Los Angeles 2nd NFC West10-7
Arizona 4th NFC West4-13
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Los Angeles @ Arizona props

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Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Puka Nacua Receptions Made Props • L.A. Rams

P. Nacua
wide receiver WR • L.A. Rams
Prop
4.5
Receptions Made
Projection
6.7
Best Odds
Over
-155

This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing efficiency. In this contest, Puka Nacua is anticipated by the predictive model to secure a spot in the 94th percentile when it comes to wideouts with 9.9 targets. Puka Nacua has been an integral part of his team's offense, garnering a Target Share of 32.3% this year, which places him in the 99th percentile when it comes to WRs. Puka Nacua has been one of the top WRs in the NFL this year, averaging a remarkable 6.8 adjusted receptions per game while checking in at the 94th percentile. This year, the shaky Cardinals pass defense has allowed a colossal 70.9% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing wideouts: the 5th-worst rate in the league.

Puka Nacua

Prop: 4.5 Receptions Made
Projection: 6.7
Prop:
4.5 Receptions Made
Projection:
6.7

This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing efficiency. In this contest, Puka Nacua is anticipated by the predictive model to secure a spot in the 94th percentile when it comes to wideouts with 9.9 targets. Puka Nacua has been an integral part of his team's offense, garnering a Target Share of 32.3% this year, which places him in the 99th percentile when it comes to WRs. Puka Nacua has been one of the top WRs in the NFL this year, averaging a remarkable 6.8 adjusted receptions per game while checking in at the 94th percentile. This year, the shaky Cardinals pass defense has allowed a colossal 70.9% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing wideouts: the 5th-worst rate in the league.

Kyren Williams Receptions Made Props • L.A. Rams

K. Williams
running back RB • L.A. Rams
Prop
2.5
Receptions Made
Projection
2.4
Best Odds
Under
+120
Prop
2.5 Receptions Made
Projection
2.4
Best Odds
Under
+120
Projection Rating

Based on their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Los Angeles Rams are expected by our trusted projection set to call only 63.7 offensive plays in this game: the 8th-fewest among all teams this week. Opposing teams have averaged 33.3 pass attempts per game against the Arizona Cardinals defense this year: 6th-fewest in football. The Los Angeles Rams offensive line grades out as the 10th-worst in football this year in pass protection, which has a harmful impact on all passing game statistics across the board. Kyren Williams's sure-handedness have diminished this year, with his Adjusted Catch Rate shrinking from 79.9% to 57.3%.

Kyren Williams

Prop: 2.5 Receptions Made
Projection: 2.4
Prop:
2.5 Receptions Made
Projection:
2.4

Based on their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Los Angeles Rams are expected by our trusted projection set to call only 63.7 offensive plays in this game: the 8th-fewest among all teams this week. Opposing teams have averaged 33.3 pass attempts per game against the Arizona Cardinals defense this year: 6th-fewest in football. The Los Angeles Rams offensive line grades out as the 10th-worst in football this year in pass protection, which has a harmful impact on all passing game statistics across the board. Kyren Williams's sure-handedness have diminished this year, with his Adjusted Catch Rate shrinking from 79.9% to 57.3%.

Marquise Brown Receptions Made Props • Arizona

M. Brown
wide receiver WR • Arizona
Prop
3.5
Receptions Made
Projection
4.6
Best Odds
Over
-145
Prop
3.5 Receptions Made
Projection
4.6
Best Odds
Over
-145
Projection Rating

This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness. With a sizeable 94.5% Route Participation Rate (95th percentile) this year, Marquise Brown rates as one of the WRs with the biggest workloads in the league. The projections expect Marquise Brown to accumulate 7.6 targets in this game, on balance, placing him in the 82nd percentile when it comes to wideouts. The Rams linebackers rank as the 2nd-worst group of LBs in the NFL this year in covering receivers.

