Bills @ Browns Picks & Props

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The leading projections forecast this game to see the 5th-largest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 130.6 plays, based on the approaches of each team and game dynamics.. James Cook has posted a whopping 1.0 air yards per game this year: 81st percentile among RBs. (That may not seem very overwhelming, but most RBs wind up with negative air yards as a result of being targeted behind the line of scrimmage).. James Cook's 13.0 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that quantifies high-value offensive volume) puts him in the company of the best in the league: 77th percentile for running backs.. The Bills offensive line ranks as the 2nd-best in football this year in protecting the passer, which has a positive effect on all passing attack metrics across the board.. James Cook's 94.4% Adjusted Completion% this year shows a noteworthy growth in his receiving ability over last year's 84.7% figure.

The leading projections forecast this game to see the 5th-largest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 130.6 plays, based on the approaches of each team and game dynamics.. Dalton Kincaid has been a key part of his team's pass game near the goal line, earning a Red Zone Target Share of 16.0% this year, which ranks him in the 79th percentile among TEs.. As it relates to air yards, Dalton Kincaid ranks in the towering 92nd percentile among tight ends this year, accumulating a massive 42.0 per game.. The Bills offensive line ranks as the 2nd-best in football this year in protecting the passer, which has a positive effect on all passing attack metrics across the board.. Dalton Kincaid's 81.1% Adjusted Catch% this year illustrates a significant progression in his receiving skills over last year's 62.0% mark.

The Browns are a massive 10.5-point underdog this week, likely creating an extreme passing game script.. Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this game is forecasted by the projection model to see 130.6 plays on offense run: the 5th-highest number out of all the games this week.

The Browns are a massive 10.5-point underdog this week, likely creating an extreme passing game script.. Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this game is forecasted by the projection model to see 130.6 plays on offense run: the 5th-highest number out of all the games this week.. Jerry Jeudy's 55.0 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that examines high-value offensive volume) ranks among the best in football: 81st percentile for wide receivers.

The leading projections forecast this game to see the 5th-largest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 130.6 plays, based on the approaches of each team and game dynamics.. Khalil Shakir has been a big part of his team's offense near the end zone, garnering a Red Zone Target Share of 18.3% this year, which ranks him in the 78th percentile when it comes to WRs.. The Bills offensive line ranks as the 2nd-best in football this year in protecting the passer, which has a positive effect on all passing attack metrics across the board.. Khalil Shakir rates as one of the best possession receivers in football, catching an outstanding 79.6% of passes thrown his way (adjusted for context) this year, checking in at the 97th percentile among wideouts.. This year, the deficient Cleveland Browns defense has yielded a colossal 1.07 touchdowns through the air per game to opposing wide receivers: the 7th-highest rate in the league.

The Browns are a massive 10.5-point underdog this week, likely creating an extreme passing game script.. Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this game is forecasted by the projection model to see 130.6 plays on offense run: the 5th-highest number out of all the games this week.

The leading projections forecast this game to see the 5th-largest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 130.6 plays, based on the approaches of each team and game dynamics.. The Bills offensive line ranks as the 2nd-best in football this year in protecting the passer, which has a positive effect on all passing attack metrics across the board.. Josh Allen's 71.3% Adjusted Completion% this year indicates a material growth in his throwing accuracy over last year's 64.7% figure.. With an excellent ratio of 1.56 per game (90th percentile), Josh Allen ranks among the best touchdown passers in football this year.. This year, the strong Browns run defense has allowed a paltry 0.79 rushing touchdowns per game to opposing offenses: the 10th-best rate in football.

The Browns are a massive 10.5-point underdog this week, likely creating an extreme passing game script.. Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this game is forecasted by the projection model to see 130.9 plays on offense run: the 5th-highest number out of all the games this week.

At the present time, the 10th-least pass-oriented offense in football (58.8% in a neutral context) according to the projection model is the Browns.. Windy weather conditions (like the 12-mph being predicted in this game) typically cause lessened passing effectiveness, reduced air volume, and higher ground volume.. Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 29.1 pass attempts per game against the Buffalo Bills defense this year: 2nd-fewest in football.. The Cleveland offensive line ranks as the 3rd-worst in the league this year in pass protection, which has a negative effect on all passing attack stats across the board.. This year, the tough Bills defense has given up a measly 66.0% Adjusted Completion Rate vs. opposing tight ends: the best rate in the NFL.

