Chiefs @ Giants Picks & Props

The Patriots come into this game looking to improve their performance against a division rival. As the 3rd-ranked defense in the league, they have shown a strong ability to limit opposing offenses, allowing just 18.5 points per game. Their defensive unit has been particularly effective against the pass, ranking 4th in the league in passing yards allowed, which could pose challenges for the Jets' aerial attack.. On the other side, the Jets have struggled offensively, currently ranked 28th in points scored per game at just 17.2. This lack of scoring has put pressure on their defense, which has performed admirably but cannot carry the team alone. The Jets will need to find a way to generate more offensive production if they hope to compete with the Patriots’ stout defense.. From a betting perspective, the line on this game reflects the Patriots' defensive prowess and the Jets' offensive woes. Bettors will want to consider the total points line closely, as the Patriots are likely to control the tempo of the game, relying on their strong defense to keep the Jets in check. . The key matchup will be how the Jets' struggling offense can find a rhythm against the 3rd-ranked Patriots defense. If the Jets can establish a running game and create manageable passing situations, they may have a chance to keep the game competitive. However, if they are forced into obvious passing situations, the Patriots' defense could capitalize, leading to a long night for New York’s offense.

The Patriots come into this game looking to improve their performance against a division rival. As the 3rd-ranked defense in the league, they have shown a strong ability to limit opposing offenses, allowing just 18.5 points per game. Their defensive unit has been particularly effective against the pass, ranking 4th in the league in passing yards allowed, which could pose challenges for the Jets' aerial attack.. On the other side, the Jets have struggled offensively, currently ranked 28th in points scored per game at just 17.2. This lack of scoring has put pressure on their defense, which has performed admirably but cannot carry the team alone. The Jets will need to find a way to generate more offensive production if they hope to compete with the Patriots’ stout defense.. From a betting perspective, the line on this game reflects the Patriots' defensive prowess and the Jets' offensive woes. Bettors will want to consider the total points line closely, as the Patriots are likely to control the tempo of the game, relying on their strong defense to keep the Jets in check. . The key matchup will be how the Jets' struggling offense can find a rhythm against the 3rd-ranked Patriots defense. If the Jets can establish a running game and create manageable passing situations, they may have a chance to keep the game competitive. However, if they are forced into obvious passing situations, the Patriots' defense could capitalize, leading to a long night for New York’s offense.

Both teams have shown varying levels of performance this season, making this an intriguing clash in the AFC East. The Miami Dolphins have been known for their explosive offense, which ranks among the top units in the league. With a potent passing game led by their quarterback and dynamic playmakers at wide receiver, the Dolphins have consistently found ways to score points. This high-octane approach could pose significant problems for the Patriots' defense, which has struggled at times to contain elite offenses.. On the other side, the New England Patriots are trying to find their rhythm. With a young quarterback navigating his first full season, the Patriots have faced challenges moving the ball consistently. They will need to establish a strong ground game to take some pressure off their quarterback and keep the Dolphins' defense guessing. . From a betting perspective, the line for this game has fluctuated as analysts weigh the potential for offensive fireworks from Miami against New England's defensive resilience. Bettors may want to keep an eye on injury reports leading up to kickoff, as key players can significantly influence the game's outcome.. Both teams are well aware of the implications of this matchup in the context of their respective seasons. For the Dolphins, a win solidifies their positioning in the playoff race, while the Patriots are eager to prove they can compete against their division rivals. As kickoff approaches, this matchup is sure to draw the attention of fans and bettors alike, especially with the stakes high in the competitive AFC East.

A throwing game script is indicated by the Giants being a -6-point underdog in this week's game.. Given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Giants to pass on 60.2% of their chances: the 6th-highest rate among all teams this week.. At the present time, the 10th-most pass-oriented team in the NFL near the end zone (57.8% context-neutralized) according to our trusted projection set is the New York Giants.. Calm weather conditions (like the 4-mph wind being projected in this game) generally correlate with increased passing effectiveness, increased TD potential, increased pass volume, and reduced ground volume.

The predictive model expects the Kansas City Chiefs to be the 5th-most pass-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 61.3% pass rate, given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.. At the present time, the most pass-oriented offense in the league near the end zone (64.5% adjusted for context) according to our trusted projection set is the Kansas City Chiefs.. Based on their underlying propensities and game dynamics, the Kansas City Chiefs are forecasted by the predictive model to call 64.6 plays on offense in this game: the 10th-most on the slate this week.. The 9th-most plays in the league have been called by the Kansas City Chiefs since the start of last season (a staggering 58.9 per game on average).. The forecast calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means increased pass volume, and reduced run volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.

