SF 8.5 o44.0
LA -8.5 u44.0
MIN -3.5 o36.0
CLE 3.5 u36.0
DAL -2.5 o47.5
NYJ 2.5 u47.5
DEN 3.5 o43.5
PHI -3.5 u43.5
HOU -1.0 o40.0
BAL 1.0 u40.0
NYG 2.5 o42.0
NO -2.5 u42.0
LV 7.0 o48.5
IND -7.0 u48.5
MIA -1.0 o44.5
CAR 1.0 u44.5
TB 3.5 o44.5
SEA -3.5 u44.5
TEN 7.5 o41.5
ARI -7.5 u41.5
WAS 3.0 o48.0
LAC -3.0 u48.0
DET -10.5 o49.5
CIN 10.5 u49.5
NE 8.0 o48.5
BUF -8.0 u48.5
KC -3.5 o45.5
JAC 3.5 u45.5
Kansas City 2nd AFC West2-2
New York 4th NFC East1-3
NBC

Kansas City @ New York Picks & Props

KC vs NYG Picks

NFL Picks
Passing Completions
Patrick Mahomes logo Patrick Mahomes u22.5 Passing Completions (-102)
Best Odds
Pick made: 11 days ago
Jeremy Jones image
Jeremy Jones
Betting Analyst

Despite enduring trailing game scripts in consecutive losses, Patrick Mahomes is only averaging 20 pass completions per game through the first two weeks. The New York Giants' defense is much worse than the previous two teams he has faced, but that does not equate to him having more pass completions. If the Kansas City Chiefs jump up big, then Mahomes will not be counted on to continue to throw the ball late.

Score a Touchdown
Malik Nabers logo Malik Nabers Score a Touchdown (Yes: +125)
Best Odds
Pick made: 11 days ago
Chris Faria image
Chris Faria
Betting Analyst

Nabers leads the Giants in receiving yards per game (119), targets (25), receptions (14), and first downs (10). In fact, his 238 yards rank first among all receivers in the NFL. The Chiefs gave up three passing TDs in their Week 1 loss to the Chargers, so expect Wilson and Nabers to connect for at least one touchdown against a suspect KC secondary.

Score a Touchdown
Patrick Mahomes logo Patrick Mahomes Score a Touchdown (Yes: +400)
Best Odds
Pick made: 11 days ago
Chris Faria image
Chris Faria
Betting Analyst

With Xavier Worthy (shoulder) still ruled out, Patrick Mahomes’ rushing options have been limited to Kareem Hunt and Isiah Pacheco — a pair of running backs who have yet to really get going this season. The New York Giants own the worst rushing defense in the NFL this year (177.5 yards per game), so I suspect we’ll see Mahomes find paydirt again in Week 3.

Rushing and Receiving Yards
Isiah Pacheco logo Isiah Pacheco u54.5 Rushing and Receiving Yards (-112)
Best Odds
Pick made: 11 days ago
Ryan Gilbert image
Ryan Gilbert
Betting Analyst

Although the Giants haven’t been great against running backs this season, both the Commanders and Cowboys utilized multiple backs in Weeks 1 and 2. The Chiefs are looking like they’ll be doing a similar split this season. Pacheco has been on the field for 66 snaps, with Karrem Hunt (47) and Brashard Smith (13) nearly combining to equal that total. Expect a similar RB-by-committee approach on SNF.

Receptions Made
Wan'Dale Robinson logo Wan'Dale Robinson o4.5 Receptions Made (-160)
Best Odds
Pick made: 11 days ago
Ryan Gilbert image
Ryan Gilbert
Betting Analyst

He’s easily reached it in each of the first two games, and the Kansas City Chiefs have allowed five catches to a total of four receivers (Keenan Allen, Ladd McConkey, Quentin Johnston, and A.J. Brown) through two weeks. Take Robinson’s Over 4.5 catches and consider a ladder up to eight.