The Browns are a massive 10.5-point underdog this week, likely creating an extreme passing game script.. Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this game is forecasted by the projection model to see 130.6 plays on offense run: the 5th-highest number out of all the games this week.. With an elite 91.8% Route Participation% (88th percentile) this year, Jerry Jeudy places among the wideouts with the biggest workloads in the NFL.. In this game, Jerry Jeudy is forecasted by the projection model to secure a spot in the 78th percentile when it comes to wideouts with 6.6 targets.. The Bills cornerbacks profile as the 9th-worst unit in football this year in defending pass-catchers.

At the present time, the 10th-least pass-oriented offense in football (58.8% in a neutral context) according to the projection model is the Browns.. Windy weather conditions (like the 12-mph being predicted in this game) typically cause lessened passing effectiveness, reduced air volume, and higher ground volume.. Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 29.1 pass attempts per game against the Buffalo Bills defense this year: 2nd-fewest in football.. The Cleveland offensive line ranks as the 3rd-worst in the league this year in pass protection, which has a negative effect on all passing attack stats across the board.. The Bills pass defense has given up the 8th-lowest Adjusted Completion% in the NFL (78.1%) versus running backs this year (78.1%).

The leading projections forecast this game to see the 5th-largest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 130.6 plays, based on the approaches of each team and game dynamics.. In this contest, Dalton Kincaid is forecasted by our trusted projection set to finish in the 75th percentile when it comes to TEs with 4.7 targets.. The Bills offensive line ranks as the 2nd-best in football this year in protecting the passer, which has a positive effect on all passing attack metrics across the board.. With a fantastic 3.3 adjusted catches per game (85th percentile) this year, Dalton Kincaid places among the top pass-game TEs in football.. Dalton Kincaid's 81.1% Adjusted Catch% this year illustrates a significant progression in his receiving skills over last year's 62.0% mark.

This game's line implies an extreme rushing game script for the Bills, who are a huge favorite by 10.5 points.. Based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Bills to pass on 50.4% of their chances: the lowest rate on the slate this week.. Our trusted projections expect the Bills to be the 7th-least pass-oriented offense in the NFL near the end zone (context-neutralized) at the present time with a 52.7% red zone pass rate.. The forecast calls for 12-mph wind in this game. High wind typically means reduced pass volume (and higher run volume) and decreased passing effectiveness.. Opposing teams have averaged 30.6 pass attempts per game vs. the Cleveland Browns defense this year: 3rd-fewest in football.

The Browns are a massive 10.5-point underdog this week, likely creating an extreme passing game script.. Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this game is forecasted by the projection model to see 130.6 plays on offense run: the 5th-highest number out of all the games this week.. The Bills cornerbacks profile as the 9th-worst unit in football this year in defending pass-catchers.

This game's line implies an extreme rushing game script for the Bills, who are a huge favorite by 10.5 points.. Based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Bills to pass on 50.4% of their chances: the lowest rate on the slate this week.. The forecast calls for 12-mph wind in this game. High wind typically means reduced pass volume (and higher run volume) and decreased passing effectiveness.. Our trusted projections expect Josh Allen to attempt 30.6 passes this week, on average: the 2nd-fewest out of all QBs.. Opposing teams have averaged 30.6 pass attempts per game vs. the Cleveland Browns defense this year: 3rd-fewest in football.

The leading projections forecast this game to see the 5th-largest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 130.6 plays, based on the approaches of each team and game dynamics.

The Browns are a massive 10.5-point underdog this week, likely creating an extreme passing game script.. Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this game is forecasted by the projection model to see 130.6 plays on offense run: the 5th-highest number out of all the games this week.

This game's line implies an extreme rushing game script for the Bills, who are a huge favorite by 10.5 points.. Based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Bills to pass on 50.4% of their chances: the lowest rate on the slate this week.. The forecast calls for 12-mph wind in this game. High wind typically means reduced pass volume (and higher run volume) and decreased passing effectiveness.. Our trusted projections expect Josh Allen to attempt 30.6 passes this week, on average: the 2nd-fewest out of all QBs.. Opposing teams have averaged 30.6 pass attempts per game vs. the Cleveland Browns defense this year: 3rd-fewest in football.

