SPREAD
DET
+4.5 spread
2.6
PROJECTION
-1.9
DIFFERENCE
13.34%
EV
Rating:
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds Caesars
Best Odds
DET
+4.5 spread
Close Modal
2.6
PROJECTION
-1.9
DIFFERENCE
13.34%
EV
As the Dolphins take the field, they bring with them a potent offense that has proven to be a challenge for opposing defenses. Miami is currently ranked 5th in scoring offense, averaging 28.2 points per game. Quarterback Tua Tagovailoa has been a key player, showcasing his ability to connect with both his wide receivers and tight ends effectively. This offensive firepower will be vital against a Jets defense that, despite some struggles, ranks 12th in points allowed per game.. On the other side, the New York Jets have had their share of ups and downs this season. With a record that reflects inconsistency, their ability to keep pace with high-scoring teams has come into question. They rank 24th in scoring offense, managing just 18.4 points per game. This deficiency places significant pressure on their defense to step up and contain the Dolphins’ dynamic attack.. Betting odds will likely favor the Dolphins, given their offensive ranking and recent performances. Bettors should watch the injury reports closely, as both teams have dealt with key player absences that could impact the game’s outcome. The Dolphins' ability to exploit mismatches in the Jets' secondary could be a pivotal factor in determining the game’s final score.. As kickoff approaches, fans and bettors alike will be eager to see if Miami can capitalize on their offensive strengths and if the Jets can rise to the occasion and claim a crucial victory in this divisional clash.
+4.5
-105
TOTAL
51.8 UNDER
PROJECTION
-2.7
DIFFERENCE
15.93%
EV
Rating:
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
51.8 UNDER
PROJECTION
-2.7
DIFFERENCE
15.93%
EV
As the Dolphins take the field, they bring with them a potent offense that has proven to be a challenge for opposing defenses. Miami is currently ranked 5th in scoring offense, averaging 28.2 points per game. Quarterback Tua Tagovailoa has been a key player, showcasing his ability to connect with both his wide receivers and tight ends effectively. This offensive firepower will be vital against a Jets defense that, despite some struggles, ranks 12th in points allowed per game.. On the other side, the New York Jets have had their share of ups and downs this season. With a record that reflects inconsistency, their ability to keep pace with high-scoring teams has come into question. They rank 24th in scoring offense, managing just 18.4 points per game. This deficiency places significant pressure on their defense to step up and contain the Dolphins’ dynamic attack.. Betting odds will likely favor the Dolphins, given their offensive ranking and recent performances. Bettors should watch the injury reports closely, as both teams have dealt with key player absences that could impact the game’s outcome. The Dolphins' ability to exploit mismatches in the Jets' secondary could be a pivotal factor in determining the game’s final score.. As kickoff approaches, fans and bettors alike will be eager to see if Miami can capitalize on their offensive strengths and if the Jets can rise to the occasion and claim a crucial victory in this divisional clash.
u54.5
-110
MONEYLINE
DET
+210 moneyline
DET
PROJECTION
-
DIFFERENCE
8.28%
EV
Rating:
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds Caesars
Best Odds
DET
+210 moneyline
Close Modal
DET
PROJECTION
-
DIFFERENCE
8.28%
EV
As the Dolphins take the field, they bring with them a potent offense that has proven to be a challenge for opposing defenses. Miami is currently ranked 5th in scoring offense, averaging 28.2 points per game. Quarterback Tua Tagovailoa has been a key player, showcasing his ability to connect with both his wide receivers and tight ends effectively. This offensive firepower will be vital against a Jets defense that, despite some struggles, ranks 12th in points allowed per game.. On the other side, the New York Jets have had their share of ups and downs this season. With a record that reflects inconsistency, their ability to keep pace with high-scoring teams has come into question. They rank 24th in scoring offense, managing just 18.4 points per game. This deficiency places significant pressure on their defense to step up and contain the Dolphins’ dynamic attack.. Betting odds will likely favor the Dolphins, given their offensive ranking and recent performances. Bettors should watch the injury reports closely, as both teams have dealt with key player absences that could impact the game’s outcome. The Dolphins' ability to exploit mismatches in the Jets' secondary could be a pivotal factor in determining the game’s final score.. As kickoff approaches, fans and bettors alike will be eager to see if Miami can capitalize on their offensive strengths and if the Jets can rise to the occasion and claim a crucial victory in this divisional clash.