Rushing Yards
Isiah Pacheco logo Isiah Pacheco o41.5 Rushing Yards (-114)
Best Odds
Pick made: 13 days ago
Jason Logan image
Jason Logan
Senior Betting Analyst

The media asked coach Reid about kick starting Pacheco and the rushing attack earlier this week and he simply said, “Yeah, we can do a better job there. We'll get that thing going.” The Giants could be the perfect opponent to “get that thing going” against. New York enters Week 3 among the bottom run stop units in the land. It is 23rd in run stop win rate at ESPN, 31st in both EPA allowed per handoff and success rate allowed per run and is allowing 5.9 yards per carry to rival runners. Game script says Kansas City is playing with a lead in the final two frames and depending on the rushing attack to protect the lead and chew up clock.

Score a Touchdown
Cam Skattebo logo Cam Skattebo Score a Touchdown (Yes: +280)
Best Odds
Pick made: 14 days ago
Josh Inglis image
Josh Inglis
Betting Analyst

Russell Wilson had the New York offense rolling last week with 506 total yards and 37 points against the Cowboys. It won’t be as easy on Sunday night, but rookie RB Cam Skattebo is trending up. Skattebo logged a 51% snap share, out-carried Tyrone Tracy 11 to 5, and added three targets in the passing game. Most importantly, he’s been the go-to back in scoring range—he’s the only New York RB with any red-zone carries (six total) and converted one of two attempts inside the 5-yard line last week. His TD price is a buy at +180 or better. This could be the last week we see the market this far off—he’s still 100/1 for Offensive Rookie of the Year despite a growing role in maybe an underrated offense if Wilson can keep it together.