At the present time, the 10th-least pass-oriented offense in football (58.8% in a neutral context) according to the projection model is the Browns.. Windy weather conditions (like the 12-mph being predicted in this game) typically cause lessened passing effectiveness, reduced air volume, and higher ground volume.. Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 29.1 pass attempts per game against the Buffalo Bills defense this year: 2nd-fewest in football.. The Cleveland offensive line ranks as the 3rd-worst in the league this year in pass protection, which has a negative effect on all passing attack stats across the board.. This year, the strong Buffalo Bills defense has allowed a measly 186.0 adjusted passing yards per game to opposing QBs: the 4th-fewest in the NFL.

This game's line implies an extreme rushing game script for the Bills, who are a huge favorite by 10.5 points.. Based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Bills to pass on 50.2% of their chances: the lowest rate on the slate this week.. The forecast calls for 14-mph wind in this game. High wind typically means reduced pass volume (and higher run volume) and decreased passing effectiveness.. Our trusted projections expect Josh Allen to attempt 30.5 passes this week, on average: the fewest out of all QBs.. Opposing teams have averaged 30.6 pass attempts per game vs. the Cleveland Browns defense this year: 3rd-fewest in football.

The Browns are a massive 10.5-point underdog this week, likely creating an extreme passing game script.. Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this game is forecasted by the projection model to see 130.9 plays on offense run: the 5th-highest number out of all the games this week.. The Bills cornerbacks profile as the 9th-worst unit in football this year in defending pass-catchers.

The Browns are a massive 10.5-point underdog this week, likely creating an extreme passing game script.. Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this game is forecasted by the projection model to see 130.6 plays on offense run: the 5th-highest number out of all the games this week.. The Buffalo Bills safeties rank as the 2nd-worst collection of safeties in football this year in regard to rushing the passer.

This game's line implies an extreme rushing game script for the Bills, who are a huge favorite by 10.5 points.. Based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Bills to pass on 50.4% of their chances: the lowest rate on the slate this week.. The forecast calls for 12-mph wind in this game. High wind typically means reduced pass volume (and higher run volume) and decreased passing effectiveness.. Opposing teams have averaged 30.6 pass attempts per game vs. the Cleveland Browns defense this year: 3rd-fewest in football.. Dalton Kincaid's 37.3 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that assesses high-value offensive usage) has been notably worse this season than it was last season at 43.0.

The Browns are a massive 10.5-point underdog this week, likely creating an extreme passing game script.. Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this game is forecasted by the projection model to see 130.6 plays on offense run: the 5th-highest number out of all the games this week.. With an elite 91.8% Route Participation% (88th percentile) this year, Jerry Jeudy places among the wideouts with the biggest workloads in the NFL.. In this game, Jerry Jeudy is forecasted by the projection model to secure a spot in the 78th percentile when it comes to wideouts with 6.6 targets.. The Bills cornerbacks profile as the 9th-worst unit in football this year in defending pass-catchers.

The leading projections forecast this game to see the 5th-largest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 130.6 plays, based on the approaches of each team and game dynamics.. James Cook has posted a whopping 1.0 air yards per game this year: 81st percentile among RBs. (That may not seem very overwhelming, but most RBs wind up with negative air yards as a result of being targeted behind the line of scrimmage).. The Bills offensive line ranks as the 2nd-best in football this year in protecting the passer, which has a positive effect on all passing attack metrics across the board.. James Cook has been one of the leading pass-catching RBs this year, averaging an outstanding 16.0 adjusted yards per game while ranking in the 79th percentile.. James Cook's 94.4% Adjusted Completion% this year shows a noteworthy growth in his receiving ability over last year's 84.7% figure.

At the present time, the 10th-least pass-oriented offense in football (58.8% in a neutral context) according to the projection model is the Browns.. Windy weather conditions (like the 12-mph being predicted in this game) typically cause lessened passing effectiveness, reduced air volume, and higher ground volume.. Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 29.1 pass attempts per game against the Buffalo Bills defense this year: 2nd-fewest in football.. The Cleveland offensive line ranks as the 3rd-worst in the league this year in pass protection, which has a negative effect on all passing attack stats across the board.. The Buffalo Bills defense has allowed the fewest adjusted receiving yards per game in the NFL (just 37.0) to TEs this year.

This game's line implies an extreme rushing game script for the Bills, who are a huge favorite by 10.5 points.. Based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Bills to pass on 50.4% of their chances: the lowest rate on the slate this week.. The forecast calls for 12-mph wind in this game. High wind typically means reduced pass volume (and higher run volume) and decreased passing effectiveness.. Opposing teams have averaged 30.6 pass attempts per game vs. the Cleveland Browns defense this year: 3rd-fewest in football.. Khalil Shakir has compiled significantly fewer air yards this year (24.0 per game) than he did last year (36.0 per game).