+210
ANYTIME TOUCHDOWN
0.6 TDs
PROJECTION
-
DIFFERENCE
23.76%
EV
Rating:
Star rating: 5 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
0.6 TDs
PROJECTION
-
DIFFERENCE
23.76%
EV
The forecast calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means increased pass volume, and reduced run volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.. The Lions defense has been a bit of pass funnel since the start of last season, leading opposing teams to attempt the 5th-most passes in football (34.8 per game) since the start of last season.. With an outstanding rate of 2.47 per game (100th percentile), Lamar Jackson has been as one of the top TD passers in football since the start of last season.
+170
ANYTIME TOUCHDOWN
0.44 TDs
PROJECTION
-
DIFFERENCE
16.09%
EV
Rating:
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
0.44 TDs
PROJECTION
-
DIFFERENCE
16.09%
EV
The forecast calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means increased pass volume, and reduced run volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.. The Lions defense has been a bit of pass funnel since the start of last season, leading opposing teams to attempt the 5th-most passes in football (34.8 per game) since the start of last season.. With a remarkable 25.0% Red Zone Target Rate (95th percentile) since the start of last season, Mark Andrews rates as one of the TEs with the highest volume near the goal line in football.. Mark Andrews has compiled a massive 41.0 air yards per game since the start of last season: 93rd percentile when it comes to TEs.. Mark Andrews's 34.3 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that calculates high-value offensive volume) grades out among the best in the NFL: 85th percentile for TEs.
+185
ANYTIME TOUCHDOWN
0.36 TDs
PROJECTION
-
DIFFERENCE
15.65%
EV
Rating:
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
0.36 TDs
PROJECTION
-
DIFFERENCE
15.65%
EV
The Lions are a 4.5-point underdog in this game, which points towards a passing game script.. The leading projections forecast the Lions as the 6th-most pass-heavy offense on the slate this week with a 60.2% pass rate, accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.. The 6th-largest volume of plays in football have been run by the Detroit Lions since the start of last season (a massive 59.3 per game on average).. The passing games of both teams (as it relates to both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the calm weather conditions (4-mph wind) being forecasted in this game, while rush volume may go down.. Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 38.8 pass attempts per game versus the Baltimore Ravens defense since the start of last season: most in football.
+245
ANYTIME TOUCHDOWN
0.69 TDs
PROJECTION
-
DIFFERENCE
14.84%
EV
Rating:
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
0.69 TDs
PROJECTION
-
DIFFERENCE
14.84%
EV
The Lions are a 4.5-point underdog in this game, which points towards a passing game script.. The leading projections forecast the Lions as the 6th-most pass-heavy offense on the slate this week with a 60.2% pass rate, accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.. The 6th-largest volume of plays in football have been run by the Detroit Lions since the start of last season (a massive 59.3 per game on average).. The passing games of both teams (as it relates to both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the calm weather conditions (4-mph wind) being forecasted in this game, while rush volume may go down.. Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 38.8 pass attempts per game versus the Baltimore Ravens defense since the start of last season: most in football.
-130
ANYTIME TOUCHDOWN
0.81 TDs
PROJECTION
-
DIFFERENCE
12.99%
EV
Rating:
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds Caesars
Best Odds
0.81 TDs
PROJECTION
-
DIFFERENCE
12.99%
EV
The forecast calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means increased pass volume, and reduced run volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.. The Lions defense has been a bit of pass funnel since the start of last season, leading opposing teams to attempt the 5th-most passes in football (34.8 per game) since the start of last season.. With a terrific rate of 0.11 per game through the air (80th percentile), Derrick Henry stands among the top receiving TD-scorers in football among running backs since the start of last season.