A throwing game script is indicated by the Giants being a -6-point underdog in this week's game.. Given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Giants to pass on 60.2% of their chances: the 6th-highest rate among all teams this week.. At the present time, the 10th-most pass-oriented team in the NFL near the end zone (57.8% context-neutralized) according to our trusted projection set is the New York Giants.. Calm weather conditions (like the 4-mph wind being projected in this game) generally correlate with increased passing effectiveness, increased TD potential, increased pass volume, and reduced ground volume.. Since the start of last season, the weak Chiefs defense has been torched for a staggering 1.16 TDs through the air per game to opposing wide receivers: the 4th-biggest rate in the league.

The predictive model expects the Kansas City Chiefs to be the 5th-most pass-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 61.3% pass rate, given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.. At the present time, the most pass-oriented offense in the league near the end zone (64.5% adjusted for context) according to our trusted projection set is the Kansas City Chiefs.. Based on their underlying propensities and game dynamics, the Kansas City Chiefs are forecasted by the predictive model to call 64.6 plays on offense in this game: the 10th-most on the slate this week.. The 9th-most plays in the league have been called by the Kansas City Chiefs since the start of last season (a staggering 58.9 per game on average).. The forecast calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means increased pass volume, and reduced run volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.

A throwing game script is indicated by the Giants being a -6-point underdog in this week's game.. Given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Giants to pass on 60.2% of their chances: the 6th-highest rate among all teams this week.. At the present time, the 10th-most pass-oriented team in the NFL near the end zone (57.8% context-neutralized) according to our trusted projection set is the New York Giants.. Calm weather conditions (like the 4-mph wind being projected in this game) generally correlate with increased passing effectiveness, increased TD potential, increased pass volume, and reduced ground volume.

The predictive model expects the Kansas City Chiefs to be the 5th-most pass-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 61.3% pass rate, given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.. At the present time, the most pass-oriented offense in the league near the end zone (64.5% adjusted for context) according to our trusted projection set is the Kansas City Chiefs.. Based on their underlying propensities and game dynamics, the Kansas City Chiefs are forecasted by the predictive model to call 64.6 plays on offense in this game: the 10th-most on the slate this week.. The 9th-most plays in the league have been called by the Kansas City Chiefs since the start of last season (a staggering 58.9 per game on average).. The forecast calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means increased pass volume, and reduced run volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.

The predictive model expects the Kansas City Chiefs to be the 5th-most pass-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 61.3% pass rate, given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.. At the present time, the most pass-oriented offense in the league near the end zone (64.5% adjusted for context) according to our trusted projection set is the Kansas City Chiefs.. Based on their underlying propensities and game dynamics, the Kansas City Chiefs are forecasted by the predictive model to call 64.6 plays on offense in this game: the 10th-most on the slate this week.. The 9th-most plays in the league have been called by the Kansas City Chiefs since the start of last season (a staggering 58.9 per game on average).. The forecast calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means increased pass volume, and reduced run volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.

A throwing game script is indicated by the Giants being a -6-point underdog in this week's game.. Given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Giants to pass on 60.2% of their chances: the 6th-highest rate among all teams this week.. At the present time, the 10th-most pass-oriented team in the NFL near the end zone (57.8% context-neutralized) according to our trusted projection set is the New York Giants.. Calm weather conditions (like the 4-mph wind being projected in this game) generally correlate with increased passing effectiveness, increased TD potential, increased pass volume, and reduced ground volume.. Since the start of last season, the poor Kansas City Chiefs pass defense has surrendered a massive 79.1% Adjusted Completion Rate vs. opposing TEs: the 6th-biggest rate in football.

The predictive model expects the Kansas City Chiefs to be the 5th-most pass-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 61.3% pass rate, given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.. Based on their underlying propensities and game dynamics, the Kansas City Chiefs are forecasted by the predictive model to call 64.6 plays on offense in this game: the 10th-most on the slate this week.. The 9th-most plays in the league have been called by the Kansas City Chiefs since the start of last season (a staggering 58.9 per game on average).. The forecast calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means increased pass volume, and reduced run volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.. Isiah Pacheco has played on 48.1% of his offense's snaps since the start of last season, ranking him in the 79th percentile among RBs.

With a 6-point advantage, the Chiefs are favored in this game, implying more of a focus on rushing than their typical game plan.. Opposing quarterbacks teams have been wary to pass too much against the Giants, totaling the 2nd-fewest attempts in the NFL (a lowly 29.5 per game) since the start of last season.

