Seattle @ Jacksonville Picks & Props

Our trusted projections expect the Jaguars to be the 6th-most pass-focused offense on the slate this week with a 59.7% pass rate, given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics. The projections expect Trevor Lawrence to attempt 36.1 passes in this week's game, on balance: the 5th-most among all quarterbacks. The Seahawks defense has been a prominent pass funnel this year, causing opposing teams to attempt the 7th-most passes in the league (39.4 per game) this year. When talking about protecting the quarterback (and the positive impact it has on all passing attack metrics), the offensive line of the Jaguars ranks as the 6th-best in football this year. Opposing teams have completed passes at the 8th-highest rate in the NFL versus the Seattle Seahawks defense this year (74.9% Adjusted Completion%).

The Jaguars defense has been a prominent pass funnel this year, inducing opposing teams to attempt the 4th-most passes in the league (40.6 per game) this year. While Jaxon Smith-Njigba has earned 17.6% of his team's red zone targets in games he has played this year, the predictive model expects him to be much more involved in Seattle's offense near the goal line in this week's game at 29.3%. After accruing 73.0 air yards per game last year, Jaxon Smith-Njigba has made big progress this year, now sitting at 107.0 per game. Jaxon Smith-Njigba's 84.4 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that calculates high-value offensive volume) has been quite a bit higher this season than it was last season at 57.6. Jaxon Smith-Njigba's 80.9% Adjusted Completion% this year conveys a material gain in his pass-catching proficiency over last year's 75.6% figure.

Our trusted projections expect the Jaguars to be the 6th-most pass-focused offense on the slate this week with a 59.7% pass rate, given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics. The Seahawks defense has been a prominent pass funnel this year, causing opposing teams to attempt the 7th-most passes in the league (39.4 per game) this year. Hunter Long's 9.5 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that weighs high-value offensive volume) has been quite a bit higher this year than it was last year at 3.4. When talking about protecting the quarterback (and the positive impact it has on all passing attack metrics), the offensive line of the Jaguars ranks as the 6th-best in football this year. With a stellar 87.5% Adjusted Completion Rate (92nd percentile) this year, Hunter Long places among the most reliable receivers in the NFL among TEs.

Our trusted projections expect the Jaguars to be the 6th-most pass-focused offense on the slate this week with a 59.7% pass rate, given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics. The Seahawks defense has been a prominent pass funnel this year, causing opposing teams to attempt the 7th-most passes in the league (39.4 per game) this year. When talking about protecting the quarterback (and the positive impact it has on all passing attack metrics), the offensive line of the Jaguars ranks as the 6th-best in football this year. Opposing teams have completed passes at the 8th-highest rate in the NFL versus the Seattle Seahawks defense this year (74.9% Adjusted Completion%). This year, the daunting Seattle Seahawks run defense has given up a feeble 0.40 TDs on the ground per game to opposing offenses: the best rate in the NFL.

The Jaguars defense has been a prominent pass funnel this year, inducing opposing teams to attempt the 4th-most passes in the league (40.6 per game) this year.

The Jaguars defense has been a prominent pass funnel this year, inducing opposing teams to attempt the 4th-most passes in the league (40.6 per game) this year. While Kenneth Walker III has received 0.0% of his team's red zone targets in games he has played this year, the model projects him to be much more involved in Seattle's passing attack near the goal line in this week's contest at 8.2%. This year, the deficient Jaguars defense has yielded a massive 0.40 receiving TDs per game to opposing running backs: the 3rd-largest rate in football.

Our trusted projections expect the Jaguars to be the 6th-most pass-focused offense on the slate this week with a 59.7% pass rate, given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics. The Seahawks defense has been a prominent pass funnel this year, causing opposing teams to attempt the 7th-most passes in the league (39.4 per game) this year. When talking about protecting the quarterback (and the positive impact it has on all passing attack metrics), the offensive line of the Jaguars ranks as the 6th-best in football this year. Travis Etienne grades out in the 84th percentile among running backs as it relates to catching touchdowns this year, averaging a remarkable 0.14 per game. Opposing teams have completed passes at the 8th-highest rate in the NFL versus the Seattle Seahawks defense this year (74.9% Adjusted Completion%).

The Jaguars defense has been a prominent pass funnel this year, inducing opposing teams to attempt the 4th-most passes in the league (40.6 per game) this year. Sam Darnold has not attempted to run the ball himself in the red zone at all this year. Sam Darnold's throwing precision has been refined this year, with his Adjusted Completion% increasing from 66.2% to 72.8%. 0: the number of rushing touchdowns Sam Darnold has scored this year.