-213
ANYTIME TOUCHDOWN
0.53 TDs
PROJECTION
-
DIFFERENCE
12.39%
EV
Rating:
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
0.53 TDs
PROJECTION
-
DIFFERENCE
12.39%
EV
The Lions are a 4.5-point underdog in this game, which points towards a passing game script.. The leading projections forecast the Lions as the 6th-most pass-heavy offense on the slate this week with a 60.2% pass rate, accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.. The 6th-largest volume of plays in football have been run by the Detroit Lions since the start of last season (a massive 59.3 per game on average).. The passing games of both teams (as it relates to both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the calm weather conditions (4-mph wind) being forecasted in this game, while rush volume may go down.. Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 38.8 pass attempts per game versus the Baltimore Ravens defense since the start of last season: most in football.
+120
ANYTIME TOUCHDOWN
0.54 TDs
PROJECTION
-
DIFFERENCE
7.09%
EV
Rating:
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
0.54 TDs
PROJECTION
-
DIFFERENCE
7.09%
EV
The Lions defense has been a bit of pass funnel since the start of last season, leading opposing teams to attempt the 5th-most passes in football (34.8 per game) since the start of last season.. The leading projections forecast Zay Flowers to be a much bigger part of his team's passing offense near the end zone in this contest (20.6% projected Red Zone Target Share) than he has been since the start of last season (10.3% in games he has played).. In regards to air yards, Zay Flowers grades out in the lofty 85th percentile among WRs since the start of last season, averaging a whopping 78.0 per game.. Zay Flowers's 71.6% Adjusted Completion Rate this year shows a remarkable boost in his receiving proficiency over last year's 65.7% rate.
+110
RECEPTIONS MADE
4.4 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.1
DIFFERENCE
2.41%
EV
Rating:
Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
4.4 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.1
DIFFERENCE
2.41%
EV
The predictive model expects the Lions to call the fewest total plays on the slate this week with 63.4 plays, based on their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics.. The Detroit Lions have played in the most "low wind" (4-mph or less) games in football since the start of last season, which ought to mean lower pass volume, higher running volume, and reduced passing attack effectiveness when facing windier conditions in this game.. The Ravens safeties project as the 4th-best collection of safeties in football since the start of last season in defending pass-catchers.
u4.5
-109
RECEPTIONS MADE
3.4 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.2
DIFFERENCE
-4.8%
EV
Rating:
Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds FanDuel
Best Odds
3.4 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.2
DIFFERENCE
-4.8%
EV
With a 4.5-point advantage, the Ravens are favored this week, suggesting more of an emphasis on rushing than their usual game plan.. Given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Baltimore Ravens to pass on 52.8% of their opportunities: the lowest rate on the slate this week.. Based on the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this contest is predicted by our trusted projection set to have only 127.0 offensive plays run: the lowest number out of all the games this week.. The fewest plays in the NFL have been called by the Ravens since the start of last season (a measly 55.3 per game on average).. Since the start of last season, the stout Detroit Lions defense has conceded a measly 68.0% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing TEs: the 3rd-smallest rate in the NFL.
u3.5
-134
RECEPTIONS MADE
3.9 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.4
DIFFERENCE
-12.16%
EV
Rating:
Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds Caesars
Best Odds
3.9 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.4
DIFFERENCE
-12.16%
EV
The Lions are a 4.5-point underdog in this game, which points towards a passing game script.. The leading projections forecast the Lions as the 7th-most pass-heavy offense on the slate this week with a 60.4% pass rate, accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.. The 6th-largest volume of plays in football have been run by the Detroit Lions since the start of last season (a massive 59.3 per game on average).. Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 38.8 pass attempts per game versus the Baltimore Ravens defense since the start of last season: most in football.. Jahmyr Gibbs profiles as one of the leading pass-game running backs since the start of last season, averaging a terrific 3.4 adjusted receptions per game while grading out in the 95th percentile.