With a 6-point advantage, the Chiefs are favored in this game, implying more of a focus on rushing than their typical game plan.. Opposing quarterbacks teams have been wary to pass too much against the Giants, totaling the 2nd-fewest attempts in the NFL (a lowly 29.5 per game) since the start of last season.. Travis Kelce's possession skills have worsened this season, with his Adjusted Completion% shrinking from 74.7% to 67.2%.

A throwing game script is indicated by the Giants being a -6-point underdog in this week's game.. Given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Giants to pass on 60.2% of their chances: the 6th-highest rate among all teams this week.. Calm weather conditions (like the 4-mph wind being projected in this game) generally correlate with increased passing effectiveness, increased TD potential, increased pass volume, and reduced ground volume.. The Kansas City Chiefs defensive ends grade out as the worst unit in the league since the start of last season with their pass rush.

A throwing game script is indicated by the Giants being a -6-point underdog in this week's game.. Given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Giants to pass on 60.2% of their chances: the 6th-highest rate among all teams this week.. Calm weather conditions (like the 4-mph wind being projected in this game) generally correlate with increased passing effectiveness, increased TD potential, increased pass volume, and reduced ground volume.. Since the start of last season, the poor Kansas City Chiefs pass defense has surrendered a massive 79.1% Adjusted Completion Rate vs. opposing TEs: the 6th-biggest rate in football.. The Kansas City Chiefs defensive ends grade out as the worst unit in the league since the start of last season with their pass rush.

A throwing game script is indicated by the Giants being a -6-point underdog in this week's game.. Given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Giants to pass on 60.2% of their chances: the 6th-highest rate among all teams this week.. Calm weather conditions (like the 4-mph wind being projected in this game) generally correlate with increased passing effectiveness, increased TD potential, increased pass volume, and reduced ground volume.

The predictive model expects the Giants to run the 9th-fewest plays on offense among all teams this week with 62.8 plays, based on their underlying propensities and game dynamics.. When it comes to pass-blocking (and the significance it has on all pass game stats), the O-line of the Giants grades out as the 10th-worst in the NFL since the start of last season.. Russell Wilson's 62.0% Adjusted Completion% this year illustrates a meaningful diminishment in his throwing precision over last year's 66.1% mark.. When it comes to cornerbacks in covering pass-catchers, Kansas City's group of CBs has been phenomenal since the start of last season, ranking as the 6th-best in the league.

The predictive model expects the Kansas City Chiefs to be the 5th-most pass-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 61.3% pass rate, given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.. At the present time, the most pass-oriented offense in the league near the end zone (64.5% adjusted for context) according to our trusted projection set is the Kansas City Chiefs.. Based on their underlying propensities and game dynamics, the Kansas City Chiefs are forecasted by the predictive model to call 64.6 plays on offense in this game: the 10th-most on the slate this week.. The 9th-most plays in the league have been called by the Kansas City Chiefs since the start of last season (a staggering 58.9 per game on average).. The forecast calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means increased pass volume, and reduced run volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.

With a 6-point advantage, the Chiefs are favored in this game, implying more of a focus on rushing than their typical game plan.. Opposing quarterbacks teams have been wary to pass too much against the Giants, totaling the 2nd-fewest attempts in the NFL (a lowly 29.5 per game) since the start of last season.. Patrick Mahomes's 60.3% Adjusted Completion% this season shows a noteable regression in his throwing precision over last season's 68.3% mark.

A throwing game script is indicated by the Giants being a -6-point underdog in this week's game.. Given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Giants to pass on 60.2% of their chances: the 6th-highest rate among all teams this week.. Calm weather conditions (like the 4-mph wind being projected in this game) generally correlate with increased passing effectiveness, increased TD potential, increased pass volume, and reduced ground volume.

The predictive model expects the Giants to run the 9th-fewest plays on offense among all teams this week with 62.8 plays, based on their underlying propensities and game dynamics.

The predictive model expects the Kansas City Chiefs to be the 5th-most pass-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 61.3% pass rate, given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.. Based on their underlying propensities and game dynamics, the Kansas City Chiefs are forecasted by the predictive model to call 64.6 plays on offense in this game: the 10th-most on the slate this week.. The 9th-most plays in the league have been called by the Kansas City Chiefs since the start of last season (a staggering 58.9 per game on average).. The forecast calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means increased pass volume, and reduced run volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.. The model projects Patrick Mahomes to attempt 36.7 passes in this game, on balance: the 5th-most out of all QBs.