Passing Yards
Patrick Mahomes logo
Patrick Mahomes o230.5 Passing Yards (-115)
Projection 244.21 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 10 days ago
EV Model Rating
The predictive model expects the Kansas City Chiefs to be the 5th-most pass-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 61.3% pass rate, given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.. Based on their underlying propensities and game dynamics, the Kansas City Chiefs are forecasted by the predictive model to call 64.6 plays on offense in this game: the 10th-most on the slate this week.. The 9th-most plays in the league have been called by the Kansas City Chiefs since the start of last season (a staggering 58.9 per game on average).. The forecast calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means increased pass volume, and reduced run volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.. The model projects Patrick Mahomes to attempt 36.7 passes in this game, on balance: the 5th-most out of all QBs.
Receiving Yards
Isiah Pacheco logo
Isiah Pacheco o8.5 Receiving Yards (-117)
Projection 14.19 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 10 days ago
EV Model Rating
The predictive model expects the Kansas City Chiefs to be the 5th-most pass-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 61.3% pass rate, given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.. Based on their underlying propensities and game dynamics, the Kansas City Chiefs are forecasted by the predictive model to call 64.6 plays on offense in this game: the 10th-most on the slate this week.. The 9th-most plays in the league have been called by the Kansas City Chiefs since the start of last season (a staggering 58.9 per game on average).. The forecast calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means increased pass volume, and reduced run volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.. Isiah Pacheco has played on 48.1% of his offense's snaps since the start of last season, ranking him in the 79th percentile among RBs.
Receiving Yards
Xavier Worthy logo
Xavier Worthy o50.5 Receiving Yards (-115)
Projection 56.4 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 12 days ago
EV Model Rating
The predictive model expects the Kansas City Chiefs to be the 5th-most pass-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 61.1% pass rate, given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.. Based on their underlying propensities and game dynamics, the Kansas City Chiefs are forecasted by the predictive model to call 64.7 plays on offense in this game: the 9th-most on the slate this week.. The 9th-most plays in the league have been called by the Kansas City Chiefs since the start of last season (a staggering 58.9 per game on average).. The Kansas City offensive line grades out as the 7th-best in football since the start of last season in pass protection, which has a strong effect on all passing attack statistics across the board.. Since the start of last season, the poor Giants pass defense has given up a whopping 69.1% Adjusted Completion Rate versus opposing wide receivers: the 4th-worst rate in the NFL.
Receiving Yards
Cam Skattebo logo
Cam Skattebo o11.5 Receiving Yards (-112)
Projection 14.11 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 10 days ago
EV Model Rating
A throwing game script is indicated by the Giants being a -6-point underdog in this week's game.. Given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Giants to pass on 60.2% of their chances: the 6th-highest rate among all teams this week.. Calm weather conditions (like the 4-mph wind being projected in this game) generally correlate with increased passing effectiveness, increased TD potential, increased pass volume, and reduced ground volume.. The Kansas City Chiefs defensive ends grade out as the worst unit in the league since the start of last season with their pass rush.
Receiving Yards
Theo Johnson logo
Theo Johnson o23.5 Receiving Yards (-109)
Projection 26.62 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 10 days ago
EV Model Rating
A throwing game script is indicated by the Giants being a -6-point underdog in this week's game.. Given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Giants to pass on 60.2% of their chances: the 6th-highest rate among all teams this week.. Calm weather conditions (like the 4-mph wind being projected in this game) generally correlate with increased passing effectiveness, increased TD potential, increased pass volume, and reduced ground volume.. Since the start of last season, the poor Kansas City Chiefs defense has been gouged for a monstrous 62.0 adjusted receiving yards per game versus opposing TEs: the worst in the NFL.. The Kansas City Chiefs pass defense has exhibited weak efficiency versus tight ends since the start of last season, yielding 8.75 adjusted yards-per-target to the position: the 3rd-most in the league.
Rushing Yards
Cam Skattebo logo
Cam Skattebo o37.5 Rushing Yards (-112)
Projection 44.16 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 10 days ago
EV Model Rating
As it relates to the defensive tackles' role in stopping the run, Kansas City's DT corps has been terrible since the start of last season, grading out as the 6th-worst in the NFL. in the NFL.
Rushing Yards
Isiah Pacheco logo
Isiah Pacheco u44.5 Rushing Yards (-112)
Projection 40.7 (Under)
Best Odds
Pick made: 10 days ago
EV Model Rating
The leading projections forecast the Chiefs to be the 4th-least run-oriented team on the slate this week with a 38.7% run rate, accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.. The forecast calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means increased pass volume, and reduced run volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.. Isiah Pacheco has been much less involved in his offense's ground game this season (34.9% Carry Share in games he has been on the field) than he was last season (50.3%).. As it relates to the defensive tackles' role in stopping the run, New York's DT corps has been exceptional since the start of last season, projecting as the 2nd-best in the NFL.
Rushing Attempts
Isiah Pacheco logo
Isiah Pacheco u11.5 Rushing Attempts (-122)
Projection 9.92 (Under)
Best Odds
Pick made: 10 days ago
EV Model Rating
The leading projections forecast the Chiefs to be the 4th-least run-oriented team on the slate this week with a 38.7% run rate, accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.. The forecast calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means increased pass volume, and reduced run volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.. Isiah Pacheco has been much less involved in his offense's ground game this season (34.9% Carry Share in games he has been on the field) than he was last season (50.3%).. As it relates to the defensive tackles' role in stopping the run, New York's DT corps has been exceptional since the start of last season, projecting as the 2nd-best in the NFL.
Quick Bet information modal

Place your Bet from Covers in seconds with QuickBet.

Look for this icon

*Participating sportsbooks only. Only available in regulated states.

KC vs NYG Consensus Picks

View all Consensus Picks

Consensus Picks

Our consensus picks show you what percentage of the public is betting on, you'll need to decide whether you want to bet with or against the public.

There are no Consensus Picks for this match up at the moment. Visit our Consensus page to see all Consensus picks.

KC vs NYG Props

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Russell Wilson Score a Touchdown Props • N.Y. Giants

Russell Wilson
R. Wilson
quarterback QB • N.Y. Giants
Prop
Score a Touchdown
Projection
0.23
Best Odds
Prop
Score a Touchdown
Projection
0.23
Best Odds
Projection Rating

A throwing game script is indicated by the Giants being a -6-point underdog in this week's game. Given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Giants to pass on 60.2% of their chances: the 6th-highest rate among all teams this week. At the present time, the 10th-most pass-oriented team in the NFL near the end zone (57.8% context-neutralized) according to our trusted projection set is the New York Giants. Calm weather conditions (like the 4-mph wind being projected in this game) generally correlate with increased passing effectiveness, increased TD potential, increased pass volume, and reduced ground volume.