Our trusted projections expect the Cleveland Browns to be the 10th-most run-centric team in the NFL (adjusted for context) right now with a 41.2% run rate.. Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this game is forecasted by the projection model to see 130.6 plays on offense run: the 5th-highest number out of all the games this week.. Windy weather conditions (like the 12-mph being predicted in this game) typically cause lessened passing effectiveness, reduced air volume, and higher ground volume.. This year, the shaky Bills run defense has conceded a monstrous 142.0 adjusted rushing yards per game to opposing offenses: the 3rd-worst in football.. As it relates to the safeties' role in stopping the run, Buffalo's unit has been easily exploitable this year, ranking as the 2nd-worst in the NFL. in the NFL.

Our trusted projections expect the Cleveland Browns to be the 10th-most run-centric team in the NFL (adjusted for context) right now with a 41.2% run rate.. Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this game is forecasted by the projection model to see 130.6 plays on offense run: the 5th-highest number out of all the games this week.. Windy weather conditions (like the 12-mph being predicted in this game) typically cause lessened passing effectiveness, reduced air volume, and higher ground volume.. This year, the shaky Bills run defense has conceded a monstrous 142.0 adjusted rushing yards per game to opposing offenses: the 3rd-worst in football.. As it relates to the safeties' role in stopping the run, Buffalo's unit has been easily exploitable this year, ranking as the 2nd-worst in the NFL. in the NFL.

This game's line implies an extreme rushing game script for the Bills, who are a huge favorite by 10.5 points.. Our trusted projections expect the Bills as the most run-heavy offense among all teams this week with a 49.6% run rate, given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.. The leading projections forecast this game to see the 5th-largest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 130.6 plays, based on the approaches of each team and game dynamics.. The forecast calls for 12-mph wind in this game. High wind typically means reduced pass volume (and higher run volume) and decreased passing effectiveness.. James Cook's 90.0 adjusted rushing yards per game this year indicates a material boost in his rushing prowess over last year's 68.0 figure.

Our trusted projections expect the Cleveland Browns to be the 10th-most run-centric team in the NFL (adjusted for context) right now with a 41.2% run rate.. Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this game is forecasted by the projection model to see 130.6 plays on offense run: the 5th-highest number out of all the games this week.. Windy weather conditions (like the 12-mph being predicted in this game) typically cause lessened passing effectiveness, reduced air volume, and higher ground volume.. As it relates to the safeties' role in stopping the run, Buffalo's unit has been easily exploitable this year, ranking as the 2nd-worst in the NFL. in the NFL.

Our trusted projections expect the Cleveland Browns to be the 10th-most run-centric team in the NFL (adjusted for context) right now with a 41.2% run rate.. Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this game is forecasted by the projection model to see 130.6 plays on offense run: the 5th-highest number out of all the games this week.. Windy weather conditions (like the 12-mph being predicted in this game) typically cause lessened passing effectiveness, reduced air volume, and higher ground volume.. As it relates to the safeties' role in stopping the run, Buffalo's unit has been easily exploitable this year, ranking as the 2nd-worst in the NFL. in the NFL.

This game's line implies an extreme rushing game script for the Bills, who are a huge favorite by 10.5 points.. Our trusted projections expect the Bills as the most run-heavy offense among all teams this week with a 49.6% run rate, given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.. The leading projections forecast this game to see the 5th-largest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 130.6 plays, based on the approaches of each team and game dynamics.. The forecast calls for 12-mph wind in this game. High wind typically means reduced pass volume (and higher run volume) and decreased passing effectiveness.. Josh Allen has generated 34.0 adjusted rushing yards per game this year, one of the biggest marks in football among quarterbacks (97th percentile).

The Cleveland defensive ends profile as the best collection of DEs in football this year in regard to run defense.

This game's line implies an extreme rushing game script for the Bills, who are a huge favorite by 10.5 points.. Our trusted projections expect the Bills as the most run-heavy offense among all teams this week with a 49.6% run rate, given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.. The leading projections forecast this game to see the 5th-largest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 130.6 plays, based on the approaches of each team and game dynamics.. The forecast calls for 12-mph wind in this game. High wind typically means reduced pass volume (and higher run volume) and decreased passing effectiveness.. The leading projections forecast James Cook to earn 22.0 carries in this week's contest, on balance, ranking him in the 99th percentile among running backs.