The predictive model expects the Kansas City Chiefs to be the 5th-most pass-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 61.3% pass rate, given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.. Based on their underlying propensities and game dynamics, the Kansas City Chiefs are forecasted by the predictive model to call 64.6 plays on offense in this game: the 10th-most on the slate this week.. The 9th-most plays in the league have been called by the Kansas City Chiefs since the start of last season (a staggering 58.9 per game on average).. The forecast calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means increased pass volume, and reduced run volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.. The model projects Patrick Mahomes to attempt 36.7 passes in this game, on balance: the 5th-most out of all QBs.

The predictive model expects the Giants to run the 9th-fewest plays on offense among all teams this week with 62.8 plays, based on their underlying propensities and game dynamics.. When it comes to pass-blocking (and the significance it has on all pass game stats), the O-line of the Giants grades out as the 10th-worst in the NFL since the start of last season.. Russell Wilson's 62.0% Adjusted Completion% this year illustrates a meaningful diminishment in his throwing precision over last year's 66.1% mark.. The Kansas City Chiefs pass defense has shown good efficiency since the start of last season, allowing 7.45 adjusted yards-per-target: the 8th-fewest in the league.. When it comes to cornerbacks in covering pass-catchers, Kansas City's group of CBs has been phenomenal since the start of last season, ranking as the 6th-best in the league.

With a 6-point advantage, the Chiefs are favored in this game, implying more of a focus on rushing than their typical game plan.. Opposing quarterbacks teams have been wary to pass too much against the Giants, totaling the 2nd-fewest attempts in the NFL (a lowly 29.5 per game) since the start of last season.

A throwing game script is indicated by the Giants being a -6-point underdog in this week's game.. Given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Giants to pass on 60.2% of their chances: the 6th-highest rate among all teams this week.. Calm weather conditions (like the 4-mph wind being projected in this game) generally correlate with increased passing effectiveness, increased TD potential, increased pass volume, and reduced ground volume.

The predictive model expects the Kansas City Chiefs to be the 5th-most pass-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 61.3% pass rate, given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.. Based on their underlying propensities and game dynamics, the Kansas City Chiefs are forecasted by the predictive model to call 64.6 plays on offense in this game: the 10th-most on the slate this week.. The 9th-most plays in the league have been called by the Kansas City Chiefs since the start of last season (a staggering 58.9 per game on average).. The forecast calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means increased pass volume, and reduced run volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.. Isiah Pacheco has played on 48.1% of his offense's snaps since the start of last season, ranking him in the 79th percentile among RBs.

The predictive model expects the Kansas City Chiefs to be the 5th-most pass-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 61.1% pass rate, given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.. Based on their underlying propensities and game dynamics, the Kansas City Chiefs are forecasted by the predictive model to call 64.7 plays on offense in this game: the 9th-most on the slate this week.. The 9th-most plays in the league have been called by the Kansas City Chiefs since the start of last season (a staggering 58.9 per game on average).. The Kansas City offensive line grades out as the 7th-best in football since the start of last season in pass protection, which has a strong effect on all passing attack statistics across the board.. Since the start of last season, the poor Giants pass defense has given up a whopping 69.1% Adjusted Completion Rate versus opposing wide receivers: the 4th-worst rate in the NFL.

A throwing game script is indicated by the Giants being a -6-point underdog in this week's game.. Given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Giants to pass on 60.2% of their chances: the 6th-highest rate among all teams this week.. Calm weather conditions (like the 4-mph wind being projected in this game) generally correlate with increased passing effectiveness, increased TD potential, increased pass volume, and reduced ground volume.. The Kansas City Chiefs defensive ends grade out as the worst unit in the league since the start of last season with their pass rush.

A throwing game script is indicated by the Giants being a -6-point underdog in this week's game.. Given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Giants to pass on 60.2% of their chances: the 6th-highest rate among all teams this week.. Calm weather conditions (like the 4-mph wind being projected in this game) generally correlate with increased passing effectiveness, increased TD potential, increased pass volume, and reduced ground volume.. Since the start of last season, the poor Kansas City Chiefs defense has been gouged for a monstrous 62.0 adjusted receiving yards per game versus opposing TEs: the worst in the NFL.. The Kansas City Chiefs pass defense has exhibited weak efficiency versus tight ends since the start of last season, yielding 8.75 adjusted yards-per-target to the position: the 3rd-most in the league.

