The Cardinals have officially shut down Kyler Murray for the rest of the season which means we can keep betting on incumbent QB Jacoby Brissett. Brissett has attempted at least 40 passes in four-straight games and is averaging an incredible 47.5 pass attempts per game during that span. Brissett has also been relatively efficient with that passing volume so there's little reason for head coach Jonathan Gannon to use his impotent rushing attack. Gannon might have to abandon the run even quicker than usual on Sunday since the Cards are 8.5-point dogs against the first-place Rams. Game script should lead to Brissett easily surpassing this number.
There’s some risk here with Trey Benson eligible to return now that his practice window is open, but he was a DNP on Wednesday. With Emari Demercado dealing with an ankle injury and Michael Carter operating as the pass-catching back, Knight could be the RB1 again this week. Knight has scored in three straight games and has been as short as +135 in the TD market. We saw last week that the Rams can be beaten on the ground, as Carolina moved the ball easily in Week 13. If Benson sits and Demercado is limited, this number could drop to around +140, which is closer to where the fair price should be. Even if Benson suits up, Knight still has paths to cash as the likely preferred red-zone option.
Last week, the Rams were 10.5-point road faves against a 6-6 Panthers team despite traveling to the Eastern Seaboard for a 1:00 p.m. ET kickoff. They ended up losing that game due to a couple of rare picks from Matthew Stafford, but that doesn't justify a shift to -8 this week with easier travel conditions against the 3-9 Cardinals. This is a Rams team that ranks second in the league in DVOA while the Cardinals rank 21st. With five of the Rams last six wins coming by double digits, expect them to bounce back with a lopsided win here.
Given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Los Angeles Rams to pass on 60.3% of their chances: the 5th-highest frequency on the slate this week.. Based on the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this game is expected by the model to have 133.5 total plays called: the most among all games this week.. The weather forecast calls for 2-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means higher pass volume, and reduced run volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.. Kyren Williams has been a key part of his team's offense near the end zone, earning a Red Zone Target Share of 11.2% this year, which puts him in the 87th percentile among RBs.. When talking about air yards, Kyren Williams ranks in the towering 97th percentile among running backs this year, accumulating a staggering 7.0 per game. (as a result of being targeted behind the line of scrimmage, this is much more remarkable than it sounds since most RBs have negative air yards).
The Cardinals will be rolling with backup QB Jacoby Brissett in this game, which usually means fewer pass attempts and more rushing.. At a -9.5-point disadvantage, the Cardinals are heavy underdogs in this week's game, indicating much more of a reliance on throwing than their normal approach.. The leading projections forecast the Arizona Cardinals to be the most pass-centric offense among all teams this week with a 66.3% pass rate, accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.. At the moment, the 4th-most pass-centric team in the NFL in the red zone (61.8% context-neutralized) according to the projections is the Arizona Cardinals.. The model projects this game to see the highest number of plays run on the slate this week at 133.1 plays, accounting for the approaches of each team and game dynamics.
Given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Los Angeles Rams to pass on 60.3% of their chances: the 5th-highest frequency on the slate this week.. Based on the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this game is expected by the model to have 133.5 total plays called: the most among all games this week.. The weather forecast calls for 2-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means higher pass volume, and reduced run volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.. The projections expect Matthew Stafford to attempt 38.2 passes in this week's game, on average: the 3rd-most among all QBs.. Matthew Stafford ranks as one of the leading passers in the NFL this year, averaging a terrific 248.0 adjusted yards per game while grading out in the 92nd percentile.
The Cardinals will be rolling with backup QB Jacoby Brissett in this game, which usually means fewer pass attempts and more rushing.. At a -9.5-point disadvantage, the Cardinals are heavy underdogs in this week's game, indicating much more of a reliance on throwing than their normal approach.. The leading projections forecast the Arizona Cardinals to be the most pass-centric offense among all teams this week with a 66.5% pass rate, accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.. Opposing QBs have averaged 35.8 pass attempts per game versus the Rams defense this year: 10th-most in the league.. Jacoby Brissett has passed for many more adjusted yards per game (253.0) this year than he did last year (126.0).
Given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Los Angeles Rams to pass on 60.3% of their chances: the 5th-highest frequency on the slate this week.. Based on the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this game is expected by the model to have 133.5 total plays called: the most among all games this week.. The weather forecast calls for 2-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means higher pass volume, and reduced run volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.. Kyren Williams has run a route on 56.0% of his offense's passing plays this year, putting him in the 91st percentile when it comes to RBs.. When talking about air yards, Kyren Williams ranks in the towering 97th percentile among running backs this year, accumulating a staggering 7.0 per game. (as a result of being targeted behind the line of scrimmage, this is much more remarkable than it sounds since most RBs have negative air yards).
The Cardinals will be rolling with backup QB Jacoby Brissett in this game, which usually means fewer pass attempts and more rushing.. At a -9.5-point disadvantage, the Cardinals are heavy underdogs in this week's game, indicating much more of a reliance on throwing than their normal approach.. The leading projections forecast the Arizona Cardinals to be the most pass-centric offense among all teams this week with a 66.5% pass rate, accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.. The model projects this game to see the highest number of plays run on the slate this week at 133.5 plays, accounting for the approaches of each team and game dynamics.. Opposing QBs have averaged 35.8 pass attempts per game versus the Rams defense this year: 10th-most in the league.
Given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Los Angeles Rams to pass on 60.3% of their chances: the 5th-highest frequency on the slate this week.. Based on the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this game is expected by the model to have 133.5 total plays called: the most among all games this week.. The weather forecast calls for 2-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means higher pass volume, and reduced run volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.. Colby Parkinson's 90.0% Adjusted Catch Rate this year conveys a noteworthy improvement in his pass-catching skills over last year's 65.2% mark.. This year, the porous Arizona Cardinals defense has allowed a monstrous 63.0 adjusted receiving yards per game versus opposing tight ends: the 9th-most in the NFL.
The Cardinals will be rolling with backup QB Jacoby Brissett in this game, which usually means fewer pass attempts and more rushing.. At a -9.5-point disadvantage, the Cardinals are heavy underdogs in this week's game, indicating much more of a reliance on throwing than their normal approach.. The leading projections forecast the Arizona Cardinals to be the most pass-centric offense among all teams this week with a 66.5% pass rate, accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.. The model projects this game to see the highest number of plays run on the slate this week at 133.5 plays, accounting for the approaches of each team and game dynamics.. Opposing QBs have averaged 35.8 pass attempts per game versus the Rams defense this year: 10th-most in the league.
The model projects this game to see the highest number of plays run on the slate this week at 133.5 plays, accounting for the approaches of each team and game dynamics.. The Cardinals have run the most plays in football this year, averaging a whopping 61.8 plays per game.. In this week's game, Bam Knight is anticipated by the projection model to land in the 78th percentile among RBs with 13.2 rush attempts.. The leading projections forecast Bam Knight to be a less important option in his offense's ground game in this game (22.1% projected Carry Share) than he has been this year (41.3% in games he has played).
The model projects this game to see the highest number of plays run on the slate this week at 133.5 plays, accounting for the approaches of each team and game dynamics.. The Cardinals have run the most plays in football this year, averaging a whopping 61.8 plays per game.. After comprising 5.6% of his offense's rush attempts last season, Jacoby Brissett has played a bigger part in the run game this season, now making up 12.5%.. With a fantastic total of 2.49 yards-after-contact (86th percentile), Jacoby Brissett ranks among the leading running QBs in football this year.