o3.5
-164
RECEPTIONS MADE
5.5 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.0
DIFFERENCE
-13.38%
EV
Rating:
Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds FanDuel
Best Odds
5.5 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.0
DIFFERENCE
-13.38%
EV
The forecast calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means increased pass volume, and reduced run volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.. The Lions defense has been a bit of pass funnel since the start of last season, leading opposing teams to attempt the 5th-most passes in football (34.8 per game) since the start of last season.. Our trusted projections expect Zay Flowers to notch 8.9 targets in this week's game, on average, placing him in the 93rd percentile among wideouts.. Zay Flowers has been a key part of his team's passing offense, posting a Target Share of 28.5% since the start of last season, which ranks him in the 97th percentile among wide receivers.. Zay Flowers comes in as one of the best pass-catching WRs since the start of last season, averaging a fantastic 4.6 adjusted receptions per game while checking in at the 80th percentile.
o5.5
-118
PASSING TOUCHDOWNS
1.7 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.2
DIFFERENCE
-8.33%
EV
Rating:
Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds FanDuel
Best Odds
1.7 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.2
DIFFERENCE
-8.33%
EV
The Lions are a 4.5-point underdog in this game, which points towards a passing game script.. The leading projections forecast the Lions as the 7th-most pass-heavy offense on the slate this week with a 60.4% pass rate, accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.. The 6th-largest volume of plays in football have been run by the Detroit Lions since the start of last season (a massive 59.3 per game on average).. Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 38.8 pass attempts per game versus the Baltimore Ravens defense since the start of last season: most in football.. Jared Goff's throwing precision has improved this season, with his Adjusted Completion% increasing from 72.0% to 83.0%.
o1.5
-120
PASSING TOUCHDOWNS
2.1 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.6
DIFFERENCE
-8.87%
EV
Rating:
Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds FanDuel
Best Odds
2.1 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.6
DIFFERENCE
-8.87%
EV
The forecast calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means increased pass volume, and reduced run volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.. The Lions defense has been a bit of pass funnel since the start of last season, leading opposing teams to attempt the 5th-most passes in football (34.8 per game) since the start of last season.. With an outstanding rate of 2.47 per game (100th percentile), Lamar Jackson has been as one of the top TD passers in football since the start of last season.
o1.5
-180
PASSING COMPLETIONS
23.3 UNDER
PROJECTION
-1.2
DIFFERENCE
10.93%
EV
Rating:
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
23.3 UNDER
PROJECTION
-1.2
DIFFERENCE
10.93%
EV
The predictive model expects the Lions to call the fewest total plays on the slate this week with 63.4 plays, based on their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics.. The Detroit Lions have played in the most "low wind" (4-mph or less) games in football since the start of last season, which ought to mean lower pass volume, higher running volume, and reduced passing attack effectiveness when facing windier conditions in this game.. The Ravens safeties project as the 4th-best collection of safeties in football since the start of last season in defending pass-catchers.
u24.5
-115
PASSING COMPLETIONS
19.6 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.1
DIFFERENCE
-1.76%
EV
Rating:
Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
19.6 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.1
DIFFERENCE
-1.76%
EV
The forecast calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means increased pass volume, and reduced run volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.. The Lions defense has been a bit of pass funnel since the start of last season, leading opposing teams to attempt the 5th-most passes in football (34.8 per game) since the start of last season.
