forced to use backup quarterback Malik Willis. Opposing QBs have averaged 39.5 pass attempts per game against the Baltimore Ravens defense this year: 2nd-most in the league. While Luke Musgrave has accounted for 1.4% of his offense's red zone targets in games he has played this year, the model projects him to be a more integral piece of Green Bay's offense near the goal line in this game at 10.8%. Luke Musgrave has accrued significantly more air yards this season (17.0 per game) than he did last season (9.0 per game). Luke Musgrave's 16.0 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that quantifies high-value offensive involvement) has been quite a bit better this year than it was last year at 9.6.

The Ravens may rely on the pass game less in this contest (and call more rushes) because they be rolling out backup QB Tyler Huntley. This week's line suggests a passing game script for the Ravens, who are -3-point underdogs. Opposing teams have averaged 36.6 pass attempts per game vs. the Packers defense this year: 8th-most in football. Our trusted projections expect Zay Flowers to be a much bigger part of his team's passing attack near the end zone in this week's game (22.8% projected Red Zone Target Share) than he has been this year (15.1% in games he has played). Zay Flowers has accrued a staggering 71.0 air yards per game this year: 80th percentile among wide receivers.

The Packers may take to the air less in this week's contest (and hand the ball off more) as a result of being be forced to use backup quarterback Malik Willis. Opposing QBs have averaged 39.5 pass attempts per game against the Baltimore Ravens defense this year: 2nd-most in the league.

The Ravens may rely on the pass game less in this contest (and call more rushes) because they be rolling out backup QB Tyler Huntley. This week's line suggests a passing game script for the Ravens, who are -3-point underdogs. Opposing teams have averaged 36.6 pass attempts per game vs. the Packers defense this year: 8th-most in football. Mark Andrews's 35.8 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that calculates high-value offensive usage) puts him in the company of the best in football: 84th percentile for TEs. Mark Andrews ranks in the 85th percentile among TEs as it relates to catching touchdowns this year, averaging a remarkable 0.31 per game.

The Packers may take to the air less in this week's contest (and hand the ball off more) as a result of being be forced to use backup quarterback Malik Willis. Opposing QBs have averaged 39.5 pass attempts per game against the Baltimore Ravens defense this year: 2nd-most in the league. While Christian Watson has been responsible for 14.0% of his team's red zone targets in games he has played this year, the predictive model expects him to be a more important option in Green Bay's passing attack near the goal line in this game at 19.4%. Christian Watson has compiled quite a few more air yards this year (100.0 per game) than he did last year (63.0 per game). Christian Watson's 54.9 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that weighs high-value offensive usage) has been quite a bit higher this season than it was last season at 38.5.

The Ravens may rely on the pass game less in this contest (and call more rushes) because they be rolling out backup QB Tyler Huntley. This week's line suggests a passing game script for the Ravens, who are -3-point underdogs. Opposing teams have averaged 36.6 pass attempts per game vs. the Packers defense this year: 8th-most in football. This year, the strong Green Bay Packers run defense has given up a paltry 0.67 rushing touchdowns per game to the opposing side: the 3rd-best rate in football.

The Ravens may rely on the pass game less in this contest (and call more rushes) because they be rolling out backup QB Tyler Huntley. This week's line suggests a passing game script for the Ravens, who are -3-point underdogs. Opposing teams have averaged 36.6 pass attempts per game vs. the Packers defense this year: 8th-most in football. Derrick Henry has accrued a massive 1.0 air yards per game this year: 79th percentile among RBs. (That may not sound very overwhelming, but most RBs wind up with negative air yards considering most of their targets come behind the line of scrimmage). This year, the strong Green Bay Packers run defense has given up a paltry 0.67 rushing touchdowns per game to the opposing side: the 3rd-best rate in football.

The Packers may take to the air less in this week's contest (and hand the ball off more) as a result of being be forced to use backup quarterback Malik Willis. Opposing QBs have averaged 39.5 pass attempts per game against the Baltimore Ravens defense this year: 2nd-most in the league. While Josh Jacobs has accounted for 64.1% of his team's red zone run game usage in games he has played this year, the predictive model expects him to be a less important option in Green Bay's run game near the end zone in this week's contest at 52.1%. Josh Jacobs's 15.4 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that examines high-value offensive usage) grades out among the best in the league: 86th percentile for running backs. This year, the deficient Ravens defense has been torched for a colossal 0.20 receiving TDs per game to opposing RBs: the 10th-largest rate in football.