Houston @ Indianapolis Picks & Props

The leading projections forecast this game to see the 4th-most plays run on the slate this week at 131.0 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics. The passing games of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (i.e. no wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may decline. The Indianapolis Colts offensive line profiles as the best in the league this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a strong impact on all passing offense metrics across the board. As it relates to the linebackers' role in stopping the run, Houston's group of LBs has been one of the most skilled this year, projecting as the 6th-best in the NFL.

This week's line suggests a passing game script for the Texans, who are -3.5-point underdogs. Given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Houston Texans to pass on 61.9% of their opportunities: the 5th-highest frequency among all teams this week. The predictive model expects the Houston Texans to be the 5th-most pass-centric offense in the league near the end zone (context-neutralized) at the present time with a 60.3% red zone pass rate. The projections expect this game to see the 4th-most plays run out of all the games this week at 131.0 plays, given the play styles of each team and game dynamics. The Houston Texans have run the 5th-most plays in the NFL this year, averaging a colossal 60.5 plays per game.

This week's line suggests a passing game script for the Texans, who are -3.5-point underdogs. Given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Houston Texans to pass on 61.9% of their opportunities: the 5th-highest frequency among all teams this week. The predictive model expects the Houston Texans to be the 5th-most pass-centric offense in the league near the end zone (context-neutralized) at the present time with a 60.3% red zone pass rate. The projections expect this game to see the 4th-most plays run out of all the games this week at 131.0 plays, given the play styles of each team and game dynamics. The Houston Texans have run the 5th-most plays in the NFL this year, averaging a colossal 60.5 plays per game.

The leading projections forecast this game to see the 4th-most plays run on the slate this week at 131.0 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics. The passing games of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (i.e. no wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may decline. Jonathan Taylor's 13.9 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that weighs high-value offensive volume) ranks among the best in the league: 78th percentile for RBs. The Indianapolis Colts offensive line profiles as the best in the league this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a strong impact on all passing offense metrics across the board. Jonathan Taylor's possession skills have been refined this year, with his Adjusted Catch Rate increasing from 56.8% to 91.4%.

This week's line suggests a passing game script for the Texans, who are -3.5-point underdogs. Given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Houston Texans to pass on 61.9% of their opportunities: the 5th-highest frequency among all teams this week. The predictive model expects the Houston Texans to be the 5th-most pass-centric offense in the league near the end zone (context-neutralized) at the present time with a 60.3% red zone pass rate. The projections expect this game to see the 4th-most plays run out of all the games this week at 131.0 plays, given the play styles of each team and game dynamics. The Houston Texans have run the 5th-most plays in the NFL this year, averaging a colossal 60.5 plays per game.

The leading projections forecast this game to see the 4th-most plays run on the slate this week at 131.0 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics. The passing games of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (i.e. no wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may decline. The leading projections forecast Daniel Jones to attempt 36.2 passes this week, on balance: the 7th-most among all quarterbacks. The Indianapolis Colts offensive line profiles as the best in the league this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a strong impact on all passing offense metrics across the board. Daniel Jones's passing precision has gotten better this season, with his Adjusted Completion% jumping from 63.4% to 67.7%.

This week's line suggests a passing game script for the Texans, who are -3.5-point underdogs. Given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Houston Texans to pass on 61.9% of their opportunities: the 5th-highest frequency among all teams this week. The predictive model expects the Houston Texans to be the 5th-most pass-centric offense in the league near the end zone (context-neutralized) at the present time with a 60.3% red zone pass rate. The projections expect this game to see the 4th-most plays run out of all the games this week at 131.0 plays, given the play styles of each team and game dynamics. The Houston Texans have run the 5th-most plays in the NFL this year, averaging a colossal 60.5 plays per game.