o18.5
-132
PASSING ATTEMPTS
34.4 UNDER
PROJECTION
-1.1
DIFFERENCE
6.2%
EV
Rating:
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
34.4 UNDER
PROJECTION
-1.1
DIFFERENCE
6.2%
EV
The predictive model expects the Lions to call the fewest total plays on the slate this week with 63.4 plays, based on their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics.. The Detroit Lions have played in the most "low wind" (4-mph or less) games in football since the start of last season, which ought to mean lower pass volume, higher running volume, and reduced passing attack effectiveness when facing windier conditions in this game.
u35.5
-121
PASSING ATTEMPTS
29.3 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.2
DIFFERENCE
-5.76%
EV
Rating:
Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
29.3 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.2
DIFFERENCE
-5.76%
EV
With a 4.5-point advantage, the Ravens are favored this week, suggesting more of an emphasis on rushing than their usual game plan.. Given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Baltimore Ravens to pass on 52.8% of their opportunities: the lowest rate on the slate this week.. Based on the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this contest is predicted by our trusted projection set to have only 127.0 offensive plays run: the lowest number out of all the games this week.. The fewest plays in the NFL have been called by the Ravens since the start of last season (a measly 55.3 per game on average).. The model projects Lamar Jackson to attempt 31.6 passes this week, on balance: the fewest among all QBs.
u29.5
-118
PASSING YARDS
262.5 UNDER
PROJECTION
-16.0
DIFFERENCE
23.15%
EV
Rating:
Star rating: 5 out of 5
Best odds FanDuel
Best Odds
262.5 UNDER
PROJECTION
-16.0
DIFFERENCE
23.15%
EV
The predictive model expects the Lions to call the fewest total plays on the slate this week with 63.4 plays, based on their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics.. The Detroit Lions have played in the most "low wind" (4-mph or less) games in football since the start of last season, which ought to mean lower pass volume, higher running volume, and reduced passing attack effectiveness when facing windier conditions in this game.. The Ravens defense has excelled when opposing pass-catchers have gotten into space, allowing an average of 4.09 yards-after-the-catch since the start of last season: the 2nd-fewest in the league.. The Ravens safeties project as the 4th-best collection of safeties in football since the start of last season in defending pass-catchers.
u278.5
-114
PASSING YARDS
231.9 UNDER
PROJECTION
-7.6
DIFFERENCE
17.62%
EV
Rating:
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds FanDuel
Best Odds
231.9 UNDER
PROJECTION
-7.6
DIFFERENCE
17.62%
EV
With a 4.5-point advantage, the Ravens are favored this week, suggesting more of an emphasis on rushing than their usual game plan.. Given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Baltimore Ravens to pass on 52.8% of their opportunities: the lowest rate on the slate this week.. Based on the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this contest is predicted by our trusted projection set to have only 127.0 offensive plays run: the lowest number out of all the games this week.. The fewest plays in the NFL have been called by the Ravens since the start of last season (a measly 55.3 per game on average).. The model projects Lamar Jackson to attempt 31.6 passes this week, on balance: the fewest among all QBs.
u239.5
-114
INTERCEPTIONS THROWN
0.4 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.1
DIFFERENCE
18.35%
EV
Rating:
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
0.4 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.1
DIFFERENCE
18.35%
EV
The predictive model expects the Lions to call the fewest total plays on the slate this week with 63.4 plays, based on their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics.. The Detroit Lions have played in the most "low wind" (4-mph or less) games in football since the start of last season, which ought to mean lower pass volume, higher running volume, and reduced passing attack effectiveness when facing windier conditions in this game.. The Ravens safeties project as the 4th-best collection of safeties in football since the start of last season in defending pass-catchers.