Marquise Brown

Prop: 3.5 Receptions Made
Projection: 4.6
Prop:
3.5 Receptions Made
Projection:
4.6

This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness. With a sizeable 94.5% Route Participation Rate (95th percentile) this year, Marquise Brown rates as one of the WRs with the biggest workloads in the league. The projections expect Marquise Brown to accumulate 7.6 targets in this game, on balance, placing him in the 82nd percentile when it comes to wideouts. The Rams linebackers rank as the 2nd-worst group of LBs in the NFL this year in covering receivers.

Trey McBride Receptions Made Props • Arizona

T. McBride
tight end TE • Arizona
Prop
5.5
Receptions Made
Projection
5.9
Best Odds
Over
+110

This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness. This week, Trey McBride is expected by the predictive model to place in the 97th percentile when it comes to tight ends with 8.1 targets. While Trey McBride has garnered 16.8% of his team's targets in games he has played this year, our trusted projections expect him to be a much bigger part of Arizona's offense this week at 24.5%. Trey McBride has been one of the top pass-game TEs this year, averaging a stellar 3.6 adjusted receptions per game while grading out in the 79th percentile. The Rams linebackers rank as the 2nd-worst group of LBs in the NFL this year in covering receivers.

Trey McBride

Prop: 5.5 Receptions Made
Projection: 5.9
Prop:
5.5 Receptions Made
Projection:
5.9

This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness. This week, Trey McBride is expected by the predictive model to place in the 97th percentile when it comes to tight ends with 8.1 targets. While Trey McBride has garnered 16.8% of his team's targets in games he has played this year, our trusted projections expect him to be a much bigger part of Arizona's offense this week at 24.5%. Trey McBride has been one of the top pass-game TEs this year, averaging a stellar 3.6 adjusted receptions per game while grading out in the 79th percentile. The Rams linebackers rank as the 2nd-worst group of LBs in the NFL this year in covering receivers.

James Conner Receptions Made Props • Arizona

J. Conner
running back RB • Arizona
Prop
1.5
Receptions Made
Projection
2.4
Best Odds
Over
-165
Prop
1.5 Receptions Made
Projection
2.4
Best Odds
Over
-165
Projection Rating

This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness. James Conner's 84.4% Adjusted Catch Rate this season indicates a noteable boost in his pass-catching talent over last season's 81.4% rate. The Rams pass defense has conceded the 6th-highest Adjusted Completion% in the NFL (86.3%) vs. running backs this year (86.3%). The Rams linebackers rank as the 2nd-worst group of LBs in the NFL this year in covering receivers.

James Conner

Prop: 1.5 Receptions Made
Projection: 2.4
Prop:
1.5 Receptions Made
Projection:
2.4

This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness. James Conner's 84.4% Adjusted Catch Rate this season indicates a noteable boost in his pass-catching talent over last season's 81.4% rate. The Rams pass defense has conceded the 6th-highest Adjusted Completion% in the NFL (86.3%) vs. running backs this year (86.3%). The Rams linebackers rank as the 2nd-worst group of LBs in the NFL this year in covering receivers.

Tyler Higbee Receptions Made Props • L.A. Rams

T. Higbee
tight end TE • L.A. Rams
Prop
2.5
Receptions Made
Projection
2.8
Best Odds
Over
-135

This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing efficiency. Tyler Higbee's 83.6% Route Participation% this year shows an impressive gain in his air attack workload over last year's 69.7% rate. In this contest, Tyler Higbee is forecasted by the predictive model to slot into the 78th percentile among tight ends with 4.1 targets. The Cardinals linebackers project as the 3rd-worst LB corps in the league this year when it comes to pass rush.

Tyler Higbee

Prop: 2.5 Receptions Made
Projection: 2.8
Prop:
2.5 Receptions Made
Projection:
2.8

This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing efficiency. Tyler Higbee's 83.6% Route Participation% this year shows an impressive gain in his air attack workload over last year's 69.7% rate. In this contest, Tyler Higbee is forecasted by the predictive model to slot into the 78th percentile among tight ends with 4.1 targets. The Cardinals linebackers project as the 3rd-worst LB corps in the league this year when it comes to pass rush.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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