Russell Wilson

Prop: 0.5 Score a Touchdown
Projection: 0.23
Prop:
0.5 Score a Touchdown
Projection:
0.23

A throwing game script is indicated by the Giants being a -6-point underdog in this week's game. Given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Giants to pass on 60.2% of their chances: the 6th-highest rate among all teams this week. At the present time, the 10th-most pass-oriented team in the NFL near the end zone (57.8% context-neutralized) according to our trusted projection set is the New York Giants. Calm weather conditions (like the 4-mph wind being projected in this game) generally correlate with increased passing effectiveness, increased TD potential, increased pass volume, and reduced ground volume.

Patrick Mahomes Score a Touchdown Props • Kansas City

Patrick Mahomes
P. Mahomes
quarterback QB • Kansas City
Prop
Score a Touchdown
Projection
0.29
Best Odds
Prop
Score a Touchdown
Projection
0.29
Best Odds
Projection Rating

The predictive model expects the Kansas City Chiefs to be the 5th-most pass-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 61.3% pass rate, given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics. At the present time, the most pass-oriented offense in the league near the end zone (64.5% adjusted for context) according to our trusted projection set is the Kansas City Chiefs. Based on their underlying propensities and game dynamics, the Kansas City Chiefs are forecasted by the predictive model to call 64.6 plays on offense in this game: the 10th-most on the slate this week. The 9th-most plays in the league have been called by the Kansas City Chiefs since the start of last season (a staggering 58.9 per game on average). The forecast calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means increased pass volume, and reduced run volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.

Patrick Mahomes

Prop: 0.5 Score a Touchdown
Projection: 0.29
Prop:
0.5 Score a Touchdown
Projection:
0.29

The predictive model expects the Kansas City Chiefs to be the 5th-most pass-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 61.3% pass rate, given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics. At the present time, the most pass-oriented offense in the league near the end zone (64.5% adjusted for context) according to our trusted projection set is the Kansas City Chiefs. Based on their underlying propensities and game dynamics, the Kansas City Chiefs are forecasted by the predictive model to call 64.6 plays on offense in this game: the 10th-most on the slate this week. The 9th-most plays in the league have been called by the Kansas City Chiefs since the start of last season (a staggering 58.9 per game on average). The forecast calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means increased pass volume, and reduced run volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.

Cam Skattebo Score a Touchdown Props • N.Y. Giants

Cam Skattebo
C. Skattebo
running back RB • N.Y. Giants
Prop
Score a Touchdown
Projection
0.41
Best Odds
Prop
Score a Touchdown
Projection
0.41
Best Odds
Projection Rating

A throwing game script is indicated by the Giants being a -6-point underdog in this week's game. Given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Giants to pass on 60.2% of their chances: the 6th-highest rate among all teams this week. At the present time, the 10th-most pass-oriented team in the NFL near the end zone (57.8% context-neutralized) according to our trusted projection set is the New York Giants. Calm weather conditions (like the 4-mph wind being projected in this game) generally correlate with increased passing effectiveness, increased TD potential, increased pass volume, and reduced ground volume.

Cam Skattebo

Prop: 0.5 Score a Touchdown
Projection: 0.41
Prop:
0.5 Score a Touchdown
Projection:
0.41

A throwing game script is indicated by the Giants being a -6-point underdog in this week's game. Given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Giants to pass on 60.2% of their chances: the 6th-highest rate among all teams this week. At the present time, the 10th-most pass-oriented team in the NFL near the end zone (57.8% context-neutralized) according to our trusted projection set is the New York Giants. Calm weather conditions (like the 4-mph wind being projected in this game) generally correlate with increased passing effectiveness, increased TD potential, increased pass volume, and reduced ground volume.

Malik Nabers Score a Touchdown Props • N.Y. Giants

Malik Nabers
M. Nabers
wide receiver WR • N.Y. Giants
Prop
Score a Touchdown
Projection
0.52
Best Odds
Prop
Score a Touchdown
Projection
0.52
Best Odds
Projection Rating

A throwing game script is indicated by the Giants being a -6-point underdog in this week's game. Given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Giants to pass on 60.2% of their chances: the 6th-highest rate among all teams this week. At the present time, the 10th-most pass-oriented team in the NFL near the end zone (57.8% context-neutralized) according to our trusted projection set is the New York Giants. Calm weather conditions (like the 4-mph wind being projected in this game) generally correlate with increased passing effectiveness, increased TD potential, increased pass volume, and reduced ground volume. Since the start of last season, the weak Chiefs defense has been torched for a staggering 1.16 TDs through the air per game to opposing wide receivers: the 4th-biggest rate in the league.

