Seattle @ Tennessee Picks & Props

An extreme passing game script is indicated by the Titans being a big -13.5-point underdog in this game. Accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Titans to pass on 61.3% of their opportunities: the 7th-highest rate on the slate this week. The Titans rank as the 9th-most pass-oriented offense in the NFL near the end zone (in a neutral context) this year with a 59.6% red zone pass rate. The Seattle Seahawks defense has been a notorious pass funnel this year, inducing opposing offenses to attempt the 2nd-most passes in the NFL (39.5 per game) this year. This year, the formidable Seahawks run defense has given up a paltry 0.60 rushing touchdowns per game to opposing squads: the 4th-smallest rate in the NFL.

Opposing teams have completed passes at the 4th-highest level in the NFL vs. the Tennessee Titans defense this year (75.8% Adjusted Completion%). The Tennessee Titans defensive ends grade out as the 2nd-best DE corps in football this year in regard to run defense.

While Kenneth Walker III has received 0.0% of his offense's red zone targets in games he has played this year, the model projects him to be a much bigger part of Seattle's passing offense near the goal line in this game at 6.4%. Kenneth Walker III's 93.3% Adjusted Catch Rate this season reflects a noteable boost in his receiving skills over last season's 88.7% figure. Opposing teams have completed passes at the 4th-highest level in the NFL vs. the Tennessee Titans defense this year (75.8% Adjusted Completion%). The Tennessee Titans defensive ends grade out as the 2nd-best DE corps in football this year in regard to run defense.

While Jaxon Smith-Njigba has been responsible for 18.2% of his team's red zone targets in games he has played this year, the projections expect him to be a much bigger part of Seattle's pass game near the goal line in this week's contest at 31.9%. Jaxon Smith-Njigba has notched quite a few more air yards this year (118.0 per game) than he did last year (73.0 per game). Jaxon Smith-Njigba's 91.0 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that calculates high-value offensive involvement) has been significantly higher this season than it was last season at 57.6. With an excellent 76.1% Adjusted Catch Rate (89th percentile) this year, Jaxon Smith-Njigba has been as one of the most reliable receivers in the NFL among wideouts. Jaxon Smith-Njigba grades out in the 91st percentile among wideouts as it relates to catching TDs this year, averaging an excellent 0.45 per game.

An extreme passing game script is indicated by the Titans being a big -13.5-point underdog in this game. Accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Titans to pass on 61.3% of their opportunities: the 7th-highest rate on the slate this week. The Titans rank as the 9th-most pass-oriented offense in the NFL near the end zone (in a neutral context) this year with a 59.6% red zone pass rate. The Seattle Seahawks defense has been a notorious pass funnel this year, inducing opposing offenses to attempt the 2nd-most passes in the NFL (39.5 per game) this year. With a top-tier 12.5% Red Zone Target Share (89th percentile) this year, Tyjae Spears rates as one of the pass-catching running backs with the biggest workloads near the end zone in football.