Jets @ Jaguars Picks & Props

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The projections expect the Jets to be the least pass-focused team in the NFL (context-neutralized) right now with a 54.8% pass rate.. Windy weather conditions (like the 18-mph being projected in this game) usually prompt lessened passing effectiveness, lower air volume, and increased rush volume.. The Jaguars pass defense has conceded the 5th-lowest Adjusted Completion% in the league (61.1%) vs. wideouts this year (61.1%).. As it relates to linebackers in covering pass-catchers, Jacksonville's LB corps has been phenomenal this year, ranking as the best in the league.

Windy weather conditions (like the 18-mph being projected in this game) usually prompt lessened passing effectiveness, lower air volume, and increased rush volume.. The Jacksonville Jaguars pass defense has surrendered the 8th-lowest Adjusted Completion% in football (71.5%) versus tight ends this year (71.5%).. As it relates to linebackers in covering pass-catchers, Jacksonville's LB corps has been phenomenal this year, ranking as the best in the league.

Windy weather conditions (like the 18-mph being projected in this game) usually prompt lessened passing effectiveness, lower air volume, and increased rush volume.. Breece Hall has been used less as a potential pass-catcher this year (44.9% Route% in games he has been on the field) than he did last year (60.6%).. Breece Hall's receiving performance has diminished this season, totaling just 2.1 adjusted receptions vs 3.6 last season.. As it relates to linebackers in covering pass-catchers, Jacksonville's LB corps has been phenomenal this year, ranking as the best in the league.

With a 13.5-point advantage, the Jaguars are heavily favored in this week's game, suggesting much more of a reliance on rushing than their typical approach.. The leading projections forecast the Jaguars as the 7th-least pass-focused offense on the slate this week with a 52.3% pass rate, based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.. The weather forecast calls for 18-mph wind in this game. High wind typically means lower pass volume (and higher run volume) and lessened passing effectiveness.. Opposing teams teams have been reluctant to lean on the pass against the Jets, totaling the 7th-fewest attempts in the league (a measly 31.4 per game) this year.. Jakobi Meyers's 52.5 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that measures high-value offensive volume) has been notably worse this season than it was last season at 61.2.

Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this contest is projected by the predictive model to see 137.2 plays on offense called: the 2nd-most out of all the games this week.. The 8th-most plays in the NFL have been run by the Jacksonville Jaguars this year (a staggering 59.5 per game on average).. The projections expect Brenton Strange to accumulate 5.6 targets in this game, on average, putting him in the 89th percentile when it comes to TEs.. Brenton Strange has been a much bigger part of his offense's passing game this year (17.8% Target Share in games he has been on the field) than he was last year (10.5%).. With a remarkable 3.4 adjusted catches per game (80th percentile) this year, Brenton Strange has been among the leading pass-catching tight ends in the league.

Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this contest is projected by the predictive model to see 135.6 plays on offense called: the 2nd-most out of all the games this week.. The 8th-most plays in the NFL have been run by the Jacksonville Jaguars this year (a staggering 59.5 per game on average).. In averaging a staggering 30.9 pass attempts per game this year, Trevor Lawrence slots in among the top QBs in football (75th percentile) in this regard.. As it relates to linebackers in pass coverage, New York's LB corps has been atrocious this year, grading out as the 6th-worst in the NFL.

The New York Jets will be forced to start backup QB Brady Cook this week, which usually means fewer pass attempts and more rush attempts.. At a -13.5-point disadvantage, the Jets are big underdogs in this week's contest, indicating much more of a focus on moving the ball through the air than their normal game plan.. The predictive model expects this game to see the 2nd-highest number of plays run on the slate this week at 135.6 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.. Opposing teams have averaged 40.2 pass attempts per game against the Jacksonville Jaguars defense this year: most in the NFL.. This year, the poor Jaguars defense has yielded a staggering 1.69 passing touchdowns per game to opposing quarterbacks: the 8th-worst rate in the league.

The projections expect the Jets to be the least pass-focused team in the NFL (context-neutralized) right now with a 54.8% pass rate.. Windy weather conditions (like the 18-mph being projected in this game) usually prompt lessened passing effectiveness, lower air volume, and increased rush volume.. Opposing QBs have completed passes at the 8th-lowest rate in the league vs. the Jacksonville Jaguars defense this year (67.5% Adjusted Completion%).. As it relates to linebackers in covering pass-catchers, Jacksonville's LB corps has been phenomenal this year, ranking as the best in the league.

With a 13.5-point advantage, the Jaguars are heavily favored in this week's game, suggesting much more of a reliance on rushing than their typical approach.. The leading projections forecast the Jaguars as the 7th-least pass-focused offense on the slate this week with a 52.3% pass rate, based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.. The weather forecast calls for 18-mph wind in this game. High wind typically means lower pass volume (and higher run volume) and lessened passing effectiveness.. Opposing teams teams have been reluctant to lean on the pass against the Jets, totaling the 7th-fewest attempts in the league (a measly 31.4 per game) this year.. With a weak 59.7% Adjusted Completion% (14th percentile) this year, Trevor Lawrence places among the least accurate quarterbacks in football.