A throwing game script is indicated by the Giants being a -6-point underdog in this week's game.. Given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Giants to pass on 60.2% of their chances: the 6th-highest rate among all teams this week.. Calm weather conditions (like the 4-mph wind being projected in this game) generally correlate with increased passing effectiveness, increased TD potential, increased pass volume, and reduced ground volume.

The predictive model expects the Kansas City Chiefs to be the 5th-most pass-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 61.3% pass rate, given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.. Based on their underlying propensities and game dynamics, the Kansas City Chiefs are forecasted by the predictive model to call 64.6 plays on offense in this game: the 10th-most on the slate this week.. The 9th-most plays in the league have been called by the Kansas City Chiefs since the start of last season (a staggering 58.9 per game on average).. The forecast calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means increased pass volume, and reduced run volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.. With a high 85.7% Route% (98th percentile) since the start of last season, Travis Kelce places as one of the TEs with the highest volume in football.

The predictive model expects the Kansas City Chiefs to be the 5th-most pass-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 61.3% pass rate, given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.. Based on their underlying propensities and game dynamics, the Kansas City Chiefs are forecasted by the predictive model to call 64.6 plays on offense in this game: the 10th-most on the slate this week.. The 9th-most plays in the league have been called by the Kansas City Chiefs since the start of last season (a staggering 58.9 per game on average).. The forecast calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means increased pass volume, and reduced run volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.. The projections expect Marquise Brown to earn 8.1 targets in this week's contest, on balance, ranking him in the 85th percentile among wideouts.

As it relates to the defensive tackles' role in stopping the run, Kansas City's DT corps has been terrible since the start of last season, grading out as the 6th-worst in the NFL. in the NFL.

The leading projections forecast the Chiefs to be the 4th-least run-oriented team on the slate this week with a 38.7% run rate, accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.. The forecast calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means increased pass volume, and reduced run volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.. Isiah Pacheco has been much less involved in his offense's ground game this season (34.9% Carry Share in games he has been on the field) than he was last season (50.3%).. As it relates to the defensive tackles' role in stopping the run, New York's DT corps has been exceptional since the start of last season, projecting as the 2nd-best in the NFL.

The leading projections forecast the Chiefs to be the 4th-least run-oriented team on the slate this week with a 38.7% run rate, accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.. The forecast calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means increased pass volume, and reduced run volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.. Isiah Pacheco has been much less involved in his offense's ground game this season (34.9% Carry Share in games he has been on the field) than he was last season (50.3%).. As it relates to the defensive tackles' role in stopping the run, New York's DT corps has been exceptional since the start of last season, projecting as the 2nd-best in the NFL.

While Russell Wilson has received 11.6% of his offense's carries in games he has played since the start of last season, the projections expect him to be a much bigger part of New York's run game in this week's contest at 17.8%.. Russell Wilson's 5.76 adjusted yards per carry (YPC) this season reflects a significant progression in his rushing skills over last season's 4.89 mark.. As it relates to the defensive tackles' role in stopping the run, Kansas City's DT corps has been terrible since the start of last season, grading out as the 6th-worst in the NFL. in the NFL.

The leading projections forecast the Chiefs to be the 4th-least run-oriented team on the slate this week with a 38.7% run rate, accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.. The forecast calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means increased pass volume, and reduced run volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.. As it relates to the defensive tackles' role in stopping the run, New York's DT corps has been exceptional since the start of last season, projecting as the 2nd-best in the NFL.

The leading projections forecast the Chiefs to be the 4th-least run-oriented team on the slate this week with a 38.7% run rate, accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.. The forecast calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means increased pass volume, and reduced run volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.. Patrick Mahomes profiles as one of the weakest QBs in the NFL at picking up extra running yardage, averaging a lowly 0.23 yards-after-contact this year while ranking in the 19th percentile.. As it relates to the defensive tackles' role in stopping the run, New York's DT corps has been exceptional since the start of last season, projecting as the 2nd-best in the NFL.

As it relates to the defensive tackles' role in stopping the run, Kansas City's DT corps has been terrible since the start of last season, grading out as the 6th-worst in the NFL. in the NFL.

While Russell Wilson has received 11.6% of his offense's carries in games he has played since the start of last season, the projections expect him to be a much bigger part of New York's run game in this week's contest at 17.8%.. As it relates to the defensive tackles' role in stopping the run, Kansas City's DT corps has been terrible since the start of last season, grading out as the 6th-worst in the NFL. in the NFL.