Jaguars @ Raiders Picks & Props

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The pass games of both teams (including both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (read: no wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may decline.. Opposing teams have averaged 38.3 pass attempts per game vs. the Jacksonville Jaguars defense this year: 7th-most in the NFL.. This year, the fierce Jaguars run defense has yielded a measly 0.57 TDs on the ground per game to the opposing side: the 8th-best rate in football.

Based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Jacksonville Jaguars to pass on 61.2% of their plays: the 6th-highest clip on the slate this week.. The leading projections forecast the Jaguars to be the 9th-most pass-focused team in the league near the goal line (adjusted for context) right now with a 58.3% red zone pass rate.. The most plays in football have been run by the Jaguars this year (a colossal 61.3 per game on average).. This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.. This year, the porous Raiders pass defense has yielded a massive 70.8% Adjusted Completion Rate versus opposing wide receivers: the 4th-biggest rate in football.

The pass games of both teams (including both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (read: no wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may decline.. Opposing teams have averaged 38.3 pass attempts per game vs. the Jacksonville Jaguars defense this year: 7th-most in the NFL.. With a remarkable 23.1% Red Zone Target% (86th percentile) this year, Jakobi Meyers ranks as one of the wideouts with the highest volume near the end zone in football.. Jakobi Meyers rates in the 84th percentile among wide receiver WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that assesses high-value offensive usage) with a massive 56.3 mark this year.. This year, the shaky Jacksonville Jaguars defense has allowed a whopping 1.43 TDs through the air per game to opposing wideouts: the 3rd-highest rate in football.

Based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Jacksonville Jaguars to pass on 61.2% of their plays: the 6th-highest clip on the slate this week.. The leading projections forecast the Jaguars to be the 9th-most pass-focused team in the league near the goal line (adjusted for context) right now with a 58.3% red zone pass rate.. The most plays in football have been run by the Jaguars this year (a colossal 61.3 per game on average).. This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.. Travis Etienne has been heavily involved in his team's passing attack near the goal line, posting a Red Zone Target Share of 13.8% this year, which puts him in the 88th percentile when it comes to running backs.

The pass games of both teams (including both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (read: no wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may decline.. Opposing teams have averaged 38.3 pass attempts per game vs. the Jacksonville Jaguars defense this year: 7th-most in the NFL.. The running TD column reads "0" on Geno Smith's stats page this year.. This year, the anemic Jaguars defense has been torched for a massive 2.14 touchdowns through the air per game to opposing quarterbacks: the 4th-highest rate in football.

The pass games of both teams (including both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (read: no wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may decline.. Opposing teams have averaged 38.3 pass attempts per game vs. the Jacksonville Jaguars defense this year: 7th-most in the NFL.. This year, the fierce Jaguars run defense has yielded a measly 0.57 TDs on the ground per game to the opposing side: the 8th-best rate in football.

Based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Jacksonville Jaguars to pass on 60.9% of their plays: the 7th-highest clip on the slate this week.. The leading projections forecast the Jaguars to be the 9th-most pass-focused team in the league near the goal line (adjusted for context) right now with a 58.3% red zone pass rate.. The most plays in football have been run by the Jaguars this year (a colossal 61.3 per game on average).. This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.. Hunter Long's 10.0 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that weighs high-value offensive volume) has been significantly better this year than it was last year at 3.4.

Based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Jacksonville Jaguars to pass on 61.2% of their plays: the 6th-highest clip on the slate this week.. The leading projections forecast the Jaguars to be the 9th-most pass-focused team in the league near the goal line (adjusted for context) right now with a 58.3% red zone pass rate.. The most plays in football have been run by the Jaguars this year (a colossal 61.3 per game on average).. This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.. As it relates to safeties in defending pass-catchers, Las Vegas's unit has been easily exploitable this year, ranking as the 2nd-worst in football.

Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this game is expected by the predictive model to see only 124.3 plays on offense run: the lowest number on the slate this week.. Travis Etienne's 10.3 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that quantifies high-value offensive usage) has been significantly lower this season than it was last season at 16.4.. Travis Etienne's 72.7% Adjusted Catch Rate this year illustrates a noteable drop-off in his pass-catching ability over last year's 77.0% rate.. The Raiders pass defense has allowed the 7th-lowest Adjusted Completion% in the league (76.1%) to running backs this year (76.1%).

The pass games of both teams (including both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (read: no wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may decline.. Opposing teams have averaged 38.3 pass attempts per game vs. the Jacksonville Jaguars defense this year: 7th-most in the NFL.. Jakobi Meyers has run a route on 96.0% of his team's dropbacks this year, putting him in the 97th percentile when it comes to wideouts.. The projections expect Jakobi Meyers to total 7.7 targets in this week's game, on average, placing him in the 81st percentile when it comes to wide receivers.

