Raiders @ Eagles Picks & Props

The leading projections forecast the Raiders to call the 4th-fewest offensive plays among all teams this week with 62.4 plays, accounting for their underlying play style and game dynamics. The 4th-fewest plays in football have been run by the Raiders this year (only 53.1 per game on average). The Raiders offensive line ranks as the 7th-worst in football this year in pass protection, which has a harmful effect on all passing game metrics across the board. The Eagles pass defense has conceded the 5th-lowest Adjusted Completion% in the NFL (77.4%) versus running backs this year (77.4%).

The Raiders will be forced to use backup QB Kenny Pickett in this game, which generally means fewer pass attempts and more rushes. At a -12.5-point disadvantage, the Raiders are enormous underdogs in this week's contest, implying much more of a focus on passing than their standard approach. The leading projections forecast the Raiders as the 10th-most pass-centric offense on the slate this week with a 59.6% pass rate, accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics. The Philadelphia Eagles safeties rank as the worst unit in the NFL this year in defending pass-catchers.

The predictive model expects Saquon Barkley to total 3.4 targets this week, on balance, placing him in the 84th percentile among running backs. Saquon Barkley rates as one of the best pass-game RBs this year, averaging an exceptional 2.7 adjusted catches per game while checking in at the 89th percentile. When it comes to safeties in pass coverage, Las Vegas's unit has been awful this year, grading out as the 4th-worst in the NFL.

This week, A.J. Brown is expected by the predictive model to land in the 90th percentile among wide receivers with 8.2 targets. A.J. Brown is positioned as one of the leading wide receivers in the league this year, averaging an outstanding 5.2 adjusted receptions per game while grading out in the 94th percentile. This year, the poor Raiders pass defense has allowed a colossal 69.8% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing wide receivers: the 3rd-largest rate in the NFL. When it comes to safeties in pass coverage, Las Vegas's unit has been awful this year, grading out as the 4th-worst in the NFL.

Our trusted projections expect Dallas Goedert to notch 5.5 targets in this game, on average, placing him in the 87th percentile when it comes to TEs. With a terrific 4.0 adjusted receptions per game (88th percentile) this year, Dallas Goedert stands among the top pass-catching tight ends in football. When it comes to safeties in pass coverage, Las Vegas's unit has been awful this year, grading out as the 4th-worst in the NFL.

The Raiders will be forced to use backup QB Kenny Pickett in this game, which generally means fewer pass attempts and more rushes. At a -12.5-point disadvantage, the Raiders are enormous underdogs in this week's contest, implying much more of a focus on passing than their standard approach. The leading projections forecast the Raiders as the 10th-most pass-centric offense on the slate this week with a 59.6% pass rate, accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics. The Philadelphia Eagles safeties rank as the worst unit in the NFL this year in defending pass-catchers.

Jack Bech has gone over 1.5 in 4 of his last 10 games.

Michael Mayer has gone over 1.5 in 6 of his last 9 games.

Jahan Dotson has gone over 0.5 in 6 of his last 10 games.

DeVonta Smith has gone over 4.5 in 5 of his last 10 games.

Tyler Lockett has gone over 1.5 in 5 of his last 10 games.