Malik Nabers

Prop: 0.5 Score a Touchdown
Projection: 0.52
Prop:
0.5 Score a Touchdown
Projection:
0.52

A throwing game script is indicated by the Giants being a -6-point underdog in this week's game. Given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Giants to pass on 60.2% of their chances: the 6th-highest rate among all teams this week. At the present time, the 10th-most pass-oriented team in the NFL near the end zone (57.8% context-neutralized) according to our trusted projection set is the New York Giants. Calm weather conditions (like the 4-mph wind being projected in this game) generally correlate with increased passing effectiveness, increased TD potential, increased pass volume, and reduced ground volume. Since the start of last season, the weak Chiefs defense has been torched for a staggering 1.16 TDs through the air per game to opposing wide receivers: the 4th-biggest rate in the league.

Isiah Pacheco Score a Touchdown Props • Kansas City

Isiah Pacheco
I. Pacheco
running back RB • Kansas City
Prop
Score a Touchdown
Projection
0.4
Best Odds
Prop
Score a Touchdown
Projection
0.4
Best Odds
Projection Rating

The predictive model expects the Kansas City Chiefs to be the 5th-most pass-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 61.3% pass rate, given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics. At the present time, the most pass-oriented offense in the league near the end zone (64.5% adjusted for context) according to our trusted projection set is the Kansas City Chiefs. Based on their underlying propensities and game dynamics, the Kansas City Chiefs are forecasted by the predictive model to call 64.6 plays on offense in this game: the 10th-most on the slate this week. The 9th-most plays in the league have been called by the Kansas City Chiefs since the start of last season (a staggering 58.9 per game on average). The forecast calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means increased pass volume, and reduced run volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.

Isiah Pacheco

Prop: 0.5 Score a Touchdown
Projection: 0.4
Prop:
0.5 Score a Touchdown
Projection:
0.4

The predictive model expects the Kansas City Chiefs to be the 5th-most pass-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 61.3% pass rate, given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics. At the present time, the most pass-oriented offense in the league near the end zone (64.5% adjusted for context) according to our trusted projection set is the Kansas City Chiefs. Based on their underlying propensities and game dynamics, the Kansas City Chiefs are forecasted by the predictive model to call 64.6 plays on offense in this game: the 10th-most on the slate this week. The 9th-most plays in the league have been called by the Kansas City Chiefs since the start of last season (a staggering 58.9 per game on average). The forecast calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means increased pass volume, and reduced run volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.

Hollywood Brown Score a Touchdown Props • Kansas City

Hollywood Brown
H. Brown
wide receiver WR • Kansas City
Prop
Score a Touchdown
Projection
0.38
Best Odds
Prop
Score a Touchdown
Projection
0.38
Best Odds
Projection Rating

The predictive model expects the Kansas City Chiefs to be the 5th-most pass-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 61.3% pass rate, given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics. At the present time, the most pass-oriented offense in the league near the end zone (64.5% adjusted for context) according to our trusted projection set is the Kansas City Chiefs. Based on their underlying propensities and game dynamics, the Kansas City Chiefs are forecasted by the predictive model to call 64.6 plays on offense in this game: the 10th-most on the slate this week. The 9th-most plays in the league have been called by the Kansas City Chiefs since the start of last season (a staggering 58.9 per game on average). The forecast calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means increased pass volume, and reduced run volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.

Hollywood Brown

Prop: 0.5 Score a Touchdown
Projection: 0.38
Prop:
0.5 Score a Touchdown
Projection:
0.38

The predictive model expects the Kansas City Chiefs to be the 5th-most pass-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 61.3% pass rate, given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics. At the present time, the most pass-oriented offense in the league near the end zone (64.5% adjusted for context) according to our trusted projection set is the Kansas City Chiefs. Based on their underlying propensities and game dynamics, the Kansas City Chiefs are forecasted by the predictive model to call 64.6 plays on offense in this game: the 10th-most on the slate this week. The 9th-most plays in the league have been called by the Kansas City Chiefs since the start of last season (a staggering 58.9 per game on average). The forecast calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means increased pass volume, and reduced run volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.