The pass games of both teams (including both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (read: no wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may decline.. Opposing teams have averaged 38.3 pass attempts per game vs. the Jacksonville Jaguars defense this year: 7th-most in the NFL.

Based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Jacksonville Jaguars to pass on 60.9% of their plays: the 7th-highest clip on the slate this week.. The most plays in football have been run by the Jaguars this year (a colossal 61.3 per game on average).. This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.. Hunter Long's 35.8% Route Participation Rate this year signifies an impressive boost in his pass attack utilization over last year's 13.1% figure.. With an impressive 84.6% Adjusted Catch% (82nd percentile) this year, Hunter Long places among the most reliable receivers in the league when it comes to tight ends.

Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this game is expected by the predictive model to see only 124.3 plays on offense run: the lowest number on the slate this week.

The pass games of both teams (including both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (read: no wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may decline.. Opposing teams have averaged 38.3 pass attempts per game vs. the Jacksonville Jaguars defense this year: 7th-most in the NFL.

The Raiders have been the 9th-least pass-heavy offense in the NFL (in a neutral context) this year with a 59.1% pass rate.. Given the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this contest is anticipated by the projection model to have just 124.1 plays on offense run: the fewest out of all the games this week.. The 4th-lowest number of plays in the league have been run by the Raiders this year (a measly 52.1 per game on average).. The model projects Geno Smith to throw 29.2 passes this week, on average: the 4th-fewest out of all QBs.. Geno Smith's 65.4% Adjusted Completion% this year marks an impressive decline in his passing precision over last year's 70.1% mark.

Based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Jacksonville Jaguars to pass on 61.2% of their plays: the 6th-highest clip on the slate this week.. The leading projections forecast the Jaguars to be the 9th-most pass-focused team in the league near the goal line (adjusted for context) right now with a 58.3% red zone pass rate.. The most plays in football have been run by the Jaguars this year (a colossal 61.3 per game on average).. This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.. Trevor Lawrence has attempted 33.1 throws per game this year, grading out in the 82nd percentile when it comes to quarterbacks.

The Raiders have been the 9th-least pass-heavy offense in the NFL (in a neutral context) this year with a 59.1% pass rate.. Given the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this contest is anticipated by the projection model to have just 124.1 plays on offense run: the fewest out of all the games this week.. The 4th-lowest number of plays in the league have been run by the Raiders this year (a measly 52.1 per game on average).. The model projects Geno Smith to throw 29.2 passes this week, on average: the 4th-fewest out of all QBs.. Geno Smith's 65.4% Adjusted Completion% this year marks an impressive decline in his passing precision over last year's 70.1% mark.

Based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Jacksonville Jaguars to pass on 61.2% of their plays: the 6th-highest clip on the slate this week.. The most plays in football have been run by the Jaguars this year (a colossal 61.3 per game on average).. This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.. Trevor Lawrence has attempted 33.1 throws per game this year, grading out in the 82nd percentile when it comes to quarterbacks.. As it relates to safeties in defending pass-catchers, Las Vegas's unit has been easily exploitable this year, ranking as the 2nd-worst in football.

The Raiders have been the 9th-least pass-heavy offense in the NFL (in a neutral context) this year with a 59.1% pass rate.. Given the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this contest is anticipated by the projection model to have just 124.1 plays on offense run: the fewest out of all the games this week.. The 4th-lowest number of plays in the league have been run by the Raiders this year (a measly 52.1 per game on average).. The model projects Geno Smith to throw 29.2 passes this week, on average: the 4th-fewest out of all QBs.

Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this game is expected by the predictive model to see only 124.1 plays on offense run: the lowest number on the slate this week.

Based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Jacksonville Jaguars to pass on 61.2% of their plays: the 6th-highest clip on the slate this week.. The most plays in football have been run by the Jaguars this year (a colossal 61.3 per game on average).. This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.. Trevor Lawrence has attempted 33.1 throws per game this year, grading out in the 82nd percentile when it comes to quarterbacks.. Opposing teams have passed for the 9th-most adjusted yards in the league (246.0 per game) versus the Las Vegas Raiders defense this year.

The pass games of both teams (including both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (read: no wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may decline.. Opposing teams have averaged 38.3 pass attempts per game vs. the Jacksonville Jaguars defense this year: 7th-most in the NFL.. Opposing offenses have thrown for the 6th-most adjusted yards in football (258.0 per game) against the Jacksonville Jaguars defense this year.