The New York Jets will be forced to start backup QB Brady Cook this week, which usually means fewer pass attempts and more rush attempts.. At a -13.5-point disadvantage, the Jets are big underdogs in this week's contest, indicating much more of a focus on moving the ball through the air than their normal game plan.. The predictive model expects this game to see the 2nd-highest number of plays run on the slate this week at 135.6 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.. Opposing teams have averaged 40.2 pass attempts per game against the Jacksonville Jaguars defense this year: most in the NFL.

Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this contest is projected by the predictive model to see 135.6 plays on offense called: the 2nd-most out of all the games this week.. The 8th-most plays in the NFL have been run by the Jacksonville Jaguars this year (a staggering 59.5 per game on average).. In averaging a staggering 30.9 pass attempts per game this year, Trevor Lawrence slots in among the top QBs in football (75th percentile) in this regard.

With a 13.5-point advantage, the Jaguars are heavily favored in this week's game, suggesting much more of a reliance on rushing than their typical approach.. The leading projections forecast the Jaguars as the 7th-least pass-focused offense on the slate this week with a 52.3% pass rate, based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.. The weather forecast calls for 18-mph wind in this game. High wind typically means lower pass volume (and higher run volume) and lessened passing effectiveness.. Opposing teams teams have been reluctant to lean on the pass against the Jets, totaling the 7th-fewest attempts in the league (a measly 31.4 per game) this year.. With a weak 59.7% Adjusted Completion% (14th percentile) this year, Trevor Lawrence places among the least accurate quarterbacks in football.

The projections expect the Jets to be the least pass-focused team in the NFL (context-neutralized) right now with a 54.8% pass rate.. Windy weather conditions (like the 18-mph being projected in this game) usually prompt lessened passing effectiveness, lower air volume, and increased rush volume.. Opposing QBs have completed passes at the 8th-lowest rate in the league vs. the Jacksonville Jaguars defense this year (67.5% Adjusted Completion%).. The Jacksonville Jaguars pass defense has exhibited strong efficiency this year, surrendering 6.96 adjusted yards-per-target: the 5th-fewest in the NFL.. As it relates to linebackers in covering pass-catchers, Jacksonville's LB corps has been phenomenal this year, ranking as the best in the league.

With a 13-point advantage, the Jaguars are heavily favored in this week's game, suggesting much more of a reliance on rushing than their typical approach.. The leading projections forecast the Jaguars as the 8th-least pass-focused offense on the slate this week with a 53.1% pass rate, based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.. The predictive model expects Trevor Lawrence to attempt 32.6 passes in this contest, on balance: the 11th-fewest out of all QBs.. Opposing teams teams have been reluctant to lean on the pass against the Jets, totaling the 7th-fewest attempts in the league (a measly 31.4 per game) this year.

The New York Jets will be forced to start backup QB Brady Cook this week, which usually means fewer pass attempts and more rush attempts.. At a -13.5-point disadvantage, the Jets are big underdogs in this week's contest, indicating much more of a focus on moving the ball through the air than their normal game plan.. The leading projections forecast the Jets to be the 9th-most pass-centric team among all teams this week with a 60.4% pass rate, accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.. The predictive model expects the New York Jets to run the 2nd-most offensive plays among all teams this week with 68.7 plays, accounting for their underlying traits and game dynamics.. Opposing teams have averaged 40.2 pass attempts per game against the Jacksonville Jaguars defense this year: most in the NFL.

The projections expect the Jets to be the least pass-focused team in the NFL (context-neutralized) right now with a 54.8% pass rate.. Windy weather conditions (like the 18-mph being projected in this game) usually prompt lessened passing effectiveness, lower air volume, and increased rush volume.. After averaging 24.0 air yards per game last season, John Metchie III has regressed heavily this season, currently averaging 14.0 per game.. John Metchie III's receiving efficiency has tailed off this year, averaging just 6.43 adjusted yards-per-target compared to a 7.49 mark last year.. John Metchie III's ability to grind out extra yardage has diminished this year, compiling a mere 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) vs a 2.88 figure last year.

The New York Jets will be forced to start backup QB Brady Cook this week, which usually means fewer pass attempts and more rush attempts.. At a -13.5-point disadvantage, the Jets are big underdogs in this week's contest, indicating much more of a focus on moving the ball through the air than their normal game plan.. The predictive model expects this game to see the 2nd-highest number of plays run on the slate this week at 135.6 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.. Opposing teams have averaged 40.2 pass attempts per game against the Jacksonville Jaguars defense this year: most in the NFL.. In this week's game, Breece Hall is predicted by the predictive model to position himself in the 85th percentile when it comes to running backs with 3.4 targets.