u0.5
+102
INTERCEPTIONS THROWN
0.4 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.1
DIFFERENCE
4.53%
EV
Rating:
Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
0.4 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.1
DIFFERENCE
4.53%
EV
With a 4.5-point advantage, the Ravens are favored this week, suggesting more of an emphasis on rushing than their usual game plan.. Given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Baltimore Ravens to pass on 52.8% of their opportunities: the lowest rate on the slate this week.. Based on the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this contest is predicted by our trusted projection set to have only 127.0 offensive plays run: the lowest number out of all the games this week.. The fewest plays in the NFL have been called by the Ravens since the start of last season (a measly 55.3 per game on average).. In totaling a lowly 0.21 interceptions per game since the start of last season, Lamar Jackson rates among the leading QBs in the league (88th percentile).
u0.5
-177
RECEIVING YARDS
9.0 OVER
PROJECTION
+3.5
DIFFERENCE
25.09%
EV
Rating:
Star rating: 5 out of 5
Best odds FanDuel
Best Odds
9.0 OVER
PROJECTION
+3.5
DIFFERENCE
25.09%
EV
The forecast calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means increased pass volume, and reduced run volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.. The Lions defense has been a bit of pass funnel since the start of last season, leading opposing teams to attempt the 5th-most passes in football (34.8 per game) since the start of last season.. Derrick Henry has played on 58.1% of his offense's snaps since the start of last season, ranking him in the 81st percentile among RBs.. Derrick Henry grades out as one of the most efficient pass-catchers in the league among RBs, averaging a fantastic 9.83 adjusted yards-per-target since the start of last season while grading out in the 93rd percentile.. Derrick Henry has been one of the leading RBs in the NFL at generating extra yardage in the passing game, averaging a terrific 10.55 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) since the start of last season while ranking in the 92nd percentile.
o4.5
-120
RECEIVING YARDS
37.5 OVER
PROJECTION
+3.0
DIFFERENCE
17.21%
EV
Rating:
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
37.5 OVER
PROJECTION
+3.0
DIFFERENCE
17.21%
EV
The forecast calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means increased pass volume, and reduced run volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.. The Lions defense has been a bit of pass funnel since the start of last season, leading opposing teams to attempt the 5th-most passes in football (34.8 per game) since the start of last season.. In this week's game, Mark Andrews is forecasted by the projections to find himself in the 80th percentile when it comes to TEs with 4.8 targets.. Mark Andrews has compiled a massive 41.0 air yards per game since the start of last season: 93rd percentile when it comes to TEs.. Mark Andrews's 34.3 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that calculates high-value offensive volume) grades out among the best in the NFL: 85th percentile for TEs.
o34.5
-111
RECEIVING YARDS
50.3 OVER
PROJECTION
+2.8
DIFFERENCE
15.21%
EV
Rating:
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds FanDuel
Best Odds
50.3 OVER
PROJECTION
+2.8
DIFFERENCE
15.21%
EV
The Lions are a 4.5-point underdog in this game, which points towards a passing game script.. The leading projections forecast the Lions as the 6th-most pass-heavy offense on the slate this week with a 60.2% pass rate, accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.. The 6th-largest volume of plays in football have been run by the Detroit Lions since the start of last season (a massive 59.3 per game on average).. Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 38.8 pass attempts per game versus the Baltimore Ravens defense since the start of last season: most in football.. Sam LaPorta has been one of the top TE receiving threats since the start of last season, averaging an outstanding 46.0 adjusted yards per game while checking in at the 94th percentile.
o42.5
-112
RECEIVING YARDS
74.1 OVER
PROJECTION
+1.6
DIFFERENCE
5.83%
EV
Rating:
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds FanDuel
Best Odds
74.1 OVER
PROJECTION
+1.6
DIFFERENCE
5.83%
EV
The Lions are a 4.5-point underdog in this game, which points towards a passing game script.. The leading projections forecast the Lions as the 6th-most pass-heavy offense on the slate this week with a 60.2% pass rate, accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.. The 6th-largest volume of plays in football have been run by the Detroit Lions since the start of last season (a massive 59.3 per game on average).. The passing games of both teams (as it relates to both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the calm weather conditions (4-mph wind) being forecasted in this game, while rush volume may go down.. Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 38.8 pass attempts per game versus the Baltimore Ravens defense since the start of last season: most in football.
