Kansas City @ Buffalo Picks & Props

The weather report calls for 3-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means increased pass volume, and reduced rush volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness. With an impressive 22.9% Red Zone Target Rate (86th percentile) this year, Khalil Shakir has been as one of the wide receivers with the most usage near the goal line in football. The Bills O-line ranks as the 4th-best in the NFL this year in protecting the passer, which has a strong effect on all passing attack stats across the board. Khalil Shakir ranks as one of the most sure-handed receivers in the NFL, catching an exceptional 80.0% of balls thrown his way (adjusted for context) this year, grading out in the 94th percentile among wide receivers. With a stellar rate of 0.38 per game through the air (82nd percentile), Khalil Shakir rates as one of the leading receiving touchdown-scorers in the NFL when it comes to wide receivers this year.

The projections expect the Kansas City Chiefs to be the 3rd-most pass-centric team among all teams this week with a 62.2% pass rate, accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics. The projections expect the Kansas City Chiefs to be the most pass-heavy offense in the league near the end zone (adjusted for context) at the moment with a 64.3% red zone pass rate. The 5th-smallest volume of plays in the league have been called by the Kansas City Chiefs this year (a measly 52.0 per game on average). The weather report calls for 3-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means increased pass volume, and reduced run volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness. The Chiefs O-line profiles as the 5th-best in the NFL this year in protecting the passer, which has a positive influence on all passing game stats across the board.

The weather report calls for 3-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means increased pass volume, and reduced rush volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness. With a top-tier 15.6% Red Zone Target Share (81st percentile) this year, Dalton Kincaid rates among the tight ends with the biggest workloads near the goal line in the league. Dalton Kincaid has accrued a colossal 44.0 air yards per game this year: 96th percentile among tight ends. Dalton Kincaid's 38.3 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that assesses high-value offensive involvement) ranks among the best in football: 91st percentile for TEs. The Bills O-line ranks as the 4th-best in the NFL this year in protecting the passer, which has a strong effect on all passing attack stats across the board.

The projections expect the Kansas City Chiefs to be the 3rd-most pass-centric team among all teams this week with a 62.2% pass rate, accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics. The projections expect the Kansas City Chiefs to be the most pass-heavy offense in the league near the end zone (adjusted for context) at the moment with a 64.3% red zone pass rate. The 5th-smallest volume of plays in the league have been called by the Kansas City Chiefs this year (a measly 52.0 per game on average). The weather report calls for 3-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means increased pass volume, and reduced run volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness. With a top-tier 37.5% Red Zone Target Rate (99th percentile) this year, Rashee Rice stands as one of the WRs with the most usage near the goal line in football.

The weather report calls for 3-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means increased pass volume, and reduced rush volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness. The Bills O-line ranks as the 4th-best in the NFL this year in protecting the passer, which has a strong effect on all passing attack stats across the board. James Cook's 92.3% Adjusted Completion% this year represents a remarkable improvement in his pass-catching talent over last year's 84.6% figure. This year, the weak Kansas City Chiefs defense has been gouged for a staggering 75.8% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing teams: the 7th-biggest rate in the league.

The weather report calls for 3-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means increased pass volume, and reduced rush volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness. The Bills O-line ranks as the 4th-best in the NFL this year in protecting the passer, which has a strong effect on all passing attack stats across the board. Josh Allen's 68.2% Adjusted Completion% this season signifies a material improvement in his throwing accuracy over last season's 64.7% figure. This year, the weak Kansas City Chiefs defense has been gouged for a staggering 75.8% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing teams: the 7th-biggest rate in the league.

The projections expect the Kansas City Chiefs to be the 3rd-most pass-centric team among all teams this week with a 62.2% pass rate, accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics. The projections expect the Kansas City Chiefs to be the most pass-heavy offense in the league near the end zone (adjusted for context) at the moment with a 64.3% red zone pass rate. The 5th-smallest volume of plays in the league have been called by the Kansas City Chiefs this year (a measly 52.0 per game on average). The weather report calls for 3-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means increased pass volume, and reduced run volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness. With an exceptional 14.5% Red Zone Target Share (75th percentile) this year, Travis Kelce ranks as one of the tight ends with the most usage near the goal line in football.

The projections expect the Kansas City Chiefs to be the 3rd-most pass-centric team among all teams this week with a 62.2% pass rate, accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics. The projections expect the Kansas City Chiefs to be the most pass-heavy offense in the league near the end zone (adjusted for context) at the moment with a 64.3% red zone pass rate. The 5th-smallest volume of plays in the league have been called by the Kansas City Chiefs this year (a measly 52.0 per game on average). The weather report calls for 3-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means increased pass volume, and reduced run volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness. The predictive model expects Patrick Mahomes to be a much smaller piece of his offense's rushing attack near the goal line in this week's contest (4.5% projected Red Zone Carry Share) than he has been this year (10.0% in games he has played).