San Francisco @ Los Angeles Picks & Props

Our trusted projections expect the Rams to be the 10th-most pass-focused team in the league (in a neutral context) at the moment with a 62.0% pass rate. The predictive model expects the Rams to run the 3rd-most total plays on the slate this week with 69.0 plays, given their underlying propensities and game dynamics. The passing games of both teams (including both volume and efficiency) ought to benefit from the calm weather conditions (1-mph wind) being called for in this game, while run volume may drop. This year, the feeble San Francisco 49ers defense has surrendered a colossal 0.75 receiving TDs per game to opposing tight ends: the worst rate in the NFL. Opposing teams have run for the 3rd-fewest TDs in football (0.50 per game) against the 49ers defense this year.

The 49ers may rely on the pass game less this week (and hand the ball off more) given that they be rolling with backup QB Brock Purdy. A throwing game script is indicated by the 49ers being a -5.5-point underdog in this week's contest. The 49ers rank as the 7th-most pass-oriented offense in the NFL (in a neutral context) this year with a 63.0% pass rate. Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this game is predicted by the predictive model to have 132.4 offensive plays run: the 3rd-highest number out of all the games this week. The 9th-largest volume of plays in the NFL have been called by the 49ers this year (a monstrous 60.2 per game on average).

The 49ers may rely on the pass game less this week (and hand the ball off more) given that they be rolling with backup QB Brock Purdy. A throwing game script is indicated by the 49ers being a -5.5-point underdog in this week's contest. The 49ers rank as the 7th-most pass-oriented offense in the NFL (in a neutral context) this year with a 63.0% pass rate. Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this game is predicted by the predictive model to have 132.4 offensive plays run: the 3rd-highest number out of all the games this week. The 9th-largest volume of plays in the NFL have been called by the 49ers this year (a monstrous 60.2 per game on average).

Our trusted projections expect the Rams to be the 10th-most pass-focused team in the league (in a neutral context) at the moment with a 62.0% pass rate. The predictive model expects the Rams to run the 3rd-most total plays on the slate this week with 69.0 plays, given their underlying propensities and game dynamics. The passing games of both teams (including both volume and efficiency) ought to benefit from the calm weather conditions (1-mph wind) being called for in this game, while run volume may drop. The predictive model expects Puka Nacua to be a more integral piece of his offense's passing game near the end zone in this game (28.6% projected Red Zone Target Share) than he has been this year (14.3% in games he has played). After accumulating 75.0 air yards per game last year, Puka Nacua has produced significantly more this year, currently pacing 105.0 per game.

The 49ers may rely on the pass game less this week (and hand the ball off more) given that they be rolling with backup QB Mac Jones. A throwing game script is indicated by the 49ers being a -5.5-point underdog in this week's contest. Based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the model projects the San Francisco 49ers to pass on 62.2% of their plays: the 3rd-highest clip on the slate this week. Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this game is predicted by the predictive model to have 137.2 offensive plays run: the 2nd-highest number out of all the games this week. The 9th-largest volume of plays in the NFL have been called by the 49ers this year (a monstrous 60.2 per game on average).

The 49ers may rely on the pass game less this week (and hand the ball off more) given that they be rolling with backup QB Mac Jones. A throwing game script is indicated by the 49ers being a -5.5-point underdog in this week's contest. Based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the model projects the San Francisco 49ers to pass on 62.2% of their plays: the 3rd-highest clip on the slate this week. Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this game is predicted by the predictive model to have 137.2 offensive plays run: the 2nd-highest number out of all the games this week. The 9th-largest volume of plays in the NFL have been called by the 49ers this year (a monstrous 60.2 per game on average).

Our trusted projections expect the Rams to be the 10th-most pass-focused team in the league (in a neutral context) at the moment with a 62.1% pass rate. The predictive model expects the Rams to run the 3rd-most total plays on the slate this week with 67.3 plays, given their underlying propensities and game dynamics. The passing games of both teams (including both volume and efficiency) ought to benefit from the calm weather conditions (1-mph wind) being called for in this game, while run volume may drop. With an exceptional ratio of 0.33 per game through the air (92nd percentile), Tyler Higbee stands among the best receiving TD-scorers in football when it comes to TEs since the start of last season. This year, the feeble San Francisco 49ers defense has surrendered a colossal 0.75 receiving TDs per game to opposing tight ends: the worst rate in the NFL.

Our trusted projections expect the Rams to be the 10th-most pass-focused team in the league (in a neutral context) at the moment with a 62.0% pass rate. The predictive model expects the Rams to run the 3rd-most total plays on the slate this week with 69.0 plays, given their underlying propensities and game dynamics. The passing games of both teams (including both volume and efficiency) ought to benefit from the calm weather conditions (1-mph wind) being called for in this game, while run volume may drop. Kyren Williams grades out in the 87th percentile among RBs as it relates to catching TDs this year, averaging a stellar 0.20 per game. The San Francisco 49ers pass defense has given up the 2nd-highest Adjusted Completion% in football (90%) to RBs since the start of last season (90.0%).

The 49ers may rely on the pass game less this week (and hand the ball off more) given that they be rolling with backup QB Mac Jones. A throwing game script is indicated by the 49ers being a -5.5-point underdog in this week's contest. Based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the model projects the San Francisco 49ers to pass on 62.2% of their plays: the 3rd-highest clip on the slate this week. Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this game is predicted by the predictive model to have 137.2 offensive plays run: the 2nd-highest number out of all the games this week. The 9th-largest volume of plays in the NFL have been called by the 49ers this year (a monstrous 60.2 per game on average).

Our trusted projections expect the Rams to be the 10th-most pass-focused team in the league (in a neutral context) at the moment with a 62.0% pass rate. The predictive model expects the Rams to run the 3rd-most total plays on the slate this week with 69.0 plays, given their underlying propensities and game dynamics. The passing games of both teams (including both volume and efficiency) ought to benefit from the calm weather conditions (1-mph wind) being called for in this game, while run volume may drop. In this contest, Matthew Stafford is forecasted by our trusted projection set to total the 4th-most pass attempts among all QBs with 37.6. With a remarkable rate of 1.60 per game (86th percentile), Matthew Stafford ranks as one of the best touchdown throwers in football this year.