o64.5
-114
RECEIVING YARDS
75.3 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.8
DIFFERENCE
0.89%
EV
Rating:
Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
75.3 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.8
DIFFERENCE
0.89%
EV
The forecast calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means increased pass volume, and reduced run volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.. The Lions defense has been a bit of pass funnel since the start of last season, leading opposing teams to attempt the 5th-most passes in football (34.8 per game) since the start of last season.. Our trusted projections expect Zay Flowers to notch 8.9 targets in this week's game, on average, placing him in the 93rd percentile among wideouts.. Zay Flowers has been a key part of his team's passing offense, posting a Target Share of 28.5% since the start of last season, which ranks him in the 97th percentile among wide receivers.. In regards to air yards, Zay Flowers grades out in the lofty 85th percentile among WRs since the start of last season, averaging a whopping 78.0 per game.
o73.5
-110
RECEIVING YARDS
28.5 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.0
DIFFERENCE
-3.63%
EV
Rating:
Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
28.5 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.0
DIFFERENCE
-3.63%
EV
The predictive model expects the Lions to call the fewest total plays on the slate this week with 63.4 plays, based on their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics.. The Detroit Lions have played in the most "low wind" (4-mph or less) games in football since the start of last season, which ought to mean lower pass volume, higher running volume, and reduced passing attack effectiveness when facing windier conditions in this game.. Jahmyr Gibbs has posted a mere -1.0 air yards per game since the start of last season: a lowly 25th percentile among RBs.. Jahmyr Gibbs's pass-catching efficiency has diminished this year, accumulating just 3.36 adjusted yards-per-target vs a 7.89 rate last year.. Jahmyr Gibbs's ability to pick up extra yardage has worsened this year, totaling a mere 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) compared to a 10.56 rate last year.
u29.5
-118
RUSHING YARDS
2.3 OVER
PROJECTION
+1.8
DIFFERENCE
26.06%
EV
Rating:
Star rating: 5 out of 5
Best odds FanDuel
Best Odds
2.3 OVER
PROJECTION
+1.8
DIFFERENCE
26.06%
EV
The 6th-largest volume of plays in football have been run by the Detroit Lions since the start of last season (a massive 59.3 per game on average).. The Detroit Lions have played in the most "low wind" (4-mph or less) games in football since the start of last season, which ought to mean lower pass volume, higher running volume, and reduced passing attack effectiveness when facing windier conditions in this game.
o0.5
+106
RUSHING YARDS
74.9 UNDER
PROJECTION
-6.6
DIFFERENCE
20.93%
EV
Rating:
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds Caesars
Best Odds
74.9 UNDER
PROJECTION
-6.6
DIFFERENCE
20.93%
EV
Based on the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this contest is predicted by our trusted projection set to have only 127.0 offensive plays run: the lowest number out of all the games this week.. The fewest plays in the NFL have been called by the Ravens since the start of last season (a measly 55.3 per game on average).. The forecast calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means increased pass volume, and reduced run volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.. Opposing squads have run for the 3rd-fewest adjusted yards in football (just 97.0 per game) versus the Detroit Lions defense since the start of last season.. The Detroit Lions defensive ends grade out as the 3rd-best group of DEs in the league since the start of last season when it comes to defending the run.
u85.5
-108
RUSHING ATTEMPTS
16.5 UNDER
PROJECTION
-2.0
DIFFERENCE
15.62%
EV
Rating:
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds FanDuel
Best Odds
16.5 UNDER
PROJECTION
-2.0
DIFFERENCE
15.62%
EV
Based on the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this contest is predicted by our trusted projection set to have only 127.0 offensive plays run: the lowest number out of all the games this week.. The fewest plays in the NFL have been called by the Ravens since the start of last season (a measly 55.3 per game on average).. The forecast calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means increased pass volume, and reduced run volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.. The Detroit Lions defensive ends grade out as the 3rd-best group of DEs in the league since the start of last season when it comes to defending the run.