Travis Kelce Score a Touchdown Props • Kansas City

Travis Kelce
T. Kelce
tight end TE • Kansas City
Prop
Score a Touchdown
Projection
0.4
Best Odds
Prop
Score a Touchdown
Projection
0.4
Best Odds
Projection Rating

The predictive model expects the Kansas City Chiefs to be the 5th-most pass-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 61.3% pass rate, given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics. At the present time, the most pass-oriented offense in the league near the end zone (64.5% adjusted for context) according to our trusted projection set is the Kansas City Chiefs. Based on their underlying propensities and game dynamics, the Kansas City Chiefs are forecasted by the predictive model to call 64.6 plays on offense in this game: the 10th-most on the slate this week. The 9th-most plays in the league have been called by the Kansas City Chiefs since the start of last season (a staggering 58.9 per game on average). The forecast calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means increased pass volume, and reduced run volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.

Travis Kelce

Prop: 0.5 Score a Touchdown
Projection: 0.4
Prop:
0.5 Score a Touchdown
Projection:
0.4

The predictive model expects the Kansas City Chiefs to be the 5th-most pass-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 61.3% pass rate, given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics. At the present time, the most pass-oriented offense in the league near the end zone (64.5% adjusted for context) according to our trusted projection set is the Kansas City Chiefs. Based on their underlying propensities and game dynamics, the Kansas City Chiefs are forecasted by the predictive model to call 64.6 plays on offense in this game: the 10th-most on the slate this week. The 9th-most plays in the league have been called by the Kansas City Chiefs since the start of last season (a staggering 58.9 per game on average). The forecast calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means increased pass volume, and reduced run volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.

Theo Johnson Score a Touchdown Props • N.Y. Giants

Theo Johnson
T. Johnson
tight end TE • N.Y. Giants
Prop
Score a Touchdown
Projection
0.13
Best Odds
Prop
Score a Touchdown
Projection
0.13
Best Odds
Projection Rating

A throwing game script is indicated by the Giants being a -6-point underdog in this week's game. Given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Giants to pass on 60.2% of their chances: the 6th-highest rate among all teams this week. At the present time, the 10th-most pass-oriented team in the NFL near the end zone (57.8% context-neutralized) according to our trusted projection set is the New York Giants. Calm weather conditions (like the 4-mph wind being projected in this game) generally correlate with increased passing effectiveness, increased TD potential, increased pass volume, and reduced ground volume. Since the start of last season, the poor Kansas City Chiefs pass defense has surrendered a massive 79.1% Adjusted Completion Rate vs. opposing TEs: the 6th-biggest rate in football.

Theo Johnson

Prop: 0.5 Score a Touchdown
Projection: 0.13
Prop:
0.5 Score a Touchdown
Projection:
0.13

A throwing game script is indicated by the Giants being a -6-point underdog in this week's game. Given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Giants to pass on 60.2% of their chances: the 6th-highest rate among all teams this week. At the present time, the 10th-most pass-oriented team in the NFL near the end zone (57.8% context-neutralized) according to our trusted projection set is the New York Giants. Calm weather conditions (like the 4-mph wind being projected in this game) generally correlate with increased passing effectiveness, increased TD potential, increased pass volume, and reduced ground volume. Since the start of last season, the poor Kansas City Chiefs pass defense has surrendered a massive 79.1% Adjusted Completion Rate vs. opposing TEs: the 6th-biggest rate in football.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

KC vs NYG Top User Picks

View all Top User Picks

User Picks

Our user picks are made by you, our valued users - we highlight the best user picks, sharing the users who are on a hot streak.

There are no User Picks for this match up at the moment. Visit our Team Leaders page to see all User picks.

Pages Related to This Topic

Weather Forecast

Some of our content has moved

Records, stats, preview and injuries can be found in the Stats tab. Props can be found in the Picks Tab.