The Raiders have been the 9th-least pass-heavy offense in the NFL (in a neutral context) this year with a 59.1% pass rate.. Given the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this contest is anticipated by the projection model to have just 124.1 plays on offense run: the fewest out of all the games this week.. The 4th-lowest number of plays in the league have been run by the Raiders this year (a measly 52.1 per game on average).. The model projects Geno Smith to throw 29.2 passes this week, on average: the 4th-fewest out of all QBs.. The Jacksonville Jaguars have intercepted 1.42 passes per game this year, grading out as the 2nd-best defense in the NFL by this standard.

Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this game is expected by the predictive model to see only 124.1 plays on offense run: the lowest number on the slate this week.

The pass games of both teams (including both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (read: no wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may decline.. Opposing teams have averaged 38.3 pass attempts per game vs. the Jacksonville Jaguars defense this year: 7th-most in the NFL.. Jakobi Meyers has run a route on 96.0% of his team's dropbacks this year, putting him in the 97th percentile when it comes to wideouts.. The projections expect Jakobi Meyers to total 7.7 targets in this week's game, on average, placing him in the 81st percentile when it comes to wide receivers.

Based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Jacksonville Jaguars to pass on 61.2% of their plays: the 6th-highest clip on the slate this week.. The most plays in football have been run by the Jaguars this year (a colossal 61.3 per game on average).. This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.. Hunter Long's 35.8% Route Participation Rate this year signifies an impressive boost in his pass attack utilization over last year's 13.1% figure.. This year, the porous Raiders defense has been torched for the 9th-most adjusted yards-per-target in the league to opposing TEs: a staggering 8.71 yards.

The pass games of both teams (including both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (read: no wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may decline.. Opposing teams have averaged 38.3 pass attempts per game vs. the Jacksonville Jaguars defense this year: 7th-most in the NFL.. This year, the poor Jacksonville Jaguars defense has conceded the 9th-most adjusted yards-per-target in football to opposing running backs: a monstrous 6.78 yards.

The pass games of both teams (including both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (read: no wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may decline.. Opposing teams have averaged 38.3 pass attempts per game vs. the Jacksonville Jaguars defense this year: 7th-most in the NFL.. This year, the deficient Jacksonville Jaguars defense has given up a staggering 75.0 adjusted receiving yards per game vs. opposing TEs: the most in the league.. This year, the deficient Jaguars defense has been gouged for the 5th-most adjusted yards-per-target in the NFL to opposing tight ends: a whopping 9.18 yards.

Based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Jacksonville Jaguars to pass on 61.2% of their plays: the 6th-highest clip on the slate this week.. The most plays in football have been run by the Jaguars this year (a colossal 61.3 per game on average).. This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.. The Raiders defense has been torched for the 8th-most adjusted receiving yards per game in the league (162.0) vs. WRs this year.. This year, the porous Raiders pass defense has yielded a massive 70.8% Adjusted Completion Rate versus opposing wide receivers: the 4th-biggest rate in football.

Based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Jacksonville Jaguars to pass on 61.2% of their plays: the 6th-highest clip on the slate this week.. The most plays in football have been run by the Jaguars this year (a colossal 61.3 per game on average).. This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.. As it relates to safeties in defending pass-catchers, Las Vegas's unit has been easily exploitable this year, ranking as the 2nd-worst in football.

The most plays in football have been run by the Jaguars this year (a colossal 61.3 per game on average).. The Raiders defensive tackles profile as the 6th-worst DT corps in the NFL this year with their run defense.

The Raiders rank as the 9th-most run-centric offense in the NFL (in a neutral context) this year with a 40.9% run rate.

The Raiders rank as the 9th-most run-centric offense in the NFL (in a neutral context) this year with a 40.9% run rate.

Based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Jaguars to run on 38.8% of their downs: the 6th-lowest rate among all teams this week.. Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this game is expected by the predictive model to see only 124.1 plays on offense run: the lowest number on the slate this week.. This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.

The Raiders rank as the 9th-most run-centric offense in the NFL (in a neutral context) this year with a 40.9% run rate.

Based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Jaguars to run on 38.8% of their downs: the 6th-lowest rate among all teams this week.. Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this game is expected by the predictive model to see only 124.1 plays on offense run: the lowest number on the slate this week.. This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.

Given the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this contest is anticipated by the projection model to have just 124.1 plays on offense run: the fewest out of all the games this week.. The 4th-lowest number of plays in the league have been run by the Raiders this year (a measly 52.1 per game on average).. The pass games of both teams (including both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (read: no wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may decline.. The Jaguars safeties profile as the 5th-best unit in football this year when it comes to defending the run.

The most plays in football have been run by the Jaguars this year (a colossal 61.3 per game on average).. The Raiders defensive tackles profile as the 6th-worst DT corps in the NFL this year with their run defense.