Detroit @ Baltimore Picks & Props

The forecast calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means increased pass volume, and reduced run volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness. The Lions defense has been a bit of pass funnel since the start of last season, leading opposing teams to attempt the 5th-most passes in football (34.8 per game) since the start of last season. With an outstanding rate of 2.47 per game (100th percentile), Lamar Jackson has been as one of the top TD passers in football since the start of last season.

The Lions are a 4.5-point underdog in this game, which points towards a passing game script. The leading projections forecast the Lions as the 7th-most pass-heavy offense on the slate this week with a 60.4% pass rate, accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics. The 6th-largest volume of plays in football have been run by the Detroit Lions since the start of last season (a massive 59.3 per game on average). The passing games of both teams (as it relates to both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the calm weather conditions (4-mph wind) being forecasted in this game, while rush volume may go down. Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 38.8 pass attempts per game versus the Baltimore Ravens defense since the start of last season: most in football.

The forecast calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means increased pass volume, and reduced run volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness. The Lions defense has been a bit of pass funnel since the start of last season, leading opposing teams to attempt the 5th-most passes in football (34.8 per game) since the start of last season. With a remarkable 25.0% Red Zone Target Rate (95th percentile) since the start of last season, Mark Andrews rates as one of the TEs with the highest volume near the goal line in football. Mark Andrews has compiled a massive 41.0 air yards per game since the start of last season: 93rd percentile when it comes to TEs. Mark Andrews's 34.3 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that calculates high-value offensive volume) grades out among the best in the NFL: 85th percentile for TEs.

The Lions are a 4.5-point underdog in this game, which points towards a passing game script. The leading projections forecast the Lions as the 7th-most pass-heavy offense on the slate this week with a 60.4% pass rate, accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics. The 6th-largest volume of plays in football have been run by the Detroit Lions since the start of last season (a massive 59.3 per game on average). The passing games of both teams (as it relates to both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the calm weather conditions (4-mph wind) being forecasted in this game, while rush volume may go down. Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 38.8 pass attempts per game versus the Baltimore Ravens defense since the start of last season: most in football.

The Lions are a 4.5-point underdog in this game, which points towards a passing game script. The leading projections forecast the Lions as the 7th-most pass-heavy offense on the slate this week with a 60.4% pass rate, accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics. The 6th-largest volume of plays in football have been run by the Detroit Lions since the start of last season (a massive 59.3 per game on average). The passing games of both teams (as it relates to both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the calm weather conditions (4-mph wind) being forecasted in this game, while rush volume may go down. Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 38.8 pass attempts per game versus the Baltimore Ravens defense since the start of last season: most in football.

The forecast calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means increased pass volume, and reduced run volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness. The Lions defense has been a bit of pass funnel since the start of last season, leading opposing teams to attempt the 5th-most passes in football (34.8 per game) since the start of last season. The leading projections forecast Zay Flowers to be a much bigger part of his team's passing offense near the end zone in this contest (20.0% projected Red Zone Target Share) than he has been since the start of last season (10.3% in games he has played). In regards to air yards, Zay Flowers grades out in the lofty 85th percentile among WRs since the start of last season, averaging a whopping 78.0 per game. Zay Flowers's 71.6% Adjusted Completion Rate this year shows a remarkable boost in his receiving proficiency over last year's 65.7% rate.

The forecast calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means increased pass volume, and reduced run volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness. The Lions defense has been a bit of pass funnel since the start of last season, leading opposing teams to attempt the 5th-most passes in football (34.8 per game) since the start of last season. With a terrific rate of 0.11 per game through the air (80th percentile), Derrick Henry stands among the top receiving TD-scorers in football among running backs since the start of last season.