The projections expect the Jets to be the least pass-focused team in the NFL (context-neutralized) right now with a 54.8% pass rate.. Windy weather conditions (like the 18-mph being projected in this game) usually prompt lessened passing effectiveness, lower air volume, and increased rush volume.. Jeremy Ruckert's 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this year shows an impressive decrease in his efficiency in the open field over last year's 4.7% mark.. The Jacksonville Jaguars pass defense has surrendered the 8th-lowest Adjusted Completion% in football (71.5%) versus tight ends this year (71.5%).. The Jacksonville Jaguars pass defense has displayed good efficiency versus tight ends this year, allowing 7.13 adjusted yards-per-target to the position: the 9th-fewest in the league.

With a 13.5-point advantage, the Jaguars are heavily favored in this week's game, suggesting much more of a reliance on rushing than their typical approach.. The leading projections forecast the Jaguars as the 7th-least pass-focused offense on the slate this week with a 52.3% pass rate, based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.. The weather forecast calls for 18-mph wind in this game. High wind typically means lower pass volume (and higher run volume) and lessened passing effectiveness.. Opposing teams teams have been reluctant to lean on the pass against the Jets, totaling the 7th-fewest attempts in the league (a measly 31.4 per game) this year.. Brenton Strange's 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this year illustrates a noteable drop-off in his effectiveness in space over last year's 4.6% mark.

With a 13.5-point advantage, the Jaguars are heavily favored in this week's game, suggesting much more of a reliance on rushing than their typical approach.. The leading projections forecast the Jaguars as the 7th-least pass-focused offense on the slate this week with a 52.3% pass rate, based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.. The weather forecast calls for 18-mph wind in this game. High wind typically means lower pass volume (and higher run volume) and lessened passing effectiveness.. Opposing teams teams have been reluctant to lean on the pass against the Jets, totaling the 7th-fewest attempts in the league (a measly 31.4 per game) this year.. Jakobi Meyers has compiled significantly fewer air yards this year (60.0 per game) than he did last year (82.0 per game).

At the moment, the most run-oriented team in the league (45.2% context-neutralized) according to the projection model is the Jets.. The predictive model expects this game to see the 2nd-highest number of plays run on the slate this week at 135.6 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.. Windy weather conditions (like the 18-mph being projected in this game) usually prompt lessened passing effectiveness, lower air volume, and increased rush volume.. The projections expect Breece Hall to total 21.5 carries in this contest, on balance, ranking him in the 99th percentile when it comes to RBs.. With an exceptional record of 58.0 adjusted rushing yards per game (84th percentile), Breece Hall places among the top pure runners in the NFL this year.

With a 13.5-point advantage, the Jaguars are heavily favored in this week's game, suggesting much more of a reliance on rushing than their typical approach.. Accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Jacksonville Jaguars to run on 47.7% of their plays: the 7th-highest rate among all teams this week.. Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this contest is projected by the predictive model to see 135.6 plays on offense called: the 2nd-most out of all the games this week.. The 8th-most plays in the NFL have been run by the Jacksonville Jaguars this year (a staggering 59.5 per game on average).. This year, the shaky Jets run defense has been torched for a colossal 142.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground to the opposing side: the 3rd-worst in the league.

At the moment, the most run-oriented team in the league (45.2% context-neutralized) according to the projection model is the Jets.. The predictive model expects this game to see the 2nd-highest number of plays run on the slate this week at 135.6 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.. Windy weather conditions (like the 18-mph being projected in this game) usually prompt lessened passing effectiveness, lower air volume, and increased rush volume.

The predictive model expects the New York Jets to run the 2nd-most offensive plays among all teams this week with 68.7 plays, accounting for their underlying traits and game dynamics.. Windy weather conditions (like the 18-mph being projected in this game) usually prompt lessened passing effectiveness, lower air volume, and increased rush volume.. The projections expect Breece Hall to total 19.9 carries in this contest, on balance, ranking him in the 95th percentile when it comes to RBs.. While Breece Hall has been responsible for 58.9% of his team's rush attempts in games he has played this year, our trusted projections expect him to be a much bigger part of New York's ground game in this game at 73.3%.

At the moment, the most run-oriented team in the league (45.2% context-neutralized) according to the projection model is the Jets.. The predictive model expects this game to see the 2nd-highest number of plays run on the slate this week at 135.6 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.. Windy weather conditions (like the 18-mph being projected in this game) usually prompt lessened passing effectiveness, lower air volume, and increased rush volume.

With a 13.5-point advantage, the Jaguars are heavily favored in this week's game, suggesting much more of a reliance on rushing than their typical approach.. Accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Jacksonville Jaguars to run on 47.7% of their plays: the 7th-highest rate among all teams this week.. Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this contest is projected by the predictive model to see 135.6 plays on offense called: the 2nd-most out of all the games this week.. The 8th-most plays in the NFL have been run by the Jacksonville Jaguars this year (a staggering 59.5 per game on average).. The weather forecast calls for 18-mph wind in this game. High wind typically means lower pass volume (and higher run volume) and lessened passing effectiveness.