Best NFL Picks Today

Find the best NFL bets today - Sept. 14, 2026. Free expert and computer picks for every NFL game.

New Computer Picks powered by Odds Shark

Predicted Score

DEN logo
DEN
DEN

21.88 @ 21.03

KC
KC logo
KC

Broncos vs Chiefs · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

Spread

Total

ML

DEN logo
DEN
DEN

21.88

+2.5 -105

o43.0 -114

+120

KC logo
KC
KC

21.03

-2.5 -105

u43.5 -108

-130

Denver Broncos image thumbnail DEN @ Kansas City Chiefs image thumbnail KC Mon, Sep 14 • 8:15 PM ET
Anytime Touchdown
Rashee Rice logo Rashee Rice Score a Touchdown (Yes: +175)
Best Odds
Pick made: 9 hours ago
Jason Logan logo
Jason Logan
Senior Betting Analyst

Rice played in only eight games last year, due to suspension and a late-season concussion, and still finished with five touchdowns. He’s logged just a dozen contests the past two seasons, with touchdowns in seven of those games. He’s Kansas City’s primary slot option, which bodes well versus the Broncos’ pressure. Mahomes will be looking to get rid of the ball quickly and Rice offers a dangerous short-yardage target. Denver got beat up by slot receivers last season, giving up the sixth most fantasy points to the position. Player projections for Rice sit as high as a 51% chance of a touchdown, which has me playing the 1+ TD as high as 40% on Monday.

Receiving Yards
Courtland Sutton logo Courtland Sutton o40.5 Receiving Yards (-115)
Best Odds
Pick made: 9 hours ago
Jason Logan logo
Jason Logan
Senior Betting Analyst

We’re going to buy back the dip with No. 14. Last season, Sutton’s receiving yard totals usually sat north of 50 yards with peaks to 60.5 O/U. With Waddle on the field, oddsmakers have hacked those numbers to 40 yards. He’s had to deal with double coverage as the Broncos’ top target the past couple seasons and is now getting softer members of the secondary across from him. Sutton is a threat to pop off for a big play and Broncos offensive coordinator Davis Webb is now calling plays, looking to push the ball beyond the sticks. He was busy in last year’s matchups with the Chiefs, drawing eight and 10 targets for outputs of 59 and 40 yards. Kansas City’s secondary lost a lot of talent to free agency and projects among the worst in the NFL entering Week 1. Forecasts sit north of 40 yards for Sutton with highs flirting with 50 yards on MNF.

View 23 Picks
Green Bay Packers image thumbnail GB @ New York Jets image thumbnail NYJ Sun, Sep 20 • 1:00 PM ET
Total
Green Bay Packers image thumbnail New York Jets image thumbnail o43.5 (-110)
Best Odds
Pick made: 4 hours ago
Jason Logan logo
Jason Logan
Senior Betting Analyst

Gang Green looked good in Frank Reich's offense - even if it was against Titans (5.8 yds/play). The Packers were cruising until that fateful call to take points off the board and then get stuffed on 4th. Green Bay averaged 6.3 yds/play versus a very good Vikings defense. Get Over 43.5 now short of key of 44 O/U.

View Pick
Cincinnati Bengals image thumbnail CIN @ Houston Texans image thumbnail HOU Sun, Sep 20 • 1:00 PM ET
Spread
Houston Texans image thumbnail HOU -2.5 (-110)
Best Odds
Pick made: 4 hours ago
Jason Logan logo
Jason Logan
Senior Betting Analyst

The Bengals got four takeaways and still had to sweat out the Bucs in Week 1. Houston's defense bounces back and that offense is improved and always strong at home. The Texans were 9 for 18 on 3rd/4th down conversions and went 4/5 for TDs in the red zone. Cincy finished 2/5 in RZ and needed a defensive score and four FGM (two 50+ yarders) to get to 33 points, despite those extra possesions.

View Pick

For every matchup in an NFL season, our NFL computer produces selections for a variety of different betting angles. Our computer picks are based on a proprietary algorithm that values each team in the current week to produce moneyline, spread, and point total selections.

The table above, below the game picks, tracks our NFL computer's results over the last 100 games, outlining the record and profit for selections, based on $100 unit size. We track the profit based on both opening and closing lines for every matchup.

How to Use NFL Computer Picks

The easiest way to utilize our computer picks is to simply follow our selections for every matchup, what you'd call ailing the computer." But there are other ways to utilize our NFL computer picks, as well.

You can use our NFL computer as a jumping-off point to do more research into specific lines, cross-referencing with expert picks, which can be found above the selections for some matchups, recent NFL betting trends, and more.

As well, you can gauge the confidence of the matchup. The larger the projected score, the more confident the computer is in a specific pick.

Or, if you want to implement a system, betting only on underdogs, for example, you can look for matchups in which our computer likes the underdog to inform which picks you're going to hone in on for a given week.

We have these computer picks for every sport you're looking to wager on, as well:

Free Computer Picks by Odds Shark

Moneyline

NFL moneyline picks are the simplest way to get in on the NFL action. All you have to do is simply bet on which team you think will win the game.

For moneyline picks, the favorite is represented with a minus sign (-) in front of the odds, while the underdog has a plus (+). However, you don't get the same profit for picking an underdog compared to a favorite. If the favored team is -120, a $100 bet on them would pay out $80 in profit and $180 total, if they win the game. The underdog winning at +150 would pay out a $150 profit, $250 total.

We have a complete breakdown of how to read NFL moneyline odds for these NFL computer picks.

Spread

While moneyline picks are the simplest, picking NFL games against the spread is probably the most common wager for regular NFL bettors.

To bet an NFL spread, you wager on whether a team will win by a certain number of points or more or if they'll lose by fewer points than the spread. For example, if the spread is -6.5 for the New England Patriots, you would win the bet if they win the game by 7 points or more. Or if a team is +6.5, you're betting on if they'll win outright or lose by fewer than 6.5 points.

There is a correlation between moneyline odds and the spread, as books set these lines based on the same information.

You can read more about NFL spreads here.

Totals (Over/Under)

If you aren’t entirely sold on which NFL team will win or cover in an NFL game, you can still use our NFL computer picks to bet on the point total.

As opposed to taking a side, in total or Over/Under betting, you wager on whether both NFL teams will combine for a final score of more than (Over) or less than (Under) the total number of points set by oddsmakers.

The computer picks, and your handicapping of totals is more about how you think both teams will score points, not which team has the edge to win.

More NFL Picks & Betting Tools

Our NFL Computer Picks are a great way to place weekly football wagers, but you should also consider handicapping games yourself using some of our other tools. If you're looking to bet on long-term futures this football season, check out some of our other dedicated pages:

Best Football Betting Sites

If you’re ready to bet on NFL picks, you first need to find the right sportsbook. Our NFL betting sites guide offers secure banking, the best odds, bonuses, and reliable customer service options for you.

NFL Free Picks FAQs

When do we release our NFL picks?

Covers NFL picks are released two to three days before each game on the NFL schedule.

What kinds of NFL picks do we make?

Covers provides free NFL picks covering many markets, including point spreads, totals, moneylines, player props, and more.