u18.5
-130
RUSHING YARDS
57.3 UNDER
PROJECTION
-2.2
DIFFERENCE
11.72%
EV
Rating:
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds FanDuel
Best Odds
57.3 UNDER
PROJECTION
-2.2
DIFFERENCE
11.72%
EV
The Lions are a 4.5-point underdog in this game, which points towards a passing game script.. Based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Detroit Lions to run on 39.6% of their chances: the lowest frequency among all teams this week.. The predictive model expects the Lions to call the fewest total plays on the slate this week with 63.4 plays, based on their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics.. The passing games of both teams (as it relates to both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the calm weather conditions (4-mph wind) being forecasted in this game, while rush volume may go down.. The opposing side have rushed for the fewest adjusted yards in football (just 82.0 per game) against the Ravens defense since the start of last season.
u59.5
-118
RUSHING YARDS
43.1 UNDER
PROJECTION
-1.4
DIFFERENCE
9.72%
EV
Rating:
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds Caesars
Best Odds
43.1 UNDER
PROJECTION
-1.4
DIFFERENCE
9.72%
EV
Based on the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this contest is predicted by our trusted projection set to have only 127.0 offensive plays run: the lowest number out of all the games this week.. The fewest plays in the NFL have been called by the Ravens since the start of last season (a measly 55.3 per game on average).. The forecast calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means increased pass volume, and reduced run volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.. After taking on 26.1% of his team's run game usage last year, Lamar Jackson has had a smaller role in the running game this year, currently accounting for only 17.8%.. Opposing squads have run for the 3rd-fewest adjusted yards in football (just 97.0 per game) versus the Detroit Lions defense since the start of last season.
u46.5
-102
RUSHING ATTEMPTS
1.0 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.5
DIFFERENCE
6.65%
EV
Rating:
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
1.0 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.5
DIFFERENCE
6.65%
EV
The Lions are a 4.5-point underdog in this game, which points towards a passing game script.. Based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Detroit Lions to run on 39.6% of their chances: the lowest frequency among all teams this week.. The predictive model expects the Lions to call the fewest total plays on the slate this week with 63.4 plays, based on their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics.. The passing games of both teams (as it relates to both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the calm weather conditions (4-mph wind) being forecasted in this game, while rush volume may go down.. In this game, Jared Goff is anticipated by the model to accrue the fewest carries among all quarterbacks with 1.5.
u1.5
-150
RUSHING ATTEMPTS
11.9 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.6
DIFFERENCE
1.61%
EV
Rating:
Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds FanDuel
Best Odds
11.9 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.6
DIFFERENCE
1.61%
EV
The Lions are a 4.5-point underdog in this game, which points towards a passing game script.. Based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Detroit Lions to run on 39.6% of their chances: the lowest frequency among all teams this week.. The predictive model expects the Lions to call the fewest total plays on the slate this week with 63.4 plays, based on their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics.. The passing games of both teams (as it relates to both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the calm weather conditions (4-mph wind) being forecasted in this game, while rush volume may go down.. When it comes to the defensive tackles' role in stopping the run, Baltimore's DT corps has been terrific since the start of last season, profiling as the best in football.
u12.5
-136
RUSHING ATTEMPTS
7.9 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.4
DIFFERENCE
-1.42%
EV
Rating:
Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
7.9 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.4
DIFFERENCE
-1.42%
EV
With a 4.5-point advantage, the Ravens are favored this week, suggesting more of an emphasis on rushing than their usual game plan.. Based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Ravens to run on 47.2% of their opportunities: the 7th-highest clip on the slate this week.. In this week's contest, Lamar Jackson is expected by the projections to notch the 2nd-most carries out of all quarterbacks with 8.